根据TrendForce数据，预计2026年全球服务器出货量年增长率为12.8%，其中AI服务器出货量年增长率 为28%以上，增幅同比2025年的24.2%继续上涨，主要受全球CSP大幅加强AI基础设施投资力度所致。 受益于AI基建加快，存储涨价仍在持续，根据TrendForce数据，包括DRAM和NAND Flash在内的存储器 产业产值逐年创高，预估2026年将同比增长134%达到5516亿美元，2027年则将继续同比增长53%达到 8427亿美元。近期，据韩国媒体报道，三星电子于2026Q1将NAND闪存的供应价格上调了100%以上， 涨幅远超市场此前预期，凸显了当前半导体市场严重的供需失衡现状。 1月27日上午，A股三大指数集体下跌，上证指数盘中下跌0.32%，有色金属、银行、石油石化等板块涨 幅靠前，电力设备、医药生物跌幅居前。芯片科技股分化，截至9点54分，芯片ETF（159995.SZ）下跌 1.00%，其成分股瑞芯微上涨2.85%，中微公司上涨2.23%，士兰微上涨1.08%，华海清科上涨1.07%。然 而，晶盛机电、三安光电等表现不佳，其涨跌幅分别是：-3.82%、-3.07%。 （文章来源 ...

本周一市场全天震荡调整，指数分化明显，商业航天、半导体等热门板块回调，有色、油气、光伏、化工板块领涨。热门半导体设备ETF （561980）单日下跌3.48%，但资金逆势流入，连续8个交易日获得净申购超5.6亿元，最新规模36.20亿元，年内份额增长21.3%。 行业分布上，中证半导高度聚焦本轮半导体上行周期核心受益的"卖铲子"环节，"设备"含量近60%；半导体设备+材料+集成电路设计三大行业 占比超90%，均为国产替代的攻坚领域，或有望持续受到市场、国家基金以及自主可控相关政策的关注。 东海证券指出，受益于AI基建加快，目前存储涨价仍在持续。根据TrendForce数据，包括DRAM和NANDFlash在内的存储器产业产值逐年创 高，预估2026年将同比增长134%达到5516亿美元，2027年则将继续同比增长53%达到8427亿美元。 此外，同样受益于AI热潮，服务器CPU需求增长，头部大厂英特尔、AMD的服务器CPU的供应开始出现紧缺和涨价，考虑将2026Q1服务器 CPU均价调涨10-15%。 国内相关A股标的受益于此，预估2025全年业绩实现大幅增长。半导体设备ETF（561980）第一权重股中微公 ...

华宝基金 半导体材料 聚焦『高精尖』·20CM 高弹性 上证科创板芯片ETF GEF # 589 90 1月27日 全 "芯"上市 這便科技 ·聚焦高精尖 更高收益 科创芯片指数长期表现突出,自基日以来累计涨幅超 161%,年化收益率17.93%,显著跑赢科创创业半导 体、国证芯片等同类指数。 科创芯片指数基日以来累计收益 161.34% 180% 151.85% 160% 140% 112.93% 104.77% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 科创创业半导体 国证本片 中证全指半导体 科创芯片 更低回撤 在保持较强进攻性的同时,科创芯片指数年化夏普比 率更高. 风险收益比更好. 区间最大回撤也较小。 科创创业 国证芯片 中证合指 创成片指数 未自休 术营体 年化收益率 13.86% 17.93% 17.19% 13.10% 年化夏普比率 0.54 0.52 0.63 0.63 年化波动率 39.64% 37.48% 35.83% 36.52% | -60.05% -61.73% -62.54% 区间最大回撤 | -56.81% | | | --- | --- | --- | | ...

证券研究报告 2026年1月26日 行业：电子 增持 （维持） 全球算力多点突破，AI 驱动端侧应用渗透（更正） ——科技主题观点综述 分析师：颜枫 SAC编号：S0870525030001 分析师：方晨 SAC编号：S0870523060001 分析师：李心语 SAC编号：S0870525040001 主要观点 风险提示：人工智能技术落地和商业化不及预期；产业政策转变；宏观经济不及预期。 更正说明:页16更正数据、补充"资料来源：WIND，上海证券研究所 *盈利预测来自WIND机构一致预期"。 2 • "硬科技"在AI驱动下表现突出：A股上市公司中，以国产算力芯片，AI-PCB，AIDC配套设施，AI端侧Soc芯片设计/封 测和部分消费电子企业为代表的板块在2024年业绩表现出较快增速，并在2025年Q1-Q3保持高增长，展望2025-2026年， 有望受益于国产算力资本开支持续增长，端侧应用渗透率不断提高，成为电子乃至科技行业增速较快的领域。 • 大国博弈下科技行业的估值体系有望重构：随着中美两国在科技/贸易等领域持续博弈，以电子行业为代表的科技板块 的估值中枢有望进一步抬升，我们认为尤其是目前国产化比例 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment leader, Zhongwei Company, has achieved a significant turnaround in its operating performance, with multiple key performance indicators expected to break records in 2025, including revenue exceeding 12.385 billion yuan and net profit surpassing 2 billion yuan for the first time [1][4]. Group 1: Revenue and Profit Growth - In 2025, Zhongwei Company anticipates revenue of approximately 12.385 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of about 36.62% [1][3]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between 2.08 billion and 2.18 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 28.74% to 34.93% [3][4]. - The revenue growth is primarily driven by strong sales of core products, particularly etching equipment, which is expected to generate around 9.832 billion yuan, accounting for 79.39% of total revenue [3][4]. Group 2: Factors Driving Growth - The surge in demand for advanced products and the successful mass production of these products are key factors contributing to the revenue growth [2][4]. - Zhongwei Company has also benefited from selling part of its holdings in listed companies, leading to an increase in investment income, with estimated non-recurring gains from equity investments of 611 million yuan in 2025 [4]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, which is expected to exceed 3.736 billion yuan in 2025, accounting for approximately 30% of its revenue [5][6]. Group 3: R&D Investment and Innovation - Zhongwei Company's R&D investment has seen rapid growth, with expenditures increasing from 1.262 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.452 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 82.09% [5][6]. - The company has developed over ten new types of conductor and dielectric film equipment in the past two years, with several products already entering the market and receiving repeat orders [5][6]. - Zhongwei maintains a leading position in the international GaN-based MOCVD equipment market and is actively developing specialized MOCVD equipment for applications in micro-LED and other display fields [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electronics industry [1] Core Insights - The "hard technology" sector is expected to perform well under the influence of AI, with domestic computing chips, AI-PCB, AIDC supporting facilities, and AI edge SoC chip design/testing showing rapid growth in 2024 and maintaining high growth in Q1-Q3 of 2025. This sector is projected to benefit from continued growth in domestic computing capital investment and increasing penetration of edge applications, becoming one of the fastest-growing areas in the electronics and technology industries [4] - The valuation system of the technology industry is likely to be restructured due to the ongoing competition between major powers, particularly in the semiconductor manufacturing and equipment sectors, where the domestic production ratio is currently low. Companies such as Cambricon, SMIC, North Huachuang, Haiguang Information, and Zhongwei Company are recommended for attention [4] - Computing power remains the most important theme for the year, with a focus on AI-PCB (semiconductors) and AI optical modules. Companies like Shenghong Technology, Huitian Technology, and others are highlighted for their potential [4] - Some consumer electronics stocks, particularly those in the "Apple supply chain," have become more cost-effective due to macroeconomic impacts on stock prices. Leading companies in the fruit chain and ODM sectors are expected to leverage demand in AIoT, humanoid robots, and automotive electronics to achieve performance and valuation improvements in the second half of the year [4] Summary by Sections AI and Computing Power - The demand for AI computing technology is increasing, leading to significant breakthroughs for PCB manufacturers in the AI server field. The overall market for AI chips is expected to grow, with China being a major consumer market [18][22] - The AI-driven demand for computing power is pushing the development of various applications, including automotive electronics and IoT, which are expected to drive growth in the chip industry [18] Semiconductor and Equipment - The semiconductor manufacturing sector is projected to see substantial growth, with companies like SMIC and North Huachuang showing promising revenue and profit growth rates [17] - The PCB equipment market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 290.25 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 347.09 billion yuan by 2026 [27] Consumer Electronics - The CIS market is experiencing a recovery, driven by demand from smartphones, security, and automotive applications. Domestic manufacturers are increasing their market presence with high-end products [46] - The SoC market is expected to grow, with AI technology becoming a crucial component for various applications, including smart home devices and automotive electronics [44]

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|电子 2026 年 1 月 26 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] AI 的 Memory 时刻 5 | | | | AI NAND | 供需紧张，涨价仍有弹性 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师： [Tabl | 王亮 | 分析师： | 耿正 | 分析师： | 焦鼎 | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260519060001 | | SAC 执证号：S0260520090002 | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120003 | | | SFC CE.no: BFS478 | | | | | | | 021-38003658 | | 021-38003660 | | 021-38003658 | | | gfwangliang@gf.com.cn | | gengzheng@gf.com.cn | | jiaoding@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 张大伟 | | | | | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523050001 | | | | | | | 02 ...

美国最怕的事情发生了！81岁国产芯片设备巨头中微公司董事长尹志尧，放弃美国籍，恢复中国籍，带 队攻克2纳米刻蚀机！外媒："在刻蚀这个核心环节，中国已经坐上全球牌桌！" 比身份转变更让对手胆寒的，是实打实的技术反杀。 攻克2纳米刻蚀机是什么概念？这难度好比在米粒上雕琢10亿个汉字，容错率极低，误差不得超过头发 丝的百万分之一。 眼看中国半导体设备越做越强，他们祭出的"禁人令"非但没卡住中国脖子，反倒逼出了一个更狠的决 定，81岁的中微公司董事长尹志尧，直接放弃美国籍，恢复中国籍，带队攻克2纳米刻蚀机！ 然而，此间的博弈，其凶险程度远非表面那般云淡风轻。暗潮涌动之下，潜藏着难以想象的危机，远比 肉眼所见的表象要惊心动魄得多。 早在2022年，美方就处心积虑地铺开了大网，明令禁止美籍人员未经授权染指中国先进制程半导体的研 发，妄图用国籍充当"锁链"，困住中国的技术领军者。 尹志尧深耕硅谷数载，名下坐拥86项美国专利，全球半数的刻蚀设备都留有他的技术烙印。这种级别的 掌舵人若被束缚，中微无异于被扼住了咽喉。 岂料，这一招对他根本无效！ 2024年，尹志尧以决绝之势，果断斩断了与美国之间的国籍羁绊，展现出非凡的抉择勇气 ...

中山证券表示，展望2026年，AI相关产业景气度有望维持，国产化加速有望带来国内半导体行业的机 会。根据有关机构预测，2026年云计算巨头资本支出有望维持40%以上的增长，AI行业的景气度有望维 持在较高水平。同时AI相关芯片国产化进程持续推进，有望带动国产设备材料公司股价表现好于电子 行业整体。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，上证科创板芯片指数前十大权重股分别为中芯国际、海光信息、寒武 纪、澜起科技、中微公司、拓荆科技、芯原股份、华虹公司、沪硅产业、东芯股份，前十大权重股合计 占比57.76%。 科创芯片ETF（588200）跟踪上证科创板芯片指数，是布局科创板芯片板块的便利工具。 截至2026年1月26日 10:19，上证科创板芯片指数下跌1.14%。成分股方面涨跌互现，芯原股份领涨 10.01%，东芯股份上涨6.92%，澜起科技上涨4.56%；天岳先进领跌，成都华微、华峰测控跟跌。 最新消息，三星电子今年第一季度将其NAND闪存的价格提高了一倍多，涨幅远超市场预期。目前三星 电子已经着手与客户就第二季度的NAND价格进行新一轮谈判，市场普遍预计价格上涨的势头将在第二 季度延续。 没有股票账户的场 ...

25 Jan 2026 03:58:06 ET │ 12 pages Advanced Micro-Fabrication Eq (688012.SS) 2025 Preliminary Earnings In-Line with Consensus but Beat CitiE CITI'S TAKE China's semiconductor etching machine maker AMEC voluntarily released its 2025 preliminary results 23 January, indicating that 2025 net profit could increase by 29%-35% YoY to Rmb2.08bn-2.18bn. The mid-point of the earnings range – Rmb2.13bn – is in-line with Bloomberg consensus but 12% ahead of CitiE, which we believe is due to higher investment income. De ...