证券代码：002028.SZ 证券简称：思源电气 思源电气股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-005 | 投资者关系活 | ■特定对象调研 □媒体采访 | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | | 动类别 | □业绩说明会 □路演活动 | □新闻发布会 | | | □现场参观 □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | 参与单位名称 | 阿尔派投资管理有限公司、安联集团、东亚联丰投资管理、中银保诚资产管 | | | | 理、贝莱德、国泰证券、哥伦比亚基金管理、瀚亚投资、方瀛研究、富兰克 | | | | 林邓普顿、言教资金管理公司、新加坡投资、高盛资库管理、恒生投资、景 | | | 及人员姓名 | 顺亚洲、基石投资、凯斯博投资管理、宏利投资、橡树资本管理、施罗德投 | | | | 资管理、安本资产、中金证券、源峰基金、华福电新、汇丰前海、国泰海通 | | | | 电新等 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 8 月 19 日 15:30-16:30 | | | | 2025 年 8 月 20 日 15:30-16:30 | | | 地点 | 腾讯会议/公司会议室 | | | 上 ...

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | | 2025-08-22 | 002028 | 思源电气 | 84.25 | 19.00 | 1,600.75 机构专用 | | 机构专用 | 8月22日，思源电气大宗交易成交19万股，成交额1600.75万元，占当日总成交额的3.82%，成交价84.25元，较市场收盘价 84.25元持平。 ...

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Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating robust operational capabilities and market demand [3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.497 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.293 billion yuan, up 45.71% [3]. - For Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 5.270 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 50.21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.34%. The net profit for Q2 was 846 million yuan, marking a year-on-year rise of 61.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 89.52% [3]. Group 2: Subsidiary Performance - Major subsidiaries showed steady growth: Shanghai Siyuan High Voltage Switch Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 2.399 billion yuan, up 9.02%, and net profit of 481 million yuan, up 10.65% [4]. - Jiangsu Rugaogao High Voltage Electrical Co., Ltd. achieved revenue of 1.141 billion yuan, a 31.10% increase, and net profit of 238 million yuan, up 39.86% [4]. - Jiangsu Siyuan Hertz Transformer Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 708 million yuan, a 30.83% increase, and net profit of 138 million yuan, up 54.47% [4]. Group 3: Overseas Market Expansion - The company capitalized on the increasing demand for equipment upgrades in developed regions like Europe and the accelerated infrastructure development in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, leading to a significant increase in overseas revenue [5]. - In H1 2025, overseas revenue reached 2.862 billion yuan, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 88.95%, with a gross margin of 35.69%, up 1.87 percentage points [5]. Group 4: Cost Management and Growth Outlook - The company demonstrated effective cost control, with the sales expense ratio increasing by 0.49 percentage points to 5.24%, primarily due to overseas market expansion efforts. The management expense ratio decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 2.21%, and the R&D expense ratio fell by 0.62 percentage points to 6.59% [6]. - The gross margin slightly decreased by 0.01 percentage points to 31.74%, while the net profit margin increased by 1.10 percentage points to 15.64% [6]. - The company's operational goals for 2025 include achieving new contract orders of 26.8 billion yuan (excluding tax), a 25% year-on-year increase, and revenue of 18.5 billion yuan, a 20% year-on-year growth, reflecting strong growth confidence [6].

Group 1 - Foreign investment interest in the Chinese stock market has significantly increased this year, with global active funds' allocation to Chinese stocks rising to 6.4% as of July, indicating a potential for further allocation growth [1][2] - Passive funds have also shown strong inflows, with a total of $11 billion entering the Chinese stock market by the end of July, surpassing the entire inflow of $7 billion for 2024 [2] - The inflow of foreign capital has been driven by improved liquidity, a weaker dollar, and ample household savings, leading to increased activity in the Chinese stock market, particularly in growth sectors and high-quality tech stocks [1][3] Group 2 - Korean investors have increased their holdings in Chinese stocks, with a total investment of $3.386 billion as of August 19, marking a nearly 30% increase since the end of 2024 [1] - The trading activity of foreign capital has concentrated on leading industry stocks, with significant trading volumes in companies like CATL and Kweichow Moutai, indicating a preference for established market leaders [2] - The overall market activity has been enhanced by the resonance between foreign inflows and domestic capital, with average daily trading volume in A-shares reaching approximately 1.95 trillion yuan in August, up from 1.63 trillion yuan in July [3] Group 3 - The improvement in liquidity is attributed to a significant accumulation of excess savings by Chinese households, totaling over 7.2 trillion yuan since 2020, and a narrowing gap between M1 and M2 money supply metrics [3] - The investment focus is shifting towards growth-oriented strategies, with expectations that small-cap stocks may outperform large-cap stocks in the short term due to liquidity dynamics [3][4] - Long-term investment themes are emerging, with a focus on high-dividend companies and technology firms that are expected to benefit from AI applications, enhancing overall production efficiency in China [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment activities of national social security funds and basic pension insurance funds in A-share listed companies, revealing a significant interest in over 140 companies as of August 20, 2025 [2][4]. Group 1: National Social Security Fund Investments - As of August 20, 2025, national social security fund combinations were present among the top ten circulating shareholders in over 120 A-share listed companies [4]. - Notable stocks favored by the national social security funds include Pengding Holdings and Wanhua Chemical, both of which have a holding market value exceeding 10 billion yuan [7]. - The top ten stocks held by national social security funds include Pengding Holdings, Wanhua Chemical, and Xinyi Communication, with significant changes in their holding values [5][8]. Group 2: Basic Pension Insurance Fund Investments - Over ten basic pension insurance fund combinations entered the top ten circulating shareholders of 37 stocks, with Chuanfeng Power and Lanyao Technology being particularly favored [10]. - The Basic Pension Insurance Fund 16022 combination holds over 10 billion yuan in Chuanfeng Power, having increased its stake compared to the previous quarter [10]. - Other companies like Hongfa Shares and Haixing Power also received attention from multiple basic pension insurance fund combinations, with total holdings exceeding 6 billion yuan [11]. Group 3: Overall Market Impact - The combined market value held by national social security funds and basic pension insurance funds in A-share companies exceeded 400 billion yuan as of the end of the second quarter [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company achieved significant revenue growth in overseas markets, with a 37.80% year-on-year increase in total revenue to 8.497 billion yuan in H1 2025, and a 45.71% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to 1.293 billion yuan [1] - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, with overseas revenue reaching 2.862 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 88.95%, indicating strong growth potential in international markets [3] - The company has set ambitious operational targets for 2025, aiming for new contract orders of 26.8 billion yuan and total revenue of 18.5 billion yuan, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 8.497 billion yuan, with a 37.80% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.293 billion yuan, up 45.71% year-on-year [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw even stronger performance, with revenue of 5.270 billion yuan, a 50.21% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 846 million yuan, up 61.53% year-on-year [1] Subsidiary Performance - Key subsidiaries showed steady growth, with Shanghai Siyuan High Voltage Switch Co., Ltd. achieving a revenue increase of 9.02% to 2.399 billion yuan, and Jiangsu Ruga High Voltage Electrical Co., Ltd. reporting a 31.10% revenue increase to 1.141 billion yuan [2] Cost Control and Profitability - The company demonstrated effective cost control, with a sales expense ratio of 5.24%, up 0.49 percentage points year-on-year, while the management expense ratio decreased to 2.21%, down 0.55 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin slightly decreased to 31.74%, while the net profit margin increased to 15.64%, up 1.10 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 2.722 billion yuan, 3.339 billion yuan, and 4.032 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a 5% upward adjustment for each year [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 24, 19, and 16 for 2025-2027, indicating a favorable valuation [4]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 民生证券8月19日发布研报称，给予思源电气（002028.SZ，最新价：83.2元）推荐评级。评级理由主要 包括：1）公司盈利能力持续改善，存货同比高增支撑后续增长；2）国内新产品&新市场有望贡献增 量，海外市场维持高增且盈利持续改善；3）持续培育汽车电子、柔直等新业务。风险提示：电网投资 不及预期风险，新产品开拓不及预期风险等。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, benefiting from global grid construction demand and the continuous release of new products and markets [3][4]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved impressive growth in H1 2025, with revenue of 8.497 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.293 billion yuan, up 45.71% [1]. - The company's profitability continues to improve, with a gross margin of 32.61% and a net margin of 16.43% in Q2 2025, reflecting a positive trend in operational efficiency [1][2]. - The company is expanding its domestic and international markets, with significant contributions from overseas sales, which reached 2.862 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 88.95% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.497 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.293 billion yuan, with Q2 alone contributing 5.270 billion yuan in revenue and 0.846 billion yuan in net profit [1]. - The company plans to achieve new contract orders of 26.8 billion yuan in 2025, a 25% increase year-on-year, and aims for a revenue target of 18.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 20% growth [1]. Market Expansion - The domestic market shows strong growth potential, with a 18.7% year-on-year increase in installed power generation capacity and a 14.6% increase in grid investment [2]. - The company is actively developing new products and markets, including high-voltage equipment and automotive electronics, with the automotive electronics segment achieving a revenue of 45.45 million yuan, up 216.58% year-on-year [2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 19.387 billion yuan, 23.684 billion yuan, and 28.471 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 25.4%, 22.2%, and 20.2% [3][8]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 2.759 billion yuan, 3.499 billion yuan, and 4.429 billion yuan, with growth rates of 34.7%, 26.8%, and 26.6% respectively [3][8].

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint is that the "innovation bull market" in 2025 is driven by a positive cycle of capital pricing and industrial implementation under policy guidance, with macro policies anchoring industrial direction and capital markets facilitating value discovery [1] - The market liquidity and valuation have improved, with A-share trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan, indicating a positive trading structure and sentiment cycle [1] - The initial phase of the "innovation bull" is likely to extend towards financial sectors and technology industries, particularly in robotics, computing power, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Economic Outlook - The report anticipates that China's export growth may continue to exceed market expectations due to the dual easing of U.S. fiscal and monetary policies, suggesting resilience in external demand [2] - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is highlighted, with predictions of two cuts in September and December, although there is caution regarding overly optimistic market pricing [2] Fixed Income Market - The fixed income market has shown a "desensitization" to fundamental data, with the yield on 10-year government bonds rising to 1.745% despite disappointing economic indicators [4] - The report notes that structural policy tools may replace total monetary policies as the main line of easing in the third quarter [4] Company Performance - 瑞芯微 (Rockchip) reported a significant revenue increase of 63.85% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a net profit growth of 190.61%, driven by strong performance in AIoT products [8] - 禾赛科技 (Hesai Technology) achieved a revenue increase of 53.9% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with a net profit growth of 161.2%, supported by strong demand for ADAS and robotics [9] - 道通科技 (Dautong Technology) reported a revenue increase of 27.3% year-on-year in H1 2025, driven by advancements in digital repair and energy solutions [10] Industry Trends - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the AI and robotics sectors, with companies like 禾赛科技 and 瑞芯微 leading in their respective fields [9][8] - The demand for 3D vision technology is highlighted as a key growth driver for 奥比中光 (Orbbec), with expected rapid revenue growth in the coming years [20] Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "buy" rating for several companies, including 瑞芯微, 禾赛科技, and 道通科技, based on their strong performance and growth prospects in innovative sectors [8][9][10]