Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities highlights that while investors are focused on AI computing power chips driving advanced process foundry demand, there is insufficient attention on the demand for mature process foundries driven by AI. The firm believes that AI will continue to boost the demand for power-related ICs, thereby enhancing the demand for mature process foundries [1]. Group 1: Demand Insights - AI is expected to drive growth in power IC demand, which will continue to enhance the demand for mature processes. The demand increase is attributed to AI server power ICs and the localization trend in mainland China, leading to higher demand for local foundries' BCD/PMIC [3]. - The utilization rate of eight-inch capacity at some foundries has significantly increased since mid-2025, driven by the demand from AI applications [3]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - TSMC is gradually reducing its eight-inch capacity starting in 2025, with plans for some facilities to cease operations by 2027. Samsung is also initiating eight-inch production cuts in 2025 [4]. - TrendForce forecasts a 0.3% year-on-year reduction in global eight-inch capacity in 2025, with the reduction expected to expand to 2.4% in 2026. This reduction, coupled with rising demand, is projected to increase the average utilization rate of eight-inch capacity to 85-90% in 2026, up from 75-80% in 2025 [4]. Group 3: Domestic Foundry Benefits - The trend of localization in IC manufacturing in mainland China is ongoing, with companies like SMIC reporting growth in market share for various products during the domestic replacement process. This trend is expected to provide continued order growth for domestic foundries [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the price increase in mature processes and the demand growth driven by AI present investment opportunities. Recommended investment targets include wafer manufacturing companies such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and others, as well as semiconductor equipment companies [6].

Group 1 - TSMC reported Q4 2025 revenue of $33.67 billion, marking a significant milestone by surpassing NT$1,046.09 billion; net profit increased by 35% year-on-year, achieving growth for the eighth consecutive quarter [1] - TSMC plans to increase its capital expenditure for 2026 to a maximum of $56 billion, a substantial 37% increase from the actual expenditure of $40.9 billion in 2025, setting a new historical high for the company [1] - The semiconductor supply chain has been positively impacted, with strong performance across equipment, packaging and testing services, and materials sectors; the semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) saw a single-day increase of over 4%, reaching a historical high of over NT$3.2 billion [1] Group 2 - As DRAM and NAND architectures evolve towards 3D structures, there will be a significant increase in demand for etching and thin film deposition equipment, with the corresponding service market for 3D DRAM and NAND expected to grow approximately 1.7 times and 1.8 times, respectively [3] - Domestic semiconductor equipment companies, represented by Northern Huachuang and Zhongwei Company, are expected to gradually strengthen their market position [3] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI index and focuses on domestic equipment, materials, and design leaders, showing higher elasticity with a 94.69% increase since 2025 and over 640% in the previous semiconductor cycle since 2018, leading among similar indices [3] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF have a concentration close to 80%, covering leading companies in various segments such as Zhongwei Company (etching equipment), Northern Huachuang (multi-field equipment), and SMIC (manufacturing leader), with over 90% of the index comprising equipment, materials, and chip design sectors [5]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor leading ETF (159665) has shown a positive performance with a 1.51% increase at the opening, reflecting strong market interest in semiconductor stocks [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The semiconductor leading ETF (159665) opened at 2.013 yuan, marking a 1.51% increase [1] - Since its establishment on December 22, 2022, the ETF has achieved a return of 98.90%, with a monthly return of 15.57% [1] Group 2: Key Holdings Performance - Notable stocks within the ETF include: - Cambrian (寒武纪) up 0.35% - SMIC (中芯国际) up 2.46% - Haiguang Information (海光信息) up 1.08% - Northern Huachuang (北方华创) up 1.24% - Lattice Semiconductor (澜起科技) up 2.14% - GigaDevice (兆易创新) up 1.99% - Zhongwei Company (中微公司) up 1.62% - OmniVision (豪威集团) up 0.82% - JCET (长电科技) up 2.30% - Unisoc (紫光国微) up 6.11% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry in China [5] Core Insights - The demand growth driven by AI is expected to lead to price increases in certain mature processes, with wafer foundries anticipating a price hike of 5-20% for 8-inch wafers due to tightening capacity [7] - The report highlights that AI is boosting the demand for power ICs, which will continue to enhance the demand for mature process wafer foundries [7] - Domestic wafer foundries are expected to benefit from the ongoing trend of localization in the IC manufacturing industry, with companies like SMIC seeing increased market share and orders [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests several investment targets in the semiconductor sector, including: - Wafer manufacturing companies: SMIC (688981, Buy), Huahong Semiconductor (01347, Buy), Jinghong Integrated Circuit (688249, Buy), Huarun Microelectronics (688396, Buy), Yandong Microelectronics (688172, Not Rated), and Xilian Integrated-U (688469, Not Rated) [3][8] - Semiconductor equipment companies: Zhongwei Company (688012, Buy), Northern Huachuang (002371, Buy), Tuojing Technology (688072, Buy), Shengmei Shanghai (688082, Buy), Huahai Qingke (688120, Not Rated), and Zhongke Feice (688361, Not Rated) [3][8] Market Dynamics - According to TrendForce, the global 8-inch capacity is expected to decrease by approximately 0.3% in 2025 and further by 2.4% in 2026, leading to an increase in average capacity utilization rates to 85-90% in 2026 [10] - The report indicates that the demand for power ICs will continue to grow due to the increasing computational power and energy efficiency requirements of AI applications, which will further stimulate the demand for mature process wafer foundries [7]

两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为31.18亿元，近5日减少4.59亿元，降幅为12.84%。 据天眼查APP显示，中微半导体设备(上海)股份有限公司成立于2004年05月31日，注册资本62614.5307 万人民币。（数据宝） 1月15日中微公司大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 成交价格 | 相对当日收盘折 | 买方营 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （万股） | （万元） | （元） | 溢价（%） | 业部 | | | 5.00 | 1678.75 | 335.75 | -9.50 | 机构专 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司上海徐汇 | | | | | | 用 | 区云绣路证券营业部 | | 5.00 | 1678.75 | 335.75 | -9.50 | 机构专 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司上海徐汇 | | | | | | 用 | 区云绣路证券营业部 | | 1.55 | 520.41 | 335.75 | -9.50 | 机构专 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司上海徐汇 | | | | | | 用 | 区云绣路证券营业部 | ...

沪深两市全天主力资金净流出628.64亿元，其中，科创板主力资金净流出43.18亿元，主力资金净流入的 有222只股，主力资金净流出的有377只股。 主力资金净流入排名 | 代码 | 简称 | 主力资金净流入（万 | 主力资金流入率 | 涨跌幅 | 换手率（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 元） | （%） | （%） | | | 688313 | 仕佳光子 | 49521.88 | 14.57 | 7.30 | 8.86 | | 688012 | 中微公司 | 44628.67 | 6.95 | 5.28 | 2.84 | | 688347 | 华虹公司 | 43539.95 | 13.18 | 4.15 | 6.33 | | 688498 | 源杰科技 | 26867.20 | 9.38 | 9.09 | 4.68 | | 688041 | 海光信息 | 23406.09 | 3.54 | -0.60 | 1.14 | | 688110 | 东芯股份 | 23156.65 | 11.10 | 2.05 | 3.94 | | 688525 | ...

1月15日，中微公司大宗交易成交11.55万股，成交额3877.91万元，占当日总成交额的0.6%，成交价 335.75元，较市场收盘价371元折价9.5%。 | 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | | | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量(*) 买入营业部 | | 卖出营业部 | 是否为专场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-15 | 中微公司 | 688012 | 335.75 | 1678.75 | | 机构专用 | 国泰海通博登录版 区云将路证券贸 | 140 | | 2026-01-15 | 中微公司 | 688012 | 335.75 | 1678.75 | | 机构专用 | 蛋糕想出酒屋里 | KA | | 2026-01-15 | 中微公司 | 688012 | 335.75 | 520.41 | 1.55 | 机构专用 | 田泰海通证券股份 | KO | ...

截至1月15日收盘，国家大基金持股概念上涨2.30%，位居概念板块涨幅第4，板块内，33股上涨，南大 光电、江波龙、中科飞测等涨幅居前，分别上涨10.15%、9.39%、9.20%。跌幅居前的有盛科通信、北 斗星通、机器人等，分别下跌7.11%、3.50%、2.53%。 国家大基金持股概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 主力资金流量（万 | 主力资金净流入比率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （%） | 元） | （%） | | 301308 | 江波龙 | 9.39 | 9.05 | 90860.73 | 12.31 | | 600584 | 长电科 技 | 4.79 | 7.00 | 72079.13 | 13.37 | | 300346 | 南大光 电 | 10.15 | 23.70 | 63058.93 | 6.71 | | 002371 | 北方华 创 | 2.72 | 1.73 | 48827.43 | 7.91 | | 688012 | 中微公 司 | 5.28 | 2.84 | 4462 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by domestic substitution and self-sufficiency trends, particularly in light of recent U.S. tariffs on semiconductor imports [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) saw a 2.89% increase, with a trading volume exceeding 200 million yuan, and a net inflow of over 137 million yuan in the last five trading days [1]. - Key stocks such as Shanghai Xinyang and Sanjia Technology hit the daily limit, with Shanghai Xinyang rising over 13%, and other significant gains from companies like Zhongwei and Nanda Optoelectronics [1]. Group 2: Impact of Tariffs - The U.S. announced a 25% import tariff on certain semiconductor products starting January 15, 2026, which is expected to create a stronger "acceleration substitution" window for domestic semiconductor equipment [1]. - The direct impact of these tariffs on domestic semiconductor equipment is considered limited, but they may increase supply chain uncertainties [1]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The rise of domestic storage chip manufacturers is reshaping the global pricing cycle, reducing import dependency, and enhancing supply chain security [2]. - The storage chip segment accounts for approximately 30% of the integrated circuit market, indicating significant growth potential for upstream semiconductor equipment [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The global storage industry is entering a new upcycle driven by AI demand for high-performance storage products, with significant growth expected in etching and thin-film deposition equipment due to the shift towards 3D architectures [3]. - Domestic semiconductor equipment companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei are anticipated to strengthen their market positions as demand increases [3]. Group 5: ETF Composition - The semiconductor equipment ETF focuses on the "selling shovels" segment of the chip industry, with over 90% of its composition in semiconductor equipment, materials, and design [4]. - The index has shown a maximum increase of over 640% since the last semiconductor upcycle, outperforming similar indices [4].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 中微公司 (Company A) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing, specifically Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE) Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Sentiment Improvement**: The market sentiment for domestic WFE has rapidly improved over the past two to three months, driven by successful IPOs of several AI chip companies and the upcoming IPO of Changxin Storage during the storage upcycle. This improvement is expected to sustain the valuation adjustments for WFE companies as the expansion of the domestic AI supply chain enhances capital expenditure resilience [1][6][11]. 2. **Sales and Profit Forecast**: 中微公司 is projected to maintain strong sales and profitability through 2027, primarily due to the increasing sales proportion of advanced storage applications. The company is expected to enhance its leading position through internal R&D and external acquisitions [1][11]. 3. **Acquisition Strategy**: 中微公司 announced the acquisition of a 64.69% stake in Hangzhou Zhonggui, a non-listed company specializing in CMP processes and equipment. This acquisition is seen as a strategic move to enhance its position as a comprehensive supplier and diversify its product offerings [6][11]. 4. **Valuation Adjustments**: The global WFE companies are currently valued at 2-3 standard deviations, reflecting potential investment drivers in the AI chip and storage capacity sectors. The domestic WFE market is expected to experience sustainable valuation adjustments over the next 2-3 years due to improved domestic substitution levels and strong sales growth [6][11]. 5. **Target Price Update**: The target price for 中微公司 has been raised to 380.00 CNY, based on a 32x forward P/E ratio, which is close to the historical average of domestic peers. This reflects the company's strong growth prospects and improving market sentiment [2][15]. Financial Highlights - **Revenue Projections**: - FY2024: 9,065 million CNY - FY2025: 13,813 million CNY - FY2026: 22,461 million CNY - FY2027: 29,935 million CNY - Revenue growth rates are projected at 44.7% for FY2024, 52.4% for FY2025, and 62.6% for FY2026 [3][10]. - **Profitability Metrics**: - Adjusted net profit for FY2026 is projected at 4,979 million CNY, with an adjusted EPS of 7.95 CNY [10][11]. Additional Important Information 1. **Risks**: Key risks affecting the rating and target price include potential restrictions on sourcing critical components from U.S. suppliers, interruptions in capacity expansion affecting delivery schedules, and weak downstream demand impacting customer procurement or capital expenditures [16][11]. 2. **Market Performance**: The stock has shown strong performance with a year-to-date increase of 23.4% and a 12-month increase of 85.0% [8]. 3. **Analyst Ratings**: The current rating for 中微公司 is "Overweight," indicating expected performance above the average total return of stocks covered by the research team [24][27]. 4. **Market Position**: 中微公司 is recognized as the second-largest semiconductor equipment manufacturer in China, benefiting from the decoupling of the semiconductor supply chain and accelerated domestic spending on WFE equipment [11][14]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial outlook, and market dynamics.