Core Viewpoint - MGM China (02282) shares rose over 5%, reaching HKD 15.05, with a trading volume of HKD 87.37 million, indicating positive market sentiment ahead of earnings announcement on October 30 [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - Citigroup forecasts a 7% year-on-year increase in EBITDA for the Macau gaming operators in Q3, with MGM China expected to achieve a 13% year-on-year growth [1] - The anticipated higher EBITDA growth for MGM China compared to the industry may provide positive stock momentum before the earnings report [1] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for MGM China, setting a target price of HKD 19 and including it in the positive catalyst watchlist for 30 days [1] - Credit Lyonnais believes MGM China has revaluation potential, with its 2026 EV/EBITDA and P/E ratios remaining low among six Macau gaming companies [1] - Following an assessment of market share, profit margins, return on capital, and dividend growth, Credit Lyonnais raised its target price from HKD 18.3 to HKD 22.7 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo highlighted investor confidence in the view that China's industrial profit growth will continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Many investors agree with the perspective that the growth in China's industrial profits will positively impact Macau's gaming revenue [1] - The gaming sector is currently trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, which is below the "new normal" range of 11 to 12 times set by the firm [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - The firm maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, with Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) being the preferred stocks in the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citibank's report indicates that MGM China (02282) has significant revaluation potential, with its 2026 EV/EBITDA and P/E multiples remaining low among six Macau gaming companies [1] Group 1: Valuation Metrics - MGM China's current price corresponds to 7.7 times the 2026 EV/EBITDA, which is 15% lower than the industry average [1] - Citibank raised the target EV/EBITDA multiple from 8.8 times to 10.6 times, which is still 0.5 standard deviations below the long-term average [1] Group 2: Target Price Adjustment - The target price for MGM China has been increased from HKD 18.3 to HKD 22.7 [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Citibank maintains an "outperform" rating for MGM China [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo revealed that many investors agree with the view that growth in China's industrial profits should continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Investors still prefer high-quality companies despite recent stock price corrections [1] - The gaming sector is currently trading at 9.4 times the 2026 enterprise value to EBITDA, which is below the range of 11 to 12 times set by the bank for Macau's "new normal" [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - The bank maintains its existing forecasts and ratings [1] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) are the bank's preferred stocks in the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Recent roadshow in Tokyo highlighted that many investors agree with the view that growth in China's industrial profits should continue to drive Macau's gaming revenue [1] Industry Summary - Investors are currently favoring high-quality companies, with the gaming sector trading at an enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 9.4 times for 2026, compared to the bank's established "new normal" range of 11 to 12 times [1] Company Summary - The bank maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, with Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) identified as preferred stocks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that the growth in mainland industrial profits is expected to continue driving the growth of Macau's gaming revenue, with stock investors still favoring high-quality companies [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Recent stock price corrections have led the sector to trade at 9.4 times the 2026 enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), which is lower than the 11 to 12 times level set as the new normal for Macau [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - Credit Lyonnais maintains its existing forecasts and ratings, identifying Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China as its preferred stocks in the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the 2025 total gaming revenue forecast for Macau while raising the 2026 forecast, expecting total gaming revenue to grow by 9% and 5% in the next two years, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels respectively [1] Industry Summary - Total gaming revenue is projected to grow by 9% in 2025 and 5% in 2026, reaching 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - Mass gaming revenue is expected to increase by 7% and 6% in 2025 and 2026, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels [1] - VIP gaming revenue is forecasted to grow by 19% in 2025 but decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] - The industry EBITDA for Q3 is estimated to reach $2.108 billion, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth and a 2% quarter-on-quarter increase, recovering to 91% of the 2019 Q3 level [1] - Total gaming revenue remains resilient, but increased market competition and rising reinvestment rates are pressuring EBITDA [1] Company Summary - CICC is optimistic about MGM China (02282) and Sands China (01928), projecting adjusted EBITDA for Q3 to be HKD 2.352 billion and USD 590 million, representing year-on-year increases of 19% and 1% respectively [1] - Target prices for MGM China and Sands China are set at HKD 19.8 and HKD 23.8, both rated as "outperforming the industry" [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that MGM China has revaluation potential based on forward-looking indicators such as market share, profit margins, return on capital, and dividend payout growth [1] - MGM China's current price is equivalent to 7.7 times the 2026 EV/EBITDA, which is 15% lower than the industry average [1] - The target EV/EBITDA multiple has been raised from 8.8 times to 10.6 times, which is still 0.5 standard deviations below the long-term average [1] - The target price has been increased from HKD 18.3 to HKD 22.7, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains its total gaming revenue forecast for Macau in 2025 while raising the forecast for 2026, expecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and 5% respectively, recovering to 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] Group 1: Revenue Forecasts - Total gaming revenue is expected to grow by 9% in 2025 and 5% in 2026, reaching 84% and 88% of 2019 levels [1] - Mass gaming revenue is projected to increase by 7% and 6% in the next two years, recovering to 119% and 126% of 2019 levels [1] - VIP gaming revenue is anticipated to grow by 19% in 2025 but decline by 5% in 2026, recovering to 29% and 28% of 2019 levels [1] Group 2: Industry EBITDA - The industry EBITDA for the third quarter is expected to reach $2.108 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2%, recovering to 91% of the 2019 level [1] - Total gaming revenue remains resilient; however, increased market competition and rising reinvestment rates are expected to pressure EBITDA [1] Group 3: Company Outlook - CICC is optimistic about MGM China (02282) and Sands China (01928), forecasting adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter to be HKD 2.352 billion and USD 590 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19% and 1% respectively [1] - Target prices for MGM China and Sands China are set at HKD 19.8 and HKD 23.8, both rated as "outperform the industry" [1]

智通财经APP获悉，中金公司发布研报称，维持2025年澳门总博彩收入预测，同时上调2026年预测，预 计今明两年总博彩收入分别同比增长9%和5%，恢复至2019年的84%和88%。其中，该行预计今明两年 的中场博彩收入同比增长7%和6%，恢复至2019年的119%和126%;并预计贵宾博彩收入2025年同比增长 19%，2026年同比下降5%，恢复至2019年的29%和28%。 今年第三季，该行预计行业EBITDA达21.08亿美元，同比增长9%，按季增长2%，恢复至2019年同期水 平的91%。期内总博彩收入维持韧性，但由于市场竞争加剧，再投资率上升，拖累EBITDA。 股份方面，该行较看好美高梅中国(02282)及金沙中国(01928)，料两间博企第三季经调整EBITDA分别为 23.52亿港元及5.90亿美元，同比升19%及1%;目标价分别为19.8港元及23.8港元，均予"跑赢行业"评级。 ...