大基建今天继续大涨，工程机械、民爆、水泥等板块大涨。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 此外，周期股全面走强，煤炭板块大涨，白酒、养殖业、化工等板块上涨。煤炭板块中，山西焦煤、昊 华能源、潞安环能等多股涨停。 今天，A股放量上涨，三大股指齐涨，均创今年以来新高。截至收盘，上证指数上涨0.62%，深证成指 上涨0.84%，创业板指上涨0.61%。市场成交额为18930亿元，较昨日增加1931亿元。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 创业板指 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3581.86 | 11099.83 | 2310.86 | | +22.07 +0.62% | +92.34 +0.84% | +13.98 +0.61% | | 跌2724 | | 涨2540 > | | 今日成交额总计18930亿 | | 较上一日增量 +1931亿 | 中银证券表示，在行业周期底部，龙头企业具备优秀的组织管理能力及强大的抗风险能力，市场份额有 望提升。行业当前估值优势明显，龙头企业具备中长期配置价值。 具体配置方面，国金证券表示，建议关注两类标的：品牌力突出、护城河 ...

【导读】A股大涨，煤炭板块午后直线拉升 中国基金报记者 泰勒 兄弟姐妹们啊，最近的A股市场，表现实在亮眼，每天涨个不停，今天盘中三大指数虽然坐了几回"过山车"，但最后都是以大涨 收尾，相信你们都挣到钱了，没有在其他资产里面躲过这轮牛市吧！ 一起看看今天市场发生了什么！ | 最高:12.60 | 今开:11.54 | 涨停: 12.60 | 成交量: 91.26万手 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 最低: 11.46 | 昨收:11.45 | 跌停: 10.31 | 成交额:10.98亿 | | 量K： 2.55 | 换手:3.05% | 市盈率(动)：14.33 | 市盈率(TTM): 20.72 | | 委比: 100.00% | 振幅: 9.96% | 市盈率(静): 15.39 | 市净率:0.80 | | 每股收益:0.61 | 股息(TTM): 0.41 | 总股本: 29.91亿 | 总市值: 376.92亿 | | 每股净资产:15.79 | 股息率(TTM): 3.25% | 流通股: 29.91亿 | 流通值: 376.92亿 | | 52周最高: 18.57 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The coal market is experiencing significant fluctuations due to rumors of a regulatory notice from the National Energy Administration regarding coal mine production checks, which has led to a surge in coal stock prices and futures contracts [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the rumors of the regulatory notice, several coal stocks, including Shanxi Coking Coal, Haohua Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy, reached their daily limit up [1][3]. - The main futures contracts for coking coal and coke also hit their daily limit, with coking coal futures reported at 1048.5 yuan/ton, reflecting a 7.98% increase [1][3]. Group 2: Production and Supply Dynamics - The rumored notice indicates that there will be checks on coal mines in eight provinces, including Shanxi and Inner Mongolia, to address overproduction and ensure orderly coal supply [1][4]. - Current data shows a slight decrease in coal production, with a week-on-week decline of 2.65 million tons to 12.2788 million tons, and a utilization rate drop of 0.18% to 85.43% [4]. Group 3: Demand and Price Trends - High temperatures across the country have led to increased electricity demand, resulting in a notable reduction in port inventories and rising coal prices [5]. - The coking coal market is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints from adverse weather conditions and a recovery in downstream purchasing activity [5][6]. Group 4: Policy and Future Outlook - The China Coal Industry Association has emphasized the importance of digital transformation and safe, efficient coal mining practices in its 2024 report [5]. - There is an expectation that the price of thermal coal will rebound towards long-term contract prices, potentially exceeding 700 yuan/ton if favorable market conditions persist [6].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) has shown strong performance, with a 1.80% increase, driven by significant gains in constituent stocks such as Tunnel Co. (600820) and Shanxi Coking Coal (000983) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The National State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159515) rose by 1.83%, marking a third consecutive increase [1] - Key stocks in the coal sector, including Shanxi Coking Coal and Lu'an Environmental Energy, experienced a 10% limit up [1] - The coal sector is expected to maintain a positive outlook due to strong demand and favorable pricing conditions [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - Everbright Securities noted that the "anti-involution" expectations are strengthening, predicting a bullish trend for coal prices as the peak demand season approaches [1] - Guosen Securities highlighted the resilience of coal demand and the potential for price rebounds in the second half of the year, supported by improved supply-demand dynamics [1] - The coal sector demonstrated strong performance metrics in Q1 2025, including a low debt-to-asset ratio of 44.7%, a net profit margin of 12.7%, and a relatively high return on equity (ROE) [1] Group 3: Index Composition - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index comprises 100 listed companies with high and stable cash dividend yields, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend state-owned enterprises [2] - The top five industries represented in the index are banking, coal, transportation, real estate, and media [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 15.81% of the total index weight, with significant contributions from companies like COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937) [2][4]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the negative impact from the mid-year report has been fully absorbed, and the fundamentals of the coal industry remain upward [1] - The coal sector has underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 0.74% compared to a 1.09% increase in the index, resulting in a relative underperformance of 1.83 percentage points [2] - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 7.31 million tons, which is a week-on-week increase of 2.8% and a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [2] - The report highlights a decrease in coal inventory by 4% week-on-week, while year-on-year inventory has increased by 19.8% [2] Summary by Sections Coal Market Performance - The coal sector saw 6 stocks rise and 31 stocks fall during the week, with ST Dazhou showing the highest increase of 4.89% [2] - The average daily sales of thermal coal increased by 3.2% week-on-week, while coking coal sales rose by 1.9% [2] Price Trends - As of July 18, 2025, the price index for thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 663 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [3] - The price of coking coal at Jing Tang Port was 1420 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 8.4% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that social inventory continues to decline, and current demand remains promising, with domestic power plants showing a significant increase in daily coal consumption [6] - The report recommends focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and coking coal companies that are experiencing turnaround potential, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others [6]

截至2025年7月18日，红利ETF国企(530880)上涨0.59%。成分股淮北矿业(600985)上涨1.86%，潞安环能 (601699)上涨1.68%，上海银行(601229)上涨1.66%，中国石化(600028)上涨1.57%，开滦股份(600997)上 涨1.52%。 高温天气叠加"反内卷"政策的持续发酵，煤炭市场走势强劲：动力煤受季节性用电高峰支撑，价格上行 预期增强；焦煤则因供给端政策调整与需求端补库需求释放，价格企稳回升。 国信证券研报分析称，煤炭价格在上半年已完成探底，下半年供需格局有望改善，煤价具备持续反弹潜 力，看好煤炭需求韧性。 没有股票账户的也可借道场外联接一键布局，银河上证国有企业红利ETF发起式联接A：023162；银河 上证国有企业红利ETF发起式联接C：023163。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 近日，"反内卷"政策通过治理低价无序竞争，加速淘汰焦煤等领域的落后产能，与过去"一刀切"式去产 能不同，本轮"反内卷"更强调市场导向与结构性优化。政策通过提升先进产能占比、优化资源配置，推 动行业利润向头部企业集中，具备成本优势与高分红 ...

证券代码：601699 证券简称：潞安环能 编号：2025-031 山西潞安环保能源开发股份有限公司 2025 年 6 月主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 | 运营指标 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 6 | 月 | 2024 | 年 6 | 月 | 同比变化（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 本月 | | 累计 | 本月 | | 累计 | 本月 | 累计 | | 原煤产量 | 万吨 | 552 | | 2865 | 515 | | 2767 | 7.18 | 3.54 | | 商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 479 | | 2523 | 487 | | 2455 | -1.64 | 2.77 | 以上主要运营数据来自本公司初步统计，可能与公司定期报告披 露的数据有差异，仅供投资者及时了解公司生产经营状况，不对公司 未来经营状况作出预测或承诺，敬请广大投资者理性投资，注意投资 风险 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Views - Social inventory has decreased for the first time, and summer demand is expected to remain strong. Domestic power plants are increasing daily coal consumption, leading to rising coal prices. Policies to control production and improve quality are being emphasized, supporting the fundamentals of both coking coal and thermal coal [6][29] - The report highlights that the overall level of social inventory is stable, with a significant increase in daily consumption expected due to hot weather and ongoing replenishment needs at power plants. The coking coal sector may see marginal improvements in performance due to potential declines in capacity utilization driven by environmental factors [6][29] Summary by Sections Coal Sector Performance - The coal sector saw a weekly increase of 0.71%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.82%. A total of 34 stocks in the sector increased in price, while 3 declined. Meijin Energy had the highest weekly increase at 10.8% [2] - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 7.21 million tons from July 4 to July 10, 2025, a week-on-week increase of 3.7% and a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [2] Price Trends - As of July 11, 2025, the price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 662 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 0.3%. The price index for imported thermal coal rose by 1.21% to 750 CNY/ton [3] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1310 CNY/ton, up 4.8% week-on-week, while the price of metallurgical coke remained stable at 1320 CNY/ton [4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The cumulative coal sales volume for key monitored enterprises was 131.73 million tons as of July 10, 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%. The demand from the power and chemical industries showed a year-on-year decrease of 3% and an increase of 16.6%, respectively [2][28] - The report indicates that the daily coal consumption in the power sector is expected to rise significantly, with the total social inventory of coal at 32.86 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 2.6% [2][28] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and coking coal companies that may experience a turnaround. Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Meijin Energy among others [6][29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is the early stage of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with short-term supply-demand balance and long-term gaps still present [11][12] - Coal prices have established a bottom and are trending towards a new platform, with high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE) of 10-20%, and dividend yields over 5% for quality coal companies [11][12] - The coal sector is relatively undervalued, with overall valuation expected to improve, supported by high premiums in the primary mining rights market and a price-to-book (PB) ratio around 1 for most companies [11][12] - The coal sector is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance over the next 3-5 years, with quality coal companies exhibiting high barriers to entry, cash flow, dividends, and yield characteristics [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of July 12, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 624 CNY/ton, an increase of 8 CNY/ton week-on-week [28] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1310 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton week-on-week [30] Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 93.7%, down 0.3 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 85.52%, up 1.7 percentage points [11][46] - Daily coal consumption in coastal provinces increased by 6.10 thousand tons/day (+2.92%) week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a decrease of 9.50 thousand tons/day (-2.61%) [11][47] Coal Inventory Situation - As of July 10, coal inventory in coastal provinces decreased by 785 thousand tons (-2.18%) week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a slight decrease of 0.70 thousand tons (-0.01%) [11][47] Key Companies to Watch - Focus on stable and robust performers such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy [12] - Attention to companies with significant upside potential like Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Power Investment, and Guanghui Energy [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Increase" for the coal industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The coal price rebound is expected to exceed expectations due to continuous improvement in supply and demand margins [1]. - The report highlights strong support for coal prices driven by increased electricity demand during high-temperature weather, with significant historical peaks in power load recorded [7]. - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to create long-term uncertainties in domestic coal supply, while short-term supply is affected by heavy rainfall [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry consists of 37 listed companies with a total market value of 17,077.38 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 16,672.70 billion yuan [2]. 2. Price Tracking - The report notes that the price of thermal coal at the Qinhuangdao port was 637 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 9 yuan/ton [8]. - The average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines was 5.642 million tons, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous week [8]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report indicates that the demand for thermal coal is expected to rise due to increased electricity consumption during the summer heat, with a historical peak load of 2.52 million kilowatts recorded in the southern power grid [7]. - The supply side is constrained by heavy rainfall affecting production capacity, with the utilization rate of coal mines in the Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia regions at 80.4% [6]. 4. Company Performance and Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Yancoal Energy, Guohui Energy, and Shanxi Coal International, which are expected to benefit from the rebound in coal prices [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-elasticity stocks in the coal sector, particularly those related to thermal and coking coal [6][7].