本报记者 吴文婧 12月15日，三峡江苏大丰800兆瓦海上风电项目（以下简称"江苏大丰项目"）实现全容量并网。该项目 位于江苏省盐城市大丰区东北方向海域，最远点离岸距离85.5千米，是我国当前已并网离岸距离最远的 海上风电项目。 苏商银行特约研究员武泽伟对《证券日报》记者表示："江苏大丰项目实现全容量并网，标志着我国海 上风电向深远海迈进取得了又一阶段性突破。这不仅验证了在深远海域实现稳定电力输送的技术可行 性，还为未来的风电开发提供了经验与数据，具有重大的战略示范意义。" 装机有望较快增长 江苏大丰项目并非个例。今年以来，我国海上风电"深远化"发展成果显著。例如，东方电气（福建）创 新研究院有限公司自主研发的漂浮式风电耦合海水无淡化原位制氢综合平台获得中国船级社（CCS）颁 发的原则性批准证书（AIP），成为全球首个通过该认证的漂浮式风电制氢平台。 今年10月份，由中国长江三峡集团有限公司牵头研发建设的16兆瓦漂浮式海上风电成套系统示范应用工 程项目"三峡领航号"，在广西壮族自治区北海市铁山港区完成一体化组装，成为全球已安装单机容量最 大的漂浮式海上风电系统装备。 还有不少优质项目同样在稳步推进，为产业发展 ...

China batteries and new energy Global Markets Research EQUITY: ALTERNATIVE ENERGY Marketing takeaways – Singapore/KL/Europe Interest continues to build around ESS batteries, grid equipment and China IDC market We recently concluded a marketing trip across Singapore, Kuala Lumpur and various European countries over the past two weeks, with discussions primarily centering around the lithium battery supply chain, renewable energy (solar, wind and power grid) and IDC (Internet data center) development in China. ...

摘要 证券研究报告 陆风装机有支撑，看好"十五五"两海成长空间 ——风电2026年度策略报告 证券分析师：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199798 2025年12月14日 1 若无说明，正文中"预计"均来自东吴电新组 2 ◆ 25年陆海风装机需求共振，看好两海成长空间：1）陆风：预计25年陆风装机100GW以上，同比增长25%+。25年1~11月陆风机组招标 88GW，同比下降11%。风电经济性优势明显，预计26年陆风行业装机至少保持持平，"十五五"期间陆风行业年均装机110~120GW。2 ）海风：25年1~11月海风招标9.4GW，同比增长7%。预计25年我国海风装机8~10GW；26年11~13GW，同增30%+；预计"十五五" 期间年均装机20GW+。深远海相关政策及项目催化临近，远期深远海衔接，具备长期成长性。 ◆ 欧洲海风规划持续加码，装机进入加速期。2022年俄乌战争爆发后，能源危机背景下，欧洲各国海风规划持续加码。1）拍卖：24年欧洲海 风拍卖20GW，同增46%；预计25~27年拍卖量分别为34.7 ...

作为金融民工，习惯性打开豆包，发现今天豆包的回答略有些粗线条，不及昨天的细腻和全面，难道今 天给豆包服务器供电的是戈壁滩上光伏发的电，带着些粗犷？ 这是Hi-Fi发烧友的"老梗"，火电的力度大，声音偏暖，用水电的声底偏冷，但解析力很高，风力发的 电层次感很差，听感朦胧，同是风电，海风和陆风之间还有些细微差别。看来电力的来源，不仅对音响 的音色有影响，也会影响到AI智能体的情绪和风格。 都说AI算力的尽头是电力，服务器使用的一度电，就可能来自戈壁的光、草原的风，或是远方的水。 在中国传统文化中，光象征着阳气、活力和正能量，水是阴柔之美的化身，静水流深，滋养万物而不 争，风则代表灵活与多变，火代表光明与希望。光电、水电、风电、火电，甚至是核电，都应与之一一 对应，核裂变过程迸发的巨大能量，是不是很契合道教一生二二生三三生万物的思想。 有时不免遐想，决定AI算法的到底是人类的编程和训练，还是来自大自然的底层禀赋？供电来源的差 异，果真能悄悄影响AI算法结果吗？如果下次豆包回答太慢，有可能只是因为当日"远处无风"。 当澎湃不息的风、光、水，转化为清洁"血液"并大规模并网，作为输送与调配这一切的"血管"与"神经 系统" ...

政策红利为东方电缆发展注入强劲动能。"十四五"规划明确的海上风电装机目标，为东方电缆核心的海 底电缆业务创造了确定性的市场需求，带动东方电缆在手订单快速增长，截至2025年三季报披露日，海 底电缆与高压电缆在手订单已达117.37亿元。同时，针对高端装备国产化出台的政策，为东方电缆的 500kV超高压海缆等"卡脖子"技术攻关带来专项补贴和税收优惠，数字化改造支持则提升了公司的生产 与品控。 "十四五"时期，东方电缆在坚持上市以来每年现金分红的基础上，制定未来三年股东回报规划。同时， 东方电缆已完成了总额约1.07亿元的股份回购，未来将用于员工激励。 面向"十五五"，东方电缆表示将坚持"海陆并进"和"国际化"战略，公司将深远海输电技术视为未来增长 的关键，目标是实现从"浅海"到"深远海"的跨越，这要求突破一系列关键技术。未来公司在高端海缆、 绝缘材料、超高压系统附件以及智能运维等领域的核心技术攻关能力将进一步提升。 作为国内电力工程与装备线缆、海底电缆与高压电缆、海洋装备与工程运维三大板块协同发展的龙头企 业，在"十四五"时期，东方电缆在产业上形成了国内"东部+南部+北部"的布局，谋划国际，为"十五 五"时期行 ...

Overview - The renewable energy sector saw a 42% increase in 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 24.78 percentage points, driven by strong demand for energy storage and the gradual implementation of anti-involution policies [11][14]. Solar Energy - The domestic solar market is expected to face pressure in 2026, with new installations projected to decline to 200-250 GW, down from an estimated 300 GW in 2025, which represents an 8% year-on-year growth [5][28]. - In 2025, China added 252.9 GW of new solar capacity from January to October, a year-on-year increase of 71.8 GW, with a significant portion of installations occurring in the first half of the year due to policy influences [5][18]. - Global solar installations are expected to reach 655 GW in 2025, a 10% increase year-on-year, but demand is anticipated to stabilize or slightly decline in 2026 due to various market challenges [36][37]. - The supply side is undergoing restructuring due to anti-involution policies, with significant reductions in production and inventory pressures observed in the polysilicon market [40][45]. - The BC battery technology is gaining traction, with expected rapid increases in penetration rates, potentially becoming the mainstream technology by 2030 [48][53]. Wind Energy - The domestic wind power market is projected to maintain stable growth, with onshore wind installations expected to remain flat in 2026, while offshore wind installations are forecasted to increase by over 40% to approximately 11.2 GW [5][16]. - The wind turbine market is experiencing a recovery in profitability, supported by stable pricing and expansion into overseas markets, creating new growth opportunities [16][18]. - The development of hydrogen and ammonia markets is expected to provide additional growth avenues for wind turbine manufacturers [5][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the renewable energy sector, highlighting key companies to watch in wind energy, such as Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Yunda Co., and in solar energy, including LONGi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [5][7].

Group 1 - The wind power industry maintains a high level of prosperity, with expectations for wind turbine and component sales to rebound in profitability due to rising bidding prices and increased demand for domestic and overseas installations [1][3][28] - The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines increased by 6.86% year-on-year to 1618 RMB/kW, while the average price including towers rose by 9.78% to 2096 RMB/kW, indicating a recovery in sales profitability for turbine manufacturers [1][41] - Domestic wind turbine shipments are expected to exceed expectations in 2026, with a significant increase in bidding and approval volumes for wind projects, indicating strong future demand [1][30][39] Group 2 - The domestic offshore wind projects are progressing smoothly, with significant growth potential in deep-sea wind energy, supported by favorable policies and planning in regions like Zhejiang, Shanghai, and Guangdong [2][3] - The European offshore wind market is projected to add 8.40 GW of new installations in 2026, highlighting the potential for export opportunities in multiple segments of offshore wind energy [2][3] - The report identifies two main investment themes: (1) the recovery of wind turbine profitability and the potential for increased installation demand, and (2) the synchronized growth of domestic and international offshore wind demand, suggesting investment opportunities in related sectors such as submarine cables and foundation piles [3][28][29] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on wind turbine manufacturers and components, recommending companies like Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy for investment [3][29] - The offshore wind sector is expected to see significant growth, with recommendations for companies involved in submarine cables and foundation piles, such as Dongfang Cable and Zhongtian Technology [3][29] - The overall valuation of the power equipment industry is expected to grow in 2025, with the wind power sector presenting substantial investment opportunities due to favorable market conditions and increasing demand [28][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The wind power equipment sector is experiencing positive fundamentals, with price increases for LFP (Lithium Iron Phosphate) and separators [1] - The report highlights a strong demand for energy storage and the upward trend in lithium battery material prices [5] - The report emphasizes the strategic partnerships and expansions among key players in the lithium battery and energy storage sectors [5] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - LFP prices have increased by over 3000 yuan per ton, with long-term contracts covering over 1 million tons signed by major companies [12] - The price of lithium battery separators has been raised, with wet separators increasing by 30% [13] - Notable contracts include Nord's agreement to supply over 373,000 tons of copper foil to a major client over three years [14] and Enjie’s acquisition of a company to expand separator production capacity by 4 billion square meters [16] Energy Storage Sector - The National Development and Reform Commission has included energy storage facilities in the 2025 REITs project scope, indicating a growing recognition of energy storage's importance [22] - A significant upgrade project in Henan aims to enhance coal-fired power plants' flexibility and efficiency, with 33 projects totaling 4.8GW planned [23] Power Equipment Sector - Starting in 2026, the proportion of fixed costs recovered through capacity pricing will increase to no less than 50%, up from 30% in previous years, marking a significant shift in the power market [26] Photovoltaic Sector - The report notes a stable price for silicon materials, with the average price for polysilicon remaining at 52 yuan per kilogram [33] - Silicon wafer prices have decreased, with expectations of further reductions due to high inventory levels and weak demand [33] Wind Power Sector - The report indicates ongoing progress in offshore wind projects, with several major projects in China and Europe moving forward [5] - Key companies benefiting from this trend include leading cable manufacturers and turbine producers [5]

这是一份沉甸甸的总结——非化石能源装机规模三年翻了一番多、历史性超过煤电；万元GDP能耗下降幅度好于全国5.3个百分点；经济总量占全国的比重 由7.25%提高到7.31%，占北方15省区的比重超过1/5，今年将跨上10万亿台阶，成为北方第一个GDP超10万亿元的省份…… 三年前，国务院印发《关于支持山东深化新旧动能转换推动绿色低碳高质量发展的意见》，赋予山东建设绿色低碳高质量发展先行区的重大使命。这是全国 第一个以绿色低碳高质量发展为主题的战略布局。 2025年12月4日，2025山东省绿色低碳高质量发展大会在烟台举行。此次大会传递的信息，让外界对三年前启动的这项改革有了更清晰的认识。山东省发改 委主任孙爱军说："山东正加快探索出一条动力换挡、结构升级、低碳引领的高质量发展路子。" 三年改革 这场改革始自2022年8月。 其时发布的《关于支持山东深化新旧动能转换推动绿色低碳高质量发展的意见》提出，到2027年，山东深化新旧动能转换建设绿色低碳高质量发展先行区实 现重大突破，形成一批可复制可推广的成功经验。 因地理位置居中、人口数量多、规模总量大、产业结构偏重等原因，山东一直被称为"转型中国的经典缩影"。山东还 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The UK government plans to introduce a $2 billion electric vehicle subsidy program to accelerate the adoption of electric vehicles [13] - Tianqi Lithium has made significant progress in the production of lithium sulfide, with costs expected to drop to 60% of the industry average [14][15] - Longpan Technology has secured a major order for 1.3 million tons of lithium iron phosphate from Chuangneng New Energy, significantly increasing its revenue potential [16] - The first large-capacity all-solid-state battery pilot production line in China has been completed, marking a technological milestone [18][19] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The battery industry index rose by 3.14%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.5 percentage points, with significant gains from key companies like Longpan Technology and Penghui Energy [11] - The UK plans a £1.5 billion subsidy to boost electric vehicle sales, which has already seen over 35,000 owners switch to electric vehicles since July [13] - Tianqi Lithium's new production process for lithium sulfide is expected to reduce costs significantly, enhancing its competitive edge [14][15] - Longpan Technology's order increase from 150,000 tons to 1.3 million tons of lithium iron phosphate is projected to generate over 45 billion yuan in sales [16][17] Energy Storage Sector - The National Development and Reform Commission has announced that new energy storage plants will not be included in the pricing of transmission and distribution costs, promoting the sector's growth [22][23] - The Hubei province aims to reach 5GW of new energy storage capacity by 2027, with a focus on new energy storage technologies [28][29] Power Equipment Sector - The results of the pricing competition for electricity mechanisms across 11 provinces have been released, with Shanghai leading in pricing [30] - The bidding for three high-voltage direct current projects has commenced, indicating ongoing infrastructure development [31][32] Photovoltaic Sector - The price of polysilicon remains stable, while the price of silicon wafers has decreased, reflecting a challenging market environment [33][34] - The global market for polysilicon is dominated by Chinese manufacturers, with four companies expected to account for 65% of global production by 2024 [39] Wind Power Sector - Recent approvals and bidding progress for offshore wind projects in various regions indicate a steady pace of development in China's offshore wind sector [43][44] - The UK is advancing its offshore wind projects, with significant milestones achieved in the Dogger Bank project [47]