Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics has experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping over 6% recently, attributed to the sale of shares by its largest shareholder, Draka Comteq B.V., which has now fully exited its position in the company [1] Company Summary - Changfei Fiber Optics' stock price fell by 5.14% to HKD 54.45, with a trading volume of HKD 355 million [1] - Draka Comteq B.V. sold 37.5953 million H-shares, representing 5% of the total share capital, completing its exit from the company [1] - As of the end of March this year, both Draka Comteq B.V. and China Huaxin Post and Telecommunication Technology Co., Ltd. were the largest shareholders, each holding 23.73% of the company [1] Industry Summary - The company has noted a rising market interest in fiber optic products related to data centers, particularly hollow-core fibers [1] - Currently, fiber optic products related to data centers account for a small proportion of the total global demand for fiber optic cables [1] - Hollow-core fiber, as a cutting-edge product, is still in the early stages of application, lacking scale sales and stable pricing and profit levels [1] - The hollow-core fiber business has not yet had a significant impact on the company's financial data [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the communication industry [3]. Core Insights - The enthusiasm for the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics is high both domestically and internationally, with domestic manufacturers expected to leverage cost and technological advantages to capture a significant market share [2]. - Major companies like Microsoft are actively pursuing the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics, with plans to increase global production to meet the growing demand for network infrastructure [5]. - The hollow-core fiber optics technology promises to significantly enhance transmission speed and reduce latency, making it a competitive medium for global optical communication [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The hollow-core fiber optics market is currently small, but manufacturers with technological and patent advantages are in a leading position. Companies like Lumensity and Changfei Fiber Optics are at the forefront, while domestic players such as Hengtong Optic-Electric and Zhongtian Technology are also making strategic moves [2]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the demand for multi-mode fiber optics is increasing, and as the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics accelerates, domestic manufacturers are expected to achieve large-scale shipments and capture a larger market share [2]. Technological Advancements - Hollow-core fiber optics utilize air or inert gas instead of solid fiber cores, which allows for faster signal transmission and reduced latency compared to traditional glass fiber optics. This technology is particularly beneficial for data centers, which are expanding in scale and energy consumption [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Changfei Fiber Optics, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Zhongtian Technology for potential investment opportunities in the hollow-core fiber optics sector [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the communication industry [3] Core Viewpoints - The enthusiasm for the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics is high both domestically and internationally, with domestic manufacturers expected to leverage cost and technological advantages to capture a significant market share [2] - Major companies like Microsoft, Corning, and Heraeus are actively collaborating to advance the production of hollow-core fiber optics, with Microsoft planning to lay 15,000 kilometers of this fiber in the next two years [5] - Hollow-core fiber optics can significantly enhance transmission speed and reduce latency, making it a promising medium for future global optical communication [5] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The hollow-core fiber optics market is currently small, but manufacturers with technological and patent advantages are in a leading position [2] - Companies such as Lumensity and Yangtze Optical Fibre are key players in the hollow-core fiber production, with other domestic firms like Hengtong Optic-Electric and Zhongtian Technology also making strategic moves [2] Market Dynamics - The demand for multi-mode fiber is expected to rise, and as the industrialization of hollow-core fiber accelerates, domestic manufacturers are likely to achieve large-scale shipments [2] - The collaboration between Microsoft and Corning aims to enhance the performance and reliability of AI networks through the production of hollow-core fiber [5] Future Outlook - The report suggests that while there are still technical challenges to overcome for mass production, the trend towards industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics is clear, with significant growth expected in demand for long-distance data transmission applications [5]

Core Insights - On September 24, Changfei Fiber conducted a block trade of 20,000 shares, with a transaction amount of 2.206 million yuan, accounting for 0.11% of the total transaction volume for the day [1] Group 1 - The transaction price was 110.3 yuan, which remained stable compared to the market closing price of 110.3 yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the communication industry [3]. Core Viewpoints - There is a strong enthusiasm for the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics both domestically and internationally, with domestic manufacturers expected to leverage cost and technological advantages to capture a significant market share [2]. - Major companies like Microsoft are actively pursuing the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics, with plans to increase global production to meet the growing demand for network infrastructure [5]. - The hollow-core fiber optics technology promises to significantly enhance transmission speeds and reduce latency, making it a competitive medium for global optical communication [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The hollow-core fiber optics market is currently small, but manufacturers with technological and patent advantages are in a leading position. Companies like Lumensity and Changfei Fiber Optics are at the forefront, while domestic players such as Hengtong Optic-Electric and Zhongtian Technology are also making strategic moves [2]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the demand for multi-mode fiber optics is expected to rise, and as the industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics accelerates, domestic manufacturers will likely achieve large-scale shipments and capture a substantial market share [2]. Technological Advancements - Hollow-core fiber optics utilize air or inert gas instead of solid fiber cores, which allows for faster signal transmission and reduced latency compared to traditional quartz glass fibers. This technology is particularly beneficial for data centers, which are increasingly expanding in scale and energy consumption [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Changfei Fiber Optics, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Zhongtian Technology for potential investment opportunities in the hollow-core fiber optics sector [6].

Group 1 - The optical communication module sector experienced a decline of 2.56% [1] - Among the companies, Hangdian Co., Ltd. saw a drop of 5.97% [1] - Guangku Technology and Tengjing Technology fell by 5.56% and 5.53% respectively [1] Group 2 - Changfei Optical Fiber, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Cambridge Technology all reported declines exceeding 4% [1]

Group 1 - The CPO concept stocks in the A-share market opened lower collectively, with significant declines observed in several companies [1] - Guangku Technology and Tianfu Communication both dropped over 5%, while Zhongji Xuchuang and Cambridge Technology fell over 4% [1] - Other companies such as Jingwang Electronics, Zhongfu Circuit, Guangxun Technology, Shijia Photon, and Changxin Bochuang experienced declines exceeding 3% [1] Group 2 - Guangku Technology reported a decline of 5.56%, with a total market value of 31.9 billion and a year-to-date increase of 164.25% [2] - Tianfu Communication saw a decrease of 5.04%, with a market capitalization of 140.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 178.51% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a drop of 4.21%, with a market value of 462.2 billion and a year-to-date increase of 238.17% [2]

Group 1 - CPO concept stocks experienced significant declines, with Guangku Technology falling over 10% [1] - Other companies such as Changfei Optical Fiber, Tianfu Communication, Cambridge Technology, and Lingyun Optical also saw declines exceeding 5% [1]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the communication industry, suggesting a potential shift towards a "stronger gets stronger" dynamic due to technological and capital barriers [1]. Core Insights - The communication industry is experiencing a transformation driven by technology and policy support, with a shift in demand from traditional to emerging services [1][39]. - The industry is expected to enter a recovery phase in Q3 2025, with capital expenditure expansion driven by technological breakthroughs and new infrastructure initiatives [39]. - The demand for AI computing power, accelerated commercialization of 5G-A, breakthroughs in 6G technology, and the rise of the "low-altitude economy" are key factors driving the industry's upgrade [1][39]. Supply Capacity Analysis - The report highlights the growth in the optical communication sector, particularly in high-speed optical modules, driven by AI computing demand and increased capital expenditure from global cloud service providers [3][10]. - The domestic penetration rate of traditional optical fiber and cable is nearing saturation, prompting companies to accelerate international expansion [5][4]. - The communication equipment integration market is recovering, with the Asia-Pacific region leading in 5G system integration and services [6]. Demand Matching Capability Analysis - The demand for optical modules, especially high-speed products for data centers, is robust, with a projected shipment increase from 6.4 million units in 2023 to over 31.9 million units by 2025 [3]. - The communication equipment market is experiencing strong growth, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 18.9% in Q2 2025, despite a contraction in 5G investment [11]. - The telecommunications service sector is seeing a shift towards emerging businesses, with significant growth in AI computing and quantum communication services [15][30]. Industry Chain Position Analysis - The communication industry is characterized by a high degree of market concentration, particularly among leading companies in optical communication and equipment integration [24][27]. - The report notes that traditional communication services are facing saturation, with new business areas becoming the core of competitive differentiation [28]. Innovation Capability Analysis - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support for technological advancements, particularly in AI, 6G, and satellite communication [31][32]. - Significant R&D investments are being directed towards AI and 6G technologies, with major companies like China Mobile leading initiatives in these areas [34]. Credit Rating Situation Analysis - The communication industry is witnessing a favorable credit environment, with a total bond issuance of 17.35 billion yuan in Q2 2025, primarily from leading companies [36][37]. - The report indicates that the dual barriers of technology and capital for leading firms will become more pronounced, reinforcing the trend towards market consolidation [36]. Cycle Development Outlook - The communication industry is expected to see revenue and profit growth, with cash flow recovery anticipated in Q3 2025 [38]. - The report forecasts a transition to an expansion phase driven by new infrastructure investments and a focus on domestic demand [39]. Key Segment Development Trends - The optical communication sector is evolving towards ultra-high-speed, intelligent, and integrated solutions, supporting the AI computing network [40]. - The commercialization of 5G-A and advancements in 6G technology are expected to enhance the capabilities of communication equipment integrators [41]. - Telecommunications services are anticipated to diversify, with new opportunities arising from the low-altitude economy and satellite internet developments [42].

Core Insights - Changfei Fiber's stock price decreased by 2.05% on September 23, trading at 112.92 CNY per share with a total market capitalization of 85.583 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a significant stock price increase of 281.20% year-to-date, with a 58.89% rise over the past 20 days [1] Company Overview - Changfei Fiber Optic Cable Co., Ltd. was established on May 31, 1988, and listed on July 20, 2018, focusing on the telecommunications industry, particularly in fiber optic preform, fiber, and cable production [2] - The company's revenue composition includes 64.50% from optical transmission products, 17.35% from optical interconnection components, and 15.85% from other sources [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Changfei Fiber reported a revenue of 6.384 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.38%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21.71% to 296 million CNY [2] - The company has distributed a total of 2.129 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 943 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 11.76% to 22,600, with the average circulating shares per person remaining at zero [2] - Notable changes in institutional holdings include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited increasing its stake to 5.9496 million shares, while new shareholders include China Europe Value Discovery Mixed A [3]