生猪出栏显著增长，高质量发展成本持续降低。2024年，公司生猪出栏量达到275.52 万头，其中商品猪 出栏 268.38 万头，较上年增加 50.76%。公司通过自繁自养模式和"公司+农户"模式，不仅提高了养殖 效率，还有效减轻了资金压力。公司商品猪完全成本保持在6.75 元/斤以内，其中商品猪养殖成本为 6.13元/斤（2023 年肥猪生产成本7.34 元/斤）。公司规划的2025 年商品猪完全成本目标为6.5 元/斤以 内。公司计划2025 年实现商品猪出栏400 万头以上，公司现有18 万头以上种猪场产能和26 万头以上存 栏种猪，能够有效保障公司生猪养殖产能规模的稳健、持续增长。 业绩总结：公司2025年第一季度实现营业收入16.45亿元，同比增长73.45%；实现归母净利润1.30 亿 元，较上年同期亏损1.38 亿元实现扭亏为盈；实现扣非后归母净利润1.32 亿元，较上年同期亏损1.12 亿 元实现扭亏为盈。 新项目稳步推进，产能扩张支撑公司养殖业务规模再上新阶。公司德昌巨星生猪繁育一体化项目在2024 年四季度已完成计划母猪的配种工作并达到满产状态，预计2025 年上半年出栏提供商品猪产品。截 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025Q1, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A-shares turned positive from negative, and the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly turned negative. After excluding finance and petroleum & petrochemicals, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A non-financial and non-petroleum & petrochemicals also turned positive from negative, while the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly declined. In terms of size style, the year-on-year growth rates of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 in the single quarter of 2025Q1 turned significantly positive from negative. In terms of major sectors, the growth rates of net profit attributable to the parent of the consumer and growth sectors led in 2025Q1, those of the cyclical and financial sectors slightly turned positive, and the negative growth rate of the stable sector significantly narrowed. In terms of industries, the performance growth rates of the midstream cyclical, some consumer, and growth industries generally improved, with agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, household appliances, automobiles, electronics, and non-banking maintaining high-speed growth [3][19][21]. - The average negative growth of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed, and the revenue growth rate declined. After excluding some extreme values, the average growth rate of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed from -42.76% in 2024Q4 to -2.23%, and the average growth rate of single-quarter revenue in 2025Q1 decreased from 8.51% in 2024Q4 to 5.36% [3][33]. - Some convertible bonds are recommended for investment. In the cyclical sector, it is recommended to overweight convertible bonds such as Guocheng, Huayou, and Guangda. In the consumer sector, it is recommended to overweight convertible bonds in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, as well as Zhongchongzhuan 2, Xinruzhuan, and Baolong. In the growth sector, it is recommended to overweight convertible bonds such as Weice, Haopeng, Guoli, and Weil [3][7][13]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. 2025Q1 Performance Growth Convertible Bond Recommendations - Among the existing 472 convertible bonds, 372 achieved profitability in the single quarter of 2025Q1. After excluding those with a balance of less than 300 million yuan and a remaining term of less than 1 year, 109 convertible bonds remain. Some convertible bonds are recommended for investment based on factors such as the sustainability of the company's high performance growth and the current price and conversion premium rate of the convertible bonds [6]. - **Cyclical Sector**: It is recommended to overweight convertible bonds with mineral resource advantages such as Guocheng and Huayou, Guangda with a positive business trend, Dongcai, Dinglong, Anji, and Zhengfan that benefit from the domestic substitution of semiconductor materials, Keli and Bo 23 that benefit from the accelerated development of the robot and AI industries, and Polai that benefits from the recovery of consumer demand and domestic substitution [7]. - **Consumer Sector**: It is recommended to overweight convertible bonds in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, including Muyuan, Juxing, Wenshi, Xiwangzhuan 2, and Hefeng. Also recommended are Zhongchongzhuan 2, the leading pet food company, Xinruzhuan, the leading regional dairy company, and Baolong, an automobile parts manufacturer [13]. - **Growth Sector**: It is recommended to overweight Weice, the leading domestic third-party integrated circuit testing service provider, Haopeng, a consumer battery manufacturer, Guoli, an electronic vacuum device manufacturer, and Weil, the global CIS leader [15]. 2. All A: Technology and Domestic Demand Lead, Midstream Cycle Warms Up - **Overall A-share Performance**: In 2025Q1, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A-shares turned positive from negative, and the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly turned negative. After excluding finance and petroleum & petrochemicals, the year-on-year growth rate of single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of all A non-financial and non-petroleum & petrochemicals also turned positive from negative, while the year-on-year revenue growth rate slightly declined [19]. - **Size Style Performance**: In 2025Q1, the year-on-year growth rates of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 in the single quarter turned significantly positive from negative, while the year-on-year growth rate of net profit attributable to the parent of SSE 50 slightly turned negative from positive [20]. - **Sector Performance**: In 2025Q1, the growth rates of net profit attributable to the parent of the consumer and growth sectors led, those of the cyclical and financial sectors slightly turned positive, and the negative growth rate of the stable sector significantly narrowed. The revenue growth rate of the growth sector led among all sectors [21][23]. - **Industry Performance**: In 2025Q1, the performance growth rates of the midstream cyclical, some consumer, and growth industries generally improved, with agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, household appliances, automobiles, electronics, and non-banking maintaining high-speed growth. In terms of ROE and other aspects, the ROE levels of most downstream cyclical and consumer sectors declined, the gross profit margins of the optional consumer sector generally declined, and the net profit margins of the midstream cyclical sector generally recovered. The top 30 sub-industries in terms of single-quarter profit growth rate in 2025Q1 were mainly concentrated in the electronics, computer, and media industries [25][28][32]. 3. Convertible Bonds: Narrowing Negative Profit Growth, Declining Revenue Growth Rate - As of May 5, 2025, the existing 472 convertible bonds covered 27 out of 30 CITIC first-level industries, and 92% of the underlying stocks of the convertible bonds had a market value of less than 3 billion yuan. In terms of size style, the issuers of convertible bonds were generally closer to small and medium-cap stocks [33]. - The average negative growth of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed, and the revenue growth rate declined. After excluding some extreme values, the average growth rate of the single-quarter net profit attributable to the parent of existing convertible bonds in 2025Q1 significantly narrowed from -42.76% in 2024Q4 to -2.23%, and the average growth rate of single-quarter revenue in 2025Q1 decreased from 8.51% in 2024Q4 to 5.36% [33].

Group 1: Swine Industry - The domestic supply and demand for pigs is expected to improve marginally by Q2 2025, with pig prices supported and entering a phase of gradual upward movement. External factors such as tariff-driven increases in feed raw material prices and higher costs for imported meat are also contributing positively to pig prices. The swine sector is highlighted as a defensive asset amid macroeconomic shocks, reinforcing investment logic. Recommended stocks include Wens Foodstuff Group, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [4][86]. - In 2024, China's pork production is projected to reach 56.75 million tons, accounting for 49% of global production, with consumption at 57.95 million tons, representing 50% of global consumption. This positions China as the world's largest pork producer and consumer [13][15]. - The average price of pork in 2024 is estimated at 16.8 yuan per kilogram, reflecting an increase of 11.8% year-on-year. The swine farming market size is expected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, up 11.2% year-on-year [17][32]. Group 2: Poultry Industry - The demand for white chicken remains resilient despite uncertainties from U.S.-China tariff policies and avian influenza outbreaks. The consumption of white feather broilers is expected to improve marginally, with recommended stocks including San Nong Development and He Feng Co [5][94]. - In 2024, the total output of meat chickens in China is projected to reach 14.84 billion, with white feather broilers accounting for 60.85% of this figure. The output of white feather broilers is expected to increase by 2.2% year-on-year [99]. Group 3: Animal Health - The market for piglets and poultry chicks is stable, with a solid demand for poultry chicks supported by increasing poultry farming. The market for ruminant and pet vaccines is also expected to remain robust, with recommended stocks including Bio-Group, Kexin Biology, and Pulaike [6]. Group 4: Planting and Seeds - The focus on food security is emphasized, with companies involved in high-yield genetically modified soybeans likely to benefit from the ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. The third batch of genetically modified corn varieties is expected to be approved for planting, which may increase the area under cultivation [7]. Group 5: Feed Industry - The recovery of the swine sector is expected to boost domestic demand for feed, while overseas markets present new growth opportunities. The demand for pig feed is anticipated to rebound as pig farming profitability improves and pig stocks gradually recover [8]. Group 6: Pet Industry - The upcoming shopping festivals are expected to drive demand for pet food, with domestic brands likely to gain market share due to increased tariffs on imported high-end products. Recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co, and Petty Co [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation rating for the pig farming industry [5] Core Insights - The pig farming sector continues to show profitability in Q1 2025, with major companies reporting significant revenue growth [3][19] - The price of commodity pigs is expected to exhibit a weak cyclical trend, with seasonal fluctuations not being pronounced [21][23] - Under the backdrop of tariff negotiations, the weak substitute product, chlortetracycline, has significant price increase opportunities [22][25] - A strategy of selecting strong stocks during weak cycles is recommended, emphasizing cost advantages and growth potential [24] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - In Q1 2025, leading companies in the pig farming sector reported substantial revenue increases, with top performers including Zhengbang Technology, Dongrui Co., Juxing Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, and Shennong Group [3][19] - The average price of commodity pigs as of April 30, 2025, was 14.79 yuan/kg, showing a slight decrease from the previous week [21] - The report anticipates a weak cyclical trend for pig prices in 2025, influenced by production capacity and disease impacts [21][23] - Companies with cost advantages are expected to perform better in a weak cycle, while those with outdated capacities may face losses [24] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include Dekang Agriculture, Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Bangji Technology, with a focus on companies that possess both cost and funding advantages [4][24] - Attention is drawn to Jinhe Biology, which is expected to capitalize on price increases for chlortetracycline due to tariff changes [25] Pet Economy - The pet food sector is projected to see strong growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with companies like Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Peidi Co. showing significant revenue increases [26][27] - The pet medical market is expanding, with a focus on the development of chain pet hospitals [28] Outdoor Sports Footwear - The sports footwear sector is experiencing steady growth, supported by domestic consumption policies [29][30] - Key brands such as Anta Sports, 361 Degrees, and Xtep International are highlighted for their performance in Q1 2025 [29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The agriculture industry achieved a revenue of 11,498.20 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders rose to 466.39 billion yuan, an increase of 806.55% [4][14] - In Q1 2025, the industry reported a revenue of 2,706.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.79%, and a net profit of 133.13 billion yuan, up 795.07% year-on-year [4][14] - The profitability indicators showed improvement, with the gross profit margin at 12.91% in Q1 2025, up 5.74 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin at 5.16%, an increase of 6.18 percentage points year-on-year [4][18] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The livestock sector saw significant year-on-year profit growth, with poultry farming, livestock farming, feed, and pet food sectors showing net profit increases of 1,109.96%, 389.01%, 230.88%, and 75.67% respectively in 2024 [5][20] - In Q1 2025, the net profit growth rates for feed, poultry farming, livestock farming, aquaculture, animal health, and pet food sectors were 962.42%, 588.35%, 254.62%, 117.28%, and 21.27% respectively [5][20] Weekly Perspective - The swine sector shows low-positioning value, with the recovery of profitability and consumer demand boosting the sector. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [6][24] - The feed sector benefits from the post-cycle of poultry and livestock, with strong overseas demand supporting prices. Recommended stocks include Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe [6][24] - The pet sector is experiencing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers, with recommended stocks including Guai Bao Pet, Zhong Chong Co., and Petty Co. [6][26] Market Performance - During the week of April 28 to May 2, the agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.08 percentage points, with the agriculture index down 0.56% [7][27] - The feed sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with individual stocks like Ruip Biotech, New Sai Co., and Daodaoquan leading the market [7][32] Price Tracking - As of May 2, the average price of live pigs was 14.84 yuan/kg, down 0.11 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of white strip meat rose by 0.11 yuan/kg to 19.2 yuan/kg [8][37] - The average price of beef increased to 69.03 yuan/kg, reflecting a 0.74% rise [8][43] - The average price of bass rose to 35.30 yuan/kg, up 3.82% from the previous week [8][48]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The industry experienced a decline in revenue in 2024 but saw a significant increase in net profit, indicating improved profitability. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue growth of 6.79% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 795.07% [4][14] - The livestock sector, particularly poultry and pet food, demonstrated high growth rates in net profit, with poultry farming seeing a 1109.96% increase in 2024 and a 588.35% increase in Q1 2025 [5][20] - The report highlights the recovery of the pig cycle and the upward trend in pig prices, suggesting a favorable outlook for the livestock sector [6][24] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - In 2024, the agriculture industry achieved a revenue of 11,498.20 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.68%, while net profit reached 466.39 billion yuan, an increase of 806.55%. In Q1 2025, revenue was 2,706.77 billion yuan, up 6.79%, and net profit was 133.13 billion yuan, up 795.07% [4][14] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig sector shows low valuation and potential for recovery, supported by consumption revival. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and others. The feed sector benefits from strong domestic and overseas demand [6][24] Market Performance - During the week of April 28 to May 2, the agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.08 percentage points, with the agriculture index down 0.56% [7][27] Price Tracking - As of May 2, the average price of live pigs was 14.84 yuan/kg, a slight decrease from the previous week. The average price of piglets was 36.88 yuan/kg, also down slightly [8][37]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating for the agriculture sector [4] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the SW Agriculture sector achieved a total profit of 13.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1049%, with significant contributions from the breeding, feed, and agricultural product processing sectors, accounting for 59%, 16%, and 15% of profits respectively [10][11] - The breeding sector saw a profit of 8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 254%, driven primarily by pig farming, which generated 7.615 billion yuan, up 242% year-on-year [10][11] - The feed and animal health sectors reported profits of 2.143 billion yuan and 512 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 676% and 34% [10][11] - The planting sector experienced a profit of 800 million yuan, a decrease of 12% year-on-year, influenced by declining grain prices [10][11] Summary by Sections Breeding Sector - The average price of lean pigs was 14.69 yuan/kg, down 1.1% from the previous week, while the average wholesale price of pork was 20.59 yuan/kg, down 1.4% [12][13] - The profit from self-breeding pigs decreased to 85.05 yuan per head, while the profit from purchased piglets was 48.53 yuan per head [14][15] - The average price of broiler chickens was 7.48 yuan/kg, up 0.1% from the previous week, and the average price of chicken products remained stable at 8.9 yuan/kg [25][27] Feed and Animal Health - The feed sector's profit growth was supported by the performance of the breeding sector, with significant increases in profits from poultry and aquatic feeds [10][11] - The pet food segment also showed strong performance, achieving a profit of 330 million yuan, up 28% year-on-year [10] Planting Sector - The planting sector's profit decline was attributed to lower prices for corn and wheat, which fell by 11% and 14% year-on-year, respectively [10][11] - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance the growth potential of industry companies [11] Market Trends - The agriculture sector underperformed the broader market by 0.1 percentage points, with a decline of 0.6% [8][9] - The feed sector saw a slight increase of 1.65% during the same period [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown a steady decline in costs and has sufficient breeding stock reserves, indicating a strong potential for high earnings realization [5][6] - The first quarter of 2025 reported revenue of 1.645 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 73.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 130 million yuan, up 193.91% year-on-year [5][6] - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 918 million yuan, 1.411 billion yuan, and 2.383 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.80, 2.77, and 4.67 yuan [5][6] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.52 billion yuan from pig farming, with a total of 833,000 pigs sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 62.40% [6] - The complete cost of production in Q1 2025 was 13.38 yuan/kg, with a target to keep the annual cost below 13 yuan/kg [6] - As of March 2025, the company had a breeding stock of 176,000 pigs, with expectations to exceed 230,000 by the end of 2025 [6] Leather Business - The leather business reported revenue of 54 million yuan in Q1 2025, a significant year-on-year increase of 280%, contributing to a reduction in losses [7] - The company has a strong cash position with 615 million yuan in cash and a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.88% [7] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 20.04 yuan, with a market capitalization of 10.222 billion yuan [2] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 11.1, 7.2, and 4.3 respectively [5][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown a steady decline in costs and has sufficient breeding stock reserves, indicating a strong potential for high earnings realization [5][6] - The first quarter of 2025 reported revenue of 1.645 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 73.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 130 million yuan, up 193.91% year-on-year [5][6] - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 918 million, 1.411 billion, and 2.383 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.80, 2.77, and 4.67 yuan [5][6] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.52 billion yuan from pig farming, with a total of 833,000 pigs sold, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 62.40% [6] - The complete cost of production in Q1 2025 was 13.38 yuan per kilogram, with a target to keep the annual cost below 13 yuan per kilogram [6] - As of March 2025, the company had a breeding stock of 176,000 pigs, with expectations to exceed 230,000 by the end of the year [6] Leather Business - The leather business reported a revenue of 54 million yuan in Q1 2025, a significant increase of 280% year-on-year, contributing to a reduction in losses [7] - The company has a strong cash position with 615 million yuan in cash and a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.88% [7] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 20.04 yuan, with a market capitalization of 10.222 billion yuan [2] - The price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 11.1, 7.2, and 4.3 respectively [5][9]

| 证券代码：603477 | 证券简称：巨星农牧 | 公告编号：2025-041 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113648 | 债券简称：巨星转债 | | 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 关于回购股份事项前十大股东和前十大无限售条件 股东持股情况的公告 本公司董事会、全体董事及相关股东保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 23 日召开 了第四届董事会第二十五次会议，会议审议并通过了《关于以集中竞价交易方式 回购股份方案的议案》，具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 4 月 24 日通过指定信息披 露媒体披露的《乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司关于以集中竞价方式回购股份的方案》 （公告编号：2025-033）。 根据《上市公司股份回购规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号——回购股份》等相关规定，现将董事会公告回购股份决议前一个交易日（即 2025 年 4 月 23 日）登记在册的公司前十大股东和前十大无限售条件股东的名称 及持股数量、比例情况 ...