SHENHUO COAL&POWER(000933)
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有色金属2026年度策略
Huaan Securities· 2025-12-16 12:16
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Global geopolitical conflicts drive up the risk - aversion sentiment, the People's Bank of China continuously buys gold, and the Fed is still in the interest - rate cut channel, so the gold price is supported. Suggestions are to focus on Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [5]. - The raw material for copper is in short supply, and the copper price is more likely to rise than fall. Suggestions are to focus on Zijin Mining and Tongling Nonferrous Metals [5]. - For electrolytic aluminum, supply is restricted, new - energy demand contributes to the increase, and the situation of weak supply and strong demand continues. In terms of profit, the alumina production capacity will be gradually released in 2025, the alumina price will continue to decline, and the profit is expected to recover. Suggestions are to focus on Shenhuo Co., Ltd., Yunnan Aluminum Co., Ltd., and Tianshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. [5]. - For energy metals, there are frequent reports of production cuts from overseas supply - side, and signals of production cuts or shutdowns in the whole industry will continue to appear. The lithium price has bottomed out and rebounded as the in - depth integration of production capacity has begun. Suggestions are to focus on Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd., Tianqi Lithium Corporation, and Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. [5]. - China tightens the tungsten supply, and the market continues to rise with reduced volume. Relevant companies are China Tungsten High - tech Co., Ltd. and Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold - **Price Trend**: Since 2024, the gold price has repeatedly hit new highs. In different quarters from 24Q3 to 25Q3, various factors such as Fed's interest - rate cuts, geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and tariff policies have affected the gold price. In the future, geopolitical, tariff policy changes, market risk preferences, and interest - rate cuts will still impact the gold price [8][13]. - **Supply and Demand**: Gold supply is stable, while global central banks are increasing their gold purchases. In 25Q3, central bank gold - buying demand was 219.85 tons, a 10.2% increase year - on - year. The People's Bank of China restarted the gold - buying channel in November 2024 and has continuously increased its gold holdings [14][21]. - **Stock Recommendations**: Suggestions are to focus on Chifeng Gold, Shandong Gold, Shanjin International, and Zijin Mining. These companies have certain scales and performance flexibility. For example, in the first half of 2025, Shandong Gold's net profit attributable to shareholders was 28.08 billion yuan, a 102.98% year - on - year increase; Chifeng Gold planned to produce 16.0 tons of gold in 2025; Shanjin International's revenue and profit increased significantly; Zijin Mining's net profit attributable to shareholders was 233 billion yuan, a 54% year - on - year increase [22][23]. Copper - **Supply - Demand Situation**: The supply of copper ore is tight, which leads to the increase of copper price and compresses the profit of the smelting end. The copper concentrate treatment and refining charges (TC) have been declining since 2024, reaching - 43.08 US dollars/ton as of December 12, 2025. The difference between LME and COMEX copper inventories has widened, resulting in a short - term regional mismatch in copper supply [26][30]. Electrolytic Aluminum - **Supply**: The domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity is approaching the ceiling, and the output growth is restricted by power - rationing policies. Overseas, power supply is tight, and there are frequent shutdown events, leading to supply shortages [41]. - **Demand**: From January to October 2025, the domestic electrolytic aluminum demand was 38.7697 million tons, a 5.72% year - on - year increase. The demand for aluminum in the automotive and photovoltaic industries is increasing. Aluminum - bodied new - energy vehicles can increase cruising range and reduce battery costs, and the photovoltaic industry is booming under policy support [42][48]. - **Cost and Profit**: The domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity restricts the demand for alumina, and with the release of new production capacity, alumina is in oversupply. The decline in alumina price is beneficial to the profit of the electrolytic aluminum sector. Suggestions are to focus on Shenhuo Co., Ltd., Yunnan Aluminum Co., Ltd., and Tianshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. [51][52]. Lithium - **Price and Market**: The price of lithium carbonate has bottomed out and rebounded. The market is generally optimistic about the demand for lithium carbonate next year. With the gradual increase in supply, both supply and demand are booming, and the industry profit is gradually improving [56]. - **Stock Recommendations**: Suggestions are to focus on Tianqi Lithium Corporation, Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd., Zhongkuang Resources Co., Ltd., Yongxing Special Materials Co., Ltd., and other companies. The performance and profit expectations of these companies vary [60]. Tungsten - **Supply**: China tightens the tungsten supply, and the global supply is restricted. Regulatory strengthening and declining ore grades affect production capacity release, and supply is generally tight. In April 2025, the Ministry of Natural Resources of China issued the first - batch tungsten ore mining total - volume indicator of 58,000 tons [62][66]. - **Stock Recommendations**: Suggestions are to focus on Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd., Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd., China Tungsten High - tech Co., Ltd., Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd., and Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment Co., Ltd. [67].
神火股份:截至12月10日股东人数为6.53万户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-15 11:43
证券日报网讯12月15日,神火股份(000933)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至12月10日,公司 的股东人数是6.53万户。 ...
神火股份最新筹码趋于集中
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-15 01:59
(文章来源:证券时报网) 证券时报·数据宝统计,截至发稿,神火股份最新股价为25.30元,下跌2.35%,本期筹码集中以来股价 累计上涨3.18%。具体到各交易日,6次上涨,5次下跌。 公司发布的三季报数据显示,前三季公司共实现营业收入310.05亿元,同比增长9.50%,实现净利润 34.90亿元,同比下降1.38%,基本每股收益为1.5750元,加权平均净资产收益率15.34%。(数据宝) 神火股份12月15日披露,截至12月10日公司股东户数为65300户,较上期(11月30日)减少4000户,环 比降幅为5.77%。这已是该公司股东户数连续第2期下降。 ...
美联储如期降息,看好金属价格上涨弹性
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-12-14 08:23
有色金属 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 12 14 年 月 日 美联储如期降息,看好金属价格上涨弹性 工业金属:(1)铜:美国铜库存持续流入,非美地区低库存引发逼仓风险。①宏观方面: 周内美联储降息+扩表利好铜价金融属性;②库存端:周内全球铜库存环比增加 1.7 万吨, 其中中国库存增加 0.2 万吨,LME 铜库存增加 0.3 万吨,COMEX 铜库存增加 1.1 万吨;全球 铜库存继续向美国聚集,引发市场对非美地区铜供应紧张的担忧;③供给端:据 Ivanhoe Mines 公告:Kamoa-Kakula 2026 年铜产量目标为 38 万至 42 万吨,中值较 2025 年指引小 幅上调 0.5 万吨,2027 年铜产量目标为 50 万至 54 万吨,中期铜产量目标维持于 55 万吨。 此前公司计划 2025 年产量目标为 52-58 万吨;④需求端:目前虽然终端消费受到一定高铜 价抑制,但低库存状态下,向下空间有限。((2)铝:经济数据及政策双重托底,短期铝价偏 强震荡。①供给:本周山西地区电解铝企业全部复产产能释放完毕,新疆地区电解铝企业继 续投产,综合来看,本周电解 ...
2025年1-10月中国氧化铝产量为7634.4万吨 累计增长8%
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-13 02:48
2020-2025年1-10月中国氧化铝产量统计图 上市企业:中国铝业(601600),天山铝业(002532),南山铝业(600219),云铝股份(000807),神火股 份(000933),中孚实业(600595),焦作万方(000612),宏创控股(002379),闽发铝业(002578),宁 波富邦(600768) 相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国氧化铝行业发展模式分析及未来前景规划报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示:2025年10月中国氧化铝产量为787万吨,同比增长5.8%;2025年1-10月中国 氧化铝累计产量为7634.4万吨,累计增长8%。 数据来源:国家统计局,智研咨询整理 知前沿,问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构,十数年持续深耕产业研究领域,提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力,专注于提供完善的产业解决方案,为您的投资决策赋能。 ...
供应紧约束,有色资源品有望步入长牛:有色金属行业2026年度投资策略
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-12 06:46
Group 1: Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the long-term allocation value of precious metals, particularly gold, supported by central bank purchases and a weakening dollar credit system [10][11][44] - Gold demand is expected to remain strong due to central bank purchases, with a total of 219.85 tons purchased in Q3 2025, marking a historical high [18][20] - Silver is projected to experience strong price momentum due to persistent supply-demand gaps and low domestic inventory levels [28][39] Group 2: Copper - The copper mining sector is expected to maintain low growth rates, with a projected supply shortage in 2026 due to ongoing mining and smelting conflicts [12][45] - Global copper production is anticipated to increase by approximately 10,000 tons, 70,000 tons, and 84,000 tons from 2025 to 2027, while smelting capacity is expected to rise by 217,000 tons, 100,000 tons, and 20,000 tons respectively [12][47] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the copper sector, such as Zijin Mining and Jiangxi Copper, as supply tightens [2][12] Group 3: Aluminum - The aluminum market is expected to maintain a tight balance, with domestic production growth rates projected at 2.2%, 1.4%, and 0.4% from 2025 to 2027 [3][13] - Demand for aluminum remains resilient, driven by investments in new energy and power grids, with a projected domestic demand growth of 2.6%, 1.0%, and 3.6% over the same period [3][13] - The report highlights the importance of high dividend stocks in the aluminum sector, recommending companies like China Hongqiao and Tianshan Aluminum [3][13] Group 4: Cobalt - The cobalt supply chain is being reshaped by policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a significant reduction in global supply, with projections of only 96,600 tons contributed annually from 2026 to 2027 [4][14] - Demand for cobalt is expected to grow, particularly in high-end electric vehicles and solid-state batteries, with a projected global shortage of 32,000 tons and 31,000 tons in 2026 and 2027 respectively [4][14] - Companies benefiting from cobalt price elasticity, such as Huayou Cobalt and Luoyang Molybdenum, are recommended for investment [4][14]
神火股份在云南成立新公司,含石墨及碳素制品制造业务
Qi Cha Cha· 2025-12-09 06:29
fund 企查查APP显示,近日,云南神火炭素有限公司成立,法定代表人为刘京领,注册资本为1亿元,经营 范围包含:石墨及碳素制品制造;石墨及碳素制品销售。企查查股权穿透显示,该公司由神火股份 (000933)旗下云南神火铝业有限公司全资持股。 (原标题:神火股份在云南成立新公司,含石墨及碳素制品制造业务) ...
有色金属行业2026年年度策略报告-20251208
Ping An Securities· 2025-12-08 05:34
Group 1: Precious Metals - Gold - The weakening of the US dollar credit remains the core logic for gold pricing in 2025, with a notable negative correlation between gold prices and the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves [11][12] - The Federal Reserve is expected to continue its rate-cutting cycle into 2026, which may support gold prices, especially with concerns over the independence of monetary policy due to potential changes in leadership [13][15] - The long-term trend of weakening US dollar credit is not expected to change, with the US fiscal deficit projected to reach 6.9% of GDP in 2024, indicating ongoing structural issues in the US fiscal system [16][17] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Supply constraints for copper are expected to intensify, with significant disruptions in overseas copper mining projects leading to a projected decrease in output by over 100,000 tons in 2025 [23][24] - The demand for copper is anticipated to grow significantly due to the rise of AI and data centers, with each MW of installed capacity requiring approximately 27 tons of copper [27][28] - The macroeconomic environment, characterized by a weak dollar and continued rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is expected to drive copper prices upward [29][31] Group 3: Energy Metals - The supply of lithium and cobalt is expected to improve significantly due to the end of overseas capacity clearances and the implementation of supply constraint policies by major producing countries [33] - The demand for energy metals is projected to benefit from the resilience of battery technologies and the growth of the energy storage sector, leading to a positive supply-demand dynamic [33][34] Group 4: Tin - The supply of tin is tightening due to regulatory changes in Indonesia and ongoing production disruptions in Myanmar, with exports from Indonesia declining by approximately 20% year-on-year [45][46] - The global demand for refined tin is expected to grow, particularly in the electronics sector, driven by high semiconductor sales and the increasing use of tin solder in AI and high-performance computing applications [51]
中证500价值ETF(562330)开盘涨3.58%





Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 01:39
中证500价值ETF(562330)业绩比较基准为中证500价值指数收益率,管理人为银华基金管理股份有限 公司,基金经理为马君,成立(2023-04-07)以来回报为17.33%,近一个月回报为0.19%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 来源:新浪基金∞工作室 12月8日,中证500价值ETF(562330)开盘涨3.58%,报1.215元。中证500价值ETF(562330)重仓股方 面,东吴证券开盘涨1.55%,西部矿业涨0.69%,苏州银行涨0.00%,永泰能源跌0.60%,杰瑞股份涨 0.06%,均胜电子涨0.00%,云天化涨0.48%,天山铝业涨0.78%,神火股份涨0.18%,上海电力跌 0.35%。 ...
小红日报|孚日股份涨停,标普红利ETF(562060)标的指数收涨0.66%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 01:01
Core Insights - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of December 5, 2025 [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The top performer is Luodi Co., Ltd. (002083.SZ) with a daily increase of 9.99% and a year-to-date increase of 115.68% [1][4]. - Nanshan Aluminum (600219.SH) follows with a daily increase of 8.55% and a year-to-date increase of 41.18% [1][4]. - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. (000933.SZ) shows a daily increase of 5.43% and a year-to-date increase of 65.72% [1][4]. - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) has a daily increase of 5.16% and a year-to-date increase of 85.94% [1][4]. - Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (002895.SZ) reports a daily increase of 4.22% and a year-to-date increase of 61.41% [1][4]. Group 2: Dividend Yields - Siwei Liekong (603508.SH) has the highest dividend yield at 11.60% over the past 12 months [1][4]. - Other notable dividend yields include Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (3.86%), Yungxin Co., Ltd. (7.84%), and Yuntianhua (5.23%) [1][4]. - The average dividend yield among the top 20 stocks varies, with some stocks like Kesheng Co., Ltd. (300856.SZ) showing a lower yield of 1.41% [1][4]. Group 3: Market Trends - The article indicates a positive market trend with the formation of MACD golden cross signals for several stocks, suggesting potential upward momentum [3][6].