11月21日，京基智农大宗交易成交150万股，成交额2245.5万元，占当日总成交额的11.05%，成交价 14.97元，较市场收盘价15.83元折价5.43%。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig price remains weak, and the logic of destocking may gradually strengthen. The price of pigs is currently at 11.85 yuan/kg, with the industry facing losses [3][18] - The agricultural policy is undergoing a profound transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and activating enterprise innovation. The report anticipates that under the influence of capacity control policies, pig prices may stop falling and rebound earlier than expected [4][19] - The report highlights the importance of high-quality development in the industry, with a clear direction for capacity control policies. Companies that lead in cost and connect with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][19] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine sector is experiencing fluctuations, with DeKang Agriculture leading the gains at +9% week-on-week. The number of breeding sows has decreased significantly, and futures prices are rising, but the stock market has not reacted [3][18] - The report emphasizes the need for solution-oriented enterprises as the industry policy shifts towards protecting farmers' rights and promoting innovation [4][19] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector continues to face a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with the price of broiler chickens at 3.50 yuan/kg and chick prices at 3.60 yuan each. The report suggests that integrated enterprises may increase their market share due to losses forcing breeding farms to reduce capacity [5][19] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to the recovery of the domestic industry, improved management effects, and increased capacity utilization. The company is expected to achieve growth beyond expectations [6][20] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry shows a strong concentration of leading brands, with the top five brands remaining stable. The report notes that the competition among leading brands is intensifying, leading to potential pressure on profit margins, but sales growth remains high [9][21] - The report predicts that the market concentration will increase, with the CR5 expected to reach nearly 40% in the next five years [11][23] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA's November supply and demand report did not exceed expectations, leading to a significant drop in soybean prices. The report indicates that domestic soybean inventories are high, and the supply remains sufficient [13][25] 6. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index increased by 2.70% week-on-week, with agricultural product processing performing the best at +6.40% [26]

Core Insights - The overall ESG management level in the agricultural industry is moderate, with a normal distribution of ESG practice scores peaking in the 0.55-0.60 range, indicating a "middle large, two ends small" distribution characteristic [1] - Leading sectors include agricultural services and dairy, with companies like Jinlongyu (300999), COFCO Sugar (600737), China Shengmu (000048), and Jingji Zhino (000048) setting benchmarks for ESG leadership [1] - 41% of companies are in the excellent stage of ESG integration, while 38% are in the proactive stage, 17% in the development stage, and 4% in the initial stage [1] ESG Performance Analysis - Companies show uneven performance across key ESG issues, with water and marine resource management scoring highest in environmental topics, while biodiversity protection remains a common shortcoming [2] - In social issues, consumer rights protection is strong, but investment in rural revitalization is relatively insufficient and homogeneous [2] - Governance issues show strong performance in identifying and addressing sustainable risks, but stakeholder communication mechanisms and anti-competitive practices need significant improvement [2] Management Effectiveness - There is notable differentiation in management effectiveness among sample companies, with leading firms establishing standardized ESG management systems, while many small and medium enterprises struggle with goal quantification and process standardization [2] - The dairy industry exhibits stricter food safety and quality regulations compared to other sectors, aided by centralized regulation and high industry concentration [2] - Overall, companies show structural differences in risk coverage, opportunity capture, and long-term impact identification, with a weak capacity for green transformation and long-term ecological and social impact recognition [2] ESG Value Accounting - The research introduces ESG value accounting in the agricultural sector, analyzing 153 agricultural listed companies based on industry risk characteristics and business exposure [2][4] Industry Trends - The number and proportion of companies creating positive ESG impacts are on the rise across four categories: agriculture, liquor, dairy, and food processing, with respective positive impact proportions of approximately 30%, 14%, 30%, and 20% [4] - In agriculture, carbon emission intensity is decreasing, with over 80% of companies showing effective greenhouse gas management [4] - The liquor industry has a 14% positive impact rate, with decreasing environmental and resource usage intensity [4] - In the dairy sector, harmful solid waste emission intensity is declining, with about 60% of companies showing ESG opportunities [4] - The food processing industry has nearly 70% of companies generating positive social impacts, with over 40% showing ESG opportunities [4] Recommendations for Improvement - The report suggests three core recommendations: encourage leading enterprises to build ESG collaborative mechanisms, develop common industry indicators and efficient data collection tools, and enhance ESG performance orientation in fiscal subsidies and green credit policies to support small and medium enterprises [5]

Group 1 - The poultry concept sector rose by 1.90%, ranking fourth among concept sectors, with 15 stocks increasing in value, including Yike Food which hit a 20% limit up [1] - Leading stocks in the poultry sector included Lihua Co., Jingji Zhino, and Guanghong Holdings, which saw increases of 1.91%, 1.48%, and 1.29% respectively [1] - The stocks that experienced the largest declines were Luoniushan, Huadong Co., and Xiaoming Co., with decreases of 3.80%, 1.50%, and 1.11% respectively [1] Group 2 - The poultry concept sector attracted a net inflow of 275 million yuan from main funds, with 10 stocks receiving net inflows, and 5 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflow [2] - The top stock for net inflow was Tianma Technology, which saw a net inflow of 246 million yuan, followed by Yike Food, Huaying Agriculture, and Jingji Zhino with net inflows of 75.81 million yuan, 56.13 million yuan, and 42.85 million yuan respectively [2] - The net inflow ratios for Tianma Technology, Yike Food, and Jingji Zhino were 25.15%, 19.08%, and 17.33% respectively [3] Group 3 - The trading performance of Tianma Technology showed a daily increase of 10.03% with a turnover rate of 12.06% and a main fund flow of 245.60 million yuan [3] - Yike Food had a daily increase of 19.98% with a turnover rate of 6.92% and a main fund flow of 75.81 million yuan [3] - Other notable stocks included Huaying Agriculture with a daily increase of 10.03% and a main fund flow of 56.13 million yuan, and Jingji Zhino with a daily increase of 1.48% and a main fund flow of 42.85 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the pork market, with prices experiencing a downward trend, currently at 11.90 CNY/kg, a decrease of 1.18% week-on-week. The market is characterized by a supply-demand tug-of-war, with large-scale pig farms adopting strategies to control supply and increase prices [2][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of the seed industry revitalization action plan, aiming for high-quality development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, focusing on technological self-reliance and independent control of seed sources [1][11] - The report suggests that the commercialization of genetically modified crops will accelerate, significantly impacting yield improvements and self-sufficiency rates for key varieties [1][11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting to promote the revitalization of the seed industry, emphasizing the need for high-quality development and technological independence. Key actions include improving seed quality, protecting intellectual property, and enhancing biosecurity measures [1][11] - Recommended companies in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is reported at 11.90 CNY/kg, with a notable decrease in losses for self-bred pigs to 114.81 CNY per head and 205.64 CNY for purchased piglets. The industry is still in a loss-making state but is seeing a reduction in losses compared to previous weeks [2][12] - The report anticipates a long-term upward adjustment in domestic pig prices, driven by policy guidance aimed at improving quality and efficiency in the industry [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine sector include companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and DeKang Agriculture [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2256.27 CNY/ton, up 0.92% week-on-week [25] - Wheat: The average price is 2485.11 CNY/ton, down 0.15% week-on-week [28] - Soybeans: The average price is 4011.58 CNY/ton, up 0.10% week-on-week [40] - Cotton: The average price is 14640.00 CNY/ton, up 0.10% week-on-week [45]

Core Viewpoint - The 9th China (Shenzhen) Corporate Governance Summit highlighted the theme "Governance as a Foundation, Market Value Renewal," focusing on strong regulation, risk prevention, and promoting high-quality development, with 京基智农 recognized for its innovative green governance practices [1] Group 1: Corporate Governance and Recognition - 京基智农 was awarded the "2025 Bay Area Listed Companies Green Governance Top 20" for its innovative practices in green governance, alongside notable companies like 招商蛇口, 比亚迪, and 汇川技术 [1] - The company has established a modern pig farming industry chain, achieving an annual output of over 2 million pigs, contributing significantly to the food supply in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] Group 2: Environmental Initiatives - In 2024, 京基智农's total environmental investment reached 108 million yuan, implementing low-carbon production processes that resulted in a greenhouse gas reduction of 39,941.54 tons of CO₂e [2] - The company has adopted technologies such as dry manure cleaning and high-temperature aerobic fermentation, converting 100% of livestock waste into organic fertilizer, with wastewater fully reused for irrigation [2] - 京基智农 has developed a green chain for processing pineapple waste, producing fermented feed that improves pig weight gain by 5% to 10% and reduces feed costs by over 10 yuan per ton, saving more than 10 million yuan annually [2] Group 3: Social Responsibility - 京基智农 promotes a "company + farmer" model, establishing over 12 service departments in the Guangxi and Guangdong regions to support farmers in pig farming, thereby increasing their income [3] - The company has engaged in charitable activities, including the establishment of four "京基智农 Love Libraries" in the western Guangdong region and funding rural infrastructure and cultural activities to improve living conditions [3] - The recognition as one of the "2025 Bay Area Listed Companies Green Governance Top 20" reflects the industry's acknowledgment of 京基智农's green governance practices and the feasibility of green transformation in agriculture [3]

Core Insights - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates a significant decline in the average selling price of live pigs in October 2025, with a decrease of 10.74% month-on-month and 33.56% year-on-year, suggesting ongoing pressure on pig prices in the near future [1] - The slaughter volume in October 2025 was 5.0352 million heads, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 10.40% and a year-on-year increase of 9.55%, indicating a temporary oversupply situation [1] - The report highlights that the proportion of large pigs being sold is lower than in the same period in 2024, while the inventory of large pigs is increasing, suggesting a potential easing of supply in the future [1] Industry Overview - The gross white price difference as of November 6, 2025, was 4.18 yuan/kg, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.08 yuan/kg but a year-on-year decrease of 0.84 yuan/kg, indicating mixed market conditions [2] - The national frozen product inventory rate was reported at 20.03%, up 4.06 percentage points year-on-year, which may exert downward pressure on future pig prices due to high inventory levels [2] - In October 2025, the industry faced significant losses, with self-breeding and self-raising operations losing 167.97 yuan per head, reflecting a worsening financial situation for producers [3] - The breeding stock decreased by 0.77% month-on-month as of November 7, 2025, indicating a trend of reduction in breeding capacity [3] Company Performance - In October 2025, 12 listed pig companies reported a total of 16.9469 million heads sold, a year-on-year increase of 29.29%, with individual companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs showing significant increases in their sales volumes [4] - The average selling price for major listed pig companies fell month-on-month, with prices for companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs decreasing by 10.3% and 12.2% respectively [5] - The average weight of pigs sold by major companies also saw a decline, with Dabeinong reporting an average weight of 110.1 kg per head, down 18.8 kg from the previous month [4]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Jingji Zhino has experienced a decline, with a current trading price of 16.46 yuan per share, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 4.78% and a recent drop in trading activity [1][2]. Company Overview - Jingji Zhino, established on January 1, 1979, and listed on November 1, 1994, is located in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province. The company operates in modern agriculture and real estate, focusing on pig and chicken breeding, feed production, and real estate development [2]. - The revenue composition of Jingji Zhino includes: pig products (79.38%), feed products (11.67%), real estate (5.38%), rental income (1.36%), poultry products (1.29%), hotel business (0.83%), and other sources (0.07%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jingji Zhino reported a revenue of 3.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 298 million yuan, down 50.50% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 2.73 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.10 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Jingji Zhino increased by 2.44% to 16,500, with an average of 31,879 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 2.38% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 10.32 million shares, an increase of 6.33 million shares from the previous period [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing increasing supply pressure of live pigs as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. In October 2025, the national average selling price of live pigs was 11.69 yuan/kg, down 10.74% month-on-month and 33.56% year-on-year. The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, up 10.40% month-on-month and 9.55% year-on-year. The actual output in October exceeded the planned output by 5.70%, but the planned output for November is expected to decrease by 3.27% compared to October [3][14][24] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The supply pressure of live pigs is gradually accumulating as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. The average selling price in October 2025 was 11.69 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease [3][14] - The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, indicating a month-on-month increase of 10.40% and a year-on-year increase of 9.55% [3][14] Market Dynamics - The proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the slaughter structure was 4.89%, which is lower than the same period in 2024. The stock of large pigs is expected to increase, leading to a more relaxed supply in the future [4][18] - The winter pork consumption is expected to improve, which may drive the price difference between lean and fatty pork. However, the high inventory rate of frozen products may suppress future prices [4][19][23] Financial Performance - In October, the industry faced deepening losses, with self-breeding losses reaching 167.97 yuan per head. The breeding stock decreased by 0.77% month-on-month [5][24] - The average selling price of major listed pig companies decreased month-on-month, with prices ranging from 10.97 to 11.87 yuan/kg, reflecting declines of 9.9% to 13.9% [6][7][34]

Core Viewpoint - Jingji Zhino announced the release of share pledges by its controlling shareholder, Jingji Group, indicating a positive development for the company's stock liquidity and potential investor confidence [2] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Share Pledge Release** - Jingji Group has released a total of 6,500,000 shares from pledge, which accounts for 5.44% of its holdings in Jingji Zhino and 1.23% of the company's total share capital [2] - **Implications for Investors** - The release of shares from pledge may enhance market perception and investor confidence in Jingji Zhino, potentially leading to increased trading activity [2] - **Ownership Structure** - Following the release, Jingji Group's ownership in Jingji Zhino remains significant, which may provide stability in the company's governance and strategic direction [2]