Core Insights - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a rise of 0.59% on January 28, with Changshu Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up by 0.09% [1] Agricultural Commercial Bank Sector Performance - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.34, with an increase of 2.23% and a trading volume of 733,900 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 537 million [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.52, up by 1.35%, with a trading volume of 333,700 shares and a transaction value of 150 million [1] - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.21, increasing by 0.98%, with a trading volume of 868,000 shares and a transaction value of 541 million [1] - Other banks such as Wuxi Bank (600908), Jiangyin Bank (002807), and Zijin Bank (601860) also showed modest gains [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 91.16 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 205 million [1] - Notable net inflows from individual stocks include Hu Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) with 52.25 million from institutional investors and Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) with 13.01 million [2] - Conversely, Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) and Hu Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) faced significant net outflows from retail investors, amounting to 88.16 million and 98.40 million respectively [2]

银行行业：主动基金重仓比例微升， 北向资金和被动基金有所减持 ——25Q4 基金持仓分析 主动基金：25Q4 重仓市值占比小幅回升。2025 年末，主动偏股型基金重仓 A 股总市值 1.61 万亿，其中配置银行板块 303.67 亿，占比 1.89%、相较过去 5 年/10 年仓位均值（3.02%、3.89%）处于低位。仓位环比 25Q3 上升 0.07pct。 主动基金重仓占银行自由流通市值比重为 1%，环比基本持平。 | 分析师：林瑾璐 | | | --- | --- | | 021-25102905 | linjl@dxzq.net.cn | | 执业证书编号： | S1480519070002 | | 分析师：田馨宇 | | | 010-66554013 | tianxy@dxzq.net.cn | | 执业证书编号： | S1480521070003 | 从各子板块来看，国股行仓位环比提升、城商行环比下降。2025 年末，国有 行、股份行、城商行、农商行主动基金重仓市值分别为 50.6 亿、97.3 亿、125.5 亿、30.3 亿元；持仓占比分别为 0.31%、0.60%、0.78%、0.19%。 ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 一文纵览全国分省份财政社融特征 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： （5）地方债务：2024 年所有省份狭义赤字率平均为 16.4%，广义赤 字率平均为 20.0%，处于 2010 年来偏低水平；债务率平均为 357.0%， 2016 年来持续上行。 [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-28 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 01/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | | 021-38003646 | | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 林虎 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | | 021-38003643 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 27, 2026 [1][5] - China Gold (600916.SH) leads with a daily increase of 9.96% and a year-to-date increase of 36.81%, with a dividend yield of 3.45% [1][5] - Aotewei (688516.SH) shows a remarkable year-to-date increase of 120.95%, with a daily increase of 9.81% and a dividend yield of 2.31% [1][5] Group 2 - The index's historical price-to-earnings ratio is reported at 4.76%, with an expected price-to-earnings ratio of 11.07 [2] - The dividend yield for the index over the past 12 months is noted as 1.34 times, indicating a strong return for investors [2] - The article mentions the formation of a MACD golden cross signal, suggesting positive momentum for the stocks listed [4][8]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月27日 $\Delta$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$ 公募 FOF 基金 2025 年四季度概览 截至 2025Q4，全市场已成立FOF产品数量 549 只，合计规模为 2441.88 亿元，相比 2025Q3 增加 26.20%。根据穿透后权益资产占比将FOF划 分为偏债型FOF、平衡型FOF和偏股型FOF，2025Q4 规模分别为 1611.13 亿元、454. ...

Core Viewpoint - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.47% on January 27, with Ruifeng Bank leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing prices and changes for key rural commercial banks are as follows: - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.15, up 0.33% - Qingnong Bank (002958) closed at 3.13, unchanged - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.18, down 0.14% - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.51, down 0.44% - Sunong Bank (603323) closed at 4.98, down 0.60% - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.46, down 0.67% - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) closed at 8.32, down 0.95% - Wuxi Bank (600908) closed at 5.76, down 1.03% - Zijin Bank (601860) closed at 2.77, down 1.07% - Ruifeng Bank (601528) closed at 5.40, down 1.10% [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 88.29 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 112 million yuan [1] - The capital flow for individual banks is as follows: - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) had a net inflow of 31.55 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 54.50 million yuan from retail investors - Changshu Bank (601128) had a net inflow of 21.64 million yuan from institutional investors and a net inflow of 1.10 million yuan from retail investors - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) had a net inflow of 18.99 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 2.01 million yuan from retail investors - Other banks like Jiangyin Bank (002807) and Zijin Bank (601860) also showed mixed capital flows [2]

高管和股东积极增持 ● 李玉敏 李蕴奇 2026年以来，A股银行板块出现明显调整，跑输大盘，这一现象主要源于市场风格切换下的资金短期流 出。在银行股调整过程中，多家银行高管和股东积极增持，机构也对外传递乐观预期，银行股的长期价 值并未改变。 银行股明显调整 开年以来，银行股出现明显调整。截至1月26日收盘，申万银行指数今年以来下跌7.04%。同期，沪深 300指数上涨1.66%，中证500指数上涨13.95%。 记者梳理发现，在本轮银行股调整过程中，市值较高的银行股调整幅度更大。在申万二级行业中，国有 大型银行、股份制银行、城商行、农商行今年以来分别下跌8.64%、8.8%、2.64%、3.69%。 市场风格主导的资金流向或许是本轮银行股调整的关键因素。招商证券金融工程团队的研报显示，2025 年12月下旬以来，小盘成长风格在市场中明显占优，大盘价值风格处于弱势。作为大盘价值风格的代 表，银行股近期遭遇"逆风"。中金公司银行业分析师林英奇认为，由于近期市场风格切换、资金流出等 原因，银行股出现一定回调。不过，这也导致银行股估值、股息吸引力提升。 在连续调整后，1月26日A股银行股行情明显回暖，申万银行指数上涨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.27% on January 26, with the Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The closing prices and performance of key agricultural commercial banks are as follows: - Zijin Bank: Closed at 2.80, up 1.08% with a trading volume of 592,100 shares and a transaction value of 164 million yuan - Zhangjiagang Bank: Closed at 4.49, up 0.45% with a trading volume of 293,200 shares and a transaction value of 131 million yuan - Jiangyin Bank: Closed at 4.53, up 0.22% with a trading volume of 376,000 shares and a transaction value of 170 million yuan - Wuxi Bank: Closed at 5.82, up 0.17% with a trading volume of 169,700 shares and a transaction value of 98.42 million yuan - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: Closed at 6.13, up 0.16% with a trading volume of 806,700 shares - Changshu Bank: Closed at 7.19, up 0.14% with a trading volume of 365,700 shares - Su Nong Bank: Closed at 5.01, down 0.20% with a trading volume of 246,100 shares - Qing Nong Bank: Closed at 3.13, down 0.32% with a trading volume of 643,900 shares - Ruifeng Bank: Closed at 5.46, down 0.55% with a trading volume of 200,900 shares - Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank: Closed at 8.40, down 1.06% with a trading volume of 377,700 shares [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - On that day, the agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 140 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 259 million yuan. The net inflow from speculative funds was 119 million yuan [1] - The detailed capital flow for specific banks is as follows: - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: Net inflow of 43.43 million yuan from institutional investors, 26.47 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 69.89 million yuan from retail investors - Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank: Net inflow of 36.54 million yuan from institutional investors, 29.93 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 66.47 million yuan from retail investors - Changshu Bank: Net inflow of 22.25 million yuan from institutional investors, 10.94 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 33.19 million yuan from retail investors - Jiangyin Bank: Net inflow of 11.74 million yuan from institutional investors, 8.70 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 20.44 million yuan from retail investors - Ruifeng Bank: Net inflow of 9.70 million yuan from institutional investors, 8.78 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 18.48 million yuan from retail investors [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both the banking and securities sectors [6]. Core Insights - The financial sector shows a strategic allocation opportunity, with increased fund positions in banking, securities, and insurance stocks [1][5]. - The banking sector's fund position has slightly increased, indicating a return of risk appetite among investors [2][13]. - The securities sector is experiencing a recovery in fund positions, driven by market activity and performance expectations [3][5]. - The insurance sector has seen a significant increase in fund positions, with major insurance stocks being favored by investors [4][5]. Summary by Sections Banking Sector - As of Q4 2025, the banking sector's fund position increased by 0.04 percentage points to 1.89%, with large banks and joint-stock banks seeing gains, while city commercial banks experienced a decline [2][13]. - The top three heavy-weighted stocks in the banking sector account for 46.0% of the total fund position, indicating a concentration in holdings [13][27]. - The dividend yield for A/H shares in the banking sector is approximately 4.87%/4.88%, making it attractive compared to the 10-year government bond yield of 1.83% [5]. Securities Sector - The securities sector's fund position rose by 0.10 percentage points to 0.72%, although it remains at a historically low level [3][5]. - Major securities firms like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan have been favored for their performance potential amidst market recovery [5][8]. - The average price-to-book ratio for large and small securities firms is 1.44x and 1.67x, respectively, indicating they are trading at 27% and 42% of their historical averages [5]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's fund position increased by 0.94 percentage points to 1.72%, with major stocks like Ping An and China Pacific receiving significant increases in holdings [4][5]. - The insurance index's price-to-book ratio is at 1.53x, which is at the 40th percentile of valuations since 2014, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [4][5]. - Strong sales performance in life insurance is noted, with a focus on high-elasticity stocks as key investment opportunities [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation that the sector will outperform the benchmark index [1]. Core Insights - The banking index has declined by 8.4% since December, primarily due to concerns over real estate and interest rate cuts, leading to a valuation drop to 0.65x PB, which is at the 65th percentile over the past five years. Some quality stocks are offering a dividend yield close to 6% for 2025 [2][6]. - Despite the market's concerns, the core revenue trends in the banking sector remain positive. Eight banks, including Nanjing and Ningbo, reported improved revenues and profits for 2025, suggesting a favorable outlook for 2026 as net interest margins stabilize and wealth management income contributes positively [7][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality banks with strong fundamentals and earnings elasticity, such as Ningbo, Nanjing, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, as well as those with excellent dividend yield ratios like Shanghai and Chengdu banks [7][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report highlights specific banks with investment recommendations: - Chengdu Bank (601838 CH): Buy with a target price of 23.25 [5]. - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (3618 HK): Buy with a target price of 8.34 [5]. - Nanjing Bank (601009 CH): Buy with a target price of 14.78 [5]. - Shanghai Bank (601229 CH): Buy with a target price of 12.38 [5]. - Ningbo Bank (002142 CH): Buy with a target price of 35.12 [5]. - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077 CH): Hold with a target price of 8.29 [5]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the banking sector's credit issuance has been robust at the start of 2026, with a significant portion of new credit issued in January, indicating a shift in lending patterns. The focus remains on sectors like transportation, energy, and manufacturing [9][10]. - The report anticipates a narrowing of the decline in net interest margins for 2026, driven by the optimization of funding costs and stabilization in new loan pricing. The impact of potential interest rate cuts by the central bank is expected to be limited due to the timing of loan repricing [10][21]. Performance Metrics - The report provides performance metrics for various banks, indicating improvements in revenue and profit growth for several institutions. For instance, Nanjing Bank is projected to achieve a net profit of 219 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 8.5% [26]. - The report also highlights the asset quality of banks, noting that the average non-performing loan ratio for mortgage loans remains below 1%, indicating manageable risk levels [6][9].