Market Overview - After the Spring Festival and during the Two Sessions, the TMT sector led by Deepseek has initiated a "revaluation of Chinese assets" trend, supported by a relatively stable RMB exchange rate and positive policy expectations[1] - The A-share and Hong Kong technology sectors currently exhibit a high risk appetite, although adjustments have been observed since mid-March due to uncertainties surrounding the new round of "reciprocal tariffs" from the US and concerns over AI "computing power bubbles"[1] - In March, the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300 Index, and ChiNext Index recorded gains of +0.45%, -0.07%, and -3.07%, respectively[1] Policy and Economic Outlook - The 2025 Two Sessions emphasized expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption as primary objectives, with a focus on addressing low domestic inflation and external uncertainties[2] - The "Consumption Promotion Action Plan" issued on March 16 aims to enhance consumer capacity and stabilize the stock market, with expectations for new capital market policies to accelerate implementation[2] - The central bank reiterated the need for a moderately loose monetary policy, with potential for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts based on economic conditions[2] Investment Recommendations - Focus on large consumption and cyclical industries in Q2, particularly those showing signs of recovery or strong performance[3] - Continue to monitor defensive sectors such as banking and dividend stocks due to external uncertainties[4] - The long-term trend for AI remains positive, with significant investment from major domestic companies, presenting potential short-term investment opportunities during market corrections[5] Selected Stock Portfolio - The recommended portfolio includes stocks from various sectors: China Mobile, Hongri Da, Lu Wei Optoelectronics, Sinovac Biotech, and others, covering telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, machinery, and non-bank financials[5]

证券代码：000528 证券简称：柳 工 公告编号：2025-28 债券代码：127084 债券简称：柳工转2 广西柳工机械股份有限公司 关于股份回购（第二期）进展情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 广西柳工机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 11 月 28 日召开第九届 董事会第二十六次（临时）会议，审议通过了《关于公司回购股份方案（第二期）的 议案》，同意公司使用自有资金及股票回购专项贷款资金通过集中竞价的方式回购部 分公司已发行的人民币普通股（A 股）股票，用于新一期的股权激励或员工持股计划。 本次回购金额区间为不低于人民币 30,000 万元（含）且不超过人民币 60,000 万元 （含），回购价格为不超过人民币 18.20 元/股（含），该价格不高于董事会通过回购 决议前三十个交易日公司股票交易均价的 150%。具体回购股份的数量以回购期满时 实际回购的股份数量为准。上述具体内容详见公司于 2024 年 12 月 3 日在巨潮资讯网 （www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的《公司第九届董事会第二十六次（临 ...

证券代码：000528 证券简称：柳 工 公告编号：2025-29 债券代码：127084 债券简称：柳工转2 关于 2025 年第一季度可转债转股情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 广西柳工机械股份有限公司 柳工转债（债券代码：127084）转股期为 2023 年 10 月 9 日至 2029 年 3 月 26 日。截止目前，转股价格为 7.57 元/股。 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 15 号——可转换公司债券》《深圳证券交易所可转换公司债券业务实施细则》的有关规 定，广西柳工机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年第一季度可转换公司债 券（以下简称"可转债"）转股及公司股份变动情况公告如下： 一、可转换公司债券基本情况 （一）可转债发行情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会（以下简称"中国证监会"）《关于核准广西柳工机械股 份有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券的批复》（证监许可〔2023〕128 号）核准，公司 于 2023 年 3 月 27 日向不特定对象发行了 3,00 ...

Group 1: Industry Outlook and Performance Expectations - The domestic engineering machinery market is expected to enter a new upward cycle in 2025, driven by natural equipment updates and favorable policies, with a projected revenue of CNY 34.6 billion and an increase in net profit margin by over 1 percentage point [3] - Overseas demand is anticipated to continue declining but at a slower rate, with emerging markets maintaining moderate to high growth [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Margins - The company's gross margin decreased in Q4 2024 due to new accounting standards, but it is expected to improve under previous accounting policies [3] - The company achieved a 20% increase in overseas revenue in 2024, outperforming the industry by 22 percentage points [3] Group 3: Strategic Development and Market Position - The company has a comprehensive mining equipment matrix and plans to launch a 200-ton mining excavator in H1 2025, with a focus on internationalization and intelligent solutions [6] - The company maintains a leading market share in electric loaders, with a projected 500% increase in overseas sales in 2024 [4] Group 4: Cost Management and Profitability - A strategic cost control system will be established to enhance profitability, focusing on R&D, procurement, and manufacturing [7] - The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of over 40%, with a 2023 dividend rate of 45% [8] Group 5: Risk Management and Asset Quality - In 2024, credit and asset impairment losses were CNY 579 million, accounting for 2% of revenue, showing significant improvement from 2023 [9] - The company plans to enhance risk management and optimize asset quality as key operational goals for 2025 [9]

Group 1: Industry Outlook and Performance Expectations - The domestic engineering machinery market is expected to see a significant increase in demand in 2025, with a projected revenue of CNY 34.6 billion and a net profit margin improvement of over 1% [3] - Overseas demand is anticipated to continue declining, but at a reduced rate, with emerging markets maintaining moderate to high growth [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Margins - The company's gross margin decreased in Q4 2024 due to new accounting standards, but the gross margin is expected to improve under previous accounting policies [3] - The company achieved a 20% revenue growth in overseas markets, with emerging markets seeing a 30% increase [4] Group 3: Strategic Development and Product Lines - The company plans to launch a 200-ton mining excavator in H1 2025 and has developed a comprehensive mining equipment matrix [6] - The company aims to enhance its electric loader's gross margin and expects a 500% increase in overseas sales of electric loaders in 2024 [4] Group 4: Cost Management and Profitability - A strategic cost control system will be established to lower operational costs, focusing on R&D, procurement, and manufacturing [7] - The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of over 40%, with a 2023 dividend rate of 45% [8] Group 5: Risk Management and Asset Quality - In 2024, the company reported credit and asset impairment losses of CNY 579 million, accounting for 2% of revenue, with a significant improvement from 2023 [9] - The company plans to enhance risk management and optimize asset quality as key operational goals for 2025 [9]

Group 1: Aluminum Industry - The aluminum industry is experiencing a good destocking performance, but prices are under pressure due to tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties [4][10]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity has slightly increased, with average costs around 16,960 RMB/ton, down 103 RMB/ton week-on-week [5]. - Downstream aluminum processing enterprises are seeing a recovery in orders and operating rates, supported by demand from the photovoltaic sector and automotive aluminum [6]. Group 2: Power Industry - China Power reported a revenue of 54.21 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, with a net profit of 3.86 billion RMB, up 25.2% [11][12]. - The company’s coal-fired power segment showed improved performance, while hydropower turned profitable due to favorable water conditions [13]. - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 60% for the year [12]. Group 3: Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector has seen a decline, with the beverage segment down 3.65% over the past two weeks, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [15]. - The liquor market is experiencing a seasonal downturn, with prices for premium brands like Moutai decreasing, indicating weaker demand [16]. - The overall performance of liquor companies varies, with some regional brands showing resilience amid macroeconomic pressures [17]. Group 4: Logistics Industry - SF Express reported a revenue of 15.746 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27%, with a net profit of 132 million RMB, up 161.8% [21][22]. - The company’s last-mile delivery segment saw significant growth, particularly in county-level markets, with a 121% increase in revenue [24]. - The logistics sector is benefiting from network scale effects, leading to improved profit margins and cost reductions [25]. Group 5: Chemical Industry - The chemical sector is expected to enter a replenishment cycle in 2025, driven by low inventory levels and improving profitability [29]. - Phosphate rock supply remains tight, with companies like Baitian Co. expanding production capacity to meet growing demand [28]. - The industry is witnessing price increases for key products like urea and hexafluoropropylene, indicating a positive market sentiment [35].

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 徐阳 得益于海外业务规模快速扩张，柳工（000528.SZ）业绩稳步增长。 回顾往年，2016年至2020年期间，行业景气度持续提升，柳工的业绩进入上行通道。公司的营业收入由 2016年的70.05亿元不间断增长至2020年的259.8亿元，整体增幅达2.7倍；对应的净利润由4926万元不间 断增长至14.40亿元，整体增幅超28倍。 受市场环境等多重因素影响，柳工的盈利能力连续两年承压。2021年和2022年，公司实现营业收入分别 为287亿元、264.8亿元，同比变动10.48%、-7.74%；同期的净利润分别为9.97亿元、5.99亿元，同比下 降30.76%、39.90%。 2023年以来，柳工的经营情况得到大幅改善。2023年和2024年，公司实现营业收入分别为275.2亿元、 300.6亿元，同比分别增长3.93%、9.24%；同期的净利润分别为8.68亿元、13.27亿元，同比分别增长 44.80%、52.92%，净利润增幅显著高于当期营业收入。 值得一提的是，柳工在2024年的营收规模首次突破300亿元，达300.6亿元，而净利润也重新回到10亿元 规模之上。 根 ...

事件描述 公司发布年报，2024 年公司实现营收300.63 亿元，同比+9.24%；实现归母净利润13.27 亿元，同比 +52.92%。据此计算，24Q4 公司实现营收72.07 亿元，同比+12.52%；实现归母净利润0.06 亿元，同 比-84.55%。 事件评论 1、基建、地产投资增速低于预期； 2、海外市场拓展不及预期。 矿山及其他产品线增长强劲，电动化产品大幅放量。24 年公司矿山机械收入同比+60%，净利润同比大 幅增长，其中国内市占率提升1pct，海外市占率提升3pct，市场地位稳步提升。同时，24 年公司叉车、 高机、起重机、小型机板块净利润同比分别+20%、+27%、+120%、+190%，多产品线业绩增量贡献显 著。此外，公司电动化产品大幅放量，24 年电装全球销量同比+194%，市占率保持行业领先地位，有 望持续贡献收入及业绩。 预计2025-2026 年公司分别实现归母净利润21.43 亿、28.99 亿元，对应PE 分别为11倍、8 倍，维持"买 入"评级。 风险提示 24Q4 利润或受减值计提等非经营因素影响，但公司经营侧稳步向好，24 年境内、境外毛利率双提升。 24Q4 公 ...

事件: 柳工2025 年3 月28 日发布年报：2024 年，公司实现营收300.6 亿元，同比+9.2%；归母净利润13.3 亿 元，同比+52.9%；毛利率22.5%，yoy+1.7pct；净利率4.6%，yoy+1.2pct。 投资要点: 土方板块量价齐升，国内外均打开新高度：1）土方板块营收毛利双增长：2024 年公司土方板块实现营 收179.4 亿元，同比+12.8%，营收占比达到59.7%，毛利率yoy+0.22pct，土方机械产品销量增速优于行 业水平13%。2）国内外营收双提升：出口来看，土方产品全球累计收入同比+15%，实现国际市场增 长，海外收入占比近六成；国内来看，土方机械产品国内市场份额突破新高度，同比提升1.3%。 3）拳头产品持续做强：装载机、挖掘机两大拳头产品销量保持稳健增长，合计收入近70 亿元。装载机 业务继续保持业绩规模最大贡献，国内市场份额稳居第一，电动装载机全球销量同比+194%，市场占有 率保持行业领先地位；挖掘机业务销量增速优于行业27%，出口销量增速优于行业15%，海内外市场份 额再创新高。 海外营收显著增长，海外拓展边表现亮眼：1）公司出海效果显著： 坚持做大战 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][8] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 30.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.33 billion yuan, up 52.9% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin improved to 22.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin rose to 4.6%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on strategic emerging business sectors to cultivate new growth drivers for high-quality development [4] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock outperformed the CSI 300 index with a 12-month performance of 47.4% compared to the index's 10.4% [1] - The current stock price is 12.05 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 8.35 to 13.71 yuan [1] Business Segments - The earthmoving segment saw revenue of 17.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, accounting for 59.7% of total revenue [4] - The company achieved a 15% year-on-year increase in global revenue from earthmoving products, with nearly 60% of revenue coming from overseas [4] - The sales of key products, including loaders and excavators, remained robust, contributing nearly 7 billion yuan in revenue [4] Overseas Market Expansion - The company's overseas revenue reached 13.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, with overseas revenue accounting for 45.8% of total revenue [4] - The overseas gross margin was 28.6%, which is 11.2 percentage points higher than domestic margins [4] - The company has nearly 400 dealers and over 1,300 outlets, achieving a channel coverage rate of nearly 70% [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35.38 billion yuan, 42.08 billion yuan, and 48.68 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 2.63 billion yuan, and 3.27 billion yuan [6][7] - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of 11% in 2025, increasing to 15% by 2027 [8]