Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the pork market, with prices experiencing a downward trend, currently at 11.90 CNY/kg, a decrease of 1.18% week-on-week. The market is characterized by a supply-demand tug-of-war, with large-scale pig farms adopting strategies to control supply and increase prices [2][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of the seed industry revitalization action plan, aiming for high-quality development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, focusing on technological self-reliance and independent control of seed sources [1][11] - The report suggests that the commercialization of genetically modified crops will accelerate, significantly impacting yield improvements and self-sufficiency rates for key varieties [1][11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting to promote the revitalization of the seed industry, emphasizing the need for high-quality development and technological independence. Key actions include improving seed quality, protecting intellectual property, and enhancing biosecurity measures [1][11] - Recommended companies in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is reported at 11.90 CNY/kg, with a notable decrease in losses for self-bred pigs to 114.81 CNY per head and 205.64 CNY for purchased piglets. The industry is still in a loss-making state but is seeing a reduction in losses compared to previous weeks [2][12] - The report anticipates a long-term upward adjustment in domestic pig prices, driven by policy guidance aimed at improving quality and efficiency in the industry [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine sector include companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and DeKang Agriculture [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2256.27 CNY/ton, up 0.92% week-on-week [25] - Wheat: The average price is 2485.11 CNY/ton, down 0.15% week-on-week [28] - Soybeans: The average price is 4011.58 CNY/ton, up 0.10% week-on-week [40] - Cotton: The average price is 14640.00 CNY/ton, up 0.10% week-on-week [45]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the agricultural sector, particularly highlighting the resilience and growth potential in the pet food market and the cyclical recovery in the pig farming industry [1] Group 1: Pet Industry Performance - The pet food sales during the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival reached 9.4 billion yuan, showcasing significant growth in the pet sector [11][12] - Major brands like Mai Fudi and Frigat led sales on platforms such as JD and Tmall, indicating strong competitive advantages [11][12] - The trend towards high-end and refined pet products is evident, with new processing techniques gaining market share [11][12][16] Group 2: Pig Farming Market Dynamics - As of November 14, 2025, the average price of pigs was 11.66 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.22 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decline of 4.79% [4][15] - The supply side is expected to contract due to overproduction in October and a reduction in breeding stock, while demand may increase due to seasonal consumption patterns [4][15] - The report suggests that the pig farming sector may enter a favorable investment phase as losses accelerate and market conditions stabilize [5][26] Group 3: Market Performance Overview - From November 10 to November 14, the agricultural index outperformed the broader market by 2.87 percentage points, with a 2.70% increase in the agricultural index compared to a 0.18% decline in the Shanghai Composite Index [28][29] - Key stocks such as Yuegui Co. and ST Jiawo saw significant gains, indicating strong performance within the agricultural sector [28][33] Group 4: Feed Industry Insights - The domestic feed market is benefiting from the recovery in livestock numbers and strong overseas demand, with a projected increase in feed production [26] - The report highlights the growth in feed production from 162 million tons in 2010 to 315 million tons in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.86% [26]

证券日报网讯登海种业（002041）11月12日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年11月10日股 东人数是65764户。 ...

Core Viewpoints - The pig farming sector is experiencing a favorable configuration opportunity due to accelerated breeding stock reduction driven by market and policy resonance, with current prices at a relatively low level [18][43]. - The beef industry is in a cyclical uptrend, with demand increasing and supply constraints expected to continue until 2027, making it a favorable time to invest in beef-related companies [18][51]. - The poultry sector is seeing improved investment logic as it enters a demand peak season, despite challenges from disease outbreaks and production capacity reductions [19][4]. Pig Farming - The supply pressure in pig farming is gradually increasing, leading to continued downward pressure on prices, with the national average price at 11.87 yuan/kg as of November 11, 2025, down 4.85 yuan/kg year-on-year [20][23]. - Policy measures are focused on reducing breeding stock, particularly among large enterprises, while smaller farms are expected to reduce stock due to losses and disease impacts [29][41]. - The current market conditions suggest a significant opportunity for investment in the pig farming sector, with recommended companies including Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [18][43]. Beef Industry - The beef supply is tightening, with a decrease in stock levels and an expected cyclical uptrend in demand, particularly as domestic beef consumption continues to rise [46][51]. - The average beef price in September 2025 was 70.52 yuan/kg, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.36% [51]. - Recommended companies in the beef sector include Bright Dairy, Fucheng Co., and several Hong Kong-listed firms such as Modern Farming and China Shengmu [18][51]. Poultry Sector - The white chicken market is entering a peak demand season, with prices expected to rise due to reduced production capacity and increased demand [19][4]. - The supply of white feather chicken breeding stock is projected to decline, supporting a price increase for meat chickens in 2026 [19][4]. - Recommended companies in the poultry sector include Shennong Development and Hefeng Co. [19][4]. Seed Industry - The grain price cycle is at a low point, with expectations for upward trends supported by food security policies and the acceleration of genetically modified seed commercialization [19][5]. - Recommended companies in the seed industry include Dabeinong Technology, Longping High-Tech, and Denghai Seeds [19][5]. Pet Industry - The pet food export volume in China increased by 7.55% year-on-year from January to September 2025, indicating strong growth in the sector [19][7]. - Domestic pet consumption is expected to continue growing, driven by emotional value and increasing market share of domestic brands [19][7]. - Recommended companies in the pet sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [19][7].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [9] Core Views - The swine sector continues to experience losses, with an increasing number of culled sows, indicating a need to focus on the expected recovery in this sector [2][13] - The dairy and beef sectors are undergoing significant capacity reduction, with a potential turning point for milk prices anticipated [3][15] - The pet sector is witnessing a trend towards premiumization and the rise of domestic brands, reshaping the competitive landscape [4][16] - The poultry sector is facing challenges with breeding stock shortages and improving consumer demand for yellow chickens [5][18] - The seed industry is poised for a turnaround, with an emphasis on biotechnology and the commercialization of genetically modified crops [7][23] - The feed sector shows signs of recovery, with leading companies like Haida Group achieving revenue and profit growth [24][26] Summary by Sections Swine Sector - The industry continues to face losses, with the average price of live pigs at 12.02 CNY/kg, down 4.07% from the previous week [13] - The average market value per head for leading companies is at historical low levels, with Muyuan at 3000-3500 CNY/head and Wens at 2000-3000 CNY/head [14] - Recommended stocks include leading breeders like Muyuan and Wens, with additional focus on flexible stocks such as Shennong Group and Dekang Agriculture [14] Beef Sector - The price of beef cattle is showing signs of stabilization, with the average price for fattened bulls at 25.62 CNY/kg [15] - The dairy cow population has decreased by 8%, indicating a significant capacity reduction [15] - Companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [15] Pet Sector - The Double Eleven shopping festival highlighted the resilience and structural upgrades in the pet food market, with domestic brands gaining market share [4][16] - Key recommendations include pet food brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., with a focus on companies with technological advantages and comprehensive product lines [17] Poultry Sector - The white chicken sector is under pressure due to breeding stock shortages, with a focus on the impact of avian influenza on imports [18][19] - Yellow chicken prices are expected to improve due to supply constraints and increasing consumer demand [20] - Recommended stocks include leading companies like Shennong Development and Yisheng Biological [19] Seed Sector - The seed industry is expected to benefit from increased focus on food security and the commercialization of genetically modified crops [7][23] - Key recommendations include leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [23] Feed Sector - Haida Group is highlighted as a key player in the feed sector, with significant market share growth and revenue increases [24][26] - The overall feed market is expected to recover as smaller companies exit the market, leading to improved conditions for remaining players [24]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Donghai Seed Industry (002041) has seen a net financing buy of 81.33 million yuan on November 5, 2025, with a financing balance of 1.84 billion yuan, indicating a positive trend in investor interest [1][2]. - Over the past three trading days, Donghai Seed Industry has accumulated a total net buy of 586.42 million yuan, reflecting a consistent increase in financing activity [1]. - The financing balance as of November 5, 2025, represents 2.19% of the company's circulating market value, which has remained stable over the previous trading days [2]. Group 2 - On the same day, the company experienced a net short sell of 13,300 shares, with a total short balance of 247,600 shares, indicating ongoing short selling pressure [3]. - The total margin trading balance reached 1.87 billion yuan, showing an increase of 0.51% from the previous day, suggesting a growing interest in margin trading [4]. - The margin trading balance has fluctuated over the past few days, with notable increases on November 4 and November 3, indicating varying investor sentiment [4].

Core Viewpoint - The integration of planting, breeding, and processing industries, known as the "plant-breed-process integration," is gaining traction in China, projected to reach a market value of 3.2 trillion yuan in 2024 and 6.8 trillion yuan by 2030, driven by increasing consumer demand for healthy and organic products and government support for sustainable agriculture [1][10]. Industry Overview - The plant-breed-process integration model combines planting, breeding, and processing to achieve ecological and economic benefits through resource recycling and efficient industry chain connections [3][9]. - The model enhances resource utilization efficiency, reduces costs, and promotes sustainable agricultural development [1][9]. Industry Policies - Recent government policies support the integration model as a means to boost agricultural transformation and rural prosperity, including guidelines for optimizing livestock development and promoting ecological farms [4][5]. - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has issued directives to encourage standardized and ecological farming practices [4][5]. Current Industry Status - The total sown area of crops in China has been increasing, reaching 173 million hectares by 2024, driven by rising consumer demand for staple agricultural products [6][7]. - The livestock sector has also seen growth, with the pig population reaching 424.47 million heads in the first half of 2025, a 2.2% increase year-on-year [7][8]. Competitive Landscape - The industry features a diverse competitive landscape, including large enterprises, small and medium-sized enterprises, and farmer cooperatives, each leveraging unique strengths to capture market share [10]. - Key players include China Shengmu Organic Milk, Hunan New Wufeng, and Modern Farming Group, which are integrating various stages of the agricultural value chain [10][11]. Industry Development Trends - The rapid advancement of modern agricultural technologies, such as biotechnology and smart equipment, is expected to enhance production efficiency and product quality within the integration model [14]. - Increasing market demand for high-quality, organic agricultural products is anticipated to drive further adoption of the integration model, as it aligns with consumer preferences for safety and sustainability [16].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Pacific Securities indicates that Denghai Seed Industry's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 is 53.99 million, a year-on-year decrease of 7.84%, while the net profit for the third quarter alone is 18.88 million, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 222.86% [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 53.99 million, down 7.84% year-on-year [1] - In the third quarter, the net profit reached 18.88 million, reflecting a substantial increase of 222.86% compared to the same period last year [1] - The overall gross margin for the third quarter was 38.45%, which is an increase of 6.52 percentage points from the previous year [1] Industry Position - The company continues to face pressure on performance due to industry downturns, but it maintains a strong variety advantage [1] - Denghai Seed Industry is recognized as one of the leading companies in the domestic corn seed industry, with significant advantages in germplasm resources and variety [1] - The company has successfully passed the national review or preliminary review for a total of six genetically modified corn varieties, including the recently approved "Denghai 1959D" [1] - The leading variety, Denghai 605D, has shown a gradual increase in sales following trials and demonstration promotions [1] Investment Rating - The company maintains an "Accumulate" rating based on its strong variety advantages and market position despite current industry challenges [1]

Core Insights - The company, Denghai Seeds (002041.SZ), reported a total operating revenue of 1.181 billion yuan for the 2024-2025 business year, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of approximately 20.01% [1] - The total sales volume reached 89.8695 million kilograms, which represents a year-on-year decline of about 14.30% [1] Financial Performance - Total operating revenue: 1.181 billion yuan, down 20.01% year-on-year [1] - Total sales volume: 89.8695 million kilograms, down 14.30% year-on-year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Denghai Seeds (002041.SZ), reported a significant decline in its operating performance for the 2024-2025 business year, with total revenue and sales volume both decreasing compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - Total operating revenue for the period from October 1, 2024, to September 30, 2025, is projected to be 1.181 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of approximately 20.01% [1] - Total sales volume is expected to be 89.8695 million kilograms, reflecting a year-on-year decline of about 14.30% [1]