Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a decline of 2.45% on October 22, with Guai Bao Pet Food leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1]. Summary by Category Market Performance - The feed sector's overall performance was negative, with a notable decline in key stocks, particularly Guai Bao Pet Food, which fell by 3.98% [2]. - The trading volume and turnover for Guai Bao Pet Food reached 34,900 shares and 301 million yuan, respectively [2]. Individual Stock Performance - Key stocks in the feed sector showed varied performance: - Baiyang Co. (002696) increased by 1.96% to close at 6.75 yuan [1]. - Zhenghong Technology (000702) rose by 0.83% to 7.29 yuan [1]. - Other stocks like Da Bei Nong (002385) and He Feng Co. (603609) saw minor declines of 0.49% and 0.50%, respectively [1]. Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 151 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.42 billion yuan [2]. - Guai Bao Pet Food had a net outflow of 23.62 million yuan from institutional investors, indicating a significant shift in capital dynamics [3].

Core Points - The Bioeconomy Index (970038) closed at 2262.82 points, up 0.08%, with a trading volume of 19.253 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.3% [1] - Among the index constituents, 27 stocks rose, with Iwubio leading at a 10.07% increase, while 22 stocks fell, with Yifan Pharmaceutical leading the decline at 4.45% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Bioeconomy Index include: - Mindray Medical (sz300760) with a weight of 13.81%, latest price at 223.47, down 0.90%, and a market cap of 270.944 billion yuan [1] - Changchun High-tech (sz000661) with a weight of 5.41%, latest price at 121.12, down 0.12%, and a market cap of 49.409 billion yuan [1] - Kanglong Chemical (sz300759) with a weight of 4.66%, latest price at 30.56, up 1.76%, and a market cap of 54.342 billion yuan [1] - Shizhu Aoshi (sz002252) with a weight of 4.52%, latest price at 6.67, up 0.15%, and a market cap of 44.275 billion yuan [1] - Biao Ge Shi Medicine (sz300347) with a weight of 4.23%, latest price at 54.08, up 0.95%, and a market cap of 46.564 billion yuan [1] - Shenzhen Technology (sz000021) with a weight of 4.08%, latest price at 27.24, down 0.58%, and a market cap of 42.693 billion yuan [1] - Muyuan Foods (sz002714) with a weight of 3.66%, latest price at 49.48, down 2.25%, and a market cap of 270.298 billion yuan [1] - Aimeike (sz300896) with a weight of 3.44%, latest price at 167.03, down 1.49%, and a market cap of 50.542 billion yuan [1] - Kailai Ying (sz002821) with a weight of 3.23%, latest price at 105.80, up 2.72%, and a market cap of 38.151 billion yuan [1] - Color Egg Therapy (sz002223) with a weight of 3.19%, latest price at 36.65, down 1.24%, and a market cap of 36.741 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow Summary - The Bioeconomy Index constituents experienced a net outflow of 599 million yuan from institutional investors and 215 million yuan from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 814 million yuan [3] - Notable capital flows include: - Kanglong Chemical saw a net inflow of 74.766 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 49.703 million yuan [3] - Hualan Biological had a net inflow of 42.164 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors seeing a net outflow of 33.5328 million yuan [3] - Lepu Medical had a net inflow of 40.927 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 32.1814 million yuan [3] - Kailai Ying had a net inflow of 38.867 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 16.4533 million yuan [3] - Iwubio had a net inflow of 23.192 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 5.9208 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The planting industry is focusing on enhancing crop yields and ensuring food security through advanced agricultural technologies and policies [1][12] - The pig farming sector is currently experiencing significant losses, with average losses per head reaching 244.70 yuan for self-bred pigs and 375.29 yuan for purchased piglets, indicating a need for capacity reduction [2][13] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in pig prices due to government policies aimed at reducing breeding sow numbers and improving overall industry efficiency [5][13] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasized the importance of increasing crop yields and implementing comprehensive solutions tailored to specific regions and crops [1][12] - The report highlights the potential for genetically modified crops to significantly enhance yields and self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][12] - Recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs is reported at 11.14 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 4.95%, reflecting an oversupply in the market [2][13] - The industry is facing deep losses, prompting a proactive reduction in production capacity, with a target to decrease the breeding sow population by approximately 1 million [5][13] - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and other companies with strong financial positions and cost improvements [5][13] Key Agricultural Products - Corn: The average price is 2276.08 yuan/ton, down 1.61% week-on-week [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2450.11 yuan/ton, up 0.30% week-on-week [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 3988.53 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.03% [41] - Cotton: The average price is 14580 yuan/ton, down 0.98% week-on-week [45] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.64 yuan/kg, down 0.75% week-on-week [52] - Vitamin E is priced at 43.10 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease of 12.58% [52]

Core Insights - The agricultural and livestock ETF (159275) showed weak performance with a price drop of 0.5% and a trading volume of 997,400 yuan, while the fund's latest scale is 207 million yuan [1] - Notable performers among constituent stocks include Hainan Rubber, Ronniu Mountain, and Zhongxing Mushroom Industry, with increases of 3.7%, 3.63%, and 3.0% respectively [1] - Conversely, Haida Group, Juxing Agriculture, and Tianma Technology experienced declines of 3.34%, 2.91%, and 2.61% respectively [1] - The Northeast Animal Husbandry Expo has been officially renamed and focuses on industry innovation and resource integration, while the 14th World Pig Industry Expo opened on October 18 in Changsha, covering 100,000 square meters and attracting over 800 global enterprises [1] - Dongguan Securities reported that pig prices have fallen to 11.17 yuan/kg, leading to continuous losses in breeding profits, with an average loss of 244.7 yuan per self-breeding pig [1] - The number of breeding sows remains high at 40.38 million, indicating significant future capacity reduction potential [1] - In poultry farming, the average price of white feather chickens is 6.87 yuan/kg, showing a slight decline, but breeding profits have marginally improved to -2.03 yuan per bird [1] - The industry valuation is at a PB of 2.85 times, which is at the historical 63.8% percentile, maintaining an "overweight" rating [1] Industry Analysis - The pig farming industry is experiencing supply pressure release, with prices continuing to decline; self-breeding and purchased piglet farming are both operating at losses of 244.70 yuan and 375.29 yuan per head respectively [2] - Under policy guidance, capacity reduction may accelerate, with a slight decrease in the number of breeding sows in September [2] - In poultry farming, the outbreak of avian influenza overseas creates uncertainty in the breeding of grandparent chickens, which is beneficial for the white feather chicken industry chain prices [2] - The demand in the animal health industry is expected to bottom out, with year-on-year changes in vaccine approvals for roundworms and pseudorabies at -17% and -11% respectively [2] - The seed industry is focusing on the progress of biological breeding expansion, the promotion of genetically modified corn, and industry mergers and acquisitions [2] - Pet food exports are minimally affected by tariff disturbances, while domestic sales continue to grow rapidly, with a 3% increase in e-commerce platform sales in September [2] - The agricultural and livestock ETF (159275) and its linked funds passively track the agricultural and livestock index, with the top ten weighted stocks including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Haida Group, New Hope Liuhe, Meihua Holdings, Dabeinong Technology, Shennong Development, Bio-Stock, Beidahuang, and Longping High-Tech [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a continued decline in pig prices, leading to increased losses in pig farming, with expectations of short-term price stabilization after significant drops [1][4]. Group 1: Pig Price Trends - The national average selling price of live pigs in September 2025 was 13.10 yuan/kg, down 4.86% month-on-month and 30.90% year-on-year [1]. - The slaughter volume in September 2025 was 4.5608 million heads, an increase of 5.12% month-on-month and 4.05% year-on-year [1]. - The average price of 7kg piglets fell to 183 yuan/head as of October 10, 2025, down 110 yuan/head year-on-year, indicating a significant decline in the piglet market [4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the market decreased to 4.91% as of October 9, 2025, down 0.16 percentage points week-on-week and 0.79 percentage points year-on-year, suggesting a tightening supply of large pigs [2]. - The price difference between lean and fat pigs was 3.97 yuan/kg as of October 9, 2025, down 0.13 yuan/kg month-on-month and 1.01 yuan/kg year-on-year, indicating weaker demand [3]. Group 3: Profitability and Financial Performance - The average loss per head for self-bred pigs in September 2025 was 7.27 yuan, marking a shift from profit to loss due to declining prices [4]. - The total number of pigs sold by 12 listed pig companies in September 2025 was 13.7749 million heads, an increase of 22.47% year-on-year [5]. - The average selling prices for major listed pig companies fell month-on-month, with declines ranging from 3.4% to 9% across different companies [6].

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance and trading activity of Dabeinong Co., Ltd. indicate a stable growth trajectory, with significant increases in net profit and a notable presence in the market through financing activities [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of June 30, Dabeinong reported a revenue of 13.559 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.55% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 235 million yuan, showing a substantial increase of 250.93% compared to the previous period [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 3.94 billion yuan, with 663 million yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 2: Shareholder and Market Activity - The number of shareholders increased to 241,500, up by 4.43% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 4.24% to 14,595 shares [2]. - On October 16, Dabeinong's financing buy-in amounted to 41.2937 million yuan, with a net financing purchase of 9.7385 million yuan, indicating active trading [1]. - The total balance of margin trading reached 953 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 5.35% of the circulating market value, which is above the 80th percentile of the past year [1]. Group 3: Business Segmentation - Dabeinong's main business segments include feed products (63.42%), pig farming products (25.08%), and other agricultural products, with seeds contributing 3.52% and plant protection products at 1.07% [1].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the price of live pigs has unexpectedly declined, leading to increased pressure on pig farming companies in October 2025. The average sales price of live pigs in September 2025 was 13.10 yuan/kg, down 4.86% month-on-month and 30.90% year-on-year. The slaughter volume in September was 4.5608 million heads, an increase of 5.12% month-on-month and 4.05% year-on-year [14][3][4] - The report indicates that the proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the market has decreased, suggesting a tightening supply in the future. As of October 9, 2025, the proportion of large pigs in the slaughter structure was 4.91%, down 0.16 percentage points week-on-week and 0.79 percentage points year-on-year [17][4] - The report notes that the profitability of pig farming has turned from profit to loss in September 2025, with an average loss of 7.27 yuan per head. The breeding stock has decreased by 0.46% month-on-month, indicating further potential for reduction in breeding stock [24][5] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the unexpected decline in pig prices and the resulting pressure on pig farming companies. The average sales price of live pigs in September 2025 was 13.10 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease [14][3] - The report also mentions that the planned slaughter volume for October is expected to increase by 5.14% compared to September, indicating ongoing challenges in the market [14][3] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The proportion of large pigs in the market has decreased, which may lead to a tighter supply in the future. The proportion of pigs over 140kg has remained stable month-on-month [17][4] - The report highlights a short-term scenario of strong supply and weak demand, with the price difference for frozen products declining [19][4] Financial Performance of Companies - The report provides data on the sales performance of listed pig farming companies, with a total of 13.7749 million heads sold in September 2025, an increase of 22.47% year-on-year. However, the average sales price for these companies has decreased [29][6] - Specific companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs reported significant changes in their sales volumes and prices, with some companies experiencing a decline in average sales prices [34][39][45]

Core Points - The 21st (Dabeinong Cup) Healthy Pig Farming Technology Competition is now open for registration, inviting pig farms nationwide to participate in a contest focused on feed quality and health levels [4][5][9] - This year's competition will take place from December 11-13, 2025, during the 52nd Pig Industry Conference in Guangzhou, where awards will be presented [7][8] Group 1: Competition Overview - The competition has a history of 20 successful editions and aims to promote scientific pig farming concepts and advocate for healthy pig farming practices [33][36][41] - The event is sponsored by Dabeinong Group and supported by various agricultural organizations, highlighting its significance in the industry [5][48] Group 2: Competition Structure - The competition will assess eight categories of feed: teaching feed, nursery feed, piglet feed, growing pig feed, finishing pig feed, boar feed, pregnant sow feed, and lactating sow feed, with awards for the top three in each category [6][25][100] - This year's competition introduces a new focus on feed quality assessment rather than just the results from blood and saliva tests, aiming to address the underlying causes of pig health [22][29][45] Group 3: Participation Details - Participation is free for pig farms, and the competition serves as a platform for technical exchange and promotion of feed formulation technology [51][56] - Registration is open until November 30, 2025, with specific guidelines for sample submission and evaluation [60][70]

Industry Insights - The 2025 World Agricultural Technology Innovation Conference recently opened in Pinggu, Beijing, focusing on themes such as South-South cooperation, facility agriculture, controllable agriculture, and smart breeding, discussing the construction of resilient food supply systems and exploring challenges and development paths in the agricultural sector [1] - A market research company in the U.S. predicts that if China does not return to the U.S. market by mid-November, the potential loss of soybean orders for the U.S. could reach 14 to 16 million tons [1] - Open-source securities indicate that trade frictions are resurfacing, benefiting the agricultural sector through tariff countermeasures and food security logic, with the sector currently at a relatively low level [1] - Since the beginning of 2025, prices for corn, wheat, soybeans, and japonica rice have shown significant recovery, with corn and japonica rice prices increasing by 8.54% and 5.61% respectively as of October 11, 2025 [1] - Huaxi Securities emphasizes that in the context of food security, transgenic technology has a revolutionary role in increasing yield, predicting that the commercialization process of transgenic crops will continue to accelerate, fundamentally improving self-sufficiency rates of key varieties [1] Company Developments - Longping High-Tech, a leading domestic modern seed company, produces hybrid rice seeds, corn seeds, vegetable seeds, and wheat seeds, and has formed a strategic partnership with Alibaba Cloud to advance agricultural applications [2] - Dabeinong's subsidiary, Beijing Dabeinong Biotechnology, received planting permission for its transgenic soybean variety "DBN9004" in April 2025, while its joint venture, Nongxin Group, has integrated the DeepSeek-V2 version into its AaaS platform, with plans for a full launch of DeepSeek-V3 and DeepSeek-R1 based intelligent services in early 2025 [2]

Market Overview - The feed sector experienced a decline of 1.02% on October 14, with Zhongchong Co., Ltd. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3865.23, down 0.62%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12895.11, down 2.54% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Baiyang Co., Ltd. saw a significant increase of 9.97%, closing at 6.84, with a trading volume of 164,800 shares and a turnover of 110 million [1] - Other notable performers included Lude Environment (+3.39%), Tiankang Biological (+1.19%), and Tangrenshen (+0.42%) [1] - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reported a decline of 5.82%, closing at 53.38, with a trading volume of 141,600 shares and a turnover of 760 million [2] - Aonong Biological and Tianma Technology also experienced declines of 2.18% and 1.75%, respectively [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 183 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 185 million [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks showed that Baiyang Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 36.87 million from main funds, while Tiankang Biological had a net inflow of 15.21 million [3] - Conversely, Zhongchong Co., Ltd. experienced a significant net outflow of 76 million from main funds [3]