Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [7] Core Insights - The passenger transport volume is recovering, with domestic passenger volume increasing by 3% year-on-year and international passenger volume rising by 17% [5][13] - Shipping rates for container shipping are showing strong support, while oil and bulk shipping rates have slightly adjusted downwards [6][39] - Logistics technology financing is accelerating, with express delivery volume increasing by 7.8% year-on-year [5][50] Summary by Sections Passenger Transport - Domestic passenger volume has shown a 3% year-on-year increase as of October 24, with international passenger volume up by 17% [5][13] - The average domestic seat occupancy rate has improved by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, while international occupancy has increased by 5.1 percentage points [22] - Oil prices have decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, putting slight pressure on industry revenue [22] Shipping - The average VLCC-TCE rate has decreased by 8.4% to $79,000 per day [39] - The SCFI index for foreign trade container shipping has increased by 7.1% to 1,403 points, indicating strong pricing support from shipping companies [6][39] - The BDI index has decreased by 3.8% to 1,991 points, reflecting a softening demand for large vessel rentals [39] Logistics - The express delivery volume from October 13 to October 19 reached 3.944 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 7.8% [50] - The average price for bulk commodity road transport has increased by 4.8% year-on-year, reaching 0.33 yuan per ton [50] - The average daily transport volume at Ganqimaodu was 900 vehicles, with a short-distance average price of 90 yuan per ton, reflecting a 13 yuan increase [50]

Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth of the instant delivery industry, driven by multiple factors including the diversification of demand, expansion of food delivery services, and the digital retail boom in lower-tier markets [1][2]. Industry Summary - The instant delivery industry is expected to experience a CAGR of 18.9% from 2023 to 2028, with order volume projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.5% during the same period [1]. - The demand for high-quality instant delivery services is increasing as merchants seek better logistics solutions amid the rapid growth of the instant retail sector [3]. Company Summary - The company, as the largest independent third-party instant delivery service platform in China, has achieved comprehensive coverage of four main consumption scenarios: food delivery, local retail, near-field e-commerce, and near-field services [2]. - The company reported a net profit of 0.51 billion yuan in 2023, marking its first profit after losses, and is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 159% [2]. - The company is leveraging its independent third-party status and collaboration with SF Group to expand its customer base and enhance profitability through scale effects [3]. - The company is investing in smart delivery solutions, including unmanned delivery and AI technologies, to improve delivery efficiency and service quality, which is expected to optimize cost structures and enhance profitability [3]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.09 billion yuan, 5.85 billion yuan, and 8.91 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 133%, 89.4%, and 52.4% respectively [4]. - The company's PE valuation for 2025-2027 is projected to be below the average of comparable companies, indicating potential for investment [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shanxi Securities projects that SF Express (09699) will see significant growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with estimates of 309 million, 585 million, and 891 million yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 133%, 89.4%, and 52.4% [1] Company Summary - SF Express is positioned as a leading independent third-party instant delivery service platform in China, benefiting from the booming instant delivery industry and the decentralization of online traffic [1][2] - The company is expected to leverage its collaboration with SF Group in traditional express delivery and supply chain sectors to expand its customer base and enhance business scale, thereby improving profitability through economies of scale and advancements in unmanned delivery and AI [1] Industry Summary - The instant delivery industry is anticipated to experience rapid growth driven by multiple factors, including the acceleration of traffic diversification, the coexistence of various instant retail businesses, the expanding supply of food delivery services, and the fast development of digital retail in lower-tier markets [2] - According to iResearch, the CAGR for the instant delivery industry from 2023 to 2028 is projected to be 18.9%, while the order volume CAGR is expected to be 14.5% according to Sullivan [2] - Companies with independent third-party attributes and comprehensive business coverage in the instant delivery sector are rare, positioning SF Express favorably to capitalize on industry trends and achieve rapid growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shanxi Securities forecasts that SF Express City (09699) will achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 309 million, 585 million, and 891 million yuan for the years 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 133%, 89.4%, and 52.4% respectively. The company is given an "Overweight-A" rating for its first coverage [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - The projected net profits for SF Express City from 2025 to 2027 are 3.09 billion, 5.85 billion, and 8.91 billion yuan, with significant year-on-year growth rates [1]. - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) valuation for 2025-2027 is below the average of comparable companies [1]. - SF Express City benefits from being a leading independent third-party instant delivery service platform, with a unique combination of "third-party + full-scenario coverage + multi-channel compatibility" [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The instant delivery industry is expected to experience rapid growth, driven by the acceleration of traffic decentralization, the coexistence of diverse instant retail businesses, and the expansion of food delivery supply [2]. - According to iResearch, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the instant delivery industry from 2023 to 2028 is projected to be 18.9% [2]. - The order volume CAGR for the instant delivery industry from 2023 to 2028 is forecasted to be 14.5% according to Sullivan [2]. - Companies with independent third-party attributes and full-scenario business coverage in the instant delivery sector are rare, positioning SF Express City favorably for rapid growth [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating to the company for the first time [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth of the instant delivery industry, with a projected CAGR of 18.9% from 2023 to 2028 [2][45]. - The company has achieved profitability for the first time in 2023, with a net profit of 0.51 billion yuan, and is expected to continue growing significantly in the coming years [3][5]. - The company leverages its unique position as an independent third-party instant delivery service provider, which is rare in the market, to capture growth opportunities [4][50]. Summary by Sections Market Data - The closing price as of October 20, 2025, is HKD 12.910, with a market capitalization of HKD 118.43 billion [2]. Investment Highlights - The company is benefiting from the demand for instant retail, with multiple growth drivers including the expansion of food delivery services and the rapid development of digital retail in lower-tier markets [2][4]. - The instant delivery industry is expected to see a significant increase in order volume, with a CAGR of 14.5% from 2023 to 2028 [2][45]. Company Analysis - The company is the largest independent third-party instant delivery service platform in China, covering major consumption scenarios such as food delivery, local retail, and near-field e-commerce [3][52]. - The company has achieved a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 159% [3][5]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 12.39 billion yuan in 2023 to 41.47 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 52% from 2024 to 2025 [8]. - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 8.91 billion yuan by 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 52.4% [5][8]. Strategic Positioning - The company aims to become the "first brand in new consumption delivery," supported by its integration with SF Group and its independent third-party logistics capabilities [3][52]. - The company is expanding its service offerings through technological advancements such as AI and autonomous delivery solutions [4][50].

Core Insights - The announcement of the "2025 Zhejiang Province Top 100 Enterprises" lists highlights the inclusion of SF Express City in both the "Top 100 Service Enterprises" and "Fastest Growing Top 100 Enterprises" categories, ranking 38th and 39th respectively, with a 3-position improvement in the service sector compared to last year [1][3] Group 1: Company Performance - SF Express City achieved a total revenue of 15.75 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 27% [3] - The company reported a gross profit of 1.07 billion yuan, up 35% year-on-year, and a net profit of 130 million yuan, which is a significant increase of 162% [3] - It is noted as the only company in the third-party delivery industry to have continuous high revenue growth and profitability for two consecutive years [3] Group 2: Business Model and Technology - SF Express City operates as the largest independent third-party instant delivery platform in China, providing comprehensive services across four main scenarios: food delivery, local retail, near-field e-commerce, and near-field services [3][4] - The company is enhancing operational efficiency through technology, utilizing an AI-integrated "CLS" city logistics system for optimal order and capacity matching, and has over 300 autonomous delivery vehicles operating in more than 60 cities [4] Group 3: Workforce and Community Support - SF Express City has invested 30 million yuan in a "Dream Fund" to support the development and welfare of its delivery personnel, helping nearly 3,800 riders advance to higher positions within the company [5] - The company has also allocated 12 million yuan to address riders' clothing needs and established over 4,000 rider stations, along with initiatives for housing subsidies and a "grievance fund" to assist riders [5] Group 4: Industry Outlook - Industry experts view SF Express City's inclusion in the dual top 100 lists as a significant recognition of its business value, especially as instant retail evolves into a new norm of "flash purchase at home" [6] - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing growth in instant retail and the diversification of traffic, with expectations for accelerated profit release due to its customized solutions and operational efficiencies [7]

Core Insights - The article highlights the recognition of SF Express's subsidiary, SF Same City, as one of the top companies in Zhejiang Province, reflecting its strong performance in both revenue and growth metrics [1][2]. Group 1: Rankings and Achievements - SF Same City was listed in both the "Top 100 Service Enterprises in Zhejiang" and the "Fastest Growing Top 100 Enterprises in Zhejiang," ranking 38th and 39th respectively, with a 3-position improvement in the service sector compared to the previous year [1]. - The rankings are based on the companies' revenue for the 2024 fiscal year and criteria such as a revenue growth rate exceeding 10% and R&D expenditure accounting for more than 3% of revenue [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, SF Same City achieved a revenue of 15.75 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27%, with a gross profit of 1.07 billion yuan (up 35%) and a net profit of 130 million yuan (up 162%) [2]. - The company is noted as the only entity in the third-party delivery industry to have achieved continuous high revenue growth and profitability for two consecutive years [2]. Group 3: Community and Employee Initiatives - SF Same City invested 30 million yuan in a "Dream Fund" to support the development and welfare of its delivery riders, enhancing their skills and promoting internal career advancement [2]. - The company has established over 4,000 rider stations and provided various support measures, including a clothing fund and housing subsidies, to improve the living conditions of its riders [2].

Core Viewpoint - SF Holding (09699.HK) experienced a nearly 4% increase in stock price, reaching HKD 13.38 with a trading volume of HKD 13.11 million [2] Group 1 - The stock price of SF Holding rose by 3.96% as of the report time [2] - The current trading price is HKD 13.38 [2] - The total trading volume recorded was HKD 13.11 million [2]

Core Insights - SF Express City (09699) saw a nearly 4% increase in stock price, reaching HKD 13.38, with a trading volume of HKD 13.11 million [1] Delivery Performance - During the "Eleventh" holiday period, SF Express City reported a 63% year-on-year increase in average daily city delivery orders, with beverage orders surging by 168% [1] - Fast food, supermarket, and jewelry delivery orders also experienced significant double-digit growth [1] Tourism and Delivery Synergy - The "Cultural Tourism + Instant Delivery" model provided new experiences for tourists, with average daily order volumes in popular destinations like Harbin, Shanwei, Jingdezhen, and Hohhot showing multiple-fold increases [1] Service Demand - The "1-to-1 urgent delivery" service gained popularity during the holiday, with "exclusive delivery" orders on the Mid-Autumn Festival increasing over five times compared to last year [1] Strategic Advantages - According to Changjiang Securities, SF Express City leverages the SF brand advantage to offer customized solutions for vertical industries, outperforming other third-party logistics platforms in service quality and order volume [1] - The company collaborates with SF Group to reduce costs in the last-mile delivery, enhancing order scale and rider efficiency [1] Growth Outlook - The rapid growth of instant retail and the ongoing trend of diversified traffic are expected to accelerate the company's profit release [1]

Core Viewpoint - SF Express City (09699) has seen a nearly 4% increase in stock price, attributed to significant growth in delivery volumes during the "Eleventh" holiday period, indicating strong demand for its services [1] Group 1: Delivery Volume Growth - During the "Eleventh" holiday, SF Express City reported a 63% year-on-year increase in average daily city delivery orders, with beverage orders surging by 168% [1] - Fast food, supermarket, and jewelry delivery orders also experienced high double-digit growth in average daily volumes [1] - The "Cultural Tourism + Instant Delivery" model has led to multiple-fold increases in daily order volumes in popular tourist destinations such as Harbin, Shanwei, Jingdezhen, and Hohhot [1] Group 2: Service Demand and Performance - The "1-to-1 urgent delivery" service saw a more than fivefold increase in order volume on the day of the Mid-Autumn Festival compared to last year, reflecting high demand for timely delivery services [1] - Longjiang Securities noted that SF Express City leverages the SF brand advantage to provide customized solutions for vertical industries, outperforming other third-party logistics platforms in service quality and order scale [1] Group 3: Strategic Collaboration and Profitability - The company collaborates with SF Group to reduce costs in the last-mile delivery segment, enhancing order accumulation and improving rider efficiency [1] - The ongoing rapid growth of instant retail and the trend of diversified traffic are expected to accelerate the company's profitability release [1]