Core Viewpoint - The electric power equipment sector is experiencing growth driven by the rapid development of AI, increased electricity demand, and the need for upgrading aging grid infrastructure [1][32]. Company Overview - Siyi Electric Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Siyi Electric") is focused on the manufacturing of power transmission and distribution equipment and is pursuing a dual listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [3][4]. - The company was founded in December 1993 and has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since August 2004, with a current market capitalization of 166.1 billion RMB [4][9]. - Siyi Electric has a diverse product portfolio that includes six core business lines: switchgear, transformers, protection and automation, power electronics, energy storage systems, and EPC services [11][36]. Financial Performance - Siyi Electric's revenue for 2023, 2024, and the first nine months of 2025 was 12.46 billion RMB, 15.46 billion RMB, and 13.83 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 1.61 billion RMB, 2.08 billion RMB, and 2.25 billion RMB [23][24]. - The company expects a revenue of 21.21 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 37.18%, and a net profit of 3.16 billion RMB, reflecting a 54.35% increase [23][24]. - The gross profit margins have improved from 29% in 2023 to an expected 32% in 2025 [23]. Market Dynamics - The global market for power transmission and distribution equipment is projected to grow from 580.8 billion RMB in 2020 to 863.6 billion RMB by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.4% [38]. - In China, the market size for power transmission and distribution equipment is expected to reach 3.11 trillion RMB in 2024, with a CAGR of 9.4% until 2029 [38][40]. - Siyi Electric holds a market share of approximately 3.5% in the Chinese market, ranking eighth among competitors [31][40]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the power equipment sector is concentrated, with the top five companies holding 61.1% of the market share [40]. - Major competitors include TBEA, Chint Electric, State Grid Corporation, Schneider Electric, ABB Group, Siemens, Eaton, and Hitachi Energy [40][41]. Industry Trends - The acceleration of electrification is driving global electricity demand, with a projected total generation of 31,256 TWh in 2024, a 4.4% increase year-on-year [32][33]. - The increasing reliance on renewable energy sources like wind and solar is reshaping the global electricity structure, necessitating improvements in grid infrastructure to handle the variability of these energy sources [33][34].

Company and Industry Summary Company: 思源电气 (Siyuan Electric) - **IPO Submission**: On February 11, the company submitted its IPO prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with funds primarily allocated for expanding production capacity, enhancing R&D, building a global service network, advancing market development, improving digital transformation and smart upgrades, and pursuing global strategic investments and acquisitions [1] Industry: Power Distribution and Control Equipment - **Market Size**: The global and Chinese market sizes for power distribution and control equipment are projected to reach 863.6 billion CNY and 311.3 billion CNY in 2024, respectively, with expectations to grow to 1,477.5 billion CNY and 483.4 billion CNY by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 11% and 9% [1] - **Market Share**: In 2024, the company is expected to hold a 3.5% market share in China, ranking 8th overall, 5th among domestic companies, and 3rd among domestic private enterprises [1] Subsector: Lithium Battery Energy Storage Systems - **Market Growth**: The global and Chinese market sizes for lithium battery energy storage systems are anticipated to reach 100.2 billion CNY and 35.1 billion CNY in 2024, respectively, with projections to grow to 564.1 billion CNY and 303.0 billion CNY by 2029, indicating a CAGR of 39% and 55% [2] Subsector: Automotive Electronics - **Product Development**: The company has developed core products such as onboard auxiliary power supplies and door lock safety devices, securing multiple partnerships with mainstream automotive manufacturers, which enhances the penetration of automotive electronic products in overseas markets [2] - **Innovation**: The company is deepening the innovative application of core components like supercapacitors in the automotive sector [2] Competitive Advantages - **Full Industry Chain Layout**: The company is one of the few in the industry capable of providing integrated solutions for the R&D and manufacturing of primary and secondary power system equipment, as well as energy storage-related devices [2] - **Global Operations**: The company operates in over 100 countries and regions, successfully entering the supply chain of top European grid operators [2] Investment Outlook - **Future Performance**: The year 2026 is anticipated to be a significant year for the company, with expectations for performance to exceed forecasts, particularly in North American transformer and energy storage orders, domestic ultra-high voltage projects, and supercapacitors, projecting a market value exceeding 200 billion CNY within the year [2]

Summary of Longjiang Electric New Energy (Siyuan Electric) Conference Call Company Overview - The company is preparing for a Hong Kong IPO, with significant focus on its business operations and growth potential in the transformer and energy storage sectors [1][2]. Key Financial Highlights - **Transformer Revenue**: In Q1-Q3 2025, transformer revenue reached 3.3 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 35%, accounting for 24% of total revenue [1][2]. - **Energy Storage Revenue**: Energy storage revenue was 800 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 87%, contributing to 6% of total revenue [1][2]. - **Overseas Revenue**: The company reported overseas revenue of 4.2 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, a significant increase of 73%, making up 30% of total revenue [4]. Profitability Metrics - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin for transformer products was 36% in Q1-Q3 2025, an increase of 3 percentage points year-on-year, aligning with the gross margin of switch products, indicating strong profitability in overseas markets [4]. Capacity Expansion - The company is expanding its production capacity across various products, with transformer capacity reaching approximately 870 units by the end of Q3 2025, and a continuous improvement in capacity utilization [4]. Future Development Directions - **Capital Utilization**: The funds raised from the IPO will be directed towards: - Expanding production capacity for switches, transformers, supercapacitors, and establishing an IGCT converter valve base. - Enhancing research and development capabilities, including the establishment of experimental centers, overseas R&D and testing centers, and data centers. - Strategic global acquisitions in power electronic devices, energy storage materials, overseas power distribution companies, and energy technology innovation firms. - Digital and intelligent transformation of the enterprise. - Working capital improvements [4]. Market Positioning - The company emphasizes the strong demand in North America for high-voltage transformers, identifying a significant supply gap. It positions itself strategically in the U.S. high-voltage transformer export market, which is considered to have the strongest certainty for growth [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net income attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.2 billion yuan and 5.5 billion yuan for the years 2026 and 2027, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of approximately 38X and 29X, maintaining a strong buy recommendation [4].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the electric grid equipment industry, highlighting significant growth driven by multiple factors including government policies and technological advancements in AI [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - Electric grid equipment has seen a surge in demand, primarily due to: 1. The release of a prospectus by Si Yuan Electric for its Hong Kong IPO 2. The State Council's issuance of the "Implementation Opinions on Improving the National Unified Electricity Market System" 3. Continuous advancements in AI technology impacting the electricity sector [1] - In North America, the logic of AI-related electricity shortages is becoming clearer, with demand consistently exceeding expectations. This is compounded by rigid supply capacities and delays in production expansions by major overseas manufacturers. By 2030, there is projected to be a 10% shortage of electric transformers in Europe and North America [1]. - Domestic companies are expected to benefit from the overflow of overseas orders, with leading firms in international markets likely to continue outperforming expectations [1]. Investment Recommendations - The call provides specific investment suggestions based on the anticipated growth in the electric grid sector: 1. High-voltage equipment exports and components: Si Yuan Electric, TBEA, Huaming Equipment, etc. 2. Domestic ultra-high voltage and main grid: Pinggao Electric, China XD Electric, XJ Electric, Guodian NARI, etc. 3. Companies focused on the electricity market: Guoneng Rixin, Oriental Electronics, etc. [2]. Additional Important Content - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a total investment of 5 trillion yuan, establishing a foundation for long-term high prosperity in the domestic electricity market [2]. - The goal is to fully establish a national unified electricity market system by 2035, promoting the participation of various power sources from the "Shagehuang" renewable energy base in the electricity market [2].

Summary of Conference Call Notes on China Electric Utilities Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **China Electric Utilities** sector, focusing on the impact of recent government policies and coal prices on the industry. Key Points Coal Prices - The **PRC Sxcoal spot coal price** (5,500 kcal/kg) at Qinhuangdao was steady at **Rmb 711/tonne** on February 11, 2026, reflecting a **+1.8% week-over-week (wow)** and **+1.2% month-over-month (mom)** increase, but a **-0.2% year-over-year (yoy)** decrease [1][6] - The rise in coal prices was attributed to **Indonesia's coal export stoppage** due to government proposals to limit output [6] Government Policy - The **General Office of State Council** issued a policy paper titled **'Implementation Opinions on Improving the National Unified Power Market System (Policy No.4 in 2026)'** aimed at breaking provincial barriers and normalizing cross-region trading [2] - The policy promotes the development of market systems including long-term, spot, auxiliary services, capacity payments, and retail markets, with a target for completion by **2030** and full establishment by **2035** [2] Investment Opportunities - The new policy is expected to stimulate investments in the **PRC power industry**, benefiting power grid and plant equipment manufacturers [1] - Preference is given to **equipment suppliers** over operators, as suppliers are expected to gain from increased capital expenditures (capex), while operators may face margin cuts due to market-based tariff reductions [1] - Companies with **Buy ratings** include **Sieyuan**, **TBEA**, **Goldwind**, and **Dongfang Electric** [1][17] Energy Storage Systems (ESS) - A policy issued by the **NDRC** on January 30, 2026, states that only **grid-side independent ESS** are eligible for capacity payments, while wind and solar farms with ESS do not qualify [3] - The increased battery unit cost, driven by rising lithium prices, is expected to negatively impact **Sungrow's** gross profit margin on ESS sales, which was nearly **40% in Q3 2025** [4][5] - An **8% increase** in battery costs in January 2026 could lead to a **2% reduction** in Sungrow's net profit for every **1 percentage point** cut in gross profit margin [5] Market Dynamics - The **coal inventory** at Qinhuangdao Port decreased by **5.4% wow** to **5.30 million tonnes**, which is **16.9% below** the average of **6.38 million tonnes** in 2025 [6] Additional Insights - The call highlights the importance of monitoring coal prices and government policies as they significantly influence the profitability and operational strategies of companies within the electric utilities sector [1][2][4] - The focus on energy storage systems and their eligibility for capacity payments indicates a shift towards integrating renewable energy sources into the national grid, which may present both challenges and opportunities for existing players in the market [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share electric grid equipment and smart grid sectors have experienced a significant surge, driven by favorable policies and substantial investments in the electric power market. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 12, several stocks in the electric grid sector, including Hanlan Co., Sifang Co., and Wangbian Electric, reached their daily limit up, indicating strong market interest [1] - Notable stock performances include Hanlan Co. with a 10.02% increase, Sifang Co. up by 10%, and Wangbian Electric also rising by 10% [2] Group 2: Policy Developments - Recent policies from the State Council aim to establish a unified national electricity market by 2030, with a target for market-based transactions to account for approximately 70% of total electricity consumption [3] - The policies also emphasize the need for a shift from separate pricing and trading to unified pricing and joint trading across different market levels [3] Group 3: Investment Plans - The State Grid has announced a massive investment plan of 4 trillion yuan from 2026 to 2030, averaging over 800 billion yuan annually, marking a 40% increase compared to the previous five-year plan [4] - This investment will focus on the construction of new electric power systems, creating significant market opportunities for related electric equipment companies [4] Group 4: AI and Power Demand - The explosive growth in AI computing power is making electricity a strategic resource, with predictions that AI chip consumption will account for 1.5% of global electricity usage in the next five years [5] - Estimates suggest that AI electricity demand will surge from 8 TWh in 2024 to 652 TWh by 2030, representing an increase of 8050% [6] Group 5: Company Performance - Recent financial reports indicate strong performance among electric equipment companies, with Siyuan Electric reporting a revenue of 21.205 billion yuan, a 37.18% year-on-year increase, and a net profit growth of 54.35% [6] - Other companies like Xinlian Electronics and Shuangjie Electric are also expected to report significant profit increases, with projections showing growth rates of up to 147.40% [6] Group 6: Industry Outlook - The electric power sector is entering a high-growth phase, driven by urgent demand for AI computing infrastructure and global data center construction [7] - The investment in global electric grid infrastructure is expected to exceed $500 billion from 2026 to 2030, benefiting electric equipment and scheduling system companies [7]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective rebound on February 12, with the electric grid equipment sector experiencing a strong surge, particularly the electric grid equipment ETF (159326), which rose by 3.81% and achieved a transaction volume of 984 million yuan [1] - The electric grid equipment ETF (159326) is the only ETF tracking the China Securities Electric Grid Equipment Index, with over 78% of its holdings in electric grid equipment, making it the purest electric grid index in the market. Its scale has rapidly grown to 17.113 billion yuan, the largest among electric grid-related ETFs [1] - High-level meetings emphasized the need for state-owned enterprises to actively expand effective investment in computing power and promote the synergy between "computing power + electricity," which is expected to drive upgrades in electricity infrastructure [1] Group 2 - The global investment in electric grids is expected to continue growing to address the increasing share of wind and solar power, with a significant rise in demand for grid equipment due to the rapid growth of the wind and photovoltaic industries [2] - In developed economies, over 20% of electric grid equipment is over 20 years old, indicating a pressing need for upgrades. Domestic electric grid equipment companies are likely to benefit from the increased investment in electric grids, while overseas export business is expected to remain stable [2] Group 3 - The electric grid equipment ETF (159326) has a high weighting of 90% in smart grid and 67% in ultra-high voltage, both of which are the highest in the market [3] - The green electricity ETF (562550) is the largest in its index, packaging leading companies in the electricity sector, including clean energy firms and traditional energy sources [3] - The public utility ETF (159301) is the largest public utility-themed ETF in the market, with a 90.8% weighting in the electricity sector, characterized by high dividends and stable growth attributes [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight increase of 0.12%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.81%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.18% at the close of trading [1] - Over 2,700 stocks in the market saw gains, indicating a broad-based rally [1] Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector showed strong performance, with companies like Siyi Electric and Sifang Co. reaching new highs, and stocks such as Wangbian Electric and Shun Sodium Co. hitting the daily limit [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector was active, with Xianglu Tungsten Industry achieving three consecutive daily limits in five days, and Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry securing two consecutive daily limits [2] - The CPO concept also gained momentum, with Tianfu Communication rising over 10% to set a new historical high [2] - The gas turbine sector saw a surge, with companies like Yingliu Co. and Changbao Co. hitting the daily limit [3] Declines - The film and cinema sector faced significant declines, with companies such as Huanrui Century, Hengdian Film, and Bona Film all hitting the daily limit down [4] Individual Stock Highlights - Zhongji Xuchuang had a trading volume exceeding 10.8 billion yuan, leading the market, while Tianfu Communication, Xinyi Sheng, and Yingwei Ke also had high trading volumes [5] - Notable stock performances included: - Tianfu Communication: +11.61% to 322.00 yuan [5] - Yingwei Ke: +10.00% to 109.45 yuan [5] - Zhongji Xuchuang: -0.17% to 530.99 yuan [5] - Guangxian Media: -10.80% to 23.96 yuan [5]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a fluctuating upward trend in early trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.12% to 4137.06 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.81% to 14274.93 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.18% to 3323.56 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.33 trillion yuan, with over 2700 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The electric power sector surged due to favorable policies, with stocks like Yunnan Power and South Grid Energy seeing significant gains [2] - The AI hardware sector continued its strong performance, with companies like Dazhi Technology achieving a four-day consecutive rise [2] - The CPO (Optical Module) concept saw renewed strength, with Tianfu Communication and other stocks rising over 10% [2] - The small metals sector, particularly nickel and cobalt, experienced a rally, with stocks like Pengxin Resources and Shengtun Mining hitting the daily limit [3] Notable Stocks - Jili Rigging, a key player in the commercial aerospace sector, faced a one-sided drop limit with over 1.2 billion yuan in sell orders, following a clarification announcement regarding its project orders [4] - The AI application sector saw some adjustments, with high-position software stocks under pressure [4] Institutional Insights - Institutions expressed differing views on the market's early trading volume and fluctuations, with some suggesting that structural opportunities still exist despite the market's consolidation phase [5] - Concerns were raised about the potential for short-term adjustments and profit-taking pressures as the Spring Festival approaches [5] - Long-term perspectives indicate that commodities may remain a preferred investment direction, with precious metals and industrial metals expected to benefit from improving fundamentals [5]

Group 1 - The electric grid equipment sector is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Suyuan Electric and Sifang Co. reaching new highs, while Shun Sodium, Senyuan Electric, and Wangbian Electric hit the daily limit, and Xinte Electric and Yinen Power rose over 10% [1] - Global investment in electric grids is witnessing a positive trend, driven by China's planned investment of 4 trillion yuan in the State Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, with a focus on UHV construction and distribution network upgrades [1] - In the U.S., the Department of Energy has launched the "Power Acceleration Plan" to expedite grid infrastructure development, addressing the electricity demand created by AI advancements [1] Group 2 - The surge in AI computing power has intensified the supply-demand tension for electric equipment, leading to significantly extended delivery times for products like transformers, which presents substantial overseas opportunities for Chinese electric grid equipment companies with complete industrial chains and efficient delivery capabilities [1]