Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Aluminum Corp of China (Chalco) H/A shares, with target prices adjusted to HKD6.10 for H-shares and RMB9.80 for A-shares, implying upside potentials of approximately 42% and 48% respectively [5][40]. Core Insights - Chalco reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) of approximately RMB3.5 billion in 1Q25, reflecting a 5% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 59% year-on-year increase, attributed to better-than-expected sales volume and average selling prices (ASP) for aluminum and alumina [1][9]. - The company expects capital expenditures of RMB14.8 billion in 2025, focusing on wind power projects and new alumina production sites, while aiming to increase green power usage from 47% in 2024 to 55% in 2025 [2][9]. - Despite solid fundamentals for aluminum, earnings are expected to decline by approximately 12% in 2025 due to lower alumina prices, with the alumina price already below breakeven levels [3][9]. Financial Performance - In 1Q25, Chalco's sales volumes for self-produced aluminum decreased by 5% quarter-on-quarter, while alumina sales increased by 6% quarter-on-quarter. However, revenue and gross profits fell by 12% and 29% quarter-on-quarter respectively due to a significant drop in alumina prices [1][31]. - The company recorded a decrease in selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses by 6% year-on-year and 66% quarter-on-quarter, indicating effective cost control [1][31]. - Investment income rose by RMB0.37 billion in 1Q25, driven by higher alumina prices year-on-year and gains from hedging [36]. Production and Operational Strategy - Chalco's aluminum production operating rate reached 95% in China, supported by demand from electric vehicles, batteries, and solar products [3][9]. - The company plans to relocate alumina production from inland to coastal provinces to reduce transportation costs and expects to close down 1-2 million tons of alumina production in 2025 [2][34]. - Chalco aims to optimize its alumina capacity of 25 million tons by utilizing lower-cost imported bauxite, which may lead to some impairment losses [34]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates steady aluminum prices in 2025, supported by robust demand from the "New Three" sectors, while alumina prices are expected to have limited downside due to their current low levels [3][9]. - The coal price and electricity costs remained weak in 1Q25, which may benefit Chalco's operational costs [3][9].

股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临 2025-027 中国铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 9 日披露了《中国 铝业股份有限公司关于控股股东及其一致行动人增持公司股份计划的公告》（公告 编号：临 2025-022），基于对公司未来发展前景的信心，并为切实维护中小投资者 利益，公司控股股东中国铝业集团有限公司（以下简称"中铝集团"）及其一致行 动人拟通过上海证券交易所（以下简称"上交所"）及香港联合交易所有限公司（以 下简称"香港联交所"）交易系统增持公司 A 股及 H 股股份，增持金额不低于人民 币 10 亿元，不超过人民币 20 亿元，增持股份数量不超过公司总股本的 2%，期限自 本次增持计划公告披露之日起不超过 12 个月，本次增持资金来源为增持主体自有资 金或金融机构增持股票专项贷款（以下简称"专项贷款"）。 公司于 2025 年 4 月 29 日收市后收到控股股东中铝集团的通知，截至 2025 年 4 月 29 日，中铝集团及其一致行动人通过上交所及香港联交所交易系统以自有资金和 专项贷款累计增持公司 A 股股份 53,971,083 股，增持金额约人 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that the A-share non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a renewed interest from actively managed equity funds, particularly in gold and copper sectors, driven by external economic factors and a favorable outlook for gold prices [1][5]. Group 1: Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q1 2025, actively managed equity funds increased their holdings in the A-share non-ferrous metal industry, with the market value of heavy holdings rising to 2.18% of total stock investments, up from 1.76% in Q4 2024, marking a 0.42 percentage point increase after two consecutive quarters of reduction [2]. - The main focus of fund replenishment in Q1 2025 was on the gold and copper sectors, with respective market value proportions of 0.44% and 0.85% of total fund stock investments, reflecting increases of 0.18 percentage points for gold and 0.18 percentage points for copper compared to Q4 2024 [3]. Group 2: Concentration of Holdings - The concentration of holdings in the A-share non-ferrous metal industry increased, with the top 10 stocks accounting for 73.23% of the total market value of heavy holdings, up 3 percentage points from the previous quarter [4]. - The top stocks held by actively managed equity funds in the non-ferrous metal sector include Zijin Mining, Yun Aluminum, Shandong Gold, and others, with notable increases in holdings for companies like Zhongfu Industrial and Chuangjiang New Materials [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Recommendations - The report suggests that the ongoing U.S. tariff increases and the resulting economic uncertainties may lead to a sustained rise in gold prices, which are expected to stabilize around $3,000 per ounce, thereby enhancing the performance and cash flow of gold companies [1][5]. - There is significant room for increased holdings in the A-share gold sector, as current positions remain below the high levels seen in the first three quarters of 2024, indicating potential for further investment [5]. - The report recommends focusing on stocks such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Shandong Gold, and others in the gold sector, as well as high-dividend, low-valuation leaders in the copper and aluminum sectors like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum for medium to long-term investment [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline in revenue [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 55.784 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.95%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.86% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.538 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 58.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.56% [1]. - The non-recurring net profit was 3.444 billion yuan, up 57.78% year-on-year and 5.53% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Production and Sales - The company produced 1.94 million tons of electrolytic aluminum in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, and 4.48 million tons of alumina, up 5.4% year-on-year [1]. - The external sales volume of alumina reached 1.68 million tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.3% [1]. - The average price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,400 yuan/ton, up 7.3% year-on-year but down 0.5% quarter-on-quarter; the average price of alumina was 3,863 yuan/ton, up 15.4% year-on-year but down 27.4% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross profit margin was 15.86%, an increase of 0.52 percentage points year-on-year but a decrease of 1.33 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Operating cash flow reached 6.260 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 75.06%, driven by increased operating profit and improved cash flow management [2]. - The company’s expense ratio was 3.86%, down 0.98 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios [2]. Project Development and Resource Management - Key projects, including the Guangxi Huasheng Phase II alumina project and Inner Mongolia Huayun Phase III electrolytic aluminum project, have been put into operation, enhancing resource security [2]. - The company has increased its supply of bauxite resources, with production and shipment from its Guinea mine rising by 8.18% and 27.89% year-on-year, respectively [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 10.913 billion yuan, 12.690 billion yuan, and 13.896 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year changes of -11.99%, +16.28%, and +9.50% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.64 yuan, 0.74 yuan, and 0.81 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 10.4, 8.9, and 8.2 times [3].

金融界4月25日消息，A股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，沪深300金属与采矿指数 (300金属与采矿，L11606) 报2380.65点。 数据统计显示，沪深300金属与采矿指数近一个月下跌4.75%，近三个月上涨3.70%，年至今上涨 7.50%。 据了解，为反映沪深300指数样本中不同细分行业公司证券的整体表现，为投资者提供分析工具，将沪 深300指数300只样本按行业分类标准分为10个一级行业、26个二级行业、70余个三级行业及100多个四 级行业。沪深300细分行业指数系列分别以进入各二级、三级行业的全部证券作为样本编制指数，形成 沪深300细分行业指数。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看，沪深300金属与采矿指数十大权重分别为：紫金矿业（31.22%）、北方稀土 （6.24%）、宝钢股份（6.15%）、山东黄金（6.06%）、中国铝业（5.51%）、洛阳钼业（5.35%）、华 友钴业（4.87%）、中金黄金（4.43%）、包钢股份（4.29%）、赣锋锂业（3.72%）。 从沪深300金属与采矿指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比82.17%、深圳证券交易所占 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 55.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a gross margin of 16% and a net profit of 3.54 billion yuan, reflecting a 59% year-on-year growth [1] - The increase in profit is attributed to comprehensive cost reduction and efficiency improvements, along with a year-on-year increase in production of key products [1] - The company is focusing on resource development and supply security, aiming to enhance its mining capacity and create a self-controlled mineral resource supply chain [2] - The company is advancing its "Two Seas" strategy, with new projects in alumina and electrolytic aluminum contributing to its competitive edge in the industry [3] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 10.4 billion, 12.6 billion, and 14.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.7, 8.8, and 7.5 [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, alumina production reached 5.43 million tons, a 4% increase year-on-year, while electrolytic aluminum production was 1.94 million tons, up 9% year-on-year [1] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in Q1 2025 was 20,400 yuan per ton, a 7.3% increase year-on-year, while alumina averaged 3,833 yuan per ton, a 15.2% increase year-on-year [1] - The company’s revenue for 2023 was 225.3 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 222.3 billion yuan for 2025 [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase its domestic mineral rights exploration and actively participate in the competition for mineral rights in key provinces [2] - New projects include the construction of several alumina and aluminum alloy projects, as well as renewable energy initiatives, with a target of achieving a 45.5% clean energy consumption ratio in electrolytic aluminum production [3] Valuation Metrics - The report provides projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.60 yuan for 2025, with a net asset return rate of 13.6% [4] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 111.17 billion yuan, with a total share count of 17.16 billion shares [5]

证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 25 年 月 日 中国铝业（601600.SH） 25Q1 铝产品"量价齐升"增厚利润，全球铝行业龙头地位稳固 事件：公司于 2025 年 4 月 24 日披露 2025 年一季度业绩公告，实现营收 558 亿元，同比增长 14%，环比减少 12%，毛利率 16%；实现归母净利 35.4 亿元，同比增长 59%，环比增长 5%，净利率 10%。利润增加主要 系公司全方位极致降本增效及主要产品同比增产所致。 铝产品"量价齐升"增厚公司利润空间。1）量，25Q1 氧化铝产量 543 万 吨，同比+4%，环比+1%，销量 168 万吨，同比+12%，环比+6%；电 解铝产量 194 万吨，同比+9%，环比-3%，销量 190 万吨，同比+8%， 环比-5%；煤炭产量 322 万吨，同比+12%，环比-6%；外售电厂发电量 41 亿千瓦时，同比持平，环比-7%。2）价，据 SMM，25Q1 电解铝价格 为 2.04 万元/吨，同比增长 7.3%，环比减少 0.5%；25Q1 氧化铝价格为 3833 元/吨，同比增长 15.2%，环比减少 28.1% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][4][6] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 55.784 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13.95% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.538 billion RMB, up 58.78% year-on-year and up 4.56% quarter-on-quarter. High aluminum prices are expected to support stable company performance [1][4] - Despite a decline in alumina prices impacting profitability, the company managed to maintain a gross margin of 15.86% in Q1 2025, which is an increase of 0.52 percentage points year-on-year but a decrease of 1.33 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The average price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,400 RMB per ton, up 7.28% year-on-year but down 0.47% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The report anticipates that electrolytic aluminum profits will remain high, with the company positioned as a leading integrated player in the aluminum industry, which should help it navigate through market cycles [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 55.784 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13.95% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 11.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.538 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 58.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.56% [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.86%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.52 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.33 percentage points [2] Price and Demand Outlook - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in Q1 2025 was 20,400 RMB per ton, which is a 7.28% increase year-on-year but a 0.47% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The average price of alumina was 3,833 RMB per ton, up 15.16% year-on-year but down 28.09% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The report notes that while demand for electrolytic aluminum may weaken in the second and third quarters of 2025, limited supply growth is expected to support high aluminum prices [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 12.447 billion RMB, 13.867 billion RMB, and 15.080 billion RMB respectively, with adjustments reflecting a decrease of 15.43%, 11.32%, and 19.00% from previous estimates [4][10] - The target price for the company is set at 7.30 RMB, based on a 10x PE ratio for 2025, while the target price for H shares is 4.62 HKD [4][6]

2025年第二次临时股东会决议公告 股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临2025-025 中国铝业股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、会议召开和出席情况 | 1．出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 3,620 | | --- | --- | | 其中：A 股股东人数 | 3,619 | | 境外上市外资股股东人数（H 股） | 1 | | 2．出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 3,326,171,349 | | 其中：A 股股东持有股份总数 | 2,277,413,435 | | 境外上市外资股股东持有股份总数（H 股） | 1,048,757,914 | | 3．出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股份 总数的比例（%） | 28.89 | | 其中：A 股股东持股占股份总数的比例（%） | 19.78 | | 境外上市外资股股东持股占股份总数的比例（%） | 9.11 | （四）表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公 ...

股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临2025-026 中国铝业股份有限公司 第八届董事会第三十三次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 上述报告具体内容请见公司同日披露于上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn） 的《中国铝业股份有限公司2025年第一季度报告》。 议案表决情况：有权表决票数8票，同意8票，反对0票，弃权0票。 二、关于公司拟投资建设北方沿海绿色新材料项目及设立全资子公司的议案 为推进公司"两海"战略，优化氧化铝产业布局，经审议，董事会批准公司在 辽宁省大连市太平湾合作创新区新建2×150万吨/年氧化铝生产线，项目总投资预计 约人民币79.42亿元。为建设运营该项目，董事会批准公司以货币资金出资设立全资 子公司中铝（大连）铝业有限公司（暂定名，以公司登记机关最终核准的名称为 准），注册资本金为项目总投资的40%，预计约人民币31.70亿元。 同时，董事会同意授权公司董事长或董事长授权的其他人士具体负责组织上述 项目建设及设立全资子公司的一切事宜及签署一切 ...