来源：中国金融家杂志 新春畅想 值此新春佳节，祝愿伟大祖国繁荣昌盛、国泰民安！祝愿金融同仁和各界朋友新年快乐、事业腾骧！ 责任编辑：王馨茹 华夏银行党委书记、 董事长杨书剑 刚刚过去的2025年，是"十四五"规划圆满收官之年，也是华夏银行发展历程中革故鼎新、筑基谋远的关 键一程。华夏银行新一届党委班子以"走出舒适区，踏上新征程"的共识凝聚动力，以贯穿业务发展、风 险防控、经营管理的"十大行动"推动全行系统性重塑，廓开新局。这一年，我们以"讲政治"指引方向， 以"创价值"驱动发展，以"担责任"回馈社会，在服务国家战略、赋能实体经济、满足人民需求的实践 中，淬炼出逆境中愈发坚韧、变革中主动求新的发展底色，经营发展迈上新台阶。 2026年是"十五五"规划全新开局之年。习近平主席在新年贺词中指出，"锐始者必图其终，成功者先计 于始"，华夏银行将以此为鞭策，以崭新的风貌、昂扬的姿态，全面融入金融强国建设的时代洪流： 我们将矢志不渝，做服务大局的坚定践行者。坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，全面 贯彻党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神，认真落实中央经济工作会议精神。将更多金融资源配置到科技 创新的前沿、绿色发展的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the contrasting behaviors in the gold market, with retail investors showing enthusiasm for gold purchases while financial institutions adopt a cautious approach by tightening investment criteria and risk assessments [1][4][5] - As of February 9, the spot gold price reached a high of $5047.257 per ounce, marking a significant recovery above the $5000 threshold, with A-share and Hong Kong gold stocks also experiencing gains [1][2] - The current gold bull market has seen a cumulative increase of over 246% since its low in September 2022, with a notable surge of 64.56% in 2025, indicating strong market momentum [2][3] Group 2 - Financial institutions are raising the entry thresholds for gold investment, with banks like China Construction Bank and China Merchants Bank increasing minimum investment amounts for gold accumulation products [4][5] - Risk assessment standards are being tightened, with banks requiring higher risk tolerance levels for clients wishing to engage in gold investment, reflecting a proactive approach to consumer protection [5][6] - Despite the tightening of investment criteria, banks are also promoting gold-related financial products, such as structured deposits, which offer lower risk and are designed to appeal to a broader range of investors [6][7] Group 3 - The demand for physical gold products is surging ahead of the Spring Festival, with many banks reporting shortages of gold bars and coins, leading to recommendations for online purchases [7][8] - Investors are advised to be cautious during the holiday period, as international gold markets will remain active while domestic trading may pause, creating potential volatility [8][9] - Recommendations for gold investment include understanding the purpose of the purchase, with suggestions for gradual buying strategies to mitigate risks associated with high prices [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a surge in demand ahead of the Spring Festival, with spot gold prices stabilizing above $5000 per ounce, while financial institutions are adopting a cautious approach by tightening investment criteria and risk assessments [1][4][5]. Group 1: Gold Price Dynamics - As of February 9, spot gold prices reached a high of $5047.257 per ounce, marking a significant recovery above the $5000 threshold [1]. - The current bull market for gold has seen prices increase by over 246% since September 2022, with a notable rise of 64.56% in 2025 alone [3]. - Despite recent volatility, including a sharp drop to $4402.06 per ounce, gold prices rebounded quickly, indicating strong market resilience [3][4]. Group 2: Institutional Responses - Major banks have raised the entry thresholds for gold investment, with institutions like China Construction Bank increasing the minimum amount for gold accumulation to 1500 yuan [5][6]. - Risk assessment standards have been tightened, requiring clients to achieve a cautious risk rating before engaging in gold accumulation products [6]. - These measures are in response to the heightened volatility in gold prices and aim to protect inexperienced investors from potential losses [6]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Recommendations - There is a growing demand for physical gold products, with banks reporting shortages and advising customers to purchase online [8][9]. - Consumers are encouraged to clarify their purchasing intentions, distinguishing between investment and consumption, and to consider strategies like dollar-cost averaging to mitigate risks [10][11]. - The market is expected to remain volatile during the Spring Festival, with predictions of gold prices fluctuating between $4600 and $5000 per ounce [11].

为进一步提升金融助企服务质效，精准对接民营企业金融需求，市工商联特推出"民企金融服务直通 车"系列专栏，提供各银行机构特色金融产品及申请指南，为中小微企业搭建高效对接桥梁。本期专 栏，将带您走进华夏银行，解锁精准适配的融资服务。 华夏银行金融产品 小微客户专精特新贷款 产品名称：小微客户专精特新贷款 申请条件：符合工信部认定标准的专精特新"小巨人"、省级"专精特新"中小企业中的小微客户；借款人 资信记录良好，无恶意违约记录；信用评级或信用评分符合本行小微客户信贷政策准入条件。 贷款额度：2000万元。 贷款期限：1—5年，其中信用贷款最长1年，抵押贷款最长5年。 贷款利率：3%左右。 申请流程：银行营业机构申请，线下审批放款。 产品类型：流动资金贷款。 适用对象：符合工信部认定标准的专精特新"小巨人"、省级"专精特新"中小企业、创新型中小企业中的 小微客户。 产品特色：信用、抵押或组合方式，其中专精特新"小巨人"信用额度最高1000万元，省级专精特新中小 企业信用额度最高500万元。 科技型小微企业贷款 产品类型：流动资金贷款。 适用对象：纳入山东省科技型企业名单内的小微客户。 产品特色：信用、抵押或组合方式 ...

Core Insights - The report focuses on fixed income + products issued by wealth management companies, highlighting superior performing products available for investors through distribution channels [1] - A ranking of products is provided based on their annualized performance over the last month, three months, and six months, with a particular emphasis on the three-month annualized yield to reflect their performance amid recent market fluctuations [1] Distribution Channels - The report includes a list of 28 distribution institutions, which consist of major banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and others [1] Product Performance - The ranking showcases various products with their respective annualized yields, indicating the performance metrics over different time frames, such as 2.64% for one month and 9.11% for three months for a specific product [5] - The data is sourced from the South Finance Financial Terminal, with statistics as of February 5, 2026, providing a snapshot of the current market offerings [5][10]

Core Insights - The article focuses on the performance of minimum holding period RMB public offering products, ranking them based on annualized returns for holding periods of 7, 14, 30, and 60 days [1] Group 1: 7-Day Holding Period Products - The top-performing product is from Minsheng Bank with an annualized return of 7.56% [5] - Other notable products include a 6.98% return from Shanghai Bank and a 6.04% return from Minsheng Bank [5] Group 2: 14-Day Holding Period Products - The leading product is from Minsheng Bank with a return of 7.39% [8] - China Bank follows with a return of 4.44% [8] Group 3: 30-Day Holding Period Products - The highest return is 18.14% from Hangzhou Bank [12] - Other significant returns include 12.34% from Minsheng Bank and 9.72% from Minsheng Bank [12][13] Group 4: 60-Day Holding Period Products - The top product is from China Bank with a return of 9.33% [15] - Other products include 5.95% from Shanghai Bank and 5.54% from Huaxia Bank [15][16]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The trade return ratio has turned positive again, and the service trade deficit has significantly narrowed [16][18] - The cross-border capital flow is expected to gradually return, positively impacting domestic liquidity [5][19] - The service trade deficit for December 2025 was 966 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 466 billion CNY, with a full-year deficit of 13,760 billion CNY, down 2,544 billion CNY, approximately 16% [18] Summary by Sections 1. Current Observation - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) released data on China's international balance of payments for December 2025, indicating a potential impact on the central bank's willingness to settle foreign exchange [16] - The trade return ratio is at a historical high, with a monthly unconverted trade net outflow of 447 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1,392 billion CNY [17] 2. Arbitrage Trading Returns - The arbitrage trading return rate for 10Y US Treasury bonds in CNY has dropped significantly to -1.77%, indicating a shift in cross-border capital dynamics [17] 3. Service Trade Deficit - The service trade deficit has narrowed significantly, with major contributions from improved policies for foreign visitors, reduced international shipping costs, and enhanced competitiveness in high-tech services [18] 4. Cross-Border Liquidity Outlook - Despite the recent appointment of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, the trend of cross-border capital return is expected to continue, influenced by the Fed's monetary policy stance [19][21] - The short-term liquidity in the US remains tight, with limited space for balance sheet reduction, while long-term prospects depend on economic performance [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant issue of non-performing loans at Huaxia Bank's Shenzhen branch, highlighting the bank's failure in risk control and the subsequent transfer of bad debts to China Cinda Asset Management Company [1] Group 1: Non-Performing Loans - Huaxia Bank's Shenzhen branch has multiple company loans exceeding 1 billion yuan that have turned into non-performing loans, which were packaged and transferred in the fourth quarter of 2025 [1] - The total principal balance of the loans involved in the transfer amounts to approximately 1.107 billion yuan, with overdue interest of about 574 million yuan, resulting in a total of 1.681 billion yuan for both principal and interest [1] Group 2: Transfer Agreement - On October 21, 2025, Huaxia Bank's Shenzhen branch and China Cinda Asset Management Company announced the signing of a non-performing debt transfer agreement on June 20, 2025 [1] - The agreement includes the transfer of all rights related to the principal debts and guarantee contracts of multiple borrowers [1]

Group 1 - The banking sector saw an increase of 1.51% on February 4, with China Merchants Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - Key stocks in the banking sector showed various performance metrics, with China Merchants Bank closing at 39.01, up 1.85%, and CITIC Bank at 7.35, up 1.66% [1] Group 2 - The banking sector experienced a net inflow of 1.133 billion yuan from main funds, while retail and speculative funds saw net outflows of 0.351 billion yuan and 0.782 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Major banks like China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank had significant net inflows of 1.642 billion yuan and 0.322 billion yuan, respectively, indicating strong institutional interest [1] - In contrast, banks like Everbright Bank and CITIC Bank faced net outflows of 0.549 billion yuan and 0.239 million yuan, reflecting weaker retail sentiment [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant declines in various sectors, particularly in metals and banks, with a notable focus on bank stocks as a safe haven amid volatility in precious metals prices [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 2, A-share non-ferrous metals led the decline with a drop of 7.62%, while steel, chemicals, coal, and oil and gas sectors also fell over 5% [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 2.48%, with over 4,600 stocks declining and a trading volume of approximately 2.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of nearly 250 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3][4]. - The banking sector showed resilience, with certain banks like Citic Bank and Shanghai Bank posting gains of 2.64% and 1.62%, respectively, amidst the overall market downturn [4]. Group 2: Bank Sector Analysis - The banking sector has seen a significant correction, with the China Securities Bank Index dropping 6.76% as of January 30, with major banks like Pudong Development Bank and Agricultural Bank of China experiencing declines of 19.29% and 12.5%, respectively [4][5]. - Analysts believe that the peak of fund outflows from the banking sector has passed, with the sector's valuation becoming more attractive, as the median price-to-book (PB) ratio is around 0.57 and the median dividend yield has risen to over 4.5% [5][6]. - Recent reports indicate that passive fund outflows have been a major factor in the banking sector's recent adjustments, but the selling pressure is expected to diminish, allowing for potential recovery in bank stock prices [6][7]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - Institutions are starting to show interest in bank stocks, with reports indicating that active funds had reduced their holdings in bank stocks by 1.3 billion shares by the end of the fourth quarter [7]. - Several regional banks have announced stock buyback plans, which have been positively received by the market, reinforcing confidence in the banking sector's fundamentals [7].