行业周报 | 煤炭 证券研究报告 推荐（维持） 报告日期 2025 03 16 相关研究 2025.3.2- 2025.3.8 -2025.03.09 2025 - 2025.03.05 2025.2.23- 2025.3.1 -2025.03.02 分析师：王锟 S0190521010002 wangkun89@xyzq.com.cn 分析师：李冉冉 S0190525010002 liranran@xyzq.com.cn 煤炭行业周报（2025.3.9-2025.3.15）—— 产地煤价回升，静待非电需求复苏 投资要点： 3 9 2742.0 880.3/1211.4/650.3 -1.9/+6.8/-5.0 ⚫ 3 14 1400 / 20 / 1430 / 5# 870 / 5# 1050 / 5 / 3 14 1241 / 43 / 1371 / 21 / 130 / 22 / ⚫ 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/14 ⚫ ⚫ | | 4 | | --- | --- | | | 4 | | | 8 | | | 9 | | | 10 | | 11 | | | 2025.3.10-2025.3.14 | ...

以上主要运营数据来自本公司初步统计，可能与公司定期报告披 露的数据有差异，仅供投资者及时了解公司生产经营状况，不对公司 未来经营状况作出预测或承诺，敬请广大投资者理性投资，注意投资 风险。 特此公告。 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 3 月 15 日 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 2025 年 2 月主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 | 运营指标 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 2 | 月 | 2024 | 年 2 月 | | 同比变化（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 本月 | | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | | 原煤产量 | 万吨 | 460 | | 887 | 417 | 870 | 10.31 | 1.95 | | 商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 403 | | 778 | 364 | 796 | 10.71 | -2.26 | 证券代码：6 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry [2]. Core Views - Short-term stabilization of coal prices is expected, with opportunities for investment in undervalued stocks [7][10]. - The coal market is showing signs of recovery due to supply tightening and increased demand from industrial sectors [7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of value investing in leading companies within the coal sector, particularly those with integrated operations [10]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views and Business Tracking - The report highlights the importance of dividend policies and growth prospects for key companies in the coal sector [15]. - It tracks the operational performance of listed companies, noting fluctuations in production and sales figures [17]. 2. Coal Price Tracking - Coal prices are being monitored closely, with specific attention to both domestic and international price movements [11]. - The report indicates that the average price of thermal coal at the port has seen a slight decrease, while demand has shown signs of recovery [7][10]. 3. Coal Inventory Tracking - The report provides insights into production levels and inventory status for both thermal and coking coal [11]. - It notes that the average daily production of thermal coal from sample mines is approximately 5.7 million tons, with a slight week-on-week decrease [10]. 4. Downstream Performance of the Coal Industry - The report discusses the consumption patterns of coal in downstream industries, particularly in power generation and steel production [11]. - It highlights the recovery in coal consumption as industrial operations ramp up during the "golden three silver four" period [7]. 5. Performance of the Coal Sector and Individual Stocks - The report analyzes the performance of the coal sector, noting a 0.4% increase week-on-week [11]. - It provides a detailed performance overview of key coal companies, emphasizing their earnings forecasts and market positioning [17].

证券代码：601699 股票简称：潞安环能 编号：2025-004 以上主要运营数据来自本公司初步统计，可能与公司定期报告披 露的数据有差异，仅供投资者及时了解公司生产经营状况，不对公司 未来经营状况作出预测或承诺，敬请广大投资者理性投资，注意投资 风险。 特此公告。 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 2 月 15 日 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 2025 年 1 月主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 | 运营指标 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 1 月 | 2024 | 年 1 月 | | 同比变化（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 本月 | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | | 原煤产量 | 万吨 | 427 | 427 | 453 | 453 | -5.74 | -5.74 | | 商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 375 | 375 | 432 | 432 | - ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Lu'an Environmental Energy Company Overview - The conference call discusses Lu'an Environmental Energy, focusing on its coal production and market conditions for 2024 and 2025 [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 2024 Performance and 2025 Outlook - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders between 2.3 billion and 2.75 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 65% to 71% due to falling coal prices and reduced sales [3][2]. - In 2024, the company produced over 57.6 million tons of coal and sold over 52 million tons, leading to a revenue decrease of approximately 8.5 billion yuan [3][2]. - The cost per ton of coal increased by about 40 yuan, primarily due to an increase in resource tax from around 8% to 10% and additional safety investments [3][2]. Coal Price and Market Conditions - As of January 2025, coal prices are stable, with thermal coal priced around 1,050 yuan per ton and metallurgical mixed coal at approximately 730 yuan per ton, both showing significant declines compared to the same period in 2024 [4][2]. - The company expects coal production in 2025 to remain above 55 million tons, but the supply task is anticipated to drop below 10 million tons due to reduced demand from long-term contracts [5][2]. Cost and Production Strategy - The company projects that the cost per ton of coal will stabilize and not exceed 2020 levels, estimating unit sales costs to be around 370 to 380 yuan [3][9]. - The breakeven point for the company is estimated to be between 650 and 660 yuan per ton, with current profits around 100 yuan per ton [11][2]. Investment and Development Plans - The company is actively advancing the development of the Moxikua coal exploration rights, with significant investment expected, estimated at over 10 billion yuan [12][2]. - Capital expenditures in 2025 will focus on resource acquisition, including existing mine expansions and new resources released in Shanxi Province [14][2]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to maintain a stable dividend policy, with no significant increases or decreases expected, despite potential large investments [15][2]. Additional Important Information - The overall coal market remains weak, with no significant improvement in demand from steel mills, and inventory reduction observed during the Spring Festival [6][7]. - The company will not reduce production despite falling coal prices, as production stability is emphasized by both the group and provincial governments [11][2]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding Lu'an Environmental Energy's performance, market conditions, and strategic outlook for the coming years.

Profit Forecast - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 to be between 2.3 billion and 2.75 billion CNY, a decrease of 5.622 billion to 5.172 billion CNY compared to the previous year, representing a decline of 65.29% to 70.97%[2] - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 2.2 billion and 2.65 billion CNY, a decrease of 5.689 billion to 5.239 billion CNY year-on-year, indicating a decline of 66.41% to 72.11%[5] - The previous year's net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.922 billion CNY, with a total profit of 11.661 billion CNY[7] Factors Affecting Profit - The decline in profit is primarily due to the significant drop in coal market prices, leading to a noticeable decrease in the average selling price of commercial coal[9] - The company also faced a decline in raw coal production and commercial coal sales due to geological conditions and mining coordination issues[9] - Increased product costs were influenced by higher resource tax rates and changes in employee compensation[9] Caution for Investors - The profit forecast is based on preliminary calculations by the finance department and has not been audited by external auditors[10] - Investors are advised to pay attention to investment risks as the forecast data is subject to change pending the formal annual report[11]

业绩预减的主要原因包括煤炭市场价格下行导致商品煤综合售价同比下降，部分生产矿井地质构造、采 掘衔接等因素导致原煤产量和商品煤销量同比下降，以及资源税税率提高和职工薪酬变动等因素导致产 品成本费用增加。 财联社1月17日电，潞安环能公告，预计2024年年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为23亿元至27.5 亿元，与上年同期相比将减少56.22亿元至51.72亿元，同比下降65.29%至70.97%。 ...

证券代码：601699 证券简称：潞安环能 公告编号：2024-065 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 2024 年第二次临时股东会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 本次股东会由公司董事会召集，董事长王志清先生主持。本次会议采取现场 投票和网络投票相结合的方式，会议的召集、召开及表决均符合《公司法》及《公 司章程》的规定。 (五) 公司董事、监事和董事会秘书的出席情况 | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 664 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 252,970,818 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股份总数的比例（%） | 22.7529 | (四) 表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，大会主持情况等。 (一) 股东会召开的时间：2024 年 12 月 30 日 (二) 股东会召开的地点：山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司会议室 (三) ...

国浩律师(太原)事务所 关于 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 2024 年第二次临时股东会 之 法律意见书 國浩律師(太原)事務所 GRANDALL LAW FIRM (TAIYUAN) 山西省太原市万柏林区长兴路1号华润大厦 T4楼21层邮编:030021 21/F,TowerT4,ChinaResourcesBuilding,No.1ChangxingRoad,WanbailinDistrict,Taiyuan,Shanxi 电话/Tel:(+86)(351)7032237/38/39 传真/Fax:(+86)(351)7024340 网址/Website:www.grandall.com.cn 2024 年 12月 国浩律师(太原)事务所 致:山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 国浩律师(太原)事务所(以下简称"本所")接受山西潞安环保能源开发 股份有限公司(以下简称"踏安环能"或"公司"的委托,指派齐春艳、鲁悦 欣律师出席了潞安环能于 2024年 12月 30日(星期一)召开的 2024年第二次临 时股东会(以下简称"本次股东会")。 本所律师根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《 ...

证券代码：601699 股票简称：潞安环能 编号：2024-063 | 运营指标 | 单位 | 2024 年 | 11 月 | 2023 年 | 11 月 | | 同比变化（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 本月 | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | | 原煤产量 | 万吨 | 509 | 5225 | 538 | 5493 | -5.39 | -4.88 | | 商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 536 | 4709 | 453 | 4930 | 18.32 | -4.48 | 以上主要运营数据来自本公司初步统计，可能与公司定期报告披 露的数据有差异，仅供投资者及时了解公司生产经营状况，不对公司 未来经营状况作出预测或承诺，敬请广大投资者理性投资，注意投资 风险。 特此公告。 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司董事会 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 2024 年 11 月主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及 ...