Driven by strategic localization and domestic AI demand Memory expansion may moderate temporarily in 1H26, but domestic breakthroughs in critical tools and the repatriation of AI demand underpin a structural shift toward local equipment. Lifting our estimate of China's WFE TAM: Our Global Semis team recently raised its 2026 WFE market growth forecast to +16% Y/Y, driven by DRAM and TSMC. Given robust capex for domestic memory and advanced-node capacity, we forecast China's WFE market to grow 4% Y/Y in 2026. ...

1月26日，中微公司跌5.03%，截至发稿，报349.06元/股，成交19.35亿元，换手率0.87%，总市值 2185.62亿元。 资料显示，中微半导体设备(上海)股份有限公司位于上海市浦东新区金桥出口加工区(南区)泰华路188 号，成立日期2004年5月31日，上市日期2019年7月22日，公司主营业务涉及高端半导体设备的研发、生 产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：专用设备86.17%，备品备件12.84%，其他0.99%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，浦银安盛基金旗下1只基金重仓中微公司。浦银安盛科创板综合指数增强A（024083）四季 度减持2832股，持有股数7193股，占基金净值比例为1.43%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏 损失约13.3万元。 浦银安盛科创板综合指数增强A（024083）成立日期2025年6月17日，最新规模5446.83万。今年以来收 益12.42%，同类排名1252/5579；成立以来收益35.7%。 浦银安盛科创板综合指数增强A（024083）基金经理为孙晨进。 截至发稿，孙晨进累计任职时间10年316天，现任基金资产总规模14.24亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 7 ...

2026年1月23日，截至收盘，沪指涨0.33%，报收4136.16点；深成指涨0.79%，报收14439.66点；创业板 指涨0.63%，报收3349.50点。科创半导体ETF（588170）涨1.51%，半导体设备ETF华夏（562590）涨 1.95%。 3.盛美上海（688082.SH）发布2025年度业绩预告，预计营业收入为66.80亿元-68.80亿元，比上年同期 增长18.91%-22.47%。报告期内，全球半导体市场需求强劲，公司凭借技术差异化优势，持续推进销售 交付与调试验收，产品平台化进展顺利，客户全球化拓展成效显著，新客户开发取得突破，市场认可度 不断提升，推动营业收入稳步增长。综合近年来的业务发展趋势，以及目前的订单等多方面情况，公司 预计2026年全年的营业收入将在人民币82.00亿元至88.00亿元之间。 银河证券指出，AI算力需求不减、存储芯片周期上行以及先进封装技术渗透，共同推动半导体设备需 求提振，2026年半导体设备市场规模持续增长预期强烈。台积电预计2026年资本开支为520-560亿美 元，相较于2025年409亿美元的资本开支大幅增长，半导体设备的市场机遇进一步凸显。 ...

Group 1 - Tencent and Baidu are distributing significant cash rewards during the Spring Festival, with Tencent offering 1 billion yuan in cash red envelopes and Baidu providing 500 million yuan in cash rewards through its app [2] - Apple has initiated a major discount on the iPhone Air 256GB model, reducing the price from 7999 yuan to 5499 yuan, marking the largest price drop for this model in history [2] - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang is visiting China to deepen cooperation in AI technology, while the company faces production halts for certain components [3] Group 2 - Xiaomi's CEO Lei Jun announced that the new generation of Xiaomi SU7 is expected to have sample cars available before the Spring Festival [5] - NIO's subsidiary has achieved 91.36% progress in its battery doubling plan, with over 7309 new batteries invested as of January 24 [5] - Hunan Gold plans to acquire 100% equity of two companies to enhance its competitiveness in the precious metals refining and processing sector [5] Group 3 - Microsoft is addressing issues with Windows 11 that have affected basic applications, while also expanding its gaming strategy to include Xbox games on PS5 and Switch [8] - Amazon's low Earth orbit satellites are facing criticism for their brightness affecting astronomical observations, and the company is experiencing a decline in order volume [8] - The U.S. government plans to invest 1.6 billion USD in a rare earth company to secure critical mineral supplies, acquiring a 10% stake [8] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics plans to increase NAND flash supply prices by 100% in Q1 2026, reflecting ongoing tensions in the semiconductor market [10] - Toyota maintains its leading position in the Thai automotive market while facing challenges in electric vehicle transitions in China [10] - SK Hynix aims to launch high bandwidth memory samples by 2026 to meet the demands of AI and data center high-performance computing [10] Group 5 - Volkswagen's CEO stated that plans to build an Audi factory in the U.S. are contingent on tariff reductions, while its joint venture plans to launch 13 new models by 2026 [12] - BMW is implementing a second official price adjustment in 2026, with some models seeing price reductions exceeding 60,000 yuan [12] - LVMH is increasing investments in the beauty sector to strengthen its position in the high-end beauty market [12]

半导体产业链投资管理和分销平台头部公司香农芯创预计2025年全年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 为4.8亿元至6.2亿元，同比增长81.77%至134.78%。业绩变动的主要原因是，随着生成式人工智能的蓬 勃发展，互联网数据中心建设对企业级存储的需求持续增加。2025年，公司销售的企业级存储产品数量 增长，主要产品价格呈现上升的态势，预计全年收入增长超过40%。公司坚持以产品化为主导，围绕国 内一线自主算力生态，提供国产化、定制化产品，公司自主品牌"海普存储"已推出包括企业级SSD以及 企业级DRAM两大产品线的多款产品并进入量产阶段。2025年度，"海普存储"预计实现销售收入17亿 元，其中第四季度预计实现销售收入13亿元。 半导体设备龙头中微公司1月23日晚间公告，公司预计2025年全年实现营业收入约123.85亿元，同比增 长约36.62%；预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为20.8亿元至21.8亿元，同比增长约 28.74%至34.93%。公司针对先进逻辑和存储器件制造中关键刻蚀工艺的高端产品新增付运量显著提 升，先进逻辑器件中段关键刻蚀工艺和先进存储器件的超高深宽比刻蚀工艺实现了稳定可 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating an expectation of stock performance exceeding the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [31]. Core Insights - The demand for CPU is increasing due to AI agents, driven by three main factors: increased application call volume, orchestration becoming a bottleneck, and elevated overhead from sandbox isolation [2][11]. - The CPU ratio is expected to rise, with projections indicating that by Q2 2026, the CPU ratio per MW of GPU will increase from below 10% to 15% [2][17]. - There is significant growth potential in memory modules and interface chips, with a shift from traditional RDIMM to MRDIMM expected to enhance performance and capacity [2][19]. - The value of AI memory is transitioning from a cost item to an asset item, highlighting the increasing importance of related upstream infrastructure [2][25]. Summary by Sections AI Agent's Impact on CPU Demand - AI agents are driving a substantial increase in CPU demand due to higher application call volumes, orchestration challenges, and increased overhead from sandboxing [2][11]. Increasing CPU Ratio - Current estimates suggest that the CPU ratio per MW of GPU will rise to 15% by Q2 2026, with significant implications for the overall demand for CPUs in AI clusters [2][17]. Expanding Memory and Interface Chip Market - The transition to MRDIMM solutions is expected to significantly enhance bandwidth and capacity, creating opportunities in the memory and interface chip markets [2][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of AI memory as a foundational capability for AI applications, recommending a focus on key beneficiaries within the industry chain [2][25].

一、停复牌 1、锋龙股份：股价异动停牌核查。 2、嘉美包装：股价异动停牌核查。 3、湖南黄金：2025年净利润为12.70亿元至16.08亿元，同比增长50.00%至90.00%。业绩上涨主要是公 司金、锑、钨产品销售价格同比上涨。拟购买黄金天岳、中南冶炼100%股权，股票复牌。 4、龙韵股份：筹划购买愚恒影业58%股权，股票停牌。 二、回购 1、金开新能：拟5亿元-6亿元回购公司股份。 2、中宠股份：拟1亿元-2亿元回购公司股份。 三、并购重组 1、永杰新材：拟购买奥科宁克秦皇岛100%股权和奥科宁克昆山95%股权。奥科宁克秦皇岛主要从事铝 板带的研产销；奥科宁克昆山主要从事热管理相关铝板带的研产销。 2、晶升股份：拟8.57亿元购买为准智能100%股份。 2、德力佳：拟50亿元投建10兆瓦以上风电用变速箱研发制造项目。 3、天合光能：将剩余募集资金17亿元用于新项目"分布式智慧光伏电站建设项目"。 4、精智达：签订13.11亿元半导体测试设备销售合同。 5、蓝思科技：商业航天领域已实现批量供货，针对太空环境极端需求已研发出超薄光伏玻璃模组等。 6、北汽蓝谷：子公司拟投资19.91亿元建设享界超级工厂高端平 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The electronic industry index experienced a weekly change of +1.58%, with semiconductors rising by 2.7% and consumer electronics declining by 1.4% [4] - TSMC plans to build four advanced packaging facilities to enhance backend capacity, driven by strong demand for AI [6] - The AI hardware market is expected to see a surge in product launches, including OpenAI's AI audio headphones with projected shipments of 40-50 million units in the first year [5] Market Review - The semiconductor sector is witnessing a significant increase in demand, with TSMC's 3nm capacity fully booked until 2027 due to AI demand [6] - Major storage companies are entering a price increase cycle as they face unprecedented chip shortages, with Micron indicating that its HBM orders for 2026 are already filled [5] - The import value of key semiconductor equipment in China reached 15.5 billion yuan in December 2025, marking a 244% month-on-month increase [6] Industry Developments - AI infrastructure is rapidly developing, with domestic GPU manufacturers accelerating their self-sufficiency processes [5] - Companies like SK Hynix and Kioxia have reported that their chip and flash memory production capacities for 2026 are already sold out, exacerbating NAND supply pressures [5] - The Nasdaq index saw a slight decline of 0.06% this week, while notable gains were observed in companies like SanDisk (+14.56%) and AMD (+12.01%) [4]

本文所载 2025 年业绩数据，均为笔者根据上市公司 2026 年 1 月在上交所、深交所官网披露的业绩预告 / 业绩快报整理而来。重要说明：数据未经审计核验，最终结果以公司正式年报为准。 按股票代码升序排列 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司 股东的净利润 | 盈利:65,000万元 -80,000万元 | 盈利:35.055.37 万 元 | | | 比上年同期增长:85.42% - 128.21% | | | 扣除非经常性损 益后的净利润 | 盈利:63,000万元 -78,000万元 | 盈利:30,269.81 万 元 | | | 比上年同期增长:108.13% - 157.68% | | | 营业收入 | 金额: 1,030,000万元 -1,130,000 万元 | 金额:477,254.63万 元 | | | 比上年同期增长:115.82% - 136.77% | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利:2.91元/股 -3.58元/股 | 盈利: 1.70元/股 | 德明利（001309） 通富微电（002156） 证券代码:0021 ...

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry Price Increase - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a widespread price increase across the entire supply chain, affecting key areas such as LED chips, packaging, and terminal applications [2][3] - This price adjustment is driven by rising raw material costs, long-term low-price competition, and regulatory policies, indicating a structural transformation rather than a short-term market fluctuation [2][3] - The price increase reflects a shift from "price competition" to a "value competition" model focused on technology, quality, and service, suggesting a systemic reshaping of the Chinese LED industry [3] Group 2: Performance of Semiconductor Companies - A-share semiconductor companies are reporting significant annual performance increases, with companies like Zhaoyi Innovation expecting a revenue of approximately 9.203 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year [5] - Huafeng Measurement Control anticipates a revenue increase of 370 million to 508 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 41% to 56% [5] - Zhongwei Company forecasts a revenue of about 12.385 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 36.62% [5] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions in the Semiconductor Sector - Jing Sheng Co. announced plans to acquire 100% of Ningbo Weizhun Intelligent Technology Co., with a transaction value of 857 million yuan, marking a significant move in the semiconductor equipment sector [8] - Nasda's subsidiary, Jihai China, plans to acquire a 50.56% stake in Hong Kong-listed Meijiayin Holdings for a total consideration of 168 million HKD, indicating a strategic expansion into the Hong Kong capital market [9] - These acquisitions are expected to enhance the companies' technological capabilities and market presence, facilitating deeper capital and industrial synergies [8][9]