Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [2] Core Insights - The energy storage system bidding scale in August 2025 saw a month-on-month increase of over 10 times, reaching 17.7GW/45.7GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 237.1% and 691.4% respectively [5][39] - The power equipment sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a year-to-date increase of 38.91%, surpassing the index by 22.18 percentage points [12][18] - The report highlights significant growth in the grid-side energy storage system, which reached a bidding scale of 18.2GWh in August, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 437.2% and a month-on-month increase of 521.9% [40] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of September 25, 2025, the power equipment industry rose by 8.19% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 7.19 percentage points, ranking second among 31 industries [12] - The wind power equipment sector increased by 8.31%, while the battery sector saw a rise of 12.48% [18] Valuation and Industry Data - The power equipment sector's PE (TTM) is 34.90 times, with sub-sectors like the motor sector at 67.83 times and the battery sector at 37.26 times [25] - The report provides detailed valuation metrics for various sub-sectors, indicating a significant premium over historical averages [25] Industry News - The report notes China's commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and increasing the share of non-fossil energy consumption to over 30% by 2035 [39] - It emphasizes the government's push for large-scale applications of energy storage equipment, focusing on safety and efficiency [39] Company Announcements - The report includes announcements from companies like Datang Group regarding a major offshore wind power project and various corporate actions from firms like Goldwind Technology and Longi Green Energy [42][43] Weekly Perspective - The report suggests focusing on leading inverter companies benefiting from the development of new energy storage technologies, highlighting specific companies such as Guodian NARI and Sunshine Power [44]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **wind power industry** and its dynamics, along with insights into the **automobile** and **luxury car dealership** sectors. [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments Wind Power Industry - The wind power industry is expected to benefit from a surge in demand and industry consolidation, with installation volumes projected to exceed **100 GW** by **2025**. [1] - The trend towards larger wind turbines is causing component supply constraints, leading to a rebound in industry gross margins starting from the first half of **2025**. [1] - Wind power has a power density advantage over solar power, with mechanism electricity prices in Shandong province reaching **0.32 CNY/kWh**, compared to **0.2 CNY/kWh** for solar. [1][4] - The anticipated new installation volume for wind power in the coming years is expected to remain between **100-120 GW**, with offshore wind accounting for **15-20 GW**. [5] - The competition landscape in the component sector is more favorable than in complete machine manufacturing, indicating promising profit prospects. [5][6] Key Companies - **Zhongtian Technology** is highlighted as a low-valuation player with a projected **P/E ratio of 13.5** by **2026**. The company is expected to benefit from increased revenue in its optical communication segment, with revenues projected to rise from **1-2 billion CNY** in **2024** to over **10 billion CNY** in **2026**. [7] - **China National Materials Technology** is the largest blade supplier in China, holding about **40%** market share. Its gross margin is expected to recover to **17-18%** in the first half of **2025**. [8] - **Goldwind Technology** maintains a hold rating due to valuation considerations, with its current market-to-book ratio at **1.1** and facing competitive pressures in both onshore and offshore wind markets. [9] Market Dynamics - The wind power sector is experiencing a significant turnaround after a downturn from **2022 to 2024**, with installation volumes increasing from **38 GW** in **2021-2022** to an expected **100 GW** in **2025**. [2] - The **136 Document** has not significantly impacted the wind power sector, as demand remains strong despite new market pricing policies. [16] - The pricing of onshore wind turbines has remained stable, while offshore wind prices are influenced by regional demand and bidding volumes. [16][17] Luxury Car Dealership Industry - The luxury car dealership sector is nearing a bottom and is expected to rebound in **2026** after a period of store closures and declining margins. [10][11] - The overall profitability of new car sales is under pressure, but strong new car release cycles and stable accident repair services are expected to support core profitability. [11] Other Important Insights - The wind power industry is expected to see a continued increase in installation volumes and profitability due to improved utilization rates and product structure enhancements. [5] - The consolidation in the wind power sector has led to a more favorable competitive environment for component suppliers compared to complete machine manufacturers. [6] - The luxury car market is facing challenges, including declining margins and store closures, but new vehicle launches are anticipated to improve profitability. [11] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, focusing on the wind power industry and its competitive landscape, as well as insights into the luxury car dealership sector.

Summary of the Conference Call on China's Wind Power Industry Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **wind power industry in China**, highlighting a significant turnaround after a down-cycle from 2022 to 2024, attributed to self-regulation and robust demand [3][12][39]. Key Points Demand and Installation Forecasts - **Domestic demand** is expected to remain resilient during the 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP), with forecasts of annual installations of **106GW for 2025**, **103GW for 2026**, and **105GW for 2027**, potentially reaching **~120GW per annum from 2028 to 2030**, including **15-20GW offshore annually** [4][12][45]. - Public tendering for wind projects was robust, with **21.5GW tendered** from June to August 2025, marking a **21% year-on-year increase** [13][45]. Industry Dynamics - The industry has achieved a **price and profitability turnaround** without significant government intervention, driven by: 1. **Increased demand** for wind installations, with a **79% year-on-year rise** in new installations in the first seven months of 2025 [40]. 2. **Recovery in bidding prices** for Wind Turbine Generators (WTG), with onshore prices rising **8%** and offshore prices **12%** in 2025 [52]. 3. **Supply chain consolidation** and improved quality focus among manufacturers due to past losses and accidents [15][41]. Investment Preferences - Preference for **key WTG component suppliers** and **submarine cable manufacturers** over WTG Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) due to better margin recovery prospects [5][14]. - **ZTT** is highlighted as a preferred investment due to its strong valuation and expected growth in submarine cable deliveries [20]. Company-Specific Insights - **Sinoma S&T** upgraded to Overweight (OW) with a price target of **Rmb48.2**, reflecting a **98.9% increase in net profit estimates for 2025** and **117.1% for 2026** due to recovery in gross profit margins across its business segments [19][21]. - **Ningbo Orient** remains OW despite a **39.4% reduction in net profit estimates for 2025**, with a price target of **Rmb69.63** [22][23]. - **Riyue** and **Goldwind** are maintained at Equal Weight (EW) with adjusted price targets reflecting lower profit forecasts due to rising costs and reduced sales expectations [24][25][29]. Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include **delays in offshore project approvals**, **competition affecting offshore WTG prices**, and **increased costs for outsourced machining** [16][24][29][37]. - The industry faces challenges from **overseas shipment growth slowing down** and **delayed revenue recognition** for key offshore projects [30][32]. Conclusion - The wind power industry in China is positioned for a strong recovery, driven by robust demand and improved pricing dynamics. Key players in the supply chain are expected to benefit from ongoing margin recovery and favorable market conditions, making them attractive investment opportunities in the near term [42][43].

9月25日，东方电缆涨6.96%，截至发稿，报65.30元/股，成交2.32亿元，换手率0.53%，总市值449.08亿 元。 资料显示，宁波东方电缆股份有限公司位于浙江省宁波中山东路1800号国华金融中心49-50F，成立日期 1998年10月22日，上市日期2014年10月15日，公司主营业务涉及各种电线电缆的研发、生产、销售及其 服务。主营业务收入构成为：电力工程与装备线缆49.56%，海底电缆与高压电缆44.14%，海洋装备与 工程运维6.22%，其他(补充)0.09%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，国泰基金旗下1只基金重仓东方电缆。国泰恒生A股电网设备ETF（561380）二季度减持1.13 万股，持有股数3.4万股，占基金净值比例为2.75%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 14.45万元。 国泰恒生A股电网设备ETF（561380）成立日期2024年12月11日，最新规模6392.2万。今年以来收益 48.89%，同类排名710/4220；成立以来收益44.3%。 截至发稿，吴中昊累计任职时间3年242天，现任基金资产总规模151.85亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 63.01%， ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Cable's stock has shown significant growth in 2023, with a year-to-date increase of 17.24% and a recent surge in trading activity, indicating strong investor interest and potential market confidence [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Dongfang Cable reported a revenue of 4.432 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.95%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.57% to 473 million yuan [2]. - Cumulatively, since its A-share listing, Dongfang Cable has distributed a total of 1.377 billion yuan in dividends, with 790 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Dongfang Cable decreased by 31.73% to 36,100, while the average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 46.48% to 19,055 shares [2]. - The stock's trading activity on September 24 showed a net inflow of 18.377 million yuan from major funds, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1]. Company Overview - Dongfang Cable, established on October 22, 1998, and listed on October 15, 2014, specializes in the research, production, and sales of various types of wires and cables. Its main revenue sources include power engineering and equipment cables (49.56%) and submarine and high-voltage cables (44.14%) [1]. - The company operates within the electric equipment industry, specifically in cable components and related sectors, and is involved in concepts such as wind energy and offshore engineering [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the industry, including Ningde Times, Shenghong Co., and DeYe Co. [5][6][7] Core Insights - The report highlights the initiation of the Cangyue DC project, which is expected to enhance the capacity of offshore wind installations during the 14th Five-Year Plan [6][26] - The lithium battery sector is anticipated to enter a supply-demand inflection point in 2025, leading to a 2-3 year upward cycle for the industry [7][11] - The energy storage sector is experiencing significant growth, with a surge in overseas contracts and supportive policies from various regions [22][23][25] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - Key companies like Ningde Times and Fulin Precision have secured substantial prepayments for high-pressure cathode material supply [13] - The first generation of semi-solid batteries from Honeycomb Energy is nearing mass production, with a planned annual capacity of 2.3GWh [14] - Full solid-state batteries from Funeng Technology are set for delivery by the end of the year, supporting humanoid robots with 8-12 hours of endurance [15] - The lithium battery industry is expected to see performance and valuation improvements over the next two years, making it a favorable mid-term investment sector [7] Energy Storage Sector - The release of the "136 Document" in Heilongjiang encourages independent energy storage, with a pricing mechanism set at 0.374 yuan/kWh for existing capacity [22] - In the first nine months of 2025, Chinese companies signed contracts for 208.09GWh of energy storage projects, with significant activity in the Middle East [23] - The Guangdong "136 Document" promotes energy storage leasing and sets a pricing range of 0.2 to 0.453 yuan/kWh for new projects [25] Power Equipment Sector - The Cangyue DC project, a major clean energy transmission initiative, has commenced construction, expected to transmit over 43 billion kWh of clean energy annually [26] - The Henan Yunan 1000kV substation expansion project has been approved, adding 3 million kVA of capacity [27] Photovoltaic Sector - The report notes a slight increase in silicon material prices, with multi-crystalline silicon averaging 51 yuan/kg [28] - The price of silicon wafers has also risen, with the average price for 210N wafers at 1.70 yuan/piece [29] - The report anticipates stable prices for photovoltaic components, driven by upstream cost pressures and a recovery in demand [31][32] Wind Power Sector - The report emphasizes the orderly progress of offshore wind projects in China, with several key projects already under construction [7] - It suggests focusing on leading companies benefiting from domestic and international offshore wind demand [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the wind power industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [1] Core Views - The offshore wind sector is expected to see significant project launches in Jiangsu and Guangdong in the first half of 2025, with a projected average annual installation of over 20GW during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, surpassing the previous plan's levels. The onshore wind sector is anticipated to reach a historical high of 100GW in installations in 2025, with component manufacturers experiencing growth in both volume and price [4][5] - The report suggests focusing on three main areas: 1) Leading companies in export layouts such as pile foundations and submarine cables; 2) Domestic manufacturers with bottoming profits and accelerating exports; 3) Component manufacturers benefiting from simultaneous volume and profit growth opportunities in 2025 [5] Summary by Sections Industry News - The wind power sector has generally risen in the past two weeks, with the top three performing segments being bearings (+14.9%), complete machines (+12.5%), and blades (+11.7%). The top three individual stocks were Jinlei Co. (+20.1%), Wuzhou Xinchun (+19.4%), and Yunda Co. (+17.6%) [3] Market Performance - As of mid-September 2025, the cumulative public bidding capacity for wind turbines in China is 68.6GW, with a 13% decrease year-on-year. The average winning bid price for onshore wind turbines (excluding towers) is 1,533 CNY/kW [7][8] - In 2024, the total public bidding capacity for wind turbines is projected to be 107.4GW, a 61% increase year-on-year, with onshore wind turbines accounting for 99.1GW of this total [7][8] Installation Data - In 2024, the total new wind power installation capacity is expected to be 79.8GW, with onshore wind contributing 75.8GW and offshore wind 4.0GW. The report forecasts new installations of 130GW from 2025 to 2027 [8][39] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, and others that are positioned well for growth in the wind power sector [5]

Group 1 - The wind power industry has achieved preliminary results in countering internal competition, with significant stock price increases among key players such as Tongyu Heavy Industry and Chuanrun Co., Ltd. [1] - The average bidding prices for wind turbine models have rebounded in the first half of this year, alleviating pressure across the industry chain. For instance, the minimum bidding price for 5 MW units rose from 1157 RMB/kW in 2024 to approximately 1700 RMB/kW in the first half of this year [1]. - All turbine models' bidding prices in the first half of this year are now above their minimum cost prices, effectively curbing the trend of vicious low-price competition in the industry [1]. Group 2 - Major wind power stocks have seen substantial gains, with companies like China National Materials and Hangzhou Gear achieving over 100% increase in stock prices this year. China National Materials leads with a 192.84% increase [2]. - Mingyang Smart Energy reported a stabilization and recovery in bidding prices for wind turbines, with external environment improvements and better order structures contributing to a clearer path for industry and company profitability recovery [2]. - Significant net inflows of capital were observed in wind power stocks, with Tongyu Heavy Industry and Zhongtian Technology receiving 566 million RMB and 147 million RMB in net inflows, respectively [2][3].

Company Overview - Dongfang Cable Co., Ltd. is located at 1800 Zhongshan Road, Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, and was established on October 22, 1998. The company was listed on October 15, 2014. Its main business involves the research, production, sales, and services of various wires and cables [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes: 49.56% from power engineering and equipment cables, 44.14% from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, 6.22% from marine equipment and engineering operations, and 0.09% from other sources [1] Stock Performance - On September 18, Dongfang Cable's stock rose by 5.1%, reaching a price of 61.82 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 291 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.69%. The total market capitalization is 42.515 billion CNY [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten heavy stocks of funds, Huafu Fund has one fund heavily invested in Dongfang Cable. The Huafu New Energy Stock Type Initiated A (012445) held 410,000 shares in the second quarter, accounting for 3.95% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest heavy stock [2] - The Huafu New Energy Stock Type Initiated A (012445) was established on June 29, 2021, with a current scale of 252 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 52.56%, ranking 357 out of 4222 in its category, while the one-year return is 72.83%, ranking 1265 out of 3804 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The submarine cable industry in China is experiencing rapid growth driven by the expansion of offshore wind power and marine energy development, supported by comprehensive government policies and technological advancements [1][6][12]. Industry Overview - Submarine cables are essential infrastructure for connecting power and communication networks across oceans, categorized into submarine communication cables and submarine power cables [2][3]. - The industry is positioned as a strategic resource for supporting the digital transformation of the marine economy and the construction of a global energy internet [6]. Policy Analysis - China's policies, including the "14th Five-Year Plan" for renewable energy, aim to promote the large-scale development of offshore wind power and marine energy, providing a robust support system for the submarine cable industry [6][10]. Industry Chain - The submarine cable industry chain in China includes upstream raw material supply, midstream cable manufacturing, and downstream installation and operation, with leading companies like Zhongtian Technology, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Dongfang Cable dominating the market [8][12]. Market Demand - The offshore wind power market is the primary driver of submarine cable demand, with installed capacity expected to grow significantly from 9 million kW in 2020 to 41.27 million kW by 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 46.33% [10][12]. - Marine energy is also a key market, with a target of 400,000 kW installed capacity by 2030, further expanding the demand for high-end submarine cables [11][12]. Current Industry Status - The submarine cable industry in China is in a phase of technological leadership and market expansion, with a projected market size of approximately 230 billion yuan by 2024 [12]. - The industry has achieved significant technological advancements, including a complete technical system covering voltage levels from 220kV to 500kV [12]. Competitive Landscape - The industry exhibits a concentrated oligopoly structure, with the top three companies—Dongfang Cable, Zhongtian Technology, and Hengtong Optic-Electric—holding a combined market share of 87% [13][14]. - International competitors like Prysmian and Nexans dominate the high-end market, while Chinese companies are expanding into emerging markets in Southeast Asia and Africa [13][14]. Future Development Trends - The submarine cable industry is expected to undergo a transformation towards high-end, intelligent, and green technologies, with a focus on dynamic cables and AI operation systems [16]. - The market is anticipated to expand globally, with emerging scenarios such as submarine data center interconnections and marine observation networks contributing to significant growth [17]. - The industry will evolve towards a collaborative ecosystem, enhancing supply chain resilience and establishing international standards [18][19].