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中美鸡爪贸易大战
投资界· 2025-05-23 03:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the US-China trade war on the import of chicken feet and pork by China, highlighting the challenges faced by importers and the shifting dynamics in the meat market due to tariffs and trade restrictions [3][4][7]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - China is the largest importer and consumer of chicken feet and pork products globally, with the US being a significant supplier until recent tariff increases [3][7]. - The US imposed a 20% tariff on Chinese goods, followed by a 34% retaliatory tariff from China, leading to a cumulative tariff exceeding 140% on certain imports, severely affecting trade [6][7]. - In 2024, China imported nearly 450,000 tons of frozen chicken feet, with the US accounting for only 10% of this volume, indicating a shift towards other suppliers like Brazil [7][12]. Group 2: Importer Challenges - Importers like Yan Jun faced significant losses due to customs rejections and high tariffs, leading to decisions to redirect shipments to other markets like Vietnam and Singapore [5][6]. - The article highlights the emotional and financial toll on importers, with many feeling helpless as they navigate the complexities of the trade war [6][14]. - The reliance on US products is diminishing as Chinese importers seek alternatives from countries like Brazil, Argentina, and Spain, which are now entering the Chinese market [15][19]. Group 3: Market Trends - The price of pork by-products has risen significantly, with some products like pig trotters and intestines fetching high prices in the market, reflecting changing consumer preferences [13][14]. - The article notes that the demand for chicken feet in China has led to a global supply shortage, with various countries now exporting chicken feet to China [12][13]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with US meat producers struggling to find alternative markets for their products, as the Chinese market was previously a major destination [12][18].
中美鸡爪贸易大战,中国赢了
虎嗅APP· 2025-05-18 13:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the recent tariff war between the U.S. and China on the import of chicken feet and pork by-products, highlighting the complexities and challenges faced by importers in China and the dependency of U.S. suppliers on the Chinese market [1][2][12]. Group 1: Tariff Impact on Imports - China is the largest importer and consumer of chicken feet and pork by-products, with the U.S. being a significant supplier [1][6]. - The initial tariff imposed by the U.S. was 20%, followed by a Chinese countermeasure of 34%, leading to a cumulative tariff exceeding 140% for some importers [5][6]. - Importers like Yan Jun faced significant losses due to customs issues and the escalating tariffs, with some opting to redirect their shipments to other markets like Vietnam and Singapore [3][5][14]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Alternatives - In 2024, China imported nearly 450,000 tons of frozen chicken feet, with the U.S. accounting for about 10% of this volume [6]. - The article notes that U.S. pork exports to China were valued at $1.1 billion in 2024, with over 80% being by-products [6]. - As a response to tariffs, Chinese importers are increasingly sourcing chicken feet and pork by-products from countries like Brazil, Russia, and Argentina, which has led to a decrease in demand for U.S. products [14][15]. Group 3: Cultural and Economic Factors - The article highlights the cultural differences in food preferences, noting that while chicken feet are popular in China, they are not widely consumed in Western countries [10][11]. - The price of chicken feet varies significantly by country, with U.S. prices ranging from $3,000 to $6,000 per ton, while Brazilian chicken feet are priced around $5,000 per ton [11]. - The dependency of U.S. suppliers on the Chinese market is emphasized, as they struggle to find alternative markets for their products [12][18]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the U.S. meat processing industry is facing challenges due to reduced exports to China, which could lead to increased prices domestically [13][16]. - There is a growing sentiment among Chinese importers to avoid U.S. products due to political risks and tariff uncertainties, leading to a shift in sourcing strategies [18][20]. - The potential for U.S. products to regain market share in China is questioned, as importers express reluctance to return to previous purchasing patterns after experiencing tariff volatility [19].
中美鸡爪贸易大战,中国赢了
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-16 14:00
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have significantly impacted the meat import and export industry, particularly affecting Chinese importers of US chicken feet and pork by-products, leading to substantial financial losses and shifts in sourcing strategies [1][3][18]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - Chinese importers like Yan Jun have faced severe losses due to tariffs, with chicken feet prices subject to over 140% in tariffs after multiple rounds of trade retaliations [3][4]. - The initial tariff on pork by-products was raised from 12% to 37% during the previous trade war, severely affecting the profitability of US exports to China [5][6]. - The trade war has led to a significant reduction in US exports, with estimates suggesting a loss of $10 billion annually due to decreased demand from China [13]. Group 2: Market Adjustments - Chinese importers are increasingly sourcing chicken feet and pork by-products from alternative countries such as Brazil and Russia, leading to a rapid adjustment in market dynamics [16][17]. - The price of chicken feet and pork by-products initially spiked by 10% following the tariff announcements but quickly normalized as alternative suppliers entered the market [16]. - The reliance of US meat producers on the Chinese market is highlighted, as they struggle to find alternative customers for their products [12][20]. Group 3: Cultural and Market Insights - The consumption of chicken feet in China is significantly higher than in Western countries, where such products are often discarded, leading to a unique market dynamic [10][11]. - The price of chicken feet varies by country, with US chicken feet priced between $3,000 to $6,000 per ton, while other countries like Russia and Thailand offer lower prices [11]. - The cultural acceptance of chicken feet is growing among Western consumers, driven by the expansion of Chinese cuisine and restaurants abroad [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The US meat industry is expected to face ongoing challenges in re-establishing its market position in China due to the lasting effects of the trade war and changing consumer preferences [22]. - The potential for increased competition from countries like Argentina and Spain, which are looking to expand their meat exports to China, poses a threat to US market share [17][19]. - The interconnected nature of the meat supply chain means that disruptions in one area can lead to broader economic impacts, affecting everything from feed prices to consumer costs in the US [14][15].
神农集团收盘下跌3.09%,滚动市盈率16.31倍,总市值149.84亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 11:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Shennong Group's stock performance is under pressure, with a closing price of 28.55 yuan, down 3.09%, and a rolling PE ratio of 16.31 times, significantly lower than the industry average of 41.54 times [1] - As of April 18, 2025, Shennong Group has 19,332 shareholders, a decrease of 203 from the previous period, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average holding quantity of 27,600 shares [1] - The main business of Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co., Ltd. includes feed processing and sales, pig breeding and sales, pig slaughtering and fresh pork sales, as well as food processing and sales [1] Group 2 - In the latest quarterly report for Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 1.472 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.97%, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6510.85%, with a sales gross margin of 22.90% [1] - The company ranks 34th in the industry based on PE ratio, which is significantly lower than the industry median of 40.20 times [2] - The industry average PE ratio is 41.54 times, indicating that Shennong Group is undervalued compared to its peers [2]
美国农民发愁:鸡爪、鱼头...除了中国,好难找到买家
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-05-09 09:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by American farmers in finding alternative markets for products like chicken feet and fish heads, which were previously exported to China but are now affected by high tariffs due to trade tensions [1][2][12]. Group 1: Impact on Chicken Feet Exports - American farmers are struggling to adapt to new tariffs imposed by China, which has significantly reduced the demand for chicken feet, a product that is popular in China but not in the U.S. [1][2] - In 2022, the export volume of chicken feet to China reached 479,700 tons, making it the largest export market for this product [1]. - The president of the U.S. Poultry & Egg Export Council stated that the latest tariffs could drive chicken feet exports "close to zero" [1]. Group 2: Broader Implications for U.S. Agriculture - The imposition of a 125% retaliatory tariff by China on U.S. imports has led to a significant loss of market for American chicken feet, forcing farmers to consider freezing the product or repurposing it for animal feed [2]. - The U.S. Meat Export Federation reported that the actual tariff rate on U.S. pork products has risen to 172%, severely impacting exports of pork by-products to China, which accounted for over half of U.S. exports [6]. - The economic loss for U.S. farmers due to the trade dispute is estimated to be around $1 billion annually, with each pig potentially losing $8 to $10 in value [6]. Group 3: Fish Head Exports and Alternative Markets - The Two Rivers Fisheries Company, a major fish exporter in Kentucky, reported a 20% expected revenue drop due to canceled orders for fish heads after the tariffs were imposed [8]. - The company processed 1.6 million kilograms of Asian carp in 2024, with China being the sole export market for fish heads [8]. - The owner of the company is now considering targeting the Asian community in the U.S. or exploring markets in South Korea and Vietnam as alternatives [8][9]. Group 4: Overall Agricultural Crisis - The trade tensions have led to widespread cancellations of agricultural orders across various sectors, with the American Agricultural Transportation Coalition describing the situation as a "full-blown crisis" [11]. - The rising costs of fertilizers, pest control chemicals, and agricultural machinery due to tariffs are further exacerbating the challenges faced by American farmers [11].
神农集团收盘上涨1.64%,滚动市盈率16.97倍,总市值155.98亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 10:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market position of Shennong Group, indicating a significant increase in net profit and a relatively low PE ratio compared to the industry average [1][2] - As of the first quarter of 2025, Shennong Group reported a revenue of 1.472 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.97%, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year growth of 6510.85% [2] - The company's rolling PE ratio stands at 16.97, which is significantly lower than the industry average of 41.95 and the industry median of 40.47, placing Shennong Group at the 34th position in the industry ranking [1][2] Group 2 - Shennong Group's main business activities include feed processing and sales, pig farming and sales, pig slaughtering, and fresh pork food sales, along with food deep processing and sales [1] - The company's primary products consist of feed, live pigs (including commercial pigs, piglets, and breeding pigs), fresh pork (mainly whole pork), and pork by-products (such as pig heads and internal organs), as well as processed pork products [1] - As of the first quarter of 2025, a total of 12 institutions hold shares in Shennong Group, including 10 funds, 1 social security fund, and 1 other entity, with a total holding of 59.481 million shares valued at 1.689 billion yuan [1]
神农集团收盘下跌1.01%,滚动市盈率50.62倍,总市值149.89亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 12:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Shennong Group's stock performance and financial metrics indicate a significant growth potential, despite its high PE ratio compared to industry averages [1][2] - As of April 28, Shennong Group's closing price was 28.56 yuan, with a PE ratio of 50.62 times, and a total market capitalization of 14.989 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the agriculture, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is 43.77 times, with a median of 48.84 times, placing Shennong Group at the 61st position in the industry ranking [1][2] Group 2 - Shennong Group's main business includes feed processing and sales, pig farming and sales, pig slaughtering, and fresh pork food sales, along with food processing and sales [1] - The company's primary products consist of feed, live pigs (including commercial pigs, piglets, and breeding pigs), fresh pork (mainly carcass pork), and pork by-products, as well as processed pork products [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows that the company achieved an operating income of 1.472 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.97%, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6510.85%, with a sales gross margin of 22.90% [1]