| 中威电子 | 11.74 +4.73% +1.29% | | --- | --- | | 创 300270 | | | 华脉科技 | 19.55 +4.66% +14.80% | | 603042 融 | | | 凯旺科技 | 53.88 +3.86% +42.52% | | 创 301182 融 | | （文章来源：上海证券报） | | | 光纤概念股盘初上扬。杭电股份6天5板，长江通信、长飞光纤触及涨停，烽火通信、中威电子等多股跟涨。消息面上，根据华泰证券研报，2026年1月， 中国市场G.652.D单模光纤价格创下近七年来的新高，平均价格来到35元/芯公里以上。 ...

每经AI快讯，长飞光纤光缆(06869.HK)今早一度冲高涨逾8%%，现涨幅收窄。截至发稿，涨3.06%，报 89.15港元，成交额14.12亿港元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Optical Fiber (601869) and its cable segment (06869) experienced a significant price increase, with shares rising over 8% at one point, currently up 3.06% to HKD 89.15, with a trading volume of HKD 1.412 billion [1] Industry Summary - According to Huatai Securities, the price of G.652.D single-mode optical fiber in the Chinese market reached a nearly seven-year high in January 2026, averaging over 35 yuan per core kilometer [1] - Guotai Junan Securities noted a continuous rise in the price of optical fibers, anticipating further price increases due to upcoming telecom and mobile operators' procurement and heightened demand for inventory ahead of the Spring Festival [1] - The firm believes that major domestic customers are likely to accept price hikes, confirming the upward trend in the sector amidst market fluctuations [1] - The industry outlook is positive for leading optical fiber and cable manufacturers, who are expected to benefit significantly from the surge in demand and the resulting price increases, with profit elasticity likely to be continuously revised upwards [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in the price of G.652.D single-mode optical fibers in the Chinese market, reaching an average price of over 35 yuan per core kilometer, the highest in nearly seven years [1] - According to Huatai Securities, the recent rise in fiber prices is attributed to increased demand from telecom and mobile operators ahead of their procurement and the upcoming Spring Festival, suggesting that prices are expected to continue rising [1] - Guotai Junan Securities expresses optimism about leading domestic optical fiber and cable manufacturers benefiting from the price increase trend driven by surging demand, indicating potential for profit elasticity to be continuously revised upwards [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the fiber optic industry is entering a price increase trend, driven by rising demand for G657A2 and other products, leading to reduced supply of G652D and longer delivery times [2][4] - The demand for fiber optics is significantly boosted by AI-driven data centers and DCI (Data Center Interconnect) scenarios, with global fiber demand expected to continue rising [3][4] - The export performance of fiber optic and cable companies is strong, with overseas markets becoming an important growth point for the industry [3][6] Group 2 - The competition in computing power is driving a concentrated explosion in fiber demand, with AI data centers requiring significantly more fiber than traditional data centers [4][5] - The demand for specialty and multimode fibers is growing, with companies rapidly advancing in the development and application of hollow-core fibers [5] - Major domestic fiber optic manufacturers are expected to benefit from the price increase trend, with profit elasticity likely to be continuously revised upwards [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the fiber optic cable industry [1]. Core Insights - The fiber optic industry is experiencing a significant price increase trend, driven by a surge in demand due to computational power competition and the growth of special and multimode fibers. The export performance of fiber optic cables is strong, confirming the industry's upward pricing trend [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Fiber Optic Industry Cycle and Price Trends - After being under pressure in the first half of last year, the price of fiber optic cables has been gradually recovering, particularly with increased demand for G657A2 overseas, leading to a reduction in G652D supply and longer delivery times. The price of G652D fiber has seen significant increases, with expectations for continued price hikes as major telecom operators prepare for procurement [8][9]. 2. Factors Driving Price Increases - The demand for fiber optic cables is continuously growing, with G652D fiber experiencing a structural shortage. Prices have risen significantly, with the latest market quotes reaching 30-40 yuan per core kilometer, reflecting a more than 50% increase over the previous year [16][22]. - The competition for computational power is a core driver of fiber demand, with data centers requiring significantly more fiber than traditional setups. The global demand for fiber optic cables is expected to increase by 75.9% in 2025, particularly for high-end products like G.654.E and OM5 multimode fibers [20][22]. - The supply side is constrained, with a slow growth in global fiber preform capacity and a shift towards high-demand AI and specialty fibers, leading to a more orderly supply of traditional products [30]. 3. Export Performance and Growth Opportunities - The export of fiber optic cables has become a crucial growth point for companies in the industry, with significant increases in overseas demand. In 2025, the total export volume of fiber optic products reached 454,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 11.1%, with export value rising by 44.1% [12][10]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading domestic fiber optic manufacturers such as Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable Joint Stock Limited Company, Hengtong Optic-Electric Co., Ltd., and Zhongtian Technology Co., Ltd., which are expected to benefit from the price increase trend and growing demand [51].

Core Viewpoint - The optical communication sector is experiencing a significant decline, with major stocks such as Changfei Fiber Optics and Huahong Semiconductor seeing notable drops in their share prices [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Changfei Fiber Optics (06869) decreased by 6.91%, trading at 86.2 HKD [1] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347) fell by 4.2%, with a price of 98.1 HKD [1] - Huiju Technology (01729) dropped by 3.86%, now at 16.93 HKD [1] - Cambridge Technology (06166) declined by 3.06%, priced at 71.25 HKD [1] - Hong Teng Precision (06088) decreased by 2.87%, trading at 4.74 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities reported that the performance forecast for 2025 has concluded, and the appreciation of the RMB will impact the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports [1] - The overall profit impact from provisions and exchange rate adjustments is estimated to be within 5%, but some companies may see nearly half of their profits affected [1] - For 2026, the industry is expected to show individual differences, but the overall situation remains manageable [1] - The market for pluggable components is anticipated to continue improving from 2026 to 2027, with new packaging and material technologies beginning to materialize, presenting marginal change opportunities worth monitoring [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a decline in optical communication concept stocks, with all listed companies in this sector experiencing losses [1] - Changfei Fiber Optics (06869.HK) dropped by 6.91%, trading at 86.2 HKD [1] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347.HK) fell by 4.2%, with a current price of 98.1 HKD [1] - Huiju Technology (01729.HK) decreased by 3.86%, now priced at 16.93 HKD [1] - Cambridge Technology (06166.HK) saw a decline of 3.06%, trading at 71.25 HKD [1] - Hongteng Precision (06088.HK) experienced a drop of 2.87%, with a price of 4.74 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The optical communication sector is experiencing a significant decline, with major stocks dropping in value, influenced by currency fluctuations and performance forecasts for 2025 and beyond [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Major optical communication stocks have seen notable declines: - Changfei Fiber Optics (06869) down 6.91% to HKD 86.2 - Huahong Semiconductor (01347) down 4.2% to HKD 98.1 - Huiju Technology (01729) down 3.86% to HKD 16.93 - Cambridge Technology (06166) down 3.06% to HKD 71.25 - Hong Teng Precision (06088) down 2.87% to HKD 4.74 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities reports that the optical interconnection sector, primarily reliant on overseas exports, will be impacted by the appreciation of the RMB, with an average profit impact of less than 5%, while some companies may see nearly half of their profits affected by provisions and exchange rate changes [1] - The outlook for 2026 indicates that while individual company performance may vary, the overall industry remains manageable, with the plug-and-play market expected to continue improving [1] - New packaging and material technology changes are beginning to materialize, presenting marginal change opportunities worth monitoring [1]

Core Viewpoint - The optical communication sector is experiencing a significant decline, with major stocks such as Changfei Optical Fiber and Huahong Semiconductor seeing notable drops in their share prices. The overall market sentiment appears to be negative, influenced by currency fluctuations and profit warnings from companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Changfei Optical Fiber (601869) has decreased by 6.91%, trading at 86.2 HKD [1] - Huahong Semiconductor (01347) has fallen by 4.2%, currently at 98.1 HKD [1] - Huiju Technology (01729) is down by 3.86%, priced at 16.93 HKD [1] - Cambridge Technology (603083) has dropped by 3.06%, now at 71.25 HKD [1] - Hong Teng Precision (06088) has seen a decline of 2.87%, trading at 4.74 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to Guotai Junan Securities, the performance forecast for 2025 has concluded, and the appreciation of the RMB is impacting the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports [1] - The average potential impact on profits due to provisions and exchange rate fluctuations is estimated to be within 5%, although some companies may face impacts close to 50% of their profits [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, while individual company performance may vary, the overall outlook for the industry remains manageable [1] - The market for pluggable solutions is expected to continue improving, with new packaging and material technologies beginning to materialize, presenting opportunities for marginal changes [1]