2026年伊始，全球低碳治理格局迎来标志性节点。欧盟碳边境调节机制（CBAM）正式全面实施，海南 自贸港同步启动全岛封关运作。国内外绿色规则的双向演进，正深刻重塑产业竞争格局与资本流动方 向。与此同时，中国ESG投资生态走向成熟，如何从被动筛选走向主动进行价值发现与创造，成为市场 参与各方共同关注的议题。 中国证券报记者日前专访了中国银河证券国际ESG中心主任、首席ESG分析师马宗明，围绕CBAM落地 影响、自贸港机遇、ESG尽责管理中的痛点以及新规则下的投资策略等热点，进行了深入解读。 规则演进加速产业与估值重构 欧盟CBAM的落地，被视为影响全球贸易流动的"绿色阀门"。马宗明认为，该机制覆盖了水泥、钢铁、 铝等六大行业，对这些行业的"走出去"中国企业而言，短期内增加了合规成本与负担。尽管允许用本国 已缴纳的碳价进行抵扣，但中欧碳价存在显著差距，将对企业构成实质性成本压力。更重要的是， CBAM规则倒逼出口企业建立自身碳核算体系，并加速供应链的绿色重构。 此外，在马宗明看来，近期市场上出现的"ESG增强型指数"等工具，标志着国内ESG投资正从被动的风 险规避转向主动的价值影响。"这向企业发出了明确信号：良好 ...

● 本报记者 刘英杰 2026年伊始，全球低碳治理格局迎来标志性节点。欧盟碳边境调节机制（CBAM）正式全面实施，海南 自贸港同步启动全岛封关运作。国内外绿色规则的双向演进，正深刻重塑产业竞争格局与资本流动方 向。与此同时，中国ESG投资生态走向成熟，如何从被动筛选走向主动进行价值发现与创造，成为市场 参与各方共同关注的议题。 中国证券报记者日前专访了中国银河证券国际ESG中心主任、首席ESG分析师马宗明，围绕CBAM落地 影响、自贸港机遇、ESG尽责管理中的痛点以及新规则下的投资策略等热点，进行了深入解读。 规则演进加速产业与估值重构 欧盟CBAM的落地，被视为影响全球贸易流动的"绿色阀门"。马宗明认为，该机制覆盖了水泥、钢铁、 铝等六大行业，对这些行业的"走出去"中国企业而言，短期内增加了合规成本与负担。尽管允许用本国 已缴纳的碳价进行抵扣，但中欧碳价存在显著差距，将对企业构成实质性成本压力。更重要的是， CBAM规则倒逼出口企业建立自身碳核算体系，并加速供应链的绿色重构。 "影响是可控的，但行业转型趋势是明确的。"马宗明认为，一方面，CBAM目前主要针对大中型企业， 且有年度豁免门槛；另一方面，中国在C ...

证券日报网1月22日讯 ，亚太科技（002540）在接受调研者提问时表示，公司长期以来保持按客户订单 来组织生产的模式和执行"铝锭价格+加工费"的产品销售定价原则。其中，铝锭价格一般参照结算月上 海长江有色金属现货交易所A00铝锭现货交易高价与低价的月度平均价确定，该模式可适当转移铝价波 动影响；同时，公司会根据需要适时开展铝期货的套期业务，并通过采取合理安排铝锭采购时间等措施 更好匹配铝锭采购价格与客户订单结算价格，以减少原材料价格波动对公司业绩的不确定影响，保障公 司经营的平稳性。 ...

（编辑 姚尧） 证券日报网1月22日讯 ，亚太科技在接受调研者提问时表示，截至2025年半年度末，公司年产10万吨绿 电高端铝基材料项目厂房竣工验收工作有序推进中，部分生产线已完成设备安装并进入投产调试阶段， 其余生产线的设备采购、安装调试等工作按计划推进中。 ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2026/01/22 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2026/01/15 -75 6157 180543 162717 -1800.78 -144.30 38.0 41.0 37.60 141125 50100 2026/01/16 -355 6005 213515 160417 -1695.41 -130.54 32.0 36.0 61.52 143575 49575 2026/01/19 -340 5424 213515 152655 -1653.61 29.24 28.0 27.0 67.55 147425 48550 2026/01/20 -365 5109 213515 148193 -1773.40 -160.48 26.0 25.0 101.84 156300 47800 2026/01/21 -350 5002 213515 145581 -1047.36 -10.15 22.0 22.0 -29.1 ...

行业 铝日报 日期 2026 年 1 月 22 日 有色金属研究团队 研究员:张平 021-60635734 zhangpin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015713 研究员：彭婧霖 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 研究员：余菲菲 021-60635729 yufeifei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3025190 请阅读正文后的声明 - 3 - 铝观点： 隔夜欧美股市重挫导致市场避险情绪升温，铝价一度走弱最低下泄至 23660 元/吨，但国内白天时段市场情绪仍较为亢奋，铝价重新拉回至 2.4 万上方，主力 2603 报收于 24155，涨幅 0.56%，总持仓增加 1.5 万手至 71.4 万手。铝价调整带 动下游整体采购情绪有所回暖，但整体保持谨慎，现货升贴水预计持续承压，日 内华东贴水-150，中原贴水-250，华南贴水-115。海内外矿价延 ...

产业期现日报 厅 广发期货 投资次拍业名资格-证监咨可 【2011】1202号 2026年1月22日 | *业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 技资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2026年1月22日 | | | | 纪元菲 | 20013180 | | 现货价格及主力合约基差 | | | | | | | 品科 | 1月21日 | 1月20日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 华东通氧SI5530工业硅 | 9250 | 9250 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基差(通氧SI5530基准) | 470 | 505 | -35 | -6.93% | | | 华东SI4210工业硅 | a650 | a650 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 基差(SI4210基准) | 70 | 105 | -35 | -33.33% | | | 新疆99硅 | 8700 | 8700 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 基差(新疆) | 720 | 755 | -32 | -4.64% | | | 月间价差 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Bullish: Palm oil, soybean oil [1] - Bearish: Industrial silicon [1] - Neutral: Most other industries are rated as "oscillating" [1] Core Views of the Report - Policy aims to achieve a "slow bull" in the stock market, with short - term oscillations in the stock index and long - term opportunities for long - position layout. Asset shortage and weak economy benefit bond futures, but short - term interest rate risks are signaled by the central bank [1]. - Different metals and commodities have various trends. For example, copper prices are in high - level oscillations, aluminum prices are falling from high levels, and nickel prices are in high - level oscillations with supply concerns and inventory constraints [1]. - Precious metals are supported by geopolitical and trade tensions, but the suspension of key - mineral tariff hikes by the US may cause price fluctuations. Platinum and palladium are expected to have wide - range oscillations in the short term, and a long - term strategy of buying platinum and shorting palladium can be considered [1]. - In the agricultural and energy - chemical sectors, different products are affected by factors such as supply - demand relationships, policies, and international situations, resulting in different price trends and investment strategies [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro Finance - Stock index: Policy cools market speculation, with short - term oscillations and long - term opportunities for long - position layout [1] - Bond futures: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial, but short - term interest rate risks are signaled by the central bank, and the Japanese central bank's interest - rate decision should be monitored [1] Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: Downstream demand is under pressure, and with the suspension of key - mineral tariffs by the US, short - term copper - hoarding concerns are alleviated, and prices are in high - level oscillations [1] - Aluminum: Limited industrial drivers and weakening macro sentiment lead to aluminum prices falling from high levels [1] - Alumina: Supply exceeds demand in the domestic market, and prices are under pressure, but they are near the cost line and expected to oscillate [1] - Zinc: The cost center is stable, but inventory pressure is evident, and prices fluctuate within a range due to repeated macro sentiment [1] - Nickel: The 2026 RKAB target of Indonesian nickel ore is about 260 million wet tons, but the supply is still tight. Global nickel inventory accumulation may restrict price increases, and short - term prices are in high - level oscillations. Short - term long - position trading on dips is recommended, but over - chasing highs should be avoided [1] - Stainless steel: The price of raw - material nickel iron is rising, social inventory is slightly decreasing, and steel - mill production in January is increasing. Futures prices are in high - level oscillations, and short - term long - position trading on dips is recommended [1] - Tin: Short - term macro sentiment is repeated, and prices have corrected. However, due to the fragile supply of tin ore, there is still upward momentum, and low - buying opportunities should be monitored [1] Precious Metals and New Energy - Gold and silver: Geopolitical and trade tensions boost prices, and they are expected to be strong in the short term, but price fluctuations may be intense due to the suspension of key - mineral tariff hikes by the US [1] - Platinum and palladium: Geopolitical and trade tensions support prices, but the suspension of key - mineral tariff hikes by the US may suppress price drivers. Short - term wide - range oscillations are expected, and a long - term strategy of buying platinum and shorting palladium can be considered [1] Industrial and Building Materials - Industrial silicon: Production increases in the northwest and decreases in the southwest, and the planned production of polysilicon and organic silicon in December decreases [1] - Polysilicon: It is in the off - season for new energy vehicles, but energy - storage demand is strong, and there is a battery export rush with a large increase in price [1] - Lithium carbonate: Expectations are strong, but the spot market is weak, and the upward momentum is insufficient [1] - Rebar and hot - rolled coil: High production and inventory suppress price increases, and the transmission of futures price increases to the spot market is not smooth. Unilateral long positions should be closed, and cash - and - carry arbitrage can be considered [1] - Iron ore: There is obvious upward pressure, and chasing highs is not recommended [1] - Coke and coking coal: If the "capacity reduction" expectation continues to ferment, there may be room for price increases, but the actual increase is difficult to judge, and large fluctuations after a significant increase require caution [1] - Glass: Short - term market sentiment is warming, and supply - demand provides support, but medium - term supply exceeds demand, and prices are under pressure [1] - Soda ash: It follows glass prices, and medium - term supply - demand is looser, with prices under pressure [1] Agricultural Products - Palm oil: The purchasing rhythm of major consuming countries is starting, production areas are expected to reduce production and inventory, and with the possibility of biodiesel themes fermenting, prices are expected to oscillate strongly [1] - Soybean oil: It has a strong fundamental situation, and long - position allocation in oils is recommended, and a strategy of buying soybean oil and shorting other oils can be considered [1] - Rapeseed oil: Tariff - adjustment expectations for Canadian rapeseed and customs - clearance expectations for Australian rapeseed are bearish, but it is difficult to decline smoothly, and it is recommended to wait and see due to large recent price fluctuations [1] - Cotton: There is strong domestic new - crop production expectation, but the purchase price of seed cotton supports the cost of lint. Downstream operation rates are low, but yarn - mill inventory is not high, and there is rigid restocking demand. Future factors such as the central government's No.1 Document in the first quarter of next year, planting - area intentions, weather during the planting period, and peak - season demand should be monitored [1] - Sugar: There is a global surplus and an increase in domestic new - crop supply, and there is a consensus among short - sellers. If prices continue to fall, there is strong cost support, but there is a lack of continuous short - term fundamental drivers, and changes in the capital side should be monitored [1] - Corn: The grain - selling progress in Northeast China is fast, port inventory is low, and there is restocking demand before the festival. Short - term spot prices are firm, and futures prices are expected to oscillate within a range [1] - Soybeans: As the Brazilian harvest progresses, the CNF premium reflects the selling pressure of a bumper harvest. Dry weather in Argentina should be monitored, and short - term prices are expected to oscillate weakly [1] - Pulp: Affected by the decline in the commodity macro - environment, prices have fallen but remain within the oscillation range. Due to large short - term commodity - sentiment fluctuations, it is recommended to wait and see cautiously [1] - Logs: Spot prices have shown signs of bottom - rebounding, and the further decline in futures prices is limited. However, the January overseas offer has slightly decreased, and there is a lack of upward - driving factors, with prices expected to oscillate between 760 - 790 yuan/m³ [1] - Hogs: Spot prices are gradually stabilizing, demand provides support, and production capacity still needs to be further released [1] Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil: OPEC+ has suspended production increases until the end of 2026, the uncertainty of the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement, and US sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports affect prices [1] - Fuel oil: Short - term supply - demand contradictions are not prominent and follow crude - oil prices. The "14th Five - Year Plan" rush - work demand is likely to be falsified, and the supply of Marey crude oil is sufficient, with high asphalt profits [1] - Shanghai rubber: Raw - material cost support is strong, the futures - spot price difference has rebounded significantly, and mid - stream inventory has increased significantly [1] - BR rubber: There is a phased correction, high - price spot transactions are blocked, the cost of butadiene has strong bottom - support, overseas cracking - unit production capacity is cleared, and the domestic market is expected to benefit in the long term. The market will return to fundamental - driven in the short term [1] - PTA: The PX market has risen rapidly, and the market is expected to tighten in 2026. Domestic PTA maintains high - level operation, and the high gasoline spread supports aromatics [1] - Ethylene glycol: Two sets of MEG plants in Taiwan, China, plan to shut down next month. Prices have rebounded rapidly due to supply - side news, and downstream polyester operation rates are above 90% [1] - Short - fiber: Prices continue to closely follow cost fluctuations [1] - Styrene: The supply - demand fundamentals have improved, futures prices have rebounded rapidly, the Asian market has stabilized, and the price difference between styrene and benzene has widened, with inventory being depleted [1] - Urea: Export sentiment has eased, there is limited upward space due to insufficient domestic demand, and there is support from anti - involution and cost [1] - PVC: Global production is expected to be low in 2026, but the current fundamentals are poor. The cancellation of export tax - rebates may lead to a rush to export, and differential electricity prices in the northwest may force out inefficient production capacity [1] - LPG: The February CP is expected to rise, the cost of imported gas is strongly supported, the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East has cooled, inventory is being depleted, domestic PDH maintains high - level operation but is in deep loss, and the heating market is expected to start [1] Others - Container shipping on the European route: It is expected to peak in mid - January, pre - festival restocking demand still exists, and airlines are still cautious in their trial re - flights [1]

1月20日晚，中孚实业发布2025年年度业绩预增公告称，公司预计2025年归母净利润15.5亿元至17亿 元，同比增长120.27%-141.59%；扣非净利润预计15.2亿元至16.7亿元，同比增长156.32%-181.61%。 对于业绩增长的主要原因，中孚实业表示，公司以"绿色化、数字化、智能化"为方向，持续开展降本增 盈和管理提升等相关工作。公司本期业绩增长主要系电解铝业务成本下降及销售价格上涨影响。（王 珞） 转自：中国证券报·中证网 ...

来源：中国能源网 华鑫证券近日发布有色金属行业周报：数据方面，美国12月CPI同比2.7%，前值2.7%，预期美国11月零 售销售环比0.6%，前值-0.1%，预期11月PPI同比3%，前值2.7%，预期2.7%。美国1月10首次申请失业救 济人数19.8万人，前值20.8万人，预期万人。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 贵金属：1 上行动力较足 价格方面，周内伦敦黄金价格为4611.05美元/盎司，环比9日+117.20美元/盎司，涨幅为 90.80美元/盎司，环比1月9日+12.66 铜、铝：铜铝高位盘整，下游需求有所修复 国内宏观：中国12月进口同比(按美元计)前值月出口同比(按美元计)前值5.9%。 铜：价格方面，本周LME铜收盘价12925美元/吨，环比日-65美元/吨，跌幅为-0.50%。SHFE铜收盘价 100590环比1月9日-620元/吨，跌幅为-0.61%。库存方面，LME为143575吨（环比1月9日+4600吨，同 比-116675COMEX库存为542914吨（环比1月9日+24915+447415吨）；SHFE库存为213515吨（环比1月9 吨）。2026年1月15日，SMM统计 ...