A股猪肉股异动拉升，邦基科技涨停，大禹生物、神农集团涨超7%，正虹科技、巨星农牧纷纷拉升。 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the unexpected profitability of Sichuan pig farming companies despite a nationwide decline in pig prices, indicating a successful adaptation to market pressures [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Sichuan pig farming companies have maintained profitability for 12 consecutive months, even as the average national pig price fell by 0.8% to 15.50 yuan/kg in the first half of the year [2][3]. - The total pig output in Sichuan reached 30.8 million heads in the first half of the year, marking a 1.0% increase year-on-year [3]. - The profitability of Sichuan pig companies is attributed to stable production scales and declining costs, with a notable example being the projected net profit of New Hope at 680 to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing over a 150% increase from the previous year [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The article notes that the overall pig meat import volume in the first five months of the year was at a low of 450,000 tons, contributing to price stability [5]. - Sichuan's pig farming companies have avoided "internal competition" in production capacity, focusing on stability rather than aggressive expansion, which has helped maintain profitability [6][7]. - The average cost of pig farming in Sichuan has decreased, with companies like Juxing Agriculture aiming for a cost target of 6.5 yuan/kg, significantly lower than the industry average [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The article suggests that despite a recent decline in pig prices due to lower consumption expectations, Sichuan pig companies are likely to maintain profitability in the second half of the year, supported by seasonal demand increases and government policies aimed at stabilizing production [10][12]. - The Sichuan government has introduced measures to promote high-quality development in the livestock industry, including financial incentives for exceeding production targets [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][8][64] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the long-term value reassessment opportunities in the pig industry, with expectations of price fluctuations in the range of 14-15 CNY/kg post-Chinese New Year 2025, indicating a potential downward trend in prices due to supply pressures [4][15] - The poultry sector is experiencing price declines, with a focus on marginal improvements in the cycle, while the animal health sector is expected to see performance recovery and investment opportunities in the pet medical industry [5][6][28] - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly emerging, and the report anticipates continued improvement in industry profitability [7][58] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The average price of pigs is currently around 14.6 CNY/kg, with a slight weekly decline [14] - The report recommends companies with low costs and strong financials, specifically highlighting Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [15][64] 2. Poultry Industry - The report notes a decline in poultry prices, with a focus on the cyclical improvements expected in the future [27] - Recommendations include Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [5][28] 3. Animal Health - The animal health sector is expected to see a recovery in performance, supported by the profitability of the pig farming industry [6][38] - Investment opportunities in the pet medical sector are highlighted, with a market size of approximately 840 billion CNY [7][38] 4. Planting Industry - The report indicates a decrease in wheat and corn prices, with recommendations for companies involved in genetically modified seeds [44][50] 5. Feed Industry - The total industrial feed production in the first half of 2025 reached 15,850 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.7% [48][50] - Recommendations include Haida Group and attention to He Feng Stock [50] 6. Pet Industry - The pet consumption market is projected to reach 300.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.5% [55][58] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guai Bao Pet, Zhongchong Stock, and Petty Stock [58][64]

Group 1 - Pork stocks experienced a significant upward trend, with Bangji Technology (603151) hitting the daily limit increase [1] - Shennong Group (605296) rose over 6%, indicating strong market interest [1] - Juxing Agriculture (603477) and Luoniushan (000735) both increased by more than 4%, reflecting positive sentiment in the sector [1] - Zhenghong Technology (000702) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) also saw gains, contributing to the overall bullish trend in pork-related stocks [1]

Group 1 - The A-share pork sector continues to rise, with Bangji Technology increasing by over 8% [1] - Other companies such as Shennong Group, Juxing Agriculture, Luoniushan, Dongrui Shares, Zhenghong Technology, and Wens Foodstuff also experienced gains [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the investment logic for live pigs is marginally improving, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, with expectations of rising prices in the second half of 2025 [25] - The domestic pet consumption market remains stable, but trade tensions have put pressure on exports, with a notable decline in sales and export figures [20][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - Short-term supply increases have led to a decline in pig prices, but after market adjustments, prices may rise further [4][13] - As of July 18, the average price of live pigs was 14.19 yuan/kg, down 3.34% from the previous week [13][14] Weekly Market Performance - The agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.83 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.69% [30][32] - The animal health sector showed the highest gains among sub-sectors [30] Price Tracking - The average price of live pigs decreased to 14.27 yuan/kg, while the price of piglets increased slightly to 31.96 yuan/kg [41] - The price of corn decreased to 2473 yuan/ton, while soybean meal prices rose to 2928 yuan/ton [15][56] Key News - As of the end of Q2 2025, the number of breeding sows was reported at 40.43 million, with overall meat production showing a slight increase [38] - The report indicates a stable trend in domestic pet food sales, with a total of 31.87 billion yuan in sales for June, down 7.98% year-on-year [20][23] Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others, while in the feed sector, Hai Da Group and New Hope Liuhe are highlighted [25][29]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Leshan Juxing Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd., has announced a series of guarantees provided to its subsidiaries and partners, totaling approximately 403.55 million yuan, with a cumulative guarantee balance of 2.0437 billion yuan, indicating a significant commitment to support its operations and partners in the agricultural sector [1][5][6]. Summary by Categories Guarantee Overview - The company has provided guarantees to multiple subsidiaries and partners, including Juxing Agricultural Co., Ltd. and Dechang Juxing Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd., among others, with a total guarantee amount of 403.55 million yuan [1][2]. - The actual guarantee balance provided by the company stands at 2.0437 billion yuan, reflecting a robust support structure for its subsidiaries [1][5]. Financial Metrics - As of the first quarter of 2025, the total assets of the company reached approximately 329.36 million yuan, with total liabilities of about 264.25 million yuan, resulting in a net asset value of approximately 65.11 million yuan [8]. - The company reported a net profit of -806.30 thousand yuan for the first quarter of 2025, compared to a net profit of 34.95 million yuan for the entire year of 2024, indicating a significant decline in profitability [7][8]. Subsidiary Information - The subsidiaries involved in the guarantees include various entities such as Juxing Agricultural Co., Ltd., Dechang Juxing Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd., and others, with ownership stakes primarily held by the parent company [1][11]. - Each subsidiary has its own financial metrics, with total assets and liabilities varying significantly, reflecting the diverse operations within the agricultural sector [8][9][10]. Decision-Making Process - The guarantees were approved by the company's board of directors during a meeting held on April 25, 2025, and subsequently ratified by the annual shareholders' meeting on May 16, 2025 [5][6].

| 证券代码：603477 | 证券简称：巨星农牧 | 公告编号：2025-064 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113648 | 债券简称：巨星转债 | | 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 2025 年 6 月份担保情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、担保情况概述 （一）担保的基本情况 | | | 巨星农牧有限公司、德昌巨星农牧科 技有限公司、平塘巨星农牧有限公 司、泸县巨星农牧科技有限公司、古 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 蔺巨星农牧有限公司、剑阁巨星农牧 | | | | 有限公司、乐山市巨星科技有限公 | | | | 司、屏山巨星农牧有限公司、乐山巨 | | | | 星生物科技有限公司、眉山市彭山永 | | | | 祥饲料有限责任公司、广元巨星农业 | | | 被担保人名称 | 有限公司、叙永巨星农牧有限公司、 | | | | 乐山巨星农业发展有限公司、邛崃巨 | | | | 星农牧有限公司、重庆巨星农牧有限 | | 担保对象 | ...

Investment Ratings - The report provides investment ratings for several companies in the agriculture sector, with "Buy-A" for Haida Group (002311.SZ), "Buy-B" for Shennong Development (002299.SZ) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498.SZ), and "Hold-A" for Guai Bao Pet (301498.SZ) and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ) [2] Core Insights - The agriculture sector has shown resilience, with the agricultural index outperforming the broader market, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][4] - The report highlights the cyclical nature of the pig farming industry, emphasizing that the current downturn may not necessarily lead to prolonged losses due to potential recovery in raw material costs and macro demand in 2025 [5][6] - Haida Group is identified as a key investment opportunity due to its strong fundamentals and potential growth in overseas feed business [4][5] Industry Performance - The agriculture sector's performance for the week of July 7-13 shows a 1.09% increase, with top-performing sub-industries including fruit and vegetable processing, meat chicken farming, and feed production [3][22] - The average price of live pigs in key provinces has decreased, with prices in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 14.35, 16.39, and 14.78 CNY/kg respectively, reflecting a decline of 3.37%, 6.56%, and 2.31% week-on-week [4][31] - The average pork price has slightly increased to 20.60 CNY/kg, while the average wholesale price of piglets has decreased to 26.00 CNY/kg, indicating mixed trends in the market [4][31] Company-Specific Analysis - Haida Group is expected to benefit from a recovery in the feed industry as raw material prices stabilize and the breeding sector improves [4][5] - Wens Foodstuff Group, Shennong Group, and Juxing Agriculture are recommended for their potential to outperform market expectations as the pig farming industry enters a profitability cycle [5] - Guai Bao Pet and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. are highlighted for their strong brand positioning and growth potential in the pet food market, particularly in 2025 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Leshan Juxing Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd., is expected to achieve a turnaround in profitability for the first half of 2025, with projected net profits ranging from 165 million to 195 million yuan [2][4]. Group 1: Performance Forecast - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025 [3]. - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company between 165 million and 195 million yuan, marking a significant improvement compared to a loss in the same period last year [4]. - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 164 million and 194 million yuan [5]. Group 2: Previous Year’s Performance - In the same period last year, the company reported a total profit of -37.90 million yuan, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of the parent company of -44.84 million yuan [7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -18.31 million yuan [7]. - The earnings per share for the previous year were -0.09 yuan [8]. Group 3: Reasons for Profit Turnaround - The increase in the number of market pigs sold and the continuous reduction of costs in pig farming operations are key factors contributing to the expected profitability [9]. - The pig farming business is projected to generate a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company between 200 million and 240 million yuan [9].