Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [48]. Core Viewpoints - The SW agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry outperformed the CSI 300 index, rising by 4.87% from October 31, 2025, to November 13, 2025, exceeding the index by approximately 5.04 percentage points [11]. - All sub-sectors within the industry recorded positive returns during the same period, with notable increases in agricultural product processing (9.03%), fishery (8.12%), animal health (5.57%), planting (4.57%), breeding (2.94%), and feed (2.45%) [12]. - Over 90% of individual stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, indicating strong overall market performance [13]. - The industry valuation has rebounded, with the overall price-to-book (PB) ratio at approximately 2.94 times as of November 13, 2025, which is still relatively low compared to historical levels [17]. Industry Important Data - **Pig Farming**: The average price of external three yuan pigs decreased from 12.52 CNY/kg to 11.74 CNY/kg during the reporting period. The cost of corn and soybean meal showed fluctuations, with corn priced at 2260.39 CNY/ton and soybean meal at 3072 CNY/ton as of November 13, 2025 [21][23]. - **Profitability**: As of November 14, 2025, self-breeding pig farming reported a loss of 114.81 CNY per head, while purchasing piglets resulted in a loss of 205.64 CNY per head, indicating a decline in profitability [26]. - **Poultry Farming**: The average price of broiler chicks was 3.49 CNY per chick, slightly down from the previous week, while the average price of white feather broilers increased to 7.12 CNY/kg, with a loss of 0.95 CNY per bird [28][31]. Industry Important News - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasized accelerating the self-reliance and controllability of seed technology during a recent meeting, highlighting the importance of domestic seed sources and innovation in the seed industry [35]. Company Important News - Key companies to watch include Muyuan Foods (002714), Wens Foodstuff Group (300498), and others, which are positioned to benefit from industry trends and potential recovery in profitability [48][49].

Core Viewpoint - The animal health sector experienced a slight increase of 0.89% on November 14, with *ST Green Kang leading the gains, while the overall market indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index, saw declines of 0.97% and 1.93% respectively [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of *ST Green Kang was 40.54, reflecting a rise of 5.00% with a trading volume of 204,000 shares and a transaction value of 8.27 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Ruipu Biology with a closing price of 21.23, up 1.87%, and Biological Shares at 11.93, up 1.62% [1] - The overall trading volume and transaction values for various companies in the animal health sector were significant, with Biological Shares recording a transaction value of 954 million yuan [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The animal health sector saw a net outflow of 57.68 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 60.01 million yuan [2] - The capital flow data indicates that *ST Green Kang had a net inflow of 1.42 million yuan from institutional investors, despite a net outflow from retail investors [3] - Other companies like Biological Shares and Ruipu Biology experienced significant net outflows from institutional investors, indicating a shift in investment sentiment [3]

Core Insights - The animal health sector experienced a slight increase of 0.14% on November 12, with *ST Lvkang leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4000.14, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13240.62, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance Summary - *ST Lvkang (002868) closed at 36.77, up 5.00% with a trading volume of 62,400 shares and a transaction value of 226 million [1] - Other notable performers included: - Qudongli (920275) at 10.76, up 3.86% [1] - Yongshun Biological (920729) at 10.15, up 1.81% [1] - Biological Shares (600201) at 10.76, up 1.22% [1] - Zhongmu Shares (600195) at 7.98, up 0.50% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The animal health sector saw a net outflow of 35.94 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 20.57 million [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks showed: - KQ Bio (688526) had a net inflow of 7.99 million from institutional investors [3] - Biological Shares (600201) had a net inflow of 6.25 million from institutional investors [3] - However, KQ Bio (688526) also experienced a net outflow of 16.05 million from retail investors [3]

Core Insights - The animal health sector experienced a 1.04% increase on November 11, with *ST Lvkang leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76, down 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.0, down 1.03% [1] Stock Performance - *ST Lvkang (002868) closed at 35.02, up 5.01% with a trading volume of 1196 lots and a transaction value of 4.1884 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Qudongli (920275) at 10.36, up 4.65% [1] - Yongshun Biological (920729) at 9.97, up 2.15% [1] - Biological Shares (600201) at 10.63, up 1.24% [1] - Plai Ke (603566) at 14.42, up 1.19% [1] Capital Flow - The animal health sector saw a net outflow of 2.5437 million yuan from institutional investors and 7.7575 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors had a net inflow of 10.3012 million yuan [1] - Specific stock capital flows included: - Biological Shares (600201) with a net inflow of over 9.2092 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - *ST Lvkang (002868) had a net inflow of 1.1031 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Huayi Biological (603718) experienced a net outflow of 4.1338 million yuan from institutional investors [2]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [9] Core Views - The swine sector continues to experience losses, with an increasing number of culled sows, indicating a need to focus on the expected recovery in this sector [2][13] - The dairy and beef sectors are undergoing significant capacity reduction, with a potential turning point for milk prices anticipated [3][15] - The pet sector is witnessing a trend towards premiumization and the rise of domestic brands, reshaping the competitive landscape [4][16] - The poultry sector is facing challenges with breeding stock shortages and improving consumer demand for yellow chickens [5][18] - The seed industry is poised for a turnaround, with an emphasis on biotechnology and the commercialization of genetically modified crops [7][23] - The feed sector shows signs of recovery, with leading companies like Haida Group achieving revenue and profit growth [24][26] Summary by Sections Swine Sector - The industry continues to face losses, with the average price of live pigs at 12.02 CNY/kg, down 4.07% from the previous week [13] - The average market value per head for leading companies is at historical low levels, with Muyuan at 3000-3500 CNY/head and Wens at 2000-3000 CNY/head [14] - Recommended stocks include leading breeders like Muyuan and Wens, with additional focus on flexible stocks such as Shennong Group and Dekang Agriculture [14] Beef Sector - The price of beef cattle is showing signs of stabilization, with the average price for fattened bulls at 25.62 CNY/kg [15] - The dairy cow population has decreased by 8%, indicating a significant capacity reduction [15] - Companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [15] Pet Sector - The Double Eleven shopping festival highlighted the resilience and structural upgrades in the pet food market, with domestic brands gaining market share [4][16] - Key recommendations include pet food brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., with a focus on companies with technological advantages and comprehensive product lines [17] Poultry Sector - The white chicken sector is under pressure due to breeding stock shortages, with a focus on the impact of avian influenza on imports [18][19] - Yellow chicken prices are expected to improve due to supply constraints and increasing consumer demand [20] - Recommended stocks include leading companies like Shennong Development and Yisheng Biological [19] Seed Sector - The seed industry is expected to benefit from increased focus on food security and the commercialization of genetically modified crops [7][23] - Key recommendations include leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [23] Feed Sector - Haida Group is highlighted as a key player in the feed sector, with significant market share growth and revenue increases [24][26] - The overall feed market is expected to recover as smaller companies exit the market, leading to improved conditions for remaining players [24]

Core Insights - The animal health sector experienced a slight increase of 0.55% on November 7, with *ST Lvkang leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - *ST Lvkang (002868) closed at 31.76, up 4.99% with a trading volume of 12,000 hands and a transaction value of 37.6483 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks included: - Biological Shares (600201) at 10.52, up 1.64% with a trading volume of 234,300 hands [1] - Driving Force (920275) at 9.88, up 1.13% with a trading volume of 7,484 hands [1] - Zhongmu Shares (600195) at 7.75, up 0.65% with a trading volume of 77,200 hands [1] Capital Flow - The animal health sector saw a net outflow of 5.144 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 11.0652 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 16.2092 million yuan [2] Detailed Capital Flow Analysis - Major stocks and their capital flow included: - Biological Shares (600201) with a net inflow of 20.3753 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - *ST Lvkang (002868) had a net inflow of 2.9042 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Huisheng Biological (300871) faced a significant net outflow of 18.6925 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Insights - The animal health sector experienced a slight increase of 0.36% on November 6, with *ST Lvkang leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.76, up 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13452.42, up 1.73% [1] Stock Performance - *ST Lvkang (002868) closed at 30.25, with a rise of 5.00% and a trading volume of 32,200 hands, amounting to a transaction value of 96.94 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include: - KQ Bio (688526) at 16.07, up 0.69% [1] - Biological Shares (600201) at 10.35, up 0.68% with a transaction value of 153 million yuan [1] - Ruipu Biological (300119) at 20.46, up 0.20% [1] - Pulaike (603566) at 14.09, up 0.14% [1] Capital Flow - The animal health sector saw a net outflow of 17.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 8.89 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks indicates: - *ST Lvkang had a net inflow of 7.56 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - KQ Bio experienced a net inflow of 4.84 million yuan [3] - Biological Shares had a net inflow of 2.64 million yuan [3]

Core Insights - The animal health sector experienced a decline of 0.35% on November 3, with Reap Bio leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3976.52, up 0.55%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, up 0.19% [1] Stock Performance Summary - Hai Li Biological (603718) closed at 7.02, up 2.03% with a trading volume of 101,600 shares and a turnover of 70.93 million yuan [1] - Shen Lian Biological (688098) closed at 11.36, up 1.43% with a trading volume of 133,100 shares and a turnover of 150 million yuan [1] - Yong Shun Biological (920729) closed at 10.09, up 1.00% with a trading volume of 23,800 shares and a turnover of 24.09 million yuan [1] - The worst performer was Reap Bio (300119), which closed at 21.01, down 2.51% with a trading volume of 103,300 shares and a turnover of 219 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The animal health sector saw a net outflow of 35.26 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 26.79 million yuan [2] - The main capital inflow was observed in Shen Lian Biological, with a net inflow of 4.03 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Conversely, Reap Bio experienced a net outflow of 1.29 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The pork price center has significantly risen, leading to a notable reduction in industry losses. The average price of live pigs has increased to 12.51 CNY/kg, a week-on-week rise of 7.20% [2][13] - The agricultural sector is expected to maintain a good development momentum, with grain production projected to be high this year, including summer grain production of 299.48 billion jin and early rice production increasing by 6.8 billion jin, a growth of 1.2% [1][12] - The industry is currently in a supply-demand tug-of-war, with large-scale pig farms adopting strategies to control supply and raise prices, while demand is expected to improve with the arrival of warmer weather and the pickling season [2][13] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The agricultural sector is implementing key policies to support rural economic development, with a focus on achieving food security and enhancing crop yields through biotechnology [1][12] - Major beneficiaries in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, while in the seed industry, companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech are highlighted for their competitive advantages [1][12] Pig Farming - The pig farming industry is still experiencing losses, but there has been a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous week, with self-breeding farms reporting an average loss of 89.33 CNY per head, down nearly 100 CNY [2][13] - The industry is expected to undergo a process of capacity reduction, with a focus on improving quality and efficiency, leading to the gradual elimination of outdated production capacity [2][13] - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include companies like DeKang Agriculture, Jingji Zhino, and Muyuan Foods [2][13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2241.67 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.66% [27][28] - Wheat: The average price is 2482.11 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.87% [30][32] - Soybeans: The average price is 3996.84 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.06% [41][44] - Cotton: The average price in Xinjiang is 14660 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [46][50] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.6 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.38% [53][55] - The average price of Vitamin E is 50.30 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 14.58% [62][63]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown a steady growth in revenue and net profit, with Q1-Q3 2025 revenue at 823 million yuan (up 8.04% year-on-year) and net profit at 157 million yuan (up 47.86% year-on-year). The Q3 revenue was 264 million yuan (down 5.39% year-on-year), while net profit was 41 million yuan (up 26.69% year-on-year). The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 205 million, 233 million, and 281 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.59, 0.67, and 0.81 yuan, leading to a PE ratio of 23.3, 20.5, and 17.0 times [3][4][5] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's revenue from biological products was 589 million yuan (up 3.88% year-on-year), with pig-related revenue at 203 million yuan (down 19.67% year-on-year) and poultry-related revenue at 369 million yuan (up 22.71% year-on-year). The pharmaceutical segment generated 188 million yuan (up 19.91% year-on-year), with pet-related revenue at 15 million yuan (up 39.73% year-on-year) [4] - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 60.46% (down 2.69 percentage points year-on-year), while the net margin improved to 19.09% (up 5.14 percentage points year-on-year). The expense ratio decreased to 31.24% (down 7.16 percentage points), with sales, management, and financial expense ratios at 22.39%, 8.92%, and -0.07% respectively [5] - R&D expenses for Q1-Q3 2025 reached 67 million yuan, with new veterinary drug registrations continuing to support innovation [5] Valuation Metrics - The company's total market capitalization is 4.776 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 13.80 yuan. The stock has a 52-week high of 15.79 yuan and a low of 11.28 yuan [1] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 1.216 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.7%. The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 205 million yuan, reflecting a significant recovery from the previous year's decline [7][9]