Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating for the company to "Buy" [1][11]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing high growth in revenue and profitability, with expectations for continued growth logic to be realized [2][6][9]. - The company reported a revenue of 10.236 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 48.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137 million yuan, up 120.43% year-on-year [5][11]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In the past year, the company's stock performance has been -9.6% over 1 month, +0.3% over 3 months, and +34.4% over 12 months compared to the Hang Seng Index [4]. Financial Metrics - The company achieved a gross margin of 6.65% in H1 2025, a slight decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year. The overall expense ratio improved by 0.85 percentage points to 5.41% [7]. - The net profit margin increased by 0.44 percentage points to 1.34% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit margin at 1.6%, up 0.60 percentage points [7]. Growth Drivers - The company's ToB delivery and last-mile business saw significant growth, with a 50%+ increase in same-city delivery order volume, driving revenue growth of 43.11% to 5.779 billion yuan [6]. - The ToB delivery revenue reached 4.467 billion yuan, up 55.42% year-on-year, with notable growth in the food delivery segment [6]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 22.096 billion yuan, 28.475 billion yuan, and 35.542 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 40%, 29%, and 25% respectively [11]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 2.98 billion yuan, 5.15 billion yuan, and 9.00 billion yuan, with growth rates of 125%, 73%, and 75% respectively [11].

Core Viewpoint - SF Express's performance in the first half of 2025 shows a strong revenue growth of 48.8%, driven by city delivery and last-mile services, with a net profit margin reaching a historical high of 1.3% [1][2] Revenue Performance - The total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 10.24 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 48.8%, with external customer revenue accounting for 54.5%, a decrease of 4 percentage points [1] - City delivery revenue reached 5.78 billion RMB, up 43.1% year-on-year, making up 56.5% of total revenue, while non-food delivery revenue was 2.14 billion RMB, increasing by 28.6% [2] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit increased by 43.8% to approximately 680 million RMB, with a slight decline in gross margin to 6.7%, maintaining a historically optimal level [1] - Net profit for the first half was approximately 137 million RMB, a significant year-on-year growth of 171%, with an adjusted net profit of about 160 million RMB [1] Cash Flow - Operating cash inflow for the first half was approximately 180 million RMB, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 86% [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 48.8% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, reaching 10.236 billion yuan, with net profit rising by 120.4% to 137 million yuan [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 160 million yuan, reflecting a 139.0% increase, with an adjusted net profit margin of 1.6% [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company's same-city delivery service revenue grew by 43.1% year-on-year to 5.779 billion yuan, with order volume increasing by over 50% [2] - Revenue from merchant-facing and consumer-facing services grew by 55.4% and 12.7% respectively, driven by marketing activities that boosted demand for food delivery [2] - The tea beverage delivery revenue saw a remarkable growth of 105% year-on-year [2] - Non-food delivery scenarios also showed robust growth, with revenue increasing by 28.6% to 2.142 billion yuan [2] - The number of active merchants reached 850,000, a 55% increase year-on-year, indicating an expanding customer base [2] Group 2: Last-Mile Delivery - Last-mile delivery service revenue surged by 56.9% year-on-year to 4.457 billion yuan, benefiting from increased penetration in SF Express's delivery volume [3] - Revenue from subsidiaries of SF Express grew by 63% year-on-year, highlighting strong collaboration [3] - The company is enhancing its delivery capabilities and expanding services such as "same-day delivery" and multi-scenario logistics [3] Group 3: Profitability and Cost Management - The company maintained stable gross margins while reducing sales, R&D, and management expense ratios, leading to a net profit margin increase of 0.4 percentage points to 1.3% [4] - The revenue growth is driving economies of scale, improved operational efficiency, and enhanced profitability potential [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, indicating a positive outlook for long-term profit growth [4]

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 杭州順豐同城實業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09699 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 745,610,609 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 745,610,609 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 745,610,609 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 745,610,609 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - SF Express City (09699) shows strong growth in revenue and profit, indicating a robust performance in the third-party delivery sector, with significant increases in order volume during peak periods [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, SF Express City achieved revenue of approximately 10.236 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.8% [1] - Gross profit was around 681 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 43.8% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached approximately 160 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 139.0% [1] Business Growth - The number of same-city delivery orders increased by over 50% year-on-year [1] - On the Qixi Festival (August 29), the platform's same-city delivery order volume grew by 73% compared to the same period last year, while last-mile delivery orders surged by 80% year-on-year [1] Market Outlook - Minsheng Securities highlights the company as a leader in the third-party delivery sector, which possesses strong growth potential, and expresses optimism about the company's long-term development [1] - Dongwu Securities notes that the company's business is entering a phase of accelerated growth, with considerable long-term profit release potential [1]

Macro Strategy - The report highlights the focus on domestic economic policy changes driven by anti-involution and the Fourth Plenary Session [1] Fixed Income - The report discusses why domestic commercial banks are unlikely to shrink their balance sheets, citing factors such as economic slowdown, loose monetary policy, and the government's call for financial services to support the real economy [2] - It notes that while some small and medium-sized banks may consider balance sheet reduction, the overall probability for the industry is low [2] Industry Analysis New Industries - The company reported a revenue of 2.185 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 1.18% year-on-year, and a net profit of 771 million yuan, down 14.62% [4] - The overseas market showed strong performance with a revenue of 954 million yuan, an increase of 19.62% [5] - Domestic revenue was 1.229 billion yuan, down 12.81%, with a notable decline in reagent business [5] BYD Electronics - The company achieved a revenue of 80.61 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, and a net profit of 1.73 billion yuan, up 14% [6] - The new energy vehicle business saw a revenue increase of 60.5% to 12.45 billion yuan, driven by smart cabin and driving products [6] Pinduoduo - The company’s profit exceeded expectations, leading to an adjustment in the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for 2025-2027 [9] Northern Huachuang - The company is benefiting from the domestic semiconductor equipment platform trend, with a focus on expanding its product line through acquisitions [10] Wan Ye Enterprises - The company reported a turnaround in H1 2025, driven by rapid growth in bismuth materials and semiconductor equipment [11] Horizon Robotics - The company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 68% increase, with significant growth in chip shipments [12] BeiGene - The company’s core product sales are expected to drive revenue growth, with an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [14] Jiuzhoutong - The company reported a revenue of 81.106 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 5.1% increase, with a net profit of 1.446 billion yuan, up 19.7% [15] Fenzhong Media - The company maintains a steady growth trajectory, with EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 remaining stable [16] High Measurement Co. - The company is entering the humanoid robot market, leveraging its core technology in grinding equipment [17] Tian Nai Technology - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating due to the potential of single-wall carbon tubes [18] Hailiang Co. - The company is expected to see significant growth in the U.S. market, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 remaining stable [19] Sanofi - The company reported a revenue of 2.264 billion yuan in H1 2025, with strong performance in the overseas market [20] Xue Da Education - The company is positioned as a leading personalized education provider, with stable growth in its training business [22] Blue Sky Gas - The company is committed to high dividend payouts, with a focus on improving cash flow despite lower profits in H1 2025 [23] Haitian Precision - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on earnings but is steadily advancing its capacity and channel development [24] Solidarity Hall - The company is leveraging AI and overseas expansion to enhance its business model and revenue potential [25] Shoulu Hotel - The company is optimizing its hotel operations and expanding its footprint, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 remaining stable [27] Changhua Group - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, driven by new product launches and customer acquisition [28] SF Express - The company is entering a growth phase, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being adjusted upward [29] Oil and Gas Sector - The company is experiencing rapid growth in oil and gas production, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being adjusted upward [30] Alibaba - The company is focusing on cloud business growth and AI investments, with profit forecasts for FY2026-2028 being adjusted [31] Ding Sheng New Materials - The company is experiencing strong growth in battery foil shipments, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being adjusted [32] BYD - The company is facing increased competition, leading to adjustments in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [34] Okai Yi - The company is experiencing steady revenue growth, with profit forecasts for 2025-2026 being adjusted downward [35] Maiwei Biotech - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, focusing on strategic drug development [36] United Imaging - The company reported a revenue of 6.016 billion yuan in H1 2025, with strong growth in both domestic and overseas markets [37]

Core Insights - On August 29, during the Qixi Festival, the platform of SF Express City achieved a 73% year-on-year increase in same-city delivery orders and an 80% increase in last-mile delivery orders [1] - The demand for high-quality and personalized delivery services surged during the festival, leading to a more than sixfold increase in exclusive delivery service orders [1] - SF Express City, as the largest independent third-party on-demand delivery platform in China, effectively supported the efficient operation of the holiday economy through customized delivery solutions and refined service standards [1] Delivery Performance - The platform's same-city delivery orders increased by 73% compared to the same period last year [1] - Last-mile delivery orders saw an 80% year-on-year growth [1] - Exclusive delivery service orders experienced a growth of over six times during the festival [1] Service Categories - Significant growth was observed in delivery orders for various categories, including cakes, flowers, electronics, and clothing, with some categories seeing multiple times increase year-on-year [1] - The one-to-one urgent delivery service penetrated diverse category scenarios, enhancing the festive gifting experience [1] Market Position - SF Express City is recognized as the largest independent third-party on-demand delivery platform in China [1] - The company leverages a comprehensive and customized delivery network to support merchants in achieving rapid fulfillment during peak periods [1]

Core Insights - During the Qixi Festival, the demand for high-quality and personalized delivery services surged, leading to a more than sixfold year-on-year increase in the volume of exclusive delivery services by SF Express [1] - The delivery volume for various categories such as cakes, flowers, electronics, and clothing saw multiple times growth compared to the previous year [1] - On the day of the Qixi Festival, the platform's same-city delivery volume increased by 73% year-on-year, while last-mile delivery volume rose by 80% [1] Company Performance - SF Express, as the largest independent third-party on-demand delivery platform in China, effectively supported the efficient operation of the holiday economy through its comprehensive and customized delivery solutions [1] - The company provided robust support for merchants to achieve rapid fulfillment during peak periods, enhancing the consumer experience with high-quality delivery services [1] - SF Express's all-scenario coverage and meticulous service standards contributed significantly to the vitality of holiday consumption [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][11] Core Views - The value of instant delivery services is increasingly highlighted in the logistics sector, with significant revenue growth in the last-mile delivery business in the first half of 2025. The revenue from last-mile delivery services reached 4.457 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.9%, driven by an increase in penetration within SF Holding's express delivery volume [3] - The company's overall revenue from subsidiaries of SF Holding grew by 63% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating strong performance and operational efficiency [3] - The company is actively expanding services such as "same-day delivery" and multi-scenario urban logistics services, which are expected to continue driving rapid growth in the last-mile business [3] Financial Summary - The company's total revenue for 2023 is projected at 12.39 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 20.69%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 21.485 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 36.44% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 50.6 million yuan in 2023, increasing to 254.27 million yuan by 2025, representing a substantial year-on-year growth of 91.96% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to rise from 0.06 yuan in 2023 to 0.28 yuan in 2025, indicating a positive trend in earnings per share [1] - The company's gross margin remains stable, while the sales, research and development, and management expense ratios have decreased, contributing to a net profit margin increase of 0.4 percentage points to 1.3% in the first half of 2025 [4] - The report projects a significant increase in net profit for 2025-2027, with estimates adjusted to 254 million yuan, 373 million yuan, and 497 million yuan respectively [11]

Group 1 - The investment in unmanned logistics stations has become a significant trend in the autonomous driving sector, with a more than 50% increase in the number of unmanned vehicles in the first half of the year, covering over 80% of logistics node cities in China [1] - The industry is reaching a critical point of "scale commercialization," driven by the rise of instant retail and the competition among major e-commerce players, which has significantly boosted demand for last-mile logistics [2] - The "last mile" delivery segment is identified as the most promising application area for unmanned vehicles, accounting for approximately 50%-60% of total logistics costs, making it a key battleground for logistics companies to enhance efficiency [3][5] Group 2 - SF Express's subsidiary, SF Same City, has reported a remarkable performance in the first half of the year, with a more than 50% year-on-year increase in same-city delivery orders and revenue growth of nearly 50% to 10.24 billion yuan [2] - The "unmanned vehicle + rider" collaborative delivery model is being explored by SF Same City to improve efficiency in the last-mile delivery, with significant revenue growth in this segment [3] - The company has expanded its unmanned vehicle fleet to 300 units, with a monthly active journey of approximately 20,000 trips, indicating a strong growth trajectory in the application of unmanned vehicles [3] Group 3 - The transition from traditional logistics to instant retail has highlighted the advantages of third-party delivery platforms like SF Same City, which offers a flexible and comprehensive service model [6] - SF Same City maintains a leading market share by collaborating with major clients and has seen a 55% year-on-year increase in B-end revenue, with significant growth in non-food delivery segments [7] - The company is also expanding its 2B and 2C service offerings, enhancing its ability to meet diverse delivery needs and increasing revenue from specialized services [11] Group 4 - The unmanned delivery industry is entering a critical phase of "model validation" and "scalability," with the potential to reshape the cost structure and experience of last-mile delivery [12] - Companies leveraging AI and unmanned delivery technologies are becoming key providers of new consumer delivery infrastructure, with a focus on flexible and customized service offerings [12] - The rapid integration of unmanned vehicles into daily life signifies a new era for autonomous driving, with significant investment potential in this evolving market [12]