Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong cement sector is experiencing a significant rise, led by a nearly 19% increase in shares of China Shanshui Cement, driven by a slight uptick in national cement prices due to seasonal demand recovery and proactive pricing strategies from cement companies [1]. Industry Summary - This week, national cement prices have slightly increased, attributed to the traditional peak season and higher pricing enthusiasm from cement companies [1]. - Market demand has shown some recovery, although it remains weaker compared to the same period last year [1]. - Some clinker production lines are still idled, which has not yet pressured the clinker inventory of companies [1]. - Looking ahead, demand is expected to continue growing during the "Golden September and Silver October" period, but the increase is anticipated to be limited due to a weak end-market [1]. - The upcoming winter is expected to bring extended periods of production halts, and with marginal improvements in current demand, cement companies are likely to continue pushing for price increases [1]. - There is an expectation of rising coal prices, which will further support cement prices [1]. Company Summary - China Shanshui Cement saw a significant price increase of 18.89%, reaching 1.070 [1]. - Other companies such as China Tianrui Cement, Anhui Conch Cement, and China National Building Material also experienced modest gains of 1.45%, 1.22%, and 1.10% respectively [1]. - The stock performance of various cement companies indicates a positive market sentiment, with several companies showing around 1% increase in their stock prices [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the construction materials industry, indicating a recovery in the consumption segment and a price increase cycle for fiberglass products [1][5][7]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is showing signs of recovery, with the fundamentals entering a positive phase, particularly in real estate sales and construction starts [1][20][21]. - A price increase cycle for fiberglass products is anticipated, driven by supply-demand dynamics and market conditions [2][6][7]. - The cement industry is entering a peak season with price increases observed in various regions, supported by policy measures aimed at limiting overproduction [4][27][28]. Summary by Sections Construction Materials - The consumption construction materials sector is stabilizing, with expectations of improved revenue performance starting in Q3 2025 due to lower revenue baselines and reduced price competition [1][20][21]. - Companies like Hanhigh Group and Sankeshu are already showing growth, with expectations for Dongfang Yuhong to follow suit [1][15]. Fiberglass - The fiberglass market is experiencing a price increase cycle, with major companies discussing price hikes for various products, including low dielectric fabrics [2][6]. - The supply-demand balance is shifting positively, with larger manufacturers maintaining good inventory control while smaller producers are adjusting prices upward [6][7]. Cement - The cement market is witnessing a slight price increase, with specific regions like Jiangsu and Anhui implementing price hikes [4][27]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the cement sector due to policy support and overseas expansion opportunities [27][28]. Investment Recommendations - Companies such as China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Feilihua are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential in the fiberglass and construction materials sectors [10][12][18]. - Huaxin Cement is noted for its overseas expansion and profitability, particularly from its Nigerian operations, which are expected to contribute significantly to future earnings [31][33].

Group 1 - Cement stocks mostly rose, with Dongwu Cement up 7.92% to HKD 4.77, Western Cement up 5.56% to HKD 2.85, China National Building Material up 3% to HKD 5.5, and Conch Cement up 0.62% to HKD 22.68 [1] - On September 5, major clinker line enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta began staggered production for 12 days, alleviating inventory pressure and leading to strong price increase intentions among manufacturers due to severe losses [1] - From September 17-18, some leading enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta announced a price increase of HKD 30 per ton for cement and clinker, with others expected to follow suit shortly [1] Group 2 - According to CICC, the national cement shipment rate in August 2025 averaged 45.2%, down from 48.8% in the same month last year, with a year-on-year decrease in cement production of 6.2% to 148 million tons [2] - The average cement price in September was HKD 338 per ton, reflecting a slight increase of HKD 2 per ton from the previous month, with estimated gross profit per ton for cement enterprises at HKD 58, up HKD 3 from the previous month [2] - The industry is expected to see marginal improvements in demand as it enters the peak season, along with price increases that could drive prices higher [2]

Group 1 - Cement stocks have rebounded after a continuous decline, with Dongwu Cement rising over 8%, Western Cement up over 5%, China National Building Material increasing over 3%, and Asia Cement up over 2% [1] - According to a report from China Galaxy Securities, cement demand remains weak in August due to seasonal factors, high temperatures, and rainy weather affecting downstream construction, leading to a decrease in operating load of cement mills [1] - The average price of cement in August was 271.67 yuan per ton, showing a month-on-month decline [1] Group 2 - The clinker inventory has shifted from an increase to a decrease, but the issue of oversupply in the industry still exists [1] - Looking ahead, demand is expected to seasonally improve from September to November, combined with accelerated capacity reduction in the industry, which may help ease supply and demand pressures and support cement prices [1]

Group 1 - The cement stocks in Hong Kong experienced a collective decline, with Dongwu Cement falling over 12%, the weakest performer [1] - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the national cement production in August was 14.802 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2% [1] - From January to August, the national cement production totaled 110.457 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 4.8% [1] Group 2 - Data indicates that the total cement production for the first eight months of 2024 was 115.907 million tons, resulting in a reduction of 5.450 million tons compared to the same period last year, a decrease of 4.7% [1] - CICC's report states that the average cement shipment rate in August 2025 is projected to be 45.2%, down from 48.8% in the same month last year [1] - The single-month cement production in August saw a year-on-year decline of 6.2%, amounting to 14.8 million tons, indicating continued weak demand during the off-season [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a successful turnaround in performance, achieving a net profit of 1.36 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, compared to a loss of 2.018 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [2][5]. - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 83.28 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year [2][5]. - The new materials segment showed promising growth, with revenue of 26.8 billion yuan, up 13.6% year-on-year, primarily driven by increased sales of fiberglass blades [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 83.28 billion yuan in 2025H1, a decrease of 0.2% compared to 2024H1. The net profit was 1.36 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 167% year-on-year [2][5]. - The cement segment saw a total sales volume of 97.78 million tons, down 14% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 250 yuan per ton, which is an increase of 9 yuan per ton [7]. - The new materials segment reported fiberglass sales of 2.03 million tons, a growth of 1% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 4,547 yuan per ton, up 12.3% [7]. Segment Analysis - The new materials division contributed significantly to the company's performance, with a net profit contribution of 1.98 billion yuan [6]. - The engineering technology services segment generated revenue of 21.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with a net profit contribution of 700 million yuan [6]. - The basic building materials segment faced challenges, with revenue declining by 8.8% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved to 16.6% due to lower coal prices [10]. Future Outlook - The company expects earnings of 3.7 billion yuan and 4.7 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 11 and 8 [8]. - The company is undergoing a valuation restructuring, aiming to enhance its growth attributes and improve its profit margins as it optimizes its product structure [10].

Core Insights - Jixi is emerging as a significant player in the global new materials industry, particularly in graphite production, due to its unique resource advantages and innovative efforts [1][4] Group 1: Resource and Industry Structure - Jixi, known as "China's Graphite Capital," has proven reserves of nearly 1 billion tons of graphite, with over 50% being large flake crystalline graphite, providing a solid foundation for its graphite industry [1] - The city has developed a complete and mature graphite industry system, with 66 graphite enterprises covering the entire supply chain from mining to deep processing, producing over 300 specifications across 28 categories [1] - Jixi's annual ore processing capacity reaches 8.3 million tons, with deep processing capacity at 666,000 tons, supported by leading companies like China National Building Material and Betterway [1] Group 2: Innovation and Technology - Innovation is the core driving force behind Jixi's graphite industry development, with the establishment of a national-level graphite industry technology innovation strategic alliance [2] - The city hosts 26 high-tech graphite enterprises and has built 13 national and provincial innovation platforms, achieving breakthroughs in key technologies such as large-diameter artificial single crystals and high-quality graphene [2] - The industrialization of supercharged natural graphite anode materials has made significant progress, opening new pathways for Jixi in the renewable energy sector [2] Group 3: Infrastructure and Standards - Jixi is focusing on building specialized graphite industrial parks, enhancing infrastructure such as wastewater treatment plants and standardized factories, with a daily wastewater treatment capacity of 16,000 tons [3] - The city has a national-level graphite product quality inspection center, certified to test 118 product types and 1,085 parameters, ensuring comprehensive quality assurance for graphite products [3] - Jixi has taken the lead in formulating and revising multiple national and industry standards, enhancing its influence in the standardization of the graphite industry [3] Group 4: Future Goals and Market Expansion - Jixi aims to become the largest natural graphite deep processing base in China, striving for a scale of 10 billion yuan in the graphite industry [4] - The recent China International New Materials Expo serves as a crucial platform for Jixi to showcase its latest achievements and technologies, facilitating international market expansion and collaboration [4] - The city is poised to enhance its global influence in the new materials industry, contributing significantly to China's new materials sector [4]

Group 1 - Cement stocks in Hong Kong have seen a rise, with China Tianrui Cement up over 4%, Huaxin Cement up 3.8%, and Dongwu Cement and China National Building Material both rising nearly 2% [1] - The market is entering a traditional sales peak starting in September, with recent price increases for cement in the Pearl River Delta region [1] - After several rounds of price increases in the first quarter, cement prices in the Pearl River Delta experienced a continuous decline towards the end of the second quarter, but are expected to rebound as demand increases in the upcoming sales season [1] Group 2 - The expected cement prices in the fourth quarter are anticipated to be higher than the same period last year, supported by reduced external competition due to the approaching dry season in the Guangxi region [1] - The current price situation indicates a potential bottoming out of cement prices in the Pearl River Delta, with a positive outlook for recovery [1]

Core Viewpoint - The construction of "good houses" is recognized as a new direction for the building materials industry, emphasizing the importance of high-quality materials, standards, and services in housing development [1][4]. Group 1: Building Materials Industry Development - The implementation of the "Residential Project Specification" on May 1 supports high-quality development in residential projects [1]. - The Chinese government has proposed to enhance the entire chain of housing design, construction, maintenance, and service levels, promoting the construction of safe, comfortable, green, and smart "good houses" [1]. - The building materials industry in China has developed a comprehensive system covering over 30 sub-industries and more than 1,000 products, with a focus on advanced materials such as energy-saving, functional, and intelligent materials [1][2]. Group 2: Trends in Energy-Saving Materials - Key trends in energy-saving materials include high performance, such as aerogel glass with superior insulation and soundproofing properties, and composite materials like graphene heating materials that combine multiple functions [2]. - The development of biomass materials, which utilize natural materials like bamboo and wood, is also gaining traction [2]. - The core factor for the promotion of new energy-saving materials is the high adaptability of performance to cost [2]. Group 3: New Materials Industry Growth - The output value of China's new materials industry has increased from 1 trillion yuan in 2012 to 6.8 trillion yuan in 2022, with expectations to reach 10 trillion yuan this year [3]. - The new materials sector is transitioning from a focus on solving basic availability issues to meeting major national strategic needs and enhancing international competitiveness [3]. - Future developments will focus on strategic and future industry demands, including advanced basic materials and innovative functional materials [3]. Group 4: Transformations in Material Development - The development of new materials is undergoing three transformations: changes in research paradigms, performance requirements, and preparation scenarios [3]. - The integration of artificial intelligence in material design and research is shifting the paradigm from data-driven to AI-driven approaches [3]. - New manufacturing systems and extreme manufacturing requirements are redefining material preparation and performance expectations [3].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that China National Building Material (03323) achieved a net profit of 1.36 billion RMB in the first half of the year, a significant recovery from a loss of 2.02 billion RMB in the same period last year, indicating a strong performance driven by better-than-expected profits in new materials and cement businesses [1] Financial Performance - The company's recurring net profit, excluding one-off factors, reached 1.29 billion RMB, compared to a recurring loss of 1.55 billion RMB in the previous year [1] - The performance exceeded both Goldman Sachs' and market expectations [1] Dividend Policy - Similar to the previous year, the company did not declare an interim dividend [1] Analyst Rating - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, raising the target price from 4.4 HKD to 6.7 HKD [1]