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大行评级|大摩:给予复宏汉霖720亿元的估值,折算目标价为每股143-145港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-10 07:14
摩根士丹利发布研报,将复星医药A股和H股评级双双上调至"增持",A股目标价上调至42元,H股目标 价上调至33港元。其中,大摩给予复星医药旗下复宏汉霖720亿元的估值(当前市值约为440亿元),折算 相当于每股143-145港元,其中73%的估值来自核心候选药物——HLX43(PD-L1 ADC)、HLX22(HER2 mAb)和serplulimab(PD-1)的全球潜力。 复星医药持有复宏汉霖63.4%的股份,后者已经建立起由抗体和抗体偶联受体激动剂(ADC)组成的多元 化产品组合,并正在向双特异性/三特异性抗体领域拓展。复宏汉霖的销售额主要来自生物类似药和PD- 1,但今年的反弹主要得益于其创新产品线,这些产品线在临床试验中显示出良好的数据,看好其对外 授权的前景,以及在国际市场的价值。 ...
中信里昂:上调复星医药(02196)目标价至29.6港元 重申“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-10 06:39
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citic Securities has raised the target price for Fosun Pharma's H-shares to HKD 29.6 and A-shares to RMB 40.2, maintaining a "outperform" rating for both A-shares and H-shares [1] - The target price adjustment is based on an increase in industry valuations and the strong stock performance of its subsidiary, Fosun Hani [1] - Fosun Pharma is expected to return to accelerated growth driven by its innovative drug business, with a target price-to-earnings ratio raised from 10.3 times to 18 times [1] Group 2 - By the first half of 2025, Fosun Pharma's innovative drug sales are projected to exceed RMB 4.3 billion, accounting for 31% of total pharmaceutical revenue [1] - The company has shown notable performance in oncology and anti-infection sectors, achieving year-on-year growth of 6.5% and 14.0%, respectively [1] - Recently, Fosun Pharma completed two overseas licensing agreements for self-developed drugs, with potential milestone payments exceeding USD 1.1 billion, highlighting its international recognition and commercialization capabilities [1] Group 3 - Fosun Pharma's newly launched Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) sets clear performance targets for 2025-2027, with innovative drug sales revenue targets of RMB 9.36 billion, RMB 11.23 billion, and RMB 13.48 billion [2] - The net profit targets for the same period are RMB 3.32 billion, RMB 3.96 billion, and RMB 4.77 billion, with both indicators achieving a compound annual growth rate of 20% [2] - This plan is expected to significantly enhance market confidence in the company's mid-term growth prospects [2]
中信里昂:上调复星医药目标价至29.6港元 重申“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 06:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citic Lyon has raised the target price for Fosun Pharma's H-shares to HKD 29.6 and A-shares to RMB 40.2, reiterating the "outperform" rating for both [1] - The target price adjustment is based on an increase in industry valuations and strong stock performance of its subsidiary, Fosun Hani [1] - Fosun Pharma is expected to return to accelerated growth driven by its innovative drug business, with room for valuation recovery compared to the industry average [1] Group 2 - By the first half of 2025, Fosun Pharma's innovative drug sales are projected to exceed RMB 4.3 billion, accounting for 31% of total pharmaceutical revenue [1] - The company has shown notable performance in oncology and anti-infection sectors, achieving year-on-year growth of 6.5% and 14.0%, respectively [1] - Recently, Fosun Pharma completed two overseas licensing agreements for self-developed drugs, with potential milestone payments exceeding USD 1.1 billion, highlighting its international recognition and commercialization capabilities [1] Group 3 - Fosun Pharma's newly launched Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) sets clear performance targets for 2025-2027, with innovative drug sales targets of RMB 9.36 billion, RMB 11.23 billion, and RMB 13.48 billion [2] - The net profit targets for the same period are RMB 3.32 billion, RMB 3.96 billion, and RMB 4.77 billion, with both metrics achieving a compound annual growth rate of 20% [2] - This plan is expected to significantly enhance market confidence in the company's mid-term growth prospects [2]
复星医药获大摩及中信里昂证券力挺,创新药业务增长成估值催化剂
中信里昂证券最新的研究报告显示,复星医药2025年第二季度业绩表现稳健,收入环比增长7.2%,净 利润环比大幅增长22.5%,主要得益于创新药品销售的强劲推动。报告指出,公司二季度创新药品收入 超过43亿元,占制药业务总收入的31%。 转自:新华财经 近日,复星医药(600196.SH;02196.HK)接连获得摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)与中信里昂证券 (CLSA)两家国际知名投行的积极评价,双双上调其目标股价,并肯定其创新药业务的成长潜力与估 值修复空间。市场分析认为,复星医药正迎来价值重估的关键节点。 中信里昂证券大幅上调目标价,看好创新药驱动增长 中信里昂证券还指出,复星医药旗下控股子公司复宏汉霖(02696.HK)近期强劲的股价表现,也为母 公司带来了价值重估的催化剂。 复星医药在"创新+国际化"双轮驱动战略下,逐渐显示出其业务模式的韧性与成长性。连续获得摩根士 丹利和中信里昂证券两大国际投行的认可,不仅提振了市场信心,也反映出资本市场对其创新药业务价 值重估的共识正在形成。 随着更多创新药陆续上市和海外拓展加速,复星医药有望在未来的医药行业格局中占据更有利位置,投 资者可密切关注其研 ...
摩根士丹利上调复星医药评级 创新药业务成公司增长新引擎
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-09-09 13:53
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has upgraded Fosun Pharma's rating to "Overweight" due to its anticipated profit turning point and undervalued innovative drug business, raising the target price for A-shares to 42 RMB and H-shares to 33 HKD [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Fosun Pharma reported a revenue of 19.514 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.702 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 38.96% [1] - The revenue from innovative drugs exceeded 4.3 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 14%, accounting for about 32% of the pharmaceutical business revenue [1] - Morgan Stanley projects that by 2030, the revenue from innovative drugs will constitute 45% of the company's total pharmaceutical sales [1] Group 2: Research and Development - Fosun Pharma has established three mature R&D entities focusing on key technology platforms such as antibodies, ADC, small molecules, and cell therapy, targeting core treatment areas like solid tumors and immune inflammation [2] - The innovative drug pipeline, including products like DPP-1, MEK1/2, and AR1001, is crucial for the growth of innovative drug revenue, with significant potential from core pipelines like HLX43, HLX22, and the anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibody [2] Group 3: International Market and Business Development - In the first half of 2025, Fosun Pharma's overseas revenue reached 5.478 billion RMB, accounting for approximately 28.07% of total revenue [3] - The company has strengthened global licensing collaborations, including a recent agreement with Expedition for the development and commercialization of the product XH-S004 outside of China, with a potential total value of 645 million USD [3] - A stock incentive plan introduced by Fosun Pharma has boosted market confidence, setting a compound annual growth rate target of about 20% for net profit and innovative drug revenue from 2025 to 2027 [3]
摩根士丹利上调复星医药A股目标价至每股42元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-09 07:11
目前,复星医药拥有三大成熟的研发主体,包括上海复宏汉霖生物技术股份有限公司(以下简称"复宏汉 霖")、全球研发中心以及复星凯瑞,分别聚焦抗体、ADC、小分子及细胞治疗四大核心技术平台,围绕 实体瘤、血液瘤、免疫炎症等核心治疗领域,复星医药已逐步构建高价值管线组合,并积极拓展慢病 (心血管、肾脏与代谢)及神经领域。摩根士丹利表示,复星医药自主研发和许可引进的创新管线组合, 及其子公司复宏汉霖的创新药组合是实现创新药品收入增长的核心因素,包括DPP-1、MEK1/2、 AR1001(PDE5)等进展顺利。复宏汉霖旗下核心管线HLX43(PD-L1ADC)、HLX22(HER2单抗)和斯鲁利 单抗注射液(抗PD-1单抗)在全球市场的潜力巨大。 本报讯(记者金婉霞)近日,国际投行摩根士丹利(Morgen Stanley)最新研究报告显示,上海复星医药 (600196)(集团)股份有限公司(以下简称"复星医药")正迎来盈利拐点,其创新药业务被市场低估,叠 加2025年上半年非核心资产剥离带来的财务优化,公司A股和H股评级均获上调至"超配"(Overweight), 并将复星医药A股目标价上调至每股42元人民币,H股目标 ...
大摩:复星医药将见转机 评级升至“增持” 上调目标价至33港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-09 06:56
摩根士丹利发布研报称,将复星医药(600196)(02196)投资评级由"与大市同步"上调至"增持",表示重 新审视其研发管线后,认为创新药物组合价值被低估,加上公司持续剥离非核心资产,有助增强财务能 力,业务将见转机,盈利有望全面改善,将H股目标价从20港元上调至33港元,目前预测2025年净利润 可增长20%,2025至2027年净利润年均复合增长率料达20%。 ...
大摩:复星医药(02196)将见转机 评级升至“增持” 上调目标价至33港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-09 06:53
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley upgraded the investment rating of Fosun Pharma (02196) from "In Line with Market" to "Overweight," citing a reassessment of its R&D pipeline and the undervaluation of its innovative drug portfolio [1] Group 1: Investment Rating and Target Price - The investment rating for Fosun Pharma has been raised to "Overweight" due to the perceived undervaluation of its innovative drug portfolio [1] - The target price for H-shares has been increased from HKD 20 to HKD 33 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - The company is expected to see a 20% growth in net profit by 2025 [1] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 20% [1] Group 3: Strategic Moves - Continuous divestment of non-core assets is anticipated to enhance the company's financial capabilities [1] - These strategic moves are expected to lead to a turnaround in business performance and overall profit improvement [1]
港股异动 | 复星医药(02196)涨超4% 大摩称公司创新药品管线价值被低估 看高目标价至33港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-09 06:49
MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错! 消息面上,国际投行摩根士丹利发布的最新研究报告表示,复星医药正展现出盈利能力的改善趋势,其 创新药品管线价值被市场低估,叠加2025年上半年非核心资产剥离带来的财务优化,因此将公司A股和 H股评级均上调至"超配",并将复星医药A股目标价上调至42元人民币,H股目标价上调至33港元,较 当前股价有显著上升空间。 今年上半年,复星医药实现营业收入约195.14亿元,其中,创新药品收入稳健增长,收入超43亿元,同 比增长 14.26%;归母净利润约17.02亿元,同比增长38.96%。目前,复星医药拥有三大成熟的研发主 体,包括复宏汉霖、全球研发中心以及复星凯瑞,分别聚焦抗体、ADC、小分子及细胞治疗四大核心 技术平台,围绕实体瘤、血液瘤、免疫炎症等核心治疗领域,复星医药已逐步构建高价值管线组合,并 积极拓展慢病(心血管、肾脏与代谢)及神经领域。 复星医药(02196)涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.16%,报27.54港元,成交额5.14亿港元。 ...
复星医药涨超4% 大摩称公司创新药品管线价值被低估 看高目标价至33港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-09 06:44
消息面上,国际投行摩根士丹利发布的最新研究报告表示,复星医药正展现出盈利能力的改善趋势,其 创新药品管线价值被市场低估,叠加2025年上半年非核心资产剥离带来的财务优化,因此将公司A股和 H股评级均上调至"超配",并将复星医药A股目标价上调至42元人民币,H股目标价上调至33港元,较 当前股价有显著上升空间。 今年上半年,复星医药实现营业收入约195.14亿元,其中,创新药品收入稳健增长,收入超43亿元,同 比增长14.26%;归母净利润约17.02亿元,同比增长38.96%。目前,复星医药拥有三大成熟的研发主 体,包括复宏汉霖、全球研发中心以及复星凯瑞,分别聚焦抗体、ADC、小分子及细胞治疗四大核心 技术平台,围绕实体瘤、血液瘤、免疫炎症等核心治疗领域,复星医药已逐步构建高价值管线组合,并 积极拓展慢病(心血管、肾脏与代谢)及神经领域。 复星医药(600196)(02196)涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.16%,报27.54港元,成交额5.14亿港元。 ...