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农林牧渔行业周报:猪价继续反弹,关注种植链投资机会-20250630
Yong Xing Zheng Quan· 2025-06-30 07:54
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [6] Core Views - The agricultural sector underperformed the market by 1.15 percentage points during the week of June 23-27, 2025, with the Shenwan Agricultural Index closing at 2,661.46, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.80% [1][16] - The pig farming sector shows a bullish sentiment with pig prices continuing to rebound, reaching an average price of 14.72 CNY/kg, a week-on-week increase of 3.52% [2] - The poultry sector is facing downward pressure, with broiler prices remaining low due to high inventory levels in the downstream slaughtering sector [2] - Grain prices such as wheat and corn have seen slight increases, while soybean meal prices have decreased due to increased supply from oil mills [3] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector's weekly performance ranked 25th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries, with the fishery sector performing the best with a 4.90% increase [1][18] - The animal health, agricultural product processing, planting, and breeding sectors also saw increases of 3.13%, 2.10%, 1.44%, and 0.28% respectively, while the feed sector declined by 0.32% [1][18] 2. Industry Key Data 2.1 Pig Farming - The average profit for self-bred pigs is 50.25 CNY/head, up 30.84 CNY/head week-on-week, while the profit for purchased piglets is -131.71 CNY/head, an increase of 55.08 CNY/head week-on-week [2][24] 2.2 Poultry - The average price of broiler chicks is 1.70 CNY/chick, down 8.60% week-on-week, and the average price of white feather broilers is 7.01 CNY/kg, down 1.54% week-on-week [2][32] 2.3 Agricultural Products - The average price of wheat is 2,446.39 CNY/ton, up 0.19% week-on-week, and corn is 2,352.86 CNY/ton, up 0.43% week-on-week. Soybean meal prices have decreased to a range of 2,900-3,100 CNY/ton [3][35] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the planting industry chain due to increasing geopolitical tensions affecting food security [4] - For pig farming, companies with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths are recommended, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - In the poultry sector, attention is drawn to integrated industry leaders like Shengnong Development and Lihua Stock for their stable capacity expansion and cost advantages [4] - The feed sector is expected to benefit from the recovery of livestock inventory, with recommendations for industry leaders like Haida Group and Hefeng Stock [4] - For agricultural products, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are highlighted for their relevance to food security [4]
农林牧渔行业2025年中期投资策略:政策加码产能调控,重视粮食安全
CMS· 2025-06-30 03:33
Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of policy measures to regulate breeding sow capacity, which may elevate the price center for pigs in 2025-2026, benefiting the poultry sector and leading feed companies [1][38]. - The report highlights the increasing focus on food security amid frequent extreme weather events and trade tensions, suggesting a strategic shift in the agricultural sector [1]. Group 2: Swine Farming - In the first half of 2025, pig prices remained strong, influenced by slow recovery in breeding sow capacity and proactive market behavior before holidays, leading to a stable price range of 14.0-15.0 yuan/kg [12][15]. - The report anticipates limited growth in pig supply for 2025 due to cautious replenishment by producers, with expectations for pig prices to remain favorable in the second half of 2025 [15][31]. - Key companies recommended for investment in the swine sector include Muyuan Foods and WH Group, noted for their cost advantages and strong performance [38]. Group 3: Poultry Farming - The report is optimistic about the white-feathered chicken breeding sector, expecting a tightening supply of parent stock in the second half of 2025, which will positively impact the market [40][58]. - For yellow-feathered chickens, the report indicates that the current low inventory of parent stock, combined with reduced production costs, sets the stage for potential price recovery and profit expansion [52][58]. - Recommended companies in the poultry sector include Lihua Agricultural and Dekang Agriculture, which are expected to benefit from improving market conditions [58]. Group 4: Feed and Veterinary Services - The report notes a recovery in demand for feed products as the breeding sector improves, with a positive outlook for companies like Haida Group, which is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [6][38]. - The veterinary services sector is also expected to see a recovery in demand, with a focus on leading companies in the animal health space [38]. Group 5: Seed Industry - The report highlights the rising importance of food security, with a focus on the seed industry, particularly in rice and corn, as the sector enters a phase of recovery and growth [38]. - The hybrid rice seed industry is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics, while corn prices are rebounding, encouraging farmer planting enthusiasm [38][58]. - Recommended companies in the seed sector include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong, which are anticipated to benefit from these trends [38].
农林牧渔行业周报第19期:情绪支撑,猪价重心上移-20250623
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-23 03:28
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that the sentiment in the pork market is supporting an upward shift in pork prices, with the average price for external three-line pigs at 14.20 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.43% [2][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of increasing soybean and oilseed production, with a focus on enhancing yield through advanced agricultural practices and the promotion of genetically modified varieties [1][11] - The report suggests that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains relatively loose, but medium to long-term projections indicate that pork prices may exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 due to slow recovery in production capacity [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting to discuss the production and demand situation for soybeans and oilseeds, emphasizing the need to enhance production capacity and implement key measures for yield improvement [1][11] - The report identifies potential beneficiaries in the planting sector, including Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, and recommends companies with a strong first-mover advantage in the seed industry such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of external three-line pigs is reported at 14.20 CNY/kg, with a significant increase in slaughter volume and consumer demand noted [2][12] - The report indicates that the number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, and the profitability of self-breeding operations has turned positive, suggesting a potential for recovery in the swine sector [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine farming sector include companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and DeKang Agriculture [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2412.94 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.54% [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2440.61 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.46% [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 3946.32 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.21% [40] - Cotton: The average price is 14760.00 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [45] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is reported at 2.69 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.75% [51] - Vitamin E prices have decreased by 10.02% to 80.80 CNY/kg [51][59]
光大证券农林牧渔行业周报:“618”战报出炉 宠物消费同比高增
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-22 08:30
Group 1: Pet Economy - The pet economy continues to show high growth, with over 400 pet brands achieving sales growth of over 100% year-on-year during the "618" shopping festival [1] - The number of pet transaction users increased by 32% year-on-year, while new pet owners grew by 39% [1] - Top brands in various pet food categories include Royal Canin and Maffidi for cat and dog dry food, and Maffidi and Zeal for cat and dog snacks/wet food [1] Group 2: Pig Prices - The average price of external three yuan pigs rose to 14.22 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.43% [2] - The average price of piglets decreased to 31.85 yuan/kg, down 3.16% week-on-week [2] - The average weight of market pigs decreased slightly to 128.28 kg, while the inventory rate of frozen products increased to 14.04% [2] Group 3: Grain Prices - Prices for corn, soybean meal, and wheat have increased, with corn averaging 2417.06 yuan/ton (up 0.47%), soybean meal at 3015.14 yuan/ton (up 1.59%), and wheat at 2441.67 yuan/ton (up 0.46%) [3] - Weather conditions and trade dynamics are influencing corn prices, while soybean meal prices are affected by supply concerns from the U.S. and geopolitical tensions [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The pig farming sector is expected to enter a long-term profit growth phase after inventory reduction, with recommended companies including Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Muyuan Foods [4] - The post-cycle sector is seeing a recovery in feed and veterinary demand, with companies like Haida Group and Ruipu Biotech recommended [4] - The planting chain is showing positive fundamentals with rising grain prices, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [4] - The pet food industry is in a growth phase, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and recommended companies including Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. [4]
1.89亿主力资金净流入,粮食概念涨1.30%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-06-10 09:26
Group 1 - The grain concept sector rose by 1.30%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 23 stocks increasing in value, including Qiu Le Seed Industry, Kang Nong Seed Industry, and Shen Nong Seed Industry, which rose by 11.99%, 10.91%, and 8.29% respectively [1] - The top gainers in the grain concept sector included Jinhe Biological, with a net inflow of 67.34 million yuan, followed by Denghai Seed Industry, Longping High-Tech, and COFCO Technology, with net inflows of 38.17 million yuan, 36.26 million yuan, and 35.14 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The main capital inflow ratios were led by Denghai Seed Industry, Jingliang Holdings, and Jinhe Biological, with net inflow rates of 13.59%, 12.33%, and 8.93% respectively [3] Group 2 - The grain concept sector saw a net inflow of 189 million yuan, with 22 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 30 million yuan in net inflow [2] - The stocks with the highest trading turnover included Jinhe Biological at 15.46%, Denghai Seed Industry at 3.15%, and Longping High-Tech at 3.10% [3][4] - The overall performance of the grain concept sector was positive, with several stocks showing significant gains, while some stocks like Weiwei Co., Lianhua Holdings, and Luoping Zinc Electric experienced declines of 2.92%, 2.06%, and 1.89% respectively [1][5]
农林牧渔行业周报:猪价继续下探,看好水产料投资机会-20250609
Yong Xing Zheng Quan· 2025-06-09 10:50
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" for the agricultural sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.03 percentage points during the week of June 3-6, 2025, with the index closing at 2,682.22, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.91% [1][15] - The pig farming sector is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.05 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.43% and a year-on-year decrease of 23.89% [2] - The poultry sector is seeing stable chick prices but weak adjustments in meat chicken prices due to high inventory levels in downstream slaughtering [2] - In the agricultural products segment, wheat and soybean meal prices are weak, while japonica rice prices have increased [3] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector index rose by 0.91% and ranked 20th among 31 sectors [1][15] - The fishery sector showed the best performance with a 1.34% increase, followed by planting, feed, agricultural product processing, and breeding sectors [1][17] 2. Industry Key Data 2.1 Pig Farming - The average price of pigs is 14.05 yuan/kg, down 2.43% week-on-week and down 23.89% year-on-year [2] - Self-breeding profits are at 33.83 yuan/head, a decrease of 1.82 yuan/head week-on-week, while profits from purchased piglets are at -120.80 yuan/head, down 36.43% week-on-week [2] 2.2 Poultry - The average price of meat chicken chicks is 2.84 yuan/chick, down 1.05% week-on-week, and the price of white feather meat chickens is 7.32 yuan/kg, down 0.68% week-on-week [2] 2.3 Agricultural Products - The average price of wheat is 2,433.61 yuan/ton, down 0.82% week-on-week; japonica rice is at 2,876.00 yuan/ton, up 0.42% week-on-week; and soybean meal is at 2,940.00 yuan/ton, down 0.54% week-on-week [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the aquaculture feed industry due to the upcoming sales peak in summer and rising prices of certain fish species [4] - In pig farming, companies with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths are recommended, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - For poultry, attention is drawn to integrated industry leaders like Shengnong Development and Lihua Stock for their stable expansion and cost advantages [4] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and Hefeng Stock are highlighted for benefiting from the recovery in livestock inventory [4] - For agricultural products, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are recommended for their focus on food security [4]
农林牧渔行业周报第18期:夏粮收获三成,猪价震荡运行
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-03 08:10
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The planting industry chain is progressing well, with 1.29 million acres of summer grain wheat harvested as of May 30, 2025, which is over 30% of the total expected harvest. Regions such as Hubei, Sichuan, and South China have completed their wheat harvests, while Anhui has surpassed 80% and Henan over 60% [1][9] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the importance of tracking weather changes and preparing for emergency harvesting to ensure timely collection of mature wheat. The commercialization of genetically modified technology is expected to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][9] - In the pig farming sector, the average price of external three-way cross pigs is 14.39 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.36%. The number of breeding sows is 40.38 million, showing a slight decrease [2][10] - The report suggests that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains relatively loose. However, due to slow recovery in production capacity in 2024, pig prices are expected to exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 [2][10] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - As of May 30, 2025, 1.29 million acres of summer grain wheat have been harvested, with significant progress in various provinces. The upcoming rainfall is beneficial for soil conditions and will facilitate mechanized sowing [1][9] - The Ministry of Agriculture will focus on ensuring the timely harvesting of wheat and improving mechanization to enhance yield [1][9] - Recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [1][9] Pig Farming - The average price of pigs is 14.39 CNY/kg, with a slight increase from the previous week. The number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, while slaughtering volume has increased significantly year-on-year [2][10] - The report highlights the need to monitor cost improvements and suggests stocks such as Dekang Animal Husbandry, Jinke Intelligent Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods for potential investment [2][10] Market Performance - The agricultural sector index increased by 1.79% during the week of May 26 to May 30, 2025, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component [11][12] - The top-performing sub-sectors include aquaculture and livestock farming, indicating a positive trend in the agricultural market [11][12]
农林牧渔行业周报第18期:夏粮收获三成,猪价震荡运行-20250603
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-03 05:05
Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [3] Core Views - The planting industry is seeing significant progress with summer grain wheat harvest, reaching over 30% completion as of May 30, with favorable weather conditions expected to enhance soil moisture and facilitate mechanized sowing [10][11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is anticipated to accelerate, aiming to improve yield and self-sufficiency in key varieties, supported by government initiatives to protect new plant varieties [10] - In the pig farming sector, the average price of live pigs is showing a slight increase, with a current price of 14.39 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 0.36% [11][60] - The supply of breeding sows has slightly decreased, with a total of 40.38 million heads reported, while slaughtering volumes have increased significantly year-on-year [11][60] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - As of May 30, 1.29 million acres of summer wheat have been harvested, with regions like Hubei and Sichuan completing their harvests [10] - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasizes the importance of mechanization to enhance yield and efficiency in sowing [10] - Recommended stocks include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development for planting, and leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong for seed production [10] Pig Farming - The average price of external three-way cross pigs is 14.39 CNY/kg, with a slight increase from the previous week [11] - The number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, while slaughtering volumes have increased by 20% year-on-year [11] - Recommended stocks in the breeding sector include Dekang Agriculture, Jinke Smart Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods, with feed companies like Haida Group also highlighted [11] Key Agricultural Products Data Tracking - Corn: Current average price is 2378.15 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [23] - Wheat: Current average price is 2457.51 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.35% [26] - Soybeans: Current average price is 3927.89 CNY/ton, remaining stable [38] - Cotton: Current average price is 14480.00 CNY/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.14% [42] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.71 CNY/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.73% [48] - Vitamin E is priced at 101.60 CNY/kg, with a decrease of 4.87% [48]
农林牧渔行业周报:政策因素或引发猪价波动,头部宠物食品品牌持续发力618-20250602
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-02 07:08
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply of pigs is expected to increase due to the normalization of breeding practices, which may exert downward pressure on prices in the short term. However, as supply stabilizes, prices are anticipated to stabilize or slightly rebound [4][14] - The pet food sector is experiencing a rise in domestic brands, supported by consumption upgrades and tariff barriers, with significant growth expected in the pet food market [6][26][28] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The average national pig selling price on May 30 was 14.44 yuan/kg, up by 0.17 yuan/kg from the previous week, with a daily average slaughter volume of 156,400 pigs, an increase of 13,200 pigs [4][14] - The demand side shows slight recovery, and the focus remains on policies affecting the pig industry [4][14] Weekly Market Performance (May 26-30) - The agricultural index outperformed the market by 1.82 percentage points, with the agricultural index rising by 1.79% while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% [29][30] - The livestock breeding sector led the gains, with notable increases in stocks such as Juxing Agriculture (+13.15%) and Xiwang Food (+12.42%) [29][32] Price Tracking (May 26-30) - The national average price for pigs was 14.47 yuan/kg, up by 1.12% from the previous week. The average price for piglets was 35.24 yuan/kg, down by 0.90% [36] - The average price for corn was 2,339.00 yuan/ton, up by 0.52%, while soybean meal was priced at 2,966.00 yuan/ton, up by 0.54% [51] Key News (May 26-30) - An announcement was made to prevent the entry of highly pathogenic avian influenza from Brazil, highlighting the importance of biosecurity in the livestock sector [33] Weekly Insights - The pig sector shows low valuation and potential for recovery, with recommendations for companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [26] - The feed sector benefits from the recovery of livestock and strong overseas demand, with recommendations for companies like Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe [26]
登海种业: 山东登海种业股份有限公司2024年年度权益分派实施公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-20 09:12
Core Viewpoint - Shandong Denghai Seed Industry Co., Ltd. has approved its 2024 annual equity distribution plan, which includes a cash dividend of 0.261000 yuan per 10 shares for shareholders [1][2]. Group 1: Equity Distribution Plan - The equity distribution plan was approved by the shareholders' meeting held on May 13, 2025 [1]. - The cash dividend will be distributed to shareholders based on their holdings as of the registration date [2]. - The company will not withhold individual income tax for certain shareholders, with tax rates varying based on holding periods and types of shares [1][2]. Group 2: Key Dates - The equity registration date is set for May 28, 2025, and the ex-dividend date is May 29, 2025 [2]. - The distribution of cash dividends will be directly credited to shareholders' accounts through their custodial securities companies on the ex-dividend date [2]. Group 3: Distribution Method - The cash dividends will be distributed to all shareholders registered with the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shenzhen Branch, as of the registration date [2]. - The company assumes all legal responsibilities for any issues arising from insufficient cash dividends due to a decrease in shares held by shareholders during the application period [2].