Summary of Sichuan Road and Bridge Group Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - Sichuan Road and Bridge Group benefits from the Western Development Strategy, with significant urbanization potential in Sichuan, a key implementation area. The infrastructure potential in western Sichuan is substantial, with expectations that highway scale will double by 2035, and regional infrastructure growth will significantly outpace the national average [2][4][5]. Core Points and Arguments - **Shareholding and Support from Shudao Group**: Shudao Group has increased its stake in Sichuan Road and Bridge to 79.6% through methods like private placements and tender offers. This group’s integrated investment and construction model ensures smooth order acquisition, contributing 65% to the company's revenue, with profitability surpassing that of other local enterprises [2][6][8]. - **Dividend Policy**: The company has a clear and improving dividend policy, with a minimum payout ratio of 50% set for 2022-2024, increasing to 60% in 2025. The expected dividend yield for this year is between 6.5% and 7%, making it an attractive high-dividend stock in the construction sector [2][7]. - **Financial Performance**: Sichuan Road and Bridge's revenue accounts for 43% of Shudao Group's total revenue, and its profit constitutes 76% of the group's total profit. This indicates that the company's financial performance is crucial for Shudao Group, which has a strong incentive to support it [2][8][9]. - **Recent Performance and Market Trends**: In the first half of the year, the company showed strong performance in the construction sector, attributed to the high infrastructure demand in Sichuan. The stock price has increased by 265% over the past five years, significantly outperforming the Shenwan Construction Index, which declined by 35% during the same period [3][11]. - **Order Situation**: The year-on-year decline in orders is narrowing, with positive changes expected in the first and second quarters of 2025. Future performance is anticipated to maintain single to double-digit growth, with a potential trend shift once performance normalizes [4][14]. Other Important Insights - **Divestiture of Non-Core Businesses**: The company divested its mining and new energy businesses to focus on core operations, which is expected to enhance dividend capacity and stabilize performance [2][10]. - **Management Changes**: New leadership appointments starting from July 2024 are expected to stabilize management and drive future development [12][13]. - **International Market Presence**: The company's overseas market share was only 1.8% in 2023, with limited growth expected in 2024. However, it has established a presence in regions like Central Asia and Africa, indicating a unique development direction [15]. - **Overall Development Logic**: The company’s growth is driven by the high infrastructure demand in Sichuan, proven capabilities through Shudao Group's integrated model, and the expectation of returning to normal performance levels following management stabilization and order recovery [16].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Shudao Equipment (300540) announced a contract with Sichuan Road and Bridge Shengtong Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. for the construction of a hydrogen fuel cell intelligent manufacturing base project [1] - The total contract amount is 24.6838 million yuan, which includes tax [1] - The contract is classified as a related party transaction but does not constitute a major asset reorganization [1] Group 2 - The construction period for the project is set at 90 days [1]

Core Viewpoint - The successful completion of the Gongdefang Tunnel marks a significant milestone for the Xichang to Ningnan Expressway project, which aims to be operational by 2027, enhancing regional connectivity and economic development [1][6]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Gongdefang Tunnel connects villages in Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture, with the left line measuring 3,168 meters and the right line 3,205 meters, featuring a maximum burial depth of approximately 345 meters [3]. - The tunnel is classified as a long micro-gas tunnel, constructed using a dual-end excavation method, and traverses active fault zones, presenting high construction difficulty and safety risks [3][4]. Group 2: Construction Techniques and Innovations - The project team has implemented advanced geological prediction and monitoring, along with strict management protocols to ensure safety and quality during construction [3]. - Innovative construction technologies, including intelligent tunneling equipment and digital monitoring systems, have been adopted to enhance efficiency and safety [4]. Group 3: Environmental Considerations - The project has developed a "clean and dirty water diversion" drainage technology to address challenges related to wastewater discharge, reducing labor and operational costs while protecting the surrounding ecological environment [4]. Group 4: Economic and Social Impact - Upon completion, the expressway will reduce travel time from Xichang to Ningnan from 2.5 hours to 1 hour, ending the historical lack of expressway access for Puge County and contributing to regional economic development and tourism [6]. - The project is a key component of the S71 expressway, enhancing the transportation network and solidifying Liangshan's role as a transportation hub in southern Sichuan [6].

四川路桥受益于四川省基础设施建设规划，收入主要来自省内施工业务， 占比超 90%。尽管受特殊事件影响业绩有所波动，但随着影响消退，公 司有望重回增长轨道。 蜀道集团是四川基建投资主力，公路和铁路建设市占率高。四川路桥作 为其核心施工企业，63%收入来自蜀道集团，投建一体模式提升盈利能 力，预计该模式将持续支撑公司业绩。 潜在催化剂包括：四川省内需求确定性高，已有大体量订单；川渝双城 经济圈及战略腹地定位可能被再次提及；分红率有提升空间，现金流有 望改善，提升高股息价值。 四川省 GDP 位居全国前列，2024 年增长 5.7%。2025 年目标为 5.5% 以上，将加大建筑业开工力度。基建投资增速高于全国水平，规划重点 项目 810 个，年度投资近 8,000 亿。 四川路桥核心竞争优势在于蜀道集团支持下的投建一体模式，蜀道集团 在建公路项目占比 81%，铁路项目占比 67%。四川路桥是蜀道集团的 利润中心，贡献超千亿收入和 70 亿净利润。 Q&A 四川路桥在四川省内的基础设施建设中具有怎样的战略地位和优势？ 四川省作为国家的战略腹地，基础设施投资力度相对较大。短期来看，到 2025 年末，四川省内基建有望 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the construction engineering industry [8] Core Insights - In August, broad infrastructure investment decreased by 6.4%, with a month-on-month decline of 4.5 percentage points, while narrow infrastructure investment fell by 5.9%, with a month-on-month decline of 0.8 percentage points [4][6] - Real estate investment in August saw a year-on-year decline of 19.9%, with the drop expanding compared to July [7] - The report highlights a trend towards stabilization in the real estate market, despite ongoing challenges [7] - Infrastructure investment from January to August grew by 2.0% year-on-year, outpacing overall investment growth [7] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - Broad infrastructure investment in August decreased by 6.4%, a decline of 12.6 percentage points compared to the same month in 2024, and a month-on-month drop of 4.5 percentage points [6] - Narrow infrastructure investment fell by 5.9%, with a year-on-year decline of 7.1 percentage points and a month-on-month decrease of 0.8 percentage points [6] - Specific sectors such as water conservancy saw a significant drop of 29.8% year-on-year, while public facilities decreased by 11.6% [6] Real Estate Market - Real estate investment in August dropped by 19.9% year-on-year, with sales area declining by 11.0% [7] - New construction area fell by 19.8%, and completed area decreased by 21.2% [7] - The report indicates that the real estate market is moving towards stabilization, with inventory reduction efforts showing results [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends undervalued high-dividend stocks such as China State Construction (dividend yield 4.85%), China Railway Construction (dividend yield 3.74%), and Tunnel Corporation (dividend yield 4.48%) [7] - It also highlights the potential for growth in private investment in infrastructure, particularly in green energy [7]

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Insights - Infrastructure investment in August shows a narrowing year-on-year decline, with a focus on investment opportunities in the central and western regions [1] - Real estate sales area decreased by 4.7% year-on-year from January to August, with a significant drop of 11% in August alone [2] - Cement prices have started to rise after a prolonged period of decline, indicating potential recovery in profitability for cement companies [3] - The flat glass production showed a year-on-year decline of 4.5% from January to August, but the decline is narrowing, suggesting a potential improvement in demand [4] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - From January to August, real estate development investment decreased by 12.9%, while narrow and broad infrastructure investments increased by 2% and 5.4% respectively [1] - Cumulative new special bonds reached 32,641.37 billion yuan, up 26.9% year-on-year, indicating strong support for infrastructure projects [1] Real Estate Market - New construction area decreased by 19.5% year-on-year from January to August, with a monthly decline of 19.8% in August [2] - Completion area saw a year-on-year decline of 17% from January to August, with a monthly drop of 21.2% in August [2] Cement Industry - Cement production from January to August was 1.105 billion tons, down 4.8% year-on-year, with August production at 148 million tons, a 6.2% decline [3] - The average cement price in August was 349 yuan per ton, showing a slight increase from earlier in the month [3] Glass Industry - Flat glass production from January to August was 64.818 million weight cases, down 4.5% year-on-year, with August production at 8.267 million weight cases, a 2% decline [4] - The market is showing signs of demand improvement as inventory levels decrease and production lines resume operations [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][26]. Core Viewpoints - Fixed asset investment has continued to weaken, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of only 0.5% for January to August 2025, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points compared to July 2025. Manufacturing investment also saw a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, reflecting a similar decline [4][12]. - Infrastructure investment is under pressure, with transportation, water conservancy, and public utility investments all showing declining growth rates. Infrastructure investment (including all categories) increased by 5.4% year-on-year, down 1.9 percentage points from July 2025. Excluding electricity, the growth rate was only 2.0% [5][12]. - Real estate investment remains low, with a year-on-year decrease of 12.9% for January to August 2025, and construction starts down by 19.5% [12][18]. Summary by Sections Fixed Asset Investment - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate for fixed asset investment is 0.5%, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous month. Manufacturing investment growth is also down to 5.1% [4][12]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment (all categories) shows a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, with a decline of 1.9 percentage points from the previous month. Excluding electricity, the growth rate is only 2.0% [5][12]. - Specific sectors like transportation and public utilities are experiencing significant pressure, with transportation investment growing by only 2.7% year-on-year [5][12]. Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment has decreased by 12.9% year-on-year, with construction starts down by 19.5% and completions down by 17.0% [12][18]. - The current cycle is characterized by excessive supply clearance and difficulties in inventory replenishment, leading to a slow recovery in investment [12][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the overall industry is weak, but regional investments may gain flexibility as national strategic layouts deepen. Recommended companies include China Chemical, China Energy Construction, China Railway, and China Railway Construction among state-owned enterprises, and Zhi Te New Materials and Honglu Steel Structure among private enterprises [18].

天风证券（601162）发布研报称，近期反内卷关注度提升，可以从"价格弹性"角度、下游盈利改善及资 本开支角度、报表改善&"转型升级"角度和新能源材料及工程的相关品种四个角度把握建筑板块反内卷 投资机遇。抓项目促投资工作调度会指出，要紧盯国省"十四五"重大工程、省重点项目、中省预算内投 资项目、地方政府专项债券项目。伴随省内的重点项目加速推进，下半年基本面有望呈现加速改善的趋 势。近期石油沥青开工率回升明显，进入9月随着天气转凉，看好后续实物工作量的转化。 天风证券主要观点如下： 反内卷关注度再提升，重视建筑板块投资机遇 近期反内卷关注度提升，该行认为可以从四个角度把握反内卷投资机遇，1)"价格弹性"角度，关注受益 上游大宗涨价品种，重视"建筑+矿产"、"建筑+化工"等资源生产和贸易标的，同时重视资源加工板块的 鸿路钢构（002541）(002541.SZ)等; 2)下游盈利改善及资本开支角度，在"反内卷"推动下，钢铁行业自律性显著增强，供给端出现明显改 善，中钢国际（000928）25H1新签国内订单24.44亿，同比+53.81%，国内订单边际恢复，中材国际 （600970）25H1境内新签订单同比-2% ...

天风证券主要观点如下： 智通财经APP获悉，天风证券发布研报称，近期反内卷关注度提升，可以从"价格弹性"角度、下游盈利 改善及资本开支角度、报表改善&"转型升级"角度和新能源材料及工程的相关品种四个角度把握建筑板 块反内卷投资机遇。抓项目促投资工作调度会指出，要紧盯国省"十四五"重大工程、省重点项目、中省 预算内投资项目、地方政府专项债券项目。伴随省内的重点项目加速推进，下半年基本面有望呈现加速 改善的趋势。近期石油沥青开工率回升明显，进入9月随着天气转凉，看好后续实物工作量的转化。 反内卷关注度再提升，重视建筑板块投资机遇 1)9月10日四川路桥(600039.SH)公告，为引入认可公司内在价值和看好未来发展的价值投资者、优化公 司股权结构，蜀道集团计划通过大宗交易方式减持公司股份不超过173,911,812股，即不超过公司总股本 的2%; 2)25H1四川路桥累计新增中标项目218个，金额约722亿元，同比增长22.20%，其中，基建订单增速高 达25.88%，新开工项目受土地组卷报批、项目红线用地征拆等前期工作影响，未能实现大面积动工， 项目接续不足，公司上半年收入有所承压，8月28日，抓项目促投资工作 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - The focus on "anti-involution" has increased, highlighting investment opportunities in the construction sector. The report suggests four angles to capture these opportunities: 1) "Price elasticity" focusing on benefiting upstream commodities, emphasizing "construction + minerals" and "construction + chemicals" [13][14] 2) Improvement in downstream profitability and capital expenditure, with significant growth in new domestic orders for steel and engineering sectors [14][18] 3) Improvement in financial statements and "transformation and upgrading," with tech-driven construction companies expected to benefit from high demand for tech-based infrastructure [14][15] 4) Related sectors in new energy materials and engineering, particularly in photovoltaic fields [14][15] Summary by Sections Section 1: Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of the "anti-involution" theme, with a focus on construction companies that can leverage price elasticity and resource development [13][14] - Specific recommendations include companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Railway, and Shanghai Construction for their resource development capabilities [14][15] Section 2: Market Performance - The construction index rose by 2.16% during the week of September 8-12, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.01 percentage points [26] - Notable stock performances included Dongzhu Ecology and Tianyu Ecology, both increasing by 33.05% [26] Section 3: Company-Specific Insights - Sichuan Road and Bridge announced plans to optimize its shareholding structure by introducing strategic investors, aiming to improve its fundamentals [18][19] - The company secured 218 new projects worth approximately 72.2 billion, marking a 22.20% year-on-year increase, with infrastructure orders growing by 25.88% [18][19] Section 4: Construction Material Indicators - The report highlights a significant recovery in the operating rates of petroleum asphalt and cement, indicating a positive trend in physical workload conversion for construction projects [19][24]