Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International raises the target price for SF Express (09699) to HKD 15.4, maintaining a "Buy" rating, indicating that the company is expected to benefit from a rationalization of delivery subsidies and has significant business growth potential in the future [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - CMB International has adjusted the revenue forecasts for SF Express for 2025-2027, projecting a growth of 14%/12%/12%, leading to revenues of RMB 22-30.4 billion, with annual increases of 40%/20%/15% [1] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised by 26%/23%/27%, resulting in projected profits of RMB 340-760 million, with Non-IFRS net profit margins of 1.5%/2%/2.6% [1] Group 2: Business Dynamics - The company is seen as a beneficiary of the ongoing delivery subsidy competition, with expectations that the rationalization of subsidies will enhance its business environment [1] - The collaboration with SF Express is expected to deepen, and the scaling of autonomous vehicle delivery is anticipated to continuously reduce costs [1] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - The company is experiencing a significant improvement in operational efficiency due to increased order density and effective management of quality riders, supported by AI technology [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the target price for SF Express (09699) has been raised to HKD 15.4, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to its position as a beneficiary in the delivery subsidy war [1] - The report highlights that as subsidies return to rationality, there remains significant business potential for SF Express, supported by deepening business synergies with SF Holdings and the ongoing cost reduction from the scaling of autonomous vehicle deliveries [1] - Based on a significantly better-than-expected revenue growth in the first half of the year, the demand for instant delivery services is expected to accelerate in the third quarter [1] Group 2 - Revenue forecasts for SF Express have been adjusted for 2025-2027, with expected growth rates of 14%/12%/12%, leading to revenues of RMB 22-30.4 billion, representing annual increases of 40%/20%/15% [1] - Profit forecasts for the same period have been raised by 26%/23%/27%, resulting in projected profits of RMB 340 million to 760 million, with Non-IFRS net profit margins of 1.5%/2%/2.6% [1] - The improvements in operational efficiency are attributed to increased order density, effective management of quality riders, and continuous optimization of operating costs aided by AI [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report maintains a "buy" rating for SF Express, with expectations for continued revenue growth driven by deepening in key accounts, expansion in mid-tier markets, and penetration in lower-tier markets [1] - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth of 33.6%/23.6%/17.7% for the years 2025-2027, with adjusted net profit growth of 88.4%/71.9%/51.2% during the same period [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49%, with revenue from B-end and C-end same-city delivery services reaching 4.5 billion and 1.3 billion yuan respectively, showing growth rates of 55% and 13% [2] - The number of active merchants on the B-end platform reached 850,000, a year-on-year increase of 55%, with significant growth in non-food categories such as tea, supermarkets, pharmaceuticals, and maternal and infant products [2] Group 3 - The last-mile delivery business generated revenue of 4.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 57%, driven by deep collaboration with SF Group's trunk network and increased demand during peak periods [3] - Daily average order volume in the collection segment increased by 150% year-on-year, supported by the rise in e-commerce parcel delivery and various local logistics scenarios [3] Group 4 - The company reported a gross margin of 6.7% and a net profit of 137 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 120%, with a net profit margin of 1.3%, up 0.4 percentage points [4] - Profitability improvements are attributed to scale effects from increased order volume, enhanced network density, and cost reductions from refined management practices [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SF Express (09699), highlighting continued revenue growth driven by deepening key account (KA) engagement, mid-tier expansion, and penetration into lower-tier markets, with profit growth supported by increased order density, AI scheduling, and the scaling of unmanned vehicles [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49% [2] - Revenue from B-end same-city delivery services, C-end same-city delivery services, and last-mile delivery business reached 4.5 billion, 1.3 billion, and 4.5 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth of 55%, 13%, and 57% [2] - The number of active merchants on the B-end platform reached 850,000, a 55% increase year-on-year, with county-level merchants doubling their daily order volume [2] Group 2: Last-Mile Delivery Growth - Last-mile business revenue in H1 2025 was 4.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 57% year-on-year increase [3] - Growth was driven by deep collaboration with SF Group's trunk network, with rapid increases in e-commerce parcel delivery scale and proportion [3] - Daily order volume in the collection segment increased by 150% year-on-year during peak periods such as nights, holidays, and shopping festivals [3] Group 3: Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin in H1 2025 was 6.7%, with a net profit of 137 million yuan, representing a 120% year-on-year increase [4] - The net profit margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 1.3% [4] - Profitability enhancement was primarily due to scale effects from increased order volume, improved network density, and cost reductions from refined management [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company, SF Tongcheng, is a leading third-party delivery platform in China, leveraging its advantages to meet the growing demand for instant delivery services across various new consumption scenarios [1] Group 1: Company Overview - SF Tongcheng operates an open and flexible instant delivery network, providing services for businesses and individuals, with revenue contributions in 2024 expected to be 42% from merchant delivery, 15% from personal errands, and 42% from express collection and delivery services [1] - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its ToB (business-to-business) orders, with a projected 28.1% year-on-year revenue increase from merchant delivery services in 2024 [1] - Collaboration with the group's express delivery business is enhancing operational efficiency, leading to a 32.5% year-on-year revenue growth in express collection and delivery services in 2024 [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Instant retail is emerging as a new online retail ecosystem that meets the demand for "instant consumption" and "hourly delivery," driven by changes in consumer behavior towards more frequent, smaller purchases [1] - The industry is witnessing significant growth as e-commerce platforms and local service providers actively invest in instant retail to capture market opportunities, with the potential for cross-selling and increased platform traffic [1] - The ongoing optimization of supply chain efficiency is expected to expand the range of products available for instant retail, indicating a broad market space in the medium term [1] Group 3: Delivery Infrastructure - Instant delivery serves as the foundational infrastructure for instant retail, relying on a positive cycle of order volume, rider availability, and fulfillment efficiency [2] - The company differentiates itself by maintaining a neutral position as the largest third-party delivery platform, ensuring high-quality service and customized solutions for various industries [2] - The operational model of rider management is crucial, with SF Tongcheng employing a "quasi-direct" management approach to ensure service quality, contrasting with the franchise model used by some competitors [2] Group 4: Financial Projections - The company's net profit is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 310 million, 600 million, and 900 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, reflecting a PE ratio of 38.9, 19.8, and 13.2 [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [11][13]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leading third-party instant delivery platform in China, benefiting from the rapid growth of instant retail and the increasing demand for delivery services [4][11]. - The company's unique market positioning and service model have created a scarcity barrier in delivery capacity, which is expected to drive profitability as order volumes and rider efficiency improve [4][11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Shunfeng Tongcheng, is the largest third-party instant delivery platform in China, providing a flexible delivery network for various consumer needs [8][18]. - The main business segments include delivery services for merchants (42% of revenue), personal errands (15%), and express collection and delivery services (42%) [8][18]. Instant Retail Growth - Instant retail is experiencing explosive growth, driven by a shift in consumer behavior towards convenience and immediate consumption [9][39]. - The market is expected to expand significantly, with projections indicating that the instant retail market could exceed 700 billion yuan by 2025 [52]. Delivery Infrastructure - Instant delivery serves as the foundational infrastructure for instant retail, with a focus on building a robust rider network to meet increasing order volumes [10][74]. - The company employs a "quasi-direct" management model for riders, ensuring high service quality and operational efficiency [10][74]. Financial Performance - The company achieved its first annual profit in 2023, with net profit expected to double to 1.3 billion yuan in 2024 [11][35]. - Revenue growth is driven by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.4% from 2021 to 2024, with significant contributions from all business segments [35][36]. Market Positioning - The company maintains a neutral market position, allowing it to serve a wide range of clients without favoring specific channels [11][18]. - Strong collaboration with the parent company, Shunfeng Group, enhances operational efficiency and cost reduction in last-mile delivery [11][18].

Group 1 - The core event of the 2025 Shunfeng Tongcheng Rider Festival has officially started on September 1, with an investment exceeding 4 million yuan to provide exclusive holiday benefits for riders [1] - The festival will feature a series of activities such as "Finding Lucky Koi," "Offline Flash Events," "Mall Discounts," "Surprise Red Envelopes," and "Card Collection Rewards," showcasing the platform's care for the rider community [1] - The main venue for this year's festival is in Shanghai, chosen by over 3,000 riders through voting, indicating a shift towards greater rider involvement in decision-making [1] Group 2 - The "917" Rider Festival, held annually, serves as an important channel for conveying care and promoting sustainable development in the industry, having successfully hosted six editions to date [2] - More rider protection measures are set to be announced during the upcoming Rider Festival on September 17, which will be connected to riders nationwide through online live streaming [2] - The total number of new employment form laborers in the country, including riders, has exceeded 84 million, highlighting the need for enhanced safety and career development measures [1]

Core Viewpoint - SF Express's performance in H1 2025 shows significant growth in revenue and profit, driven by strong demand in the ToB delivery and last-mile logistics sectors, benefiting from the rapid expansion of the food delivery and instant retail industries [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.236 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.81% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 137 million yuan, up 120.43% year-on-year - Adjusted net profit reached 160 million yuan, reflecting a 138.97% increase year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The ToB delivery and last-mile business experienced high growth, with same-city delivery order volume increasing by over 50% year-on-year, contributing to a revenue increase of 43.11% to 5.779 billion yuan - ToB delivery revenue was 4.467 billion yuan, up 55.42% year-on-year, with significant growth in the food delivery segment, particularly tea delivery, which saw a 105% increase [1] - ToC delivery revenue was 1.312 billion yuan, a 12.71% increase year-on-year, with "one-to-one exclusive delivery" revenue tripling, indicating rapid growth in lower-tier markets [1] Last-Mile Business - Last-mile business revenue reached 4.457 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.92% - The volume of collected items increased by over 150% year-on-year, with rapid growth in e-commerce delivery scale [1] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin was 6.65%, a slight decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year - Overall improvement in expenses led to a decrease in the expense ratio by 0.85 percentage points to 5.41% - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders increased by 0.44 percentage points to 1.34%, with adjusted net profit margin at 1.6%, up 0.60 percentage points year-on-year [2] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is leveraging its brand strength and neutral positioning to penetrate diverse scenarios in the local life market, with continued expansion of its market share - The integration with the group's network is expected to further boost volume, while technology-driven cost reductions and refined management are anticipated to sustain the release of scale effects [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 22.096 billion yuan, 28.475 billion yuan, and 35.542 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 40%, 29%, and 25% respectively - Expected net profits for the same period are 298 million yuan, 515 million yuan, and 900 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 125%, 73%, and 75% respectively - Corresponding PE ratios are projected at 42.46, 24.53, and 14.06 [3]

Group 1: SF Express (顺丰同城) / Logistics - The company achieved revenue of 10.236 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.81%, and a net profit of 137 million yuan, up 120.43% year-on-year [3][4] - The ToB delivery and last-mile business saw significant growth, with a 50%+ increase in same-city delivery orders, driving revenue to 5.779 billion yuan, a 43.11% increase year-on-year [4] - The company’s gross margin was 6.65%, slightly down by 0.23 percentage points, while the net profit margin improved by 0.44 percentage points to 1.34% [5][6] Group 2: China Everbright Environment (光大环境) / Environmental Governance - The company reported a revenue of 14.304 billion HKD in H1 2025, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.207 billion HKD, down 10% year-on-year [8][9] - Operating service revenue increased by 5% to 9.943 billion HKD, accounting for 70% of total revenue, while construction service revenue fell by 49% [9][10] - The company’s gross margin improved significantly to 44.26%, up 5.53 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin increased to 19.44%, up 0.84 percentage points [10] Group 3: Fenbi (粉笔) / Education - The company reported a revenue of 1.492 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 8.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 227 million yuan, down 18.39% year-on-year [11][12] - The AI question-answering system is expected to become a new growth engine, with significant potential for revenue increase [13][14] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.525 billion yuan, 2.618 billion yuan, and 2.793 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [14] Group 4: HuiLiang Technology (汇量科技) / Advertising Marketing - The company achieved total revenue of 938 million USD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47%, and a net profit of 32.28 million USD, up 340% year-on-year [15][17] - The average daily advertising requests increased from over 200 billion in H1 2024 to over 300 billion in H1 2025, indicating strong client engagement [18] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.211 billion USD, 2.747 billion USD, and 3.301 billion USD for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [18] Group 5: Focus Media (分众传媒) / Advertising Marketing - The company reported total revenue of 6.112 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.43%, and a net profit of 2.665 billion yuan, up 6.87% year-on-year [20][21] - The gross margin improved to 68.3%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 43.4%, up 2.3 percentage points [21][22] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares, with a cash dividend ratio of 25.5% [20] Group 6: Tungsten Industry / Industry Research - The report highlights a tightening supply of tungsten due to regulatory constraints and declining ore grades, with limited new projects expected [27][28] - The demand for tungsten is projected to grow, driven by applications in hard alloys and the semiconductor industry, with significant projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project expected to boost demand [28][29] - The strategic importance of tungsten is increasing due to export controls and tariffs, leading to a potential revaluation of tungsten resources [29] Group 7: Great Wall Motors (长城汽车) / Passenger Vehicles - The company reported total revenue of 92.33 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit of 6.34 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [31][32] - The company’s Q2 2025 revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with a significant increase in net profit [32][33] - The company forecasts revenues of 225.3 billion yuan, 278.5 billion yuan, and 312.5 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [34] Group 8: Dongfang Tower (东方铁塔) / Agricultural Chemical Products - The company achieved revenue of 2.148 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.51%, and a net profit of 493 million yuan, up 79.18% year-on-year [35][36] - The company’s Q2 revenue was 1.193 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.20%, with a significant increase in net profit [37][38] - The company forecasts revenues of 4.926 billion yuan, 5.145 billion yuan, and 5.372 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [39] Group 9: Yipule (易普力) / Chemical Products - The company reported revenue of 4.713 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, and a net profit of 409 million yuan, up 16.4% year-on-year [42][43] - The company’s Q2 revenue was 2.703 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.4%, with a significant increase in net profit [43][44] - The company’s performance is driven by high-quality development and market investment [44]

Core Insights - The article highlights the competitive landscape of the food delivery and instant retail market, emphasizing the ongoing subsidy wars among major players like Meituan, Alibaba, and JD, which indicates a strong commitment to maintaining market positions [1][8] - SF Express's subsidiary, SF City, reported significant growth in its mid-2025 financial results, showcasing a revenue increase of 49% year-on-year, reaching 10.24 billion yuan [1][3] - The report indicates that SF City has successfully expanded its active merchant and rider base, with 850,000 active merchants and 1.14 million active riders by mid-2023, alongside a 50% increase in delivery order volume [5][7] Financial Performance - SF City achieved a gross profit of 680 million yuan, a 44% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 6.7% [3] - The net profit surged to 140 million yuan, marking a 120% year-on-year growth, with an adjusted net profit of 160 million yuan, reflecting a 139% increase [3] Market Dynamics - The article discusses the increasing reliance on third-party delivery platforms like SF City, which are becoming essential infrastructure in the instant retail market, akin to utilities [18][23] - It notes that the competition in the food delivery sector has catalyzed growth for third-party logistics providers, which are now seen as critical to supporting various platforms and merchants [8][10] Strategic Positioning - SF City maintains a neutral stance, collaborating with a wide range of clients without being tied to any specific platform, which enhances its strategic advantages in the competitive landscape [7][10] - The company has focused on improving rider compensation and support, resulting in a 65% increase in high-income riders and a 107% increase in riders earning over 10,000 yuan per month [7][12] Industry Trends - The article emphasizes the shift towards diversified logistics solutions, with merchants increasingly seeking to reduce dependency on single platforms due to high fees and restrictions [10][11] - It highlights the growing demand for specialized third-party delivery services across various sectors beyond food, including groceries, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, which require tailored logistics solutions [11][12] Future Outlook - The instant delivery market is projected to continue expanding, with estimates suggesting that the volume of instant delivery orders may surpass that of e-commerce orders in the future [27] - The article concludes that the third-party delivery sector holds significant potential for growth, with opportunities for new players to emerge and contribute to the industry's evolution [27]