份额方面，有色50ETF近1周份额增长9400.00万份，实现显著增长。（数据来源：Wind） 截至2025年11月27日 09:46，中证细分有色金属产业主题指数(000811)强势上涨1.33%，成分股锡业股份(000960)上涨3.60%，中孚实业(600595)上涨2.99%， 天山铝业(002532)上涨2.99%，兴业银锡(000426)，神火股份(000933)等个股跟涨。有色50ETF(159652)上涨1.37%，最新价报1.48元。拉长时间看，截至2025 年11月26日，有色50ETF近3月累计上涨19.69%。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） 流动性方面，有色50ETF盘中换手0.58%，成交1707.62万元。拉长时间看，截至11月26日，有色50ETF近1周日均成交1.62亿元。 值得一提的是，有色50ETF(159652)盘中再获资金净申购。 规模方面，有色50ETF近3月规模增长20.85亿元，实现显著增长。（数据来源：Wind） 资金流入方面，有色50ETF最新资金净流入879.11万元。拉长时间看，近5个交易日内，合计"吸金"8122.74万元，近10日净流入 ...

| 业期現日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【2011 1292号 2025 4 TIE 27 E | | | | 纪元菲 | Z0013180 | | 现货价格及主力合约基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 11月25日 | 11月24日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 华东通氧S15530工业硅 | a500 | a500 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基差(通氧SI5530基准) | 540 | 560 | -20 | -3.57% | | | 华东SI4210工业硅 | 9750 | 9750 | O | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 基差(SI4210基准) | -10 | 10 | -20 | -200.00% | | | 新疆99硅 | 8900 | 8900 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基差(新疆) | 740 | 760 | -20 | -2.63% | | | 月间价差 | | | | | | | 合约 | 11月25日 | 11月24日 | 消费 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 251 ...

Core Viewpoint - The most significant growth in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks this year is observed in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly gold, silver, copper, and aluminum, with the A-share non-ferrous sector rising 75% since 2025, leading all industries [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector has outperformed other sectors, with Hong Kong's non-ferrous sector showing even greater gains than A-shares, particularly in core leaders within copper, gold, and aluminum [1][4]. - Specific stocks such as Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum have seen substantial increases, with Zijin's H-shares rising 123% and Luoyang Molybdenum's H-shares increasing 222% [4][6]. - The top five performing sectors in the market are all related to non-ferrous metals, indicating a strong trend in this industry [1][2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply-demand dynamics are crucial, with significant supply constraints in key metals like copper due to mining accidents and geopolitical risks, leading to a tight supply situation expected to persist into 2025 [9][10]. - The demand for non-ferrous metals is driven by the growth of the global economy, technological advancements, and the increasing need for resources in industries such as electric vehicles and renewable energy [10][11]. - Projections indicate a substantial copper deficit by 2030, with estimates ranging from 200,000 to 400,000 tons, highlighting the ongoing supply challenges [11][12]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The non-ferrous metals industry is expected to remain in a favorable economic cycle for the next few years, supported by a tight supply-demand balance [13][14]. - The U.S. has recognized the importance of non-ferrous metals for its energy transition and high-end manufacturing, leading to increased domestic production efforts and strategic resource accumulation [13][14]. - The overall trend suggests that non-ferrous metal resources will continue to see both volume and price increases in the future [14][27]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investment focus should be on leading companies with strong resource reserves, scale, and integrated supply chains, such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Hongqiao [26][27]. - Companies involved in lithium and cobalt, which are closely tied to battery production, as well as those benefiting from the demand for copper and aluminum in energy storage and AI infrastructure, are also recommended for investment [26][27]. - The market sentiment remains positive for the non-ferrous metals sector, with significant inflows of capital despite recent market adjustments [25][26].

新京报贝壳财经讯 11月26日，天山铝业公告，公司140万吨电解铝绿色低碳能效提升项目首批电解槽已 正式通电启槽。该项目采用全石墨化阴极炭块和新式节能阴极结构技术，旨在提升公司电解铝产能的绿 色低碳水平。项目完工后，公司电解铝产量将达到合规批复产能140万吨/年，铝液综合交流电耗将处于 行业领先水平。项目将依托外部绿色电力作为能源保障，完全建成后公司绿电占比将进一步提升，强化 公司在电力成本方面的竞争优势，加速电解铝主业绿色化转型。 ...

晨会纪要（2025/11/26） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.11.26） 行业研究 美国 9 月非农超预期，广期所调整碳酸锂合约规则——金属行业周报 张珂（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150523120001） 投资要点： 美国 9 月非农超预期，广期所调整碳酸锂合约规则——金属行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 5 晨会纪要（2025/11/26） 行业研究 1、行业情况及产品价格走势初判 （1）钢铁：需求淡季逐步深入，钢材基本面压力将逐步增加，未来供需双弱预期下，短期钢价或低位震荡 运行。 （2）铜：海外大型矿山事故扰动导致矿端供应持续偏紧，在铜价下方形成支撑。我国废铜进口量较大，如 果欧盟限制出口，明年我国铜原料供应或趋于紧张；另外关注后续 Antofagasta 与中国和日本冶炼厂的年度 长单谈判结果。 （3）铝：12 月美联储降息预期走弱，国内淡季需求也对价格缺乏支撑，短期铝价或 ...

Group 1 - Aolide plans to raise no more than 300 million yuan through a simplified procedure for issuing shares to specific targets, with net proceeds allocated to the production base project for OLED display core materials and to supplement working capital [1] - Wanbang's subsidiary has obtained a 10-year exclusive agency for sildenafil oral suspension, which is suitable for patients with swallowing difficulties [2] - Titan Technology and its affiliate plan to jointly invest in increasing capital for its subsidiary, Micro Detection, raising its registered capital from 10 million yuan to 50 million yuan [3] Group 2 - Jindike will not issue new batches of quadrivalent influenza virus split vaccine this year, having produced approximately 1.56 million doses [4] - Aladdin intends to purchase 35% equity of Youke for 61.25 million yuan, funded by its own or raised capital [5] - Gujia Home's application for a private placement of A-shares has been approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [7] Group 3 - Honghe Technology's application for a private placement of A-shares has been approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [9] - Guangdian Yuntong has won contracts totaling 308 million yuan for the construction of an artificial intelligence application pilot base [10] - Shanghai Mechanical plans to repurchase B-shares worth no more than 278 million yuan [11] Group 4 - Weiling Co. is planning a change of control, with shares representing 7.76% of the total being transferred [14] - Jiugang Hongxing intends to invest 200 million yuan to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary focusing on high-quality special steel materials [16] - Zhongjian Technology has submitted an application for H-share listing [17] Group 5 - Sainuo Medical has received registration approval for its coronary product in Pakistan [18] - Huafeng Aluminum plans to acquire 100% equity of Huafeng Puen for 100 million yuan [20] - Fuda Co. intends to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary with an investment of 30 million yuan [22] Group 6 - Su Yan Jingshen's application for a private placement of shares has been approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [24] - Zhongchuang Co. has set the inquiry transfer price at 25.75 yuan per share [25] - Jinpu Garden has had a lawsuit involving 26.557 million yuan accepted by the court [29] Group 7 - ICBC has approved the appointment of Zhao Guid as vice president [30] - Betta Pharmaceuticals has had its drug registration application for ensartinib accepted [32] - Times New Materials plans to invest 6 million euros to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Serbia [34] Group 8 - China State Construction has appointed Chen Yong as vice president [36] - Dayang Electric plans to invest 10 million yuan to establish an industrial fund [38] - Advanced Digital has appointed Liu Zhigang as deputy general manager [39] Group 9 - Tianqi Co. plans to transfer 7% equity of Youqi Intelligent for 130 million yuan [40] - Xinguo has submitted an application for H-share issuance and listing [42] - Jinhongshun's shareholder has terminated a share reduction plan [43] Group 10 - Wanrun Co.'s actual controller plans to increase shareholding between 365 million yuan and 730 million yuan [44] - Suzhou High-tech plans to sell 47% equity of its medical device subsidiary for 604 million yuan [45] - Huayou Cobalt's subsidiary has signed a product supply agreement with Yiwei Lithium Energy for approximately 127,800 tons of materials [47] Group 11 - China Communications has won 10 important projects totaling approximately 2.539 billion yuan [49] - Nopushin plans to raise no more than 1.45 billion yuan through a private placement [50] - Yun Aluminum plans to acquire minority stakes in three subsidiaries for a total of 2.267 billion yuan [51] Group 12 - Xiamen Tungsten plans to establish a 500 million yuan merger fund with multiple parties [52] - Aotewei has signed a contract worth approximately 700 million yuan [54] - Hemai Co.'s shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [56]

l投资要点 贵金属：坚定持有，等待下一轮主升浪。贵金属本周继续震荡，波动有所下降但仍在下降区间。之前我 们提示，沪金沪银波动率过高，高波下或迎来调整，耐心等待买入时机，建议在3950美元/盎司左右继 续做多黄金。总体来看，由于前期涨速太快，贵金属可能迎来2-3个月的震荡区间。长期来看，去美元 化的进程不会转向，低位筹码建议无惧波动，坚定持有。 铜：供给扰动有望提升价格中枢，调整即为买点。本周铜价呈现震荡局面，LME铜下跌。10月以来， 由于铜价前上涨速度过快，以及中美顺利会谈后出现一定的多头兑现，叠加淡季出现一定程度的累库导 致价格开始高位震荡。但综合来看，由于自由港和泰克资源26年产量预期的下调，26年预计铜会出现供 需紧张的局面，同时美政府开门对其26年的财政支出存在进一步强化的预期，我们认为调整即为买点， 建议逢低做多。 中邮证券近日发布有色金属行业报告：本周碳酸锂价格大幅波动，主要由于期货市场交易过热，价格涨 速过快，叠加广期所调整交易手续费及限额，市场快速降温。现货市场，下游企业表现得十分谨慎，多 持观望态度，仅以刚性需求进行小规模采购。 以下为研究报告摘要： 铝：旺季尾声，供给端刚性支撑价格中枢。 ...

11月25日，美联储降息预期再升温，金铜集体上涨、强势反弹，有色板块回暖。截至13:26，有色50ETF（159652）放量涨超2%，有望终结三连 阴。 | 序号 | 什么样 | 名标 | 派跌幅 | 估算权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601899 | 三是非新 | 1.82% | 15.50% | | 2 | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 0.49% | 6.21% | | 3 | 603993 | 洛阳領収 | 3.84% | 5.84% | | ব | 601600 | 中国铝业 | 0.00% | 4.50% | | 5 | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 3.71% | 4.43% | | 6 | 002460 | 綜修伊小 | 1.96% | 3.65% | | 1 | 600489 | #### | 4.34% | 3.37% | | 8 | 600547 | 山东黄金 | 2.28% | 3.36% | | ਰੇ | 002466 | 天齐锂业 | 2.05% | 2.86% | | 10 | 6009888 | 赤峰黄金 | 2. ...

【贵金属】 隔夜贵金属上涨。随着多位美联储官员表态主张12月降息，利率市场隐含降息概率升至80%。 俄乌 相关方围绕美方提出的和平计划展开讨论和博弈。市场不确定性依然较强,贵金属高位震荡等待方 向性突破。 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 【铜】 综合晨报 国投期货研究院 隔夜铜价震荡，伦铜尾盘随贵金属走高，另一联储官员表达侧重就业的降息态度，两市铜价暂时在 MA40日均线存在韧性支撑。国内铜精矿加工费长单谈判备受关注。交割换月后,沪粤延续升水,分 别在85、125元，倾向国内现货端有一定看涨情绪，货源较集中。SMM社库减少1.39万吨在18.06万 吨。前期少量高位空单被动止盈位置从8.7万下调到8.65万。 【铝】 (原油) 隔夜国际油价反弹,布伦特01合约涨1.41%。俄乌地缘风险再次陷入制裁现实与和谈预期的纠葛, 一方面上周五美国对俄两油制裁正式生效,印度炼厂进一步规避俄油采购的行为已经发生,另一方 面本周四最后期限前美鸟就和平计划的谈判仍有不确定性。供需方面四季度、明年一季度市场仍面 临更大的累库预期,油价下行驱动仍在,本周重点关注俄乌和平方案谈判进展及委内地缘风险的犹 动。 ...

以下为研究报告摘要： 华源证券近日发布有色金属大宗金属周报：本周伦铜/沪铜/美铜涨跌幅分别为-1.38%/-1.43%/-1.07%。宏 观方面，美联储内部对12月是否降息的分歧日益加剧，本周美国9月非农数据超预期，美联储12月降息 概率降低，铜价承压回落。 锂：碳酸锂供需迎来反转，锂价进入新周期。本周碳酸锂价格上涨8.40%至9.23万元/吨，锂辉石精矿上 涨8.25%至1089美元/吨。本周碳酸锂期货主力合约2601上涨4.19%至9.10万元/吨。供给端，本周碳酸锂 产量2.21万吨，环比增加2.7%。SMM周度库存11.84万吨，环比减少1.7%。自国庆节后以来，广期所碳 酸锂仓单持续注销，反映出碳酸锂货源偏紧，下游需求较好的"强现实"，碳酸锂实现连续14周去库。磷 酸铁锂10月产量39.4万吨，同比增长51%，环比增长11%。锂电需求超预期，锂盐库存持续去化，碳酸 锂供需迎来反转，锂价有望进入由需求驱动的新周期，锂板块公司有望迎来利润拐点。我们建议关注锂 资源自给率较高且具备第二增长曲线的标的：雅化集团（锂+民爆）、中矿资源（锂+小金属+铜）、大 中矿业（铁矿+锂）、赣锋锂业（锂+储能+固态电池）、 ...