Core Insights - The report from the China Index Academy indicates that the delivery scale of real estate companies in the first half of 2025 has peaked and is on a downward trend, with pressures on delivery easing in the industry [1][7]. Delivery Scale Rankings - In the first half of 2025, the top real estate company delivered over 50,000 units, with 15 companies delivering more than 10,000 units each [1]. - The delivery numbers for major companies have generally decreased compared to the same period last year, with companies like Greenland, Sunac, and Jianye experiencing declines of over 50% [1]. Company Performance - The report highlights that delivery capability has become a core competitive advantage for real estate companies, with some firms managing to gain market trust by enhancing quality and optimizing services despite the overall contraction in delivery scale [7]. Market Dynamics - The new housing market remains stable, supported by the combination of "good cities + good houses," although there has been a slight weakening in the market in the second quarter [5]. - The government is expected to take stronger measures to stabilize expectations, activate demand, optimize supply, and mitigate risks in the real estate market in the second half of the year [6]. Delivery Quality Improvement - Real estate companies are focusing on product delivery and service optimization to enhance delivery quality, utilizing methods such as open construction days and live broadcasts to build customer trust [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information regarding the industry investment rating is provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the volatile market, credit bonds outperformed interest - rate bonds. Interest - rate bond yields slightly declined, while credit bond yields dropped more significantly. Credit spreads mostly decreased slightly, with the 3Y variety showing a relatively larger decline [2][5]. - Urban investment bond spreads generally compressed slightly. Spreads of external ratings AAA, AA +, and AA platforms decreased by 1BP respectively. Spreads also declined when classified by administrative levels [2][9][15]. - Most industrial bond spreads decreased. Central and state - owned enterprise real - estate bond spreads declined, mixed - ownership real - estate bond spreads decreased, and private - enterprise real - estate bond spreads increased. Spreads of coal, steel, and chemical bonds also decreased [2][18]. - The yields of secondary and perpetual bonds followed the decline of certificates of deposit, with the short - to - medium - term performing relatively strongly [2][21]. - The excess spreads of 5Y industrial bonds and 3Y urban investment bonds slightly decreased [2][24]. Summary by Directory 1. Credit Bonds Outperformed Interest - Rate Bonds in the Volatile Market - Interest - rate bond yields slightly declined. The yields of 1Y, 5Y, and 7Y China Development Bank bonds decreased by 2BP, 1BP, and 1BP respectively, while the 3Y and 10Y remained flat [2][5]. - Credit bond yields dropped more significantly. The yields of 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y credit bonds decreased to varying degrees [2][5]. - Credit spreads mostly decreased slightly, with the 3Y variety showing a relatively larger decline. Rating spreads and term spreads showed obvious differentiation [5]. 2. Urban Investment Bond Spreads Slightly Compressed - By external ratings, the spreads of AAA, AA +, and AA platforms decreased by 1BP respectively, with different changes in different regions [9]. - By administrative levels, the spreads of provincial, municipal, and district - level platforms decreased by 2BP, 1BP, and 1BP respectively, with different changes in different regions [15]. 3. Most Industrial Bond Spreads Decreased - Real - estate bonds: Central and state - owned enterprise real - estate bond spreads decreased by 2 - 4BP, mixed - ownership real - estate bond spreads decreased by 1BP, and private - enterprise real - estate bond spreads increased by 7BP [2][18]. - Other industrial bonds: The spreads of AAA, AA +, and AA coal bonds decreased by 2BP, 2BP, and 1BP respectively; the spreads of AAA and AA + steel bonds decreased by 2BP and 4BP respectively; and the spreads of all levels of chemical bonds decreased by 3BP [2][18]. 4. The Yields of Secondary and Perpetual Bonds Followed the Decline of Certificates of Deposit, with the Short - to - Medium - Term Performing Relatively Strongly - 1Y secondary and perpetual bonds: Yields decreased by 2 - 3BP, and spreads compressed by 1 - 2BP [21]. - 3Y secondary and perpetual bonds: The yields of secondary capital bonds decreased by 2BP, and spreads decreased by 2 - 3BP; the yields of perpetual bonds decreased by 3 - 4BP, and spreads decreased by 3 - 4BP [21]. - 5Y secondary and perpetual bonds: The yields of secondary capital bonds decreased by 1 - 2BP, and spreads compressed by 0 - 1BP; the yields of AA + and above perpetual bonds decreased by 1BP, and spreads increased by 1BP, while the yields of AA perpetual bonds decreased by 4BP, and spreads decreased by 2BP [21]. 5. The Excess Spreads of 5Y Industrial Bonds and 3Y Urban Investment Bonds Slightly Decreased - AAA 3Y industrial perpetual bond excess spreads remained at 3.82BP, at the 1.32% quantile since 2015; 5Y industrial perpetual bond excess spreads decreased by 0.86BP to 7.65BP, at the 4.18% quantile since 2015 [24]. - Urban investment AAA 3Y perpetual bond excess spreads decreased by 0.65BP to 3.75BP, at the 0.29% quantile; urban investment AAA 5Y perpetual bond excess spreads increased by 0.09BP to 10.21BP, at the 10.93% quantile [24]. 6. Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - Market - wide credit spreads, commercial bank secondary and perpetual spreads, and industrial/urban investment perpetual bond credit spreads are calculated based on ChinaBond medium - and short - term notes and ChinaBond perpetual bond data. Historical quantiles are since the beginning of 2015 [28]. - Industrial and urban investment bond credit spreads are compiled and statistically analyzed by Cinda Securities R & D Center, with historical quantiles since the beginning of 2015 [28]. - Specific calculation methods and sample selection criteria are provided, including how to calculate spreads, which samples to select, and which samples to exclude [31].

Group 1 - Hong Kong property stocks experienced a significant surge in the afternoon, with Midea Real Estate rising over 45% [1] - Midea Real Estate's stock price reached a peak of 5.920, reflecting a 45.81% increase [1] - The stock showed a consistent upward trend throughout the trading session, with various price points indicating substantial gains, such as 5.859 (44.31%) and 5.798 (42.81%) [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong real estate sector experienced a significant rally, with Meidi Real Estate rising over 45% [1] - Longfor Group and Jingrui Holdings both saw increases of over 10% [1] - Other companies such as CIFI Holdings and Greenland Hong Kong also participated in the upward trend [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong property stocks experienced significant afternoon gains, with Meidi Zhiye (03990.HK) rising over 45% [1] - Longguang Group (03380.HK) saw an increase of more than 15% [1] - Jinhui Holdings (09993.HK) and Xuhui Holdings Group (00884.HK) both rose by 3% [1]

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Group 1 - The article highlights the resurgence of private enterprises in the real estate market, with numerous companies actively acquiring land across various regions in China, indicating a revitalization of the sector [1][4][7] - There are two main perspectives in the industry regarding this trend: one is optimistic about the potential of these companies, while the other is cautious, recalling the failures of major players like Evergrande and Country Garden [2][3] - The article notes that many private enterprises are seizing opportunities in a market that has been disrupted, with some companies focusing on smaller, manageable projects rather than large-scale expansions [3][6] Group 2 - The article identifies several active private companies, such as Bangtai Group and Wanhu Group, which are making significant land acquisitions in cities like Chengdu and Wuhan, showcasing their ambition to grow despite market challenges [7][9][15] - It discusses the competitive landscape, where private enterprises are not only competing with each other but also with state-owned enterprises that have gained more influence in the market [5][6] - The article emphasizes the importance of product quality and delivery in the current market, suggesting that both private and state-owned enterprises must focus on these aspects to succeed [18][19]

Summary of Midea Real Estate Conference Call Company Overview - Midea Real Estate underwent restructuring in 2024, transforming from a property developer to a comprehensive operation company with four main business segments: development services, property management, asset management, and real estate technology [2][3][4] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Midea Real Estate reported revenue of 3.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33% [2][3] - Gross margin stood at 35.7%, with core net profit reaching 500 million yuan, up 25% year-on-year [2][3] - As of early 2025, the company had total cash of 1.1 billion yuan, a debt-to-asset ratio of 47.7%, net assets of 5.08 billion yuan, and a return on equity (ROE) of approximately 10% [2][3] - The dividend payout ratio increased from 40% to 70% post-restructuring [3][12] Business Segments Property Management - Property management revenue accounted for nearly half of total revenue, reaching 1.84 billion yuan, with a contracted area of 92.55 million square meters and managed area of 75.38 million square meters [2][3][4] - The property management business includes residential, industrial parks, and hospital operations [4] Development Services - The development services segment focuses on restructuring assets for the controlling shareholder, with expected revenue of around 1 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026 [3][9] Real Estate Technology - The real estate technology segment, including subsidiaries Ruina Intelligent and Ruide Intelligent, generated approximately 600 million yuan in revenue but contributed little to profits, remaining in a nurturing phase [2][5][4] Commercial Operations - Commercial rental income is estimated at 500-600 million yuan, with industrial park value at 1.7 billion yuan, contributing 300-400 million yuan in sales and 80 million yuan in rental income annually [2][4] Strategic Focus - The company emphasizes cash flow over profit, ensuring high cash collection rates, with a current collection rate of 87% despite economic challenges [3][9][17] - Midea Real Estate is cautious in selecting third-party construction projects, prioritizing cash return capabilities and ensuring profit and quality [7][8] - The company plans to explore opportunities in the stock market transition from incremental to stock market, focusing on internal growth and leveraging its brand and management capabilities [13][14] Future Outlook - The company has not updated its previous guidance of 20% net profit growth post-restructuring, with expected revenue growth of approximately 25% based on 2023 financial data [10] - Midea Real Estate is exploring the application of robotics in property management but has not yet implemented significant measures [6][5] - The company is considering light asset expansion and has already initiated three light asset projects [14] Additional Insights - The average operating income (OI) rate for self-owned malls reached 64% in 2024, with ongoing growth expected in 2025 [14] - The company is actively seeking to improve liquidity issues that have persisted since its IPO in 2018, with plans to release liquidity at an appropriate time [15]

Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry is entering a phase of high-quality development, with companies exploring light asset operational models, and the construction and management business becoming a competitive arena for real estate firms [2][3] Industry Overview - The scale of the construction and management sector is growing, with the top 30 construction companies projected to reach a total contracted area of 914 million square meters in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23%. New signed area is expected to be 193 million square meters, up 6% year-on-year [2] - Despite growth, the construction industry is highly competitive, with leading firms deepening their advantages while smaller companies face shrinking survival space. The industry is returning to the essence of "service as an asset," emphasizing the importance of professional service capabilities and brand reputation [2] Company Strategy - Midea Real Estate's entry into the construction and management sector aligns with its "light and heavy dual focus" strategy, responding to the demand for specialized services in the industry [4] - The company emphasizes that development capabilities do not equate to construction management capabilities, highlighting the need for a comprehensive understanding of client needs and the creation of value through effective service delivery [6][7] Service Model - Midea Real Estate aims to provide one-stop services from construction to property management, setting a high bar for project participation to ensure quality and long-term business sustainability [6][7] - The company differentiates itself by not engaging in price wars but instead focusing on quality service and long-tail effects through ongoing property management and commercial operations [7] Market Positioning - Midea Real Estate targets potential clients such as state-owned enterprises and financially strong institutions lacking real estate development experience, ensuring project safety and profitability through rigorous assessments [7][9] - The company has successfully secured and operated several benchmark projects, demonstrating its market capabilities and strategic approach in established cities [8][9] Operational Achievements - As of the end of 2024, Midea Real Estate's property management area reached 75.38 million square meters, a 15% year-on-year increase, with significant revenue from industrial park contracts and commercial operations [12] - The company has developed a comprehensive service capability across various sectors, including healthcare and industrial park management, showcasing its ability to meet diverse client needs [11][12] Conclusion - Midea Real Estate's transformation path reveals that light asset strategies are not merely about collecting management fees but involve upgrading service capabilities, with a focus on maximizing client value [13]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward adjustment of Midea Real Estate's (03990) 2025 core net profit forecast by 11% to 607 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20%, while introducing a 2026 forecast of 676 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue is expected to increase by 33% to 3.73 billion yuan, with core net profit rising by 25% to 504 million yuan, aligning with market expectations [2] - The company anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 24% in 2025 to 4.62 billion yuan, with core net profit expected to grow by about 20% to 607 million yuan, primarily supported by the controlling shareholder [3] Group 2: Business Segments - Development services generated a settlement revenue of 293 million yuan within two months of operation in 2024, with pricing advantages from related party transactions [2] - Property management services are projected to see a 13% revenue increase in 2024 to 1.84 billion yuan, with managed area growing by 15% to 75.38 million square meters, largely contributed by the controlling shareholder [2] - Asset operation revenue is expected to surge by 92% in 2024 to 987 million yuan, driven by the gradual sales of on-balance sheet industrial parks and strong performance in shopping centers [2] - The real estate technology segment is anticipated to decline by 6% in revenue to 606 million yuan due to the impact of the real estate market fundamentals [2] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - The company is expected to maintain a strong dividend payout capability and willingness, with a projected payout ratio of 70% of core net profit in 2024, and plans to consider interim dividends [3]