铝业股涨幅居前，截至发稿，中国铝业（601600）(02600)涨5.3%，报13.32港元；南山铝业（600219） 国际(02610)涨2.9%，报51.1港元；中国宏桥(01378)涨2.82%，报34.98港元。 华闻期货认为，2025年1-11月份我国氧化铝累计产量为8190万吨，累计同比+7.44%，上半年成本压力下 氧化铝企业一度出现集中减产现象，但随着成本下移及利润修复，下半年国内氧化铝行业运行产能重回 高位。从新增产能来看，2026年国内外仍有大量氧化铝产能待释放，预计国内新增产能约1500万吨，主 要在广西、河北两省，海外新增产能约750万吨，主要集中在印度。 消息面上，海外供应减少扰动担忧持续推升铝价，上周五外盘铝价再创新高，LME三月期铝价涨0.8% 至3021美元/吨。新湖期货表示，短期市场仍受宏观情绪波动影响，投机氛围较浓，铝价或高位震荡。 国金证券指出，展望2026年，预计成本下降红利将延续，中国产能天花板将至+电力制约带来供应端紧 约束，低库存+需求多元有望超预期，看好电解铝高盈利继续扩张。 ...

华闻期货认为 ，2025年1-11月份我国氧化铝累计产量为8190万吨，累计同比+7.44%，上半年成本压力 下氧化铝企业一度出现集中减产现象，但随着成本下移及利润修复，下半年国内氧化铝行业运行产能重 回高位。从新增产能来看，2026年国内外仍有大量氧化铝产能待释放，预计国内新增产能约1500万吨， 主要在广西、河北两省，海外新增产能约750万吨，主要集中在印度。 智通财经APP获悉，铝业股涨幅居前，截至发稿，中国铝业(02600)涨5.3%，报13.32港元；南山铝业国 际(02610)涨2.9%，报51.1港元；中国宏桥(01378)涨2.82%，报34.98港元。 消息面上，海外供应减少扰动担忧持续推升铝价，上周五外盘铝价再创新高，LME三月期铝价涨0.8% 至3021美元/吨。新湖期货表示，短期市场仍受宏观情绪波动影响，投机氛围较浓，铝价或高位震荡。 国金证券指出，展望2026年，预计成本下降红利将延续，中国产能天花板将至+电力制约带来供应端紧 约束，低库存+需求多元有望超预期，看好电解铝高盈利继续扩张。 ...

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|有色金属 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 金属及金属新材料行业周报 降息预期交易继续 [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-04 [分析师： Table_Author]宫帅 SAC 执证号：S0260518070003 SFC CE No. BOB672 010-59136660 gongshuai@gf.com.cn 分析师： 王乐 SAC 执证号：S0260523050004 021-38003617 wangle@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈琪玮 SAC 执证号：S0260524040003 SFC CE No. BTE650 021-38003631 chenqiwei@gf.com.cn 请注意，王乐并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 -4% 16% 35% 55% 74% 94% 01/25 03/25 05/25 08/25 10/25 12/25 有色金属 沪深300 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 工业金属与钢铁：内需预期有望改善，工业金属价格或高位运行。铜 铝：25 年 12 月 ...

Group 1 - Major investment banks like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and UBS are optimistic about the global stock market outlook for 2026, expecting double-digit gains in both developed and emerging markets due to strong earnings growth, declining interest rates, and reduced policy headwinds [1] - The United States is projected to maintain its position as the global growth engine, driven by a resilient economy and an AI-driven supercycle that is leading to record capital expenditures and rapid earnings expansion [1] - The momentum of the AI industry is spreading globally across various sectors including technology, utilities, banking, healthcare, and logistics, creating both winners and losers amid an already imbalanced K-shaped economy [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs has released a list of recommended stocks for investment based on the Earnings Revision Leading Indicator (ERLI), which includes companies such as AIA Group (01299.HK), Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK), Lenovo Group (00992.HK), and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) [1] - Other notable stocks on the list include China Ping An (02318.HK), Zijin Mining (02899.HK), Techtronic Industries (00669.HK), and China Pacific Insurance (02601.HK) [1] - Additional companies mentioned are ZTO Express-W (02057.HK), Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK), and China Aluminum (02600.HK) [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened positively in 2026, with the index breaking through the 26,000-point mark and closing up by 2.76% [1] - The offshore RMB strengthened, surpassing 6.97 against the USD, reaching a new high since May 2023 [1] - Aluminum prices hit $3,000, the highest since 2022, driven by supply tightening and long-term demand expectations [1] Technology Sector - Baidu announced that Kunlun Chip has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming for a valuation between $3 billion and $11 billion for Baidu's 59% stake [2] - Baidu's stock rose over 9%, positively impacting other tech giants like Alibaba and Tencent, which also saw gains of over 4% [2] Semiconductor Industry - Wall Street's first GPU stock, Birun Technology, saw a subscription rate of 1,583.50 times, with an opening price of HKD 35.7, reflecting an 82% premium [3] - Semiconductor stocks like TSMC and Hua Hong Semiconductor also experienced gains, with Hua Hong's stock rising over 9% [3] Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector saw a surge, with Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO application accepted, leading to a stock price increase of over 20% for Goldwind Technology [4] Satellite Industry - SpaceX announced a reduction in the orbital height of thousands of Starlink satellites to mitigate collision risks, leading to significant stock increases for Chinese satellite companies [5] - Companies like China Technology Group and Asia Pacific Satellite saw stock increases of nearly 43% and over 34%, respectively [5] Renewable Energy - Skyworth Group's stock rose over 10% following the signing of a 10MW distributed solar power project in Italy, marking significant progress in the European market [6] - The Chinese government is enhancing regulatory measures in the solar industry to ensure fair competition and sustainable development [6] Consumer Electronics - The home appliance sector saw a boost, with major companies like Midea and Haier rising over 4% due to positive market sentiment [7] Automotive Industry - Chinese brands captured a record 12.8% market share in the European electric vehicle market, with significant sales growth reported by companies like BYD and Geely [8] - New energy vehicle sales in Europe doubled compared to the previous year, indicating strong demand for Chinese automotive brands [8] Aluminum Industry - China Aluminum's stock is expected to benefit from rising aluminum prices, which have reached a new high, with a projected revenue increase due to strong demand from the electric vehicle and solar sectors [10][11] - The company reported a 90.31% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025, driven by cost control and resource optimization [11]

Group 1: Consumer Subsidy Policy - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance announced a subsidy policy for consumer electronics and appliances, effective from 2026, providing a 15% subsidy on the sales price for specific products [1][4] - Consumers can receive a subsidy of up to 1,500 yuan for each qualifying appliance, and up to 500 yuan for each qualifying digital product, with a limit of one subsidy per product category per consumer [1][4] - The policy also supports the replacement of vehicles, offering subsidies for consumers who trade in their cars for new energy vehicles or low-displacement fuel vehicles [4] Group 2: Market Performance - COMEX silver futures rose by 7.88%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.2%, closing at 48,367.06 points [2] - The S&P 500 index decreased by 0.14%, and the Nasdaq Composite index dropped by 0.24% [2] - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Intel and Meta both gaining over 1% [2] Group 3: Corporate Announcements - China Aircraft Leasing announced the purchase of 30 Airbus A320neo aircraft, with deliveries expected to occur in phases until 2033 [9] - China Aluminum International plans to acquire a 51% stake in Yunnan Yun Aluminum Logistics for approximately 264 million yuan [15] - Zijin Mining Group expects a net profit of approximately 51-52 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% [18]

Group 1 - Zijin Mining expects a net profit of approximately 51-52 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% due to growth in gold, copper, and silver production and sales prices, along with a significant increase in lithium carbonate production [1] - Tianpu Co. has seen its stock price rise by 718.39% from August 22 to December 30, leading to a suspension for stock trading review due to significant deviation from the company's fundamentals [1] - Salt Lake Co. plans to acquire 51% of Wenkang Salt Lake for 4.605 billion yuan, which will enhance its competitive edge in lithium and potassium resource development [1] Group 2 - Mingde Bio intends to acquire 100% of Wuhan Bikaier Rescue Supplies Co. in a cash transaction, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [2] - Jiamei Packaging has announced that it may apply for a trading suspension if its stock price continues to rise abnormally, despite no significant changes in its fundamentals [2] Group 3 - Jinpan Technology signed a contract worth approximately 696 million yuan for an overseas data center project, which is expected to positively impact the company's long-term performance [3] Group 4 - China Pharmaceutical plans to acquire 70% of Zezheng Pharmaceutical for 525 million yuan [4] - Shengxin Lithium Energy intends to acquire 30% of Qicheng Mining for 2.08 billion yuan to increase its control over Huirong Mining [5] - China Aluminum's subsidiary plans to acquire 51% of Yun Aluminum Logistics for 264 million yuan [5]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月30日，中国铝业发布公告称，中国铝业第九届董事会第八次会议审议通过《关于公 司2026年度经营预算的议案》等。 ...

關連交易 有關成立合資公司之進展 背 景 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 茲 提 述 中 國 鋁 業 股 份 有 限 公 司（「本公司」）日 期 為2025年10月24日 的公告 （「該公告」），內 容 有 關 中 鋁 集 團、本 公 司、雲 南 銅 業、馳 宏 鋅 鍺 及 中 鋁 資 本 訂 立 出 資 協 議，據 此，各 方 同 意 共 同 出 資 設 立 合 資 公 司。除 非 文 義 另 有 所 指，否 則 本 公 告 所 用 詞 彙 與 該 公 告 所 界 定 者 具 有 相 同 涵 義。 – 1 – 誠 如 該 公 告 所 披 露，根 據 出 資 協 議，各 訂 約 方 向 合 資 公 司 的 出 資 金 額、 出資方式及於合資公司的持股比例載列如下，且各方的實繳出資義務 應 於2025年12月31日 前 履 行 完 畢： 合資公司已於2025年10月28 ...

智通财经APP讯，中国铝业(02600)发布公告，于2025年12月30日，经 公司第九届董事会第八次会议审 议通过，公司全资附属公司中铝物流集团有限公司(中铝物流)拟通过非公开协议方式以现金收购云南铝 业股份有限公司(云铝股份)持有的云南云铝物流投资有限公司(云铝物流)51%股权(拟议收购)，交易对价 约为人民币2.64亿元(以最终经备案评估值计算为准)。拟议收购完成后，中铝物流及云铝股份将分别持 有云铝物流51%及49%股权，云铝物流将纳入中铝物流合并报表范围。 于本公告日期，中国铝业集团有限公司(中铝集团)为公司的控股股东，云铝股份为中铝集团的30%受控 公司，云铝物流为云铝股份全资附属公司。 ...