Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to the company with a 12-month target price of 64.31 CNY, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [7]. Core Views - The company has a solid order backlog of approximately 19.6 billion CNY, which provides a stable foundation for future growth [3]. - Despite short-term performance pressures, primarily due to delivery schedule issues, the company is expected to benefit from the accelerating development of deep-sea projects and its leading position in the submarine cable sector [4][5]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.69 billion CNY, 2.21 billion CNY, and 2.73 billion CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 68%, 31%, and 24% [5]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenues of 4.432 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, while net profit decreased by 26.6% to 473 million CNY [1]. - The revenue from the submarine and high-voltage cable segment was 1.957 billion CNY in H1 2025, reflecting an 8.32% increase, but a significant decline of 46.84% in Q2 2025 due to project delivery issues [2]. - The company’s financial forecasts indicate a steady increase in revenue from 7.31 billion CNY in 2023 to 18.223 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profit growth [6][11].

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint is that the "innovation bull market" in 2025 is driven by a positive cycle of capital pricing and industrial implementation under policy guidance, with macro policies anchoring industrial direction and capital markets facilitating value discovery [1] - The market liquidity and valuation have improved, with A-share trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan, indicating a positive trading structure and sentiment cycle [1] - The initial phase of the "innovation bull" is likely to extend towards financial sectors and technology industries, particularly in robotics, computing power, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Economic Outlook - The report anticipates that China's export growth may continue to exceed market expectations due to the dual easing of U.S. fiscal and monetary policies, suggesting resilience in external demand [2] - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is highlighted, with predictions of two cuts in September and December, although there is caution regarding overly optimistic market pricing [2] Fixed Income Market - The fixed income market has shown a "desensitization" to fundamental data, with the yield on 10-year government bonds rising to 1.745% despite disappointing economic indicators [4] - The report notes that structural policy tools may replace total monetary policies as the main line of easing in the third quarter [4] Company Performance - 瑞芯微 (Rockchip) reported a significant revenue increase of 63.85% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a net profit growth of 190.61%, driven by strong performance in AIoT products [8] - 禾赛科技 (Hesai Technology) achieved a revenue increase of 53.9% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with a net profit growth of 161.2%, supported by strong demand for ADAS and robotics [9] - 道通科技 (Dautong Technology) reported a revenue increase of 27.3% year-on-year in H1 2025, driven by advancements in digital repair and energy solutions [10] Industry Trends - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the AI and robotics sectors, with companies like 禾赛科技 and 瑞芯微 leading in their respective fields [9][8] - The demand for 3D vision technology is highlighted as a key growth driver for 奥比中光 (Orbbec), with expected rapid revenue growth in the coming years [20] Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "buy" rating for several companies, including 瑞芯微, 禾赛科技, and 道通科技, based on their strong performance and growth prospects in innovative sectors [8][9][10]

Overall Research - The domestic equity market continues to rise, with the ChiNext Index increasing by 8.58%. The performance of equity and bond funds is diverging, with equity mixed funds leading the gains. TMT theme funds are significantly outperforming, while consumer themes show relatively weaker growth. Passive index funds in financial and AI themes are performing well, while there is a net outflow from domestic stock ETFs, particularly in the double innovation sector and TMT themes, with noticeable inflows into large-cap and broad-based funds [1]. Real Estate Industry - As of August 17, 2025, new home transactions in 20 cities totaled 491,000 units, down 5.5%. In major cities, Beijing saw 26,000 units sold (-13%), Shanghai 63,000 units (-1%), and Shenzhen 19,000 units (-3%). In the second-hand housing market, transactions in 10 cities reached 490,000 units, up 10.7%, with Beijing at 108,000 units (+11%), Shanghai 160,000 units (+18%), and Shenzhen 44,000 units (+28%) [2]. Metal Industry - The growth rate difference between M1 and M2 narrowed to -3.2 percentage points in July, marking a near 49-month high. The steel sector's profitability is expected to recover to historical average levels following the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's guidelines for the steel industry. However, there are risks associated with significant fluctuations in futures prices due to trading restrictions on coking coal futures [3]. Chemical Industry - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in electronic specialty gases, such as nitrogen trifluoride and other products. Key companies include China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, Nanda Optoelectronics, and Huate Gas. Additionally, companies producing semiconductor materials, such as photolithography resins and PCB inks, are also recommended for attention [4]. Company Research - Sinopec Engineering achieved a revenue of 31.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 10.1% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 1.384 billion yuan, up 4.8%. The company maintains a "buy" rating with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 2.595 billion, 2.760 billion, and 2.902 billion yuan, respectively [7]. - Blue Sky Technology won a new lithium extraction project, with expectations for high growth in its lithium resource business. The company forecasts net profits of 1.055 billion, 1.253 billion, and 1.495 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining an "increase" rating [8]. - Changqing Co. reported a recovery in pesticide market demand, with a net profit forecast of 74 million, 128 million, and 181 million yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining an "increase" rating despite a downward adjustment in profit expectations [9]. - Huayou Cobalt's net profit for H1 2025 reached 2.71 billion yuan, a 62.3% increase year-on-year, with future profit forecasts of 5.9 billion, 7.1 billion, and 8.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [10]. - Keda Li's main business remains stable, with profit forecasts of 1.802 billion, 2.178 billion, and 2.499 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [11]. - Oriental Cable's revenue for H1 2025 was 4.432 billion yuan, an 8.95% increase, but net profit fell by 26.57% to 473 million yuan. The company expects growth in the second half of 2025 due to increased cable deliveries [12]. - Jinlang Technology reported a revenue of 3.794 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 13.09% increase, with a net profit of 602 million yuan, up 70.96%. Future profit forecasts are 1.169 billion, 1.399 billion, and 1.657 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining an "increase" rating [12]. - Lian Microelectronics has seen a recovery in its epitaxial wafer business, with future profit forecasts of 69 million, 165 million, and 242 million yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [13]. - Tian Shili achieved a revenue of 4.288 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a net profit of 775 million yuan, up 16.97%. The company maintains profit forecasts of 1.150 billion, 1.245 billion, and 1.399 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [14]. - Ecovacs Robotics reported strong performance in both domestic and international sales, with profit forecasts of 1.6 billion, 1.9 billion, and 2.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [15]. - Stone Technology, a leader in smart vacuum robots, has adjusted its profit forecasts to 1.7 billion, 2.1 billion, and 2.5 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining an "increase" rating [16].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of August 18, a total of 90 stocks received "buy" ratings from brokerages, with 20 of these stocks announcing target prices, indicating a positive sentiment in the market [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stocks with the highest target price increases are Tubaobao, ChuanTou Energy, and Small Commodity City, with target price increases of 36.59%, 33.96%, and 32.41% respectively [1] Group 2: Rating Adjustments - Out of the 90 stocks, 89 maintained their ratings, while 1 stock received its first rating [1] - A total of 13 stocks attracted attention from multiple brokerages, with Dongfang Cable, Huayou Cobalt, and Stone Technology receiving the most ratings, at 4, 3, and 3 ratings respectively [1] Group 3: Industry Distribution - The sectors with the highest number of stocks receiving "buy" ratings include Technology Hardware and Equipment, Materials II, and Capital Goods, with 17, 16, and 12 stocks respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to delays in the delivery of submarine cable orders caused by slow domestic offshore wind construction, despite a slight increase in revenue [3][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.432 billion yuan, an increase of 8.95% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 473 million yuan, a decrease of 26.57% [3]. - The gross margin fell by 4.17 percentage points to 18.26%, and the net margin decreased by 5.16 percentage points to 10.67% [3]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.285 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.13%, and a net profit of 192 million yuan, down 49.56% year-on-year [3]. Business Segment Performance - The submarine cable and high-voltage cable business generated revenue of 1.957 billion yuan in H1 2025, up 8.32% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.02% [4]. - The marine equipment and engineering operation business saw a significant revenue decline of 44.61%, totaling 275 million yuan, with a gross margin of 29.13% [4]. - The power engineering and equipment cable business achieved revenue of 2.196 billion yuan, an increase of 24.85% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10.78% [4]. Order Backlog and Future Outlook - The company has a robust order backlog of 19.6 billion yuan as of August 12, 2025, which includes 11 billion yuan for submarine and high-voltage cables, 5 billion yuan for power engineering and equipment cables, and 3.6 billion yuan for marine equipment and engineering operations [5]. - The company is expected to accelerate the delivery of submarine cable orders in H2 2025, with significant projects already under construction, including contracts worth approximately 1.8 billion yuan from Inch Cape Offshore and 1.708 billion yuan from China General Nuclear Power Group [6][7].

Group 1: Metal New Materials - The price of rhodium has increased for two consecutive months, while the price of lithium concentrate has also risen, reaching approximately 70,000 yuan/ton. Supply disruptions from the suspension of lithium mines are expected to elevate lithium prices in the short term [4] - The price of rhenium powder has risen, indicating a recovery in demand for military new materials [4] - The price of zirconium oxychloride has decreased in the nuclear power new materials sector, while silicon carbide prices have dropped in the consumer electronics new materials category [4] Group 2: Longqing Co., Ltd. (002391.SZ) - Longqing Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 2.083 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 42 million yuan, up 117.8% year-on-year [4] Group 3: Oriental Cable (603606.SH) - Oriental Cable's revenue for H1 2025 was 4.432 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.95%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.57% to 473 million yuan due to delays in offshore wind construction [5] Group 4: Lian Microelectronics (605358.SH) - Lian Microelectronics expects to achieve a revenue of 1.666 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year growth of 14.19%. However, the company anticipates a net loss of 121 million yuan, which is an increase in losses compared to the previous year [6] Group 5: Stone Technology (688169.SH) - Stone Technology reported total revenue of 7.9 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 79%. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 40% to 700 million yuan [7] Group 6: Ecovacs Robotics (603486.SH) - Ecovacs Robotics achieved a revenue of 8.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 61% to 1 billion yuan [8] Group 7: Tianshili (600535.SH) - Tianshili reported revenue of 4.288 billion yuan for H1 2025, a slight decrease of 1.91%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 16.97% to 775 million yuan [8]

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨东方电缆（603606.SH） [Table_Title] 东方电缆：Q2 经营基本触底，排产加速有望奠 定下半年交付放量基础 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年中报，公司实现营业收入 44.32 亿元，同比增长 8.95%；归属净利润 4.73 亿 元，同比下降 26.57%。其中，2025Q2 营业收入 22.85 亿元，同比下降 17.13%；归属净利润 1.92 亿元，同比下降 49.56%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 周圣钧 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524120003 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 事件评论 ⚫ 收入端，公司 2025 年上半年营业收入同比增长，其中：海底电缆与高压电缆营收 19.57 亿元，同比增长 8.32%，海洋装备与工程运维营收 2.75 亿元，同比下 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Minsheng Securities recommends Dongfang Cable (603606.SH, latest price: 54.58 yuan) based on strong order backlog and capacity expansion [2] - The company has achieved a record high in its order backlog, indicating robust demand and growth potential [2] - There is a focus on the growth of inventory and contract liabilities, which may impact the company's financial health [2] Group 2 - The company is continuously improving its capacity layout, which is essential for meeting future demand [2] - The report highlights potential risks including industry demand falling short of expectations, fluctuations in upstream raw material prices, and increasing competition within the industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Cable's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year was 470 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.6%, with Q2 net profit at 190 million yuan, down 49.6% quarter-on-quarter and 31.6% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's Q2 revenue from submarine cables was lower than expected, but there is potential for a turnaround in the second half of the year [1] - As of August 12, 2025, the company had an order backlog of approximately 19.6 billion yuan, with power engineering and equipment cables accounting for 5 billion yuan, an increase of 600 million yuan quarter-on-quarter [1] - The backlog for submarine cables and high-voltage cables was 11 billion yuan, a decrease of 500 million yuan quarter-on-quarter, while marine equipment and engineering operation and maintenance orders stood at 3.6 billion yuan, an increase of 600 million yuan quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Inventory and Profit Forecast - The company experienced a significant increase in inventory and contract liabilities, with expectations for gradual shipments in Q3 and Q4, indicating a potential turning point in revenue recognition [1] - Due to the slower-than-expected delivery pace of offshore wind projects, the profit forecast has been revised downwards, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.54 billion, 2.00 billion, and 2.46 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 53%, 29%, and 23% [1] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 24x, 19x, and 15x for the respective years, with a maintained "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [3]. Core Views - The company experienced pressure on profits in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year decrease in net profit by 26.57% to 473 million yuan, despite an 8.95% increase in revenue to 4.432 billion yuan [1][2]. - The delay in the delivery of submarine cable orders due to slow domestic offshore wind construction has impacted profitability, but the company has a strong order backlog that supports future growth [2][3]. - The second half of 2025 is expected to see accelerated delivery of submarine cable orders, which should lead to revenue growth [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the company achieved revenue of 4.432 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.95%, while net profit was 473 million yuan, down 26.57% [1]. - The gross margin decreased by 4.17 percentage points to 18.26%, and the net margin fell by 5.16 percentage points to 10.67% [1]. Business Segments - The submarine and high-voltage cable business generated revenue of 1.957 billion yuan, up 8.32% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.02% [2]. - The marine equipment and engineering operation business saw a significant decline in revenue, down 44.61% to 275 million yuan [2]. - The land cable business performed well, with revenue of 2.196 billion yuan, an increase of 24.85% year-on-year, but with a lower gross margin of 10.78% [2]. Order Backlog and Future Outlook - As of August 12, 2025, the company had an order backlog of 19.6 billion yuan, with 11 billion yuan in submarine and high-voltage cables, 5 billion yuan in power engineering and equipment cables, and 3.6 billion yuan in marine equipment and engineering operations [2]. - The report highlights several significant submarine cable projects expected to contribute to revenue in the second half of 2025, totaling approximately 68.71 billion yuan [3]. Profit Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.668 billion yuan, 2.178 billion yuan, and 2.655 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 17, and 14 [3][5].