Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) with a key recommendation for the "platform + ecosystem" service-oriented enterprise Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [3] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation of the pig industry policy, highlighting the importance of high-quality development and the need for cost control and capacity management [4][5][17] - The report suggests that the industry is entering a high-quality development phase, with expectations for improved profit margins and a focus on technology-driven and service-oriented companies [17] - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in leading companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, as well as Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [17] Summary by Sections 1.1 Pig Industry - Recent pig prices are at 13.72 CNY/kg (down 0.02 CNY/kg MoM), with average slaughter weight slightly decreasing to 127.8 kg (down 0.18 kg MoM) [4][16] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes reducing breeding stock and controlling new capacity, with a focus on improving the entire industry chain's competitiveness [5][16] - The report anticipates further policy measures to stabilize pig prices and control production capacity, recommending Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry as a key player [17] 1.2 Poultry - The report notes a persistent contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption" in the white feather chicken industry, with a focus on improving return on equity (ROE) [18] - Key recommendations include focusing on leading companies in the integrated supply chain and those with strong breeding capabilities [18] 1.3 Feed - The report highlights positive price trends in aquatic products, with significant year-on-year increases in various fish species [20] - It recommends Haida Group due to its improved management effectiveness and capacity utilization, expecting it to exceed growth expectations [20] 1.4 Pet Industry - Online sales growth in the pet industry has slightly slowed, with notable performance from brands like Guibao and Zhongchong [21][22] - The report suggests that long-term impacts from tariff uncertainties are limited, with leading companies expected to maintain high growth rates [22] 1.5 Agricultural Products - The report discusses uncertainties in soybean imports and the rising prices of natural rubber, with a focus on macroeconomic conditions affecting the agricultural sector [23] 2. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index rose by 2.52% during the week, with the pet food sector performing the best at +5.41% [24]

Group 1 - The A-share market for chicken industry stocks experienced a significant rally, with companies like Xiaoming Co. rising nearly 14%, Minhe Co. up over 8%, and Yisheng Co. increasing by nearly 6% [1] - The price of white feather chicken has seen extreme fluctuations, dropping below 3 yuan per jin in early July, leading to deep losses in the industry. To mitigate excess supply, some breeding farms have resorted to extreme measures such as culling breeding chickens [1] - By August, the price of毛鸡 surged to a peak of 3.7 yuan per jin, while chick prices skyrocketed from 1.5 yuan per chick to 4.2 yuan per chick, marking an increase of 180%. The demand for chicks remains high despite the price surge [1] - Since July, domestic chick prices have entered a rising trend, with a staggering increase of 300% in Shandong, a major meat chicken production province, over just a month [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese livestock industry is experiencing a phase of high pig production capacity, prompting the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs to implement comprehensive production capacity regulation to mitigate risks of price volatility and overproduction [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 12, 2025, the CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.68%, with notable gains from companies such as Xiaoming Co. (300967) up 6.50%, Minhe Co. (002234) up 6.19%, and Yisheng Co. (002458) up 3.28% [1]. - The Livestock ETF (159867) rose by 0.46%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price at 0.65 yuan [1]. Group 2: Policy and Regulation - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has announced plans to guide the reduction of approximately 1 million breeding sows to prevent production fluctuations and price instability [1]. - A meeting held on July 23 emphasized strict implementation of production capacity regulation measures, including the rational elimination of breeding sows and control of new production capacity [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Recent policies are expected to accelerate the elimination of inefficient production capacity in the industry, potentially leading to a long-term increase in pig prices, benefiting low-cost and high-quality pig enterprises [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 64.83% of the index, indicating a concentrated market structure [2].

Group 1 - The poultry concept stocks experienced a rise, with Xiaoming Co., Ltd. increasing by over 11% [1] - Minhe Co., Ltd. saw an increase of nearly 6% [1] - Yisheng Co., Ltd. and Xiangjia Co., Ltd. both rose by nearly 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The poultry industry, particularly the white feather chicken sector, has experienced a rapid price increase in chick and broiler chicken markets, transitioning from a period of low prices and overcapacity to a situation of supply shortages and rising prices [1][4][6]. Price Trends - The price of commodity chick has surged from 1.5 yuan per chick in early July to 4.2 yuan per chick by August 11, marking a 180% increase [2][4]. - Broiler chicken prices in Shandong dropped to 3 yuan per pound in early July but have since risen to 3.55 yuan, with some slaughterhouses paying as much as 3.7 yuan per pound [2][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The poultry industry has seen a significant shift in supply dynamics due to previous overproduction and recent weather changes, leading to increased demand for chicks as temperatures cool and schools prepare for the new term [4][5]. - The supply of commodity chicks decreased by 0.95% in July, with expectations of a further decline in August [5]. Profitability Across the Supply Chain - As of August 5, profitability across the poultry supply chain is positive, with theoretical profits of 0.50-0.80 yuan per chick at the breeding level, 1.73 yuan per commodity chicken, and 0.36 yuan per chicken at the slaughtering level [3]. Market Influences - The increase in prices is attributed to reduced imports of chicken meat due to avian influenza and trade tensions, alongside a decrease in domestic production capacity [4][6]. - The overall inventory of chicken products has decreased significantly, with slaughterhouse stocks dropping from high levels in mid-July to lower levels currently [3]. Future Outlook - Despite the current price increases, there are concerns about long-term sustainability due to potential overcapacity and weak terminal demand, which may pressure prices downward in the future [6].

Sales Performance Summary - In July 2025, the company sold 56.96 million white feather broiler chicks, generating sales revenue of 100.56 million yuan, representing a year-on-year change of -46.39% in revenue and a decrease of 6.18% in sales volume [2] - The sales of the company's 909 small white feather broiler chicks amounted to 5.12 million, with sales revenue of 5.06 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 34.02% in revenue and a decrease of 26.69% in sales volume [2] - The company sold 8,171 breeding pigs in July 2025, with sales revenue of 19.48 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 1,680.16% in revenue [2] Reasons for Sales Changes - The decrease in sales revenue for white feather broiler chicks in July 2025 is attributed to a lower selling price compared to the previous year [2] - The industry has seen early culling of parent stock due to low prices for white feather broiler chicks, but there has been a recent increase in the price of live chickens since late July 2025 [3] - Following the end of high-temperature weather, there has been an increase in the enthusiasm for restocking among farms, leading to a surge in demand for chick sales, which has resulted in a rapid increase in the selling price of white feather broiler chicks [3]

Group 1 - The company announced the sales quantity of broiler chicks for July 2025 to be 56.9624 million, with a sales revenue of 100.5635 million yuan [1] - Year-on-year changes in sales quantity and revenue are 7.51% and -46.39% respectively [1] - Quarter-on-quarter changes in sales quantity and revenue are -6.18% and -22.32% respectively [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant decrease in sales revenue for its white feather broiler chicks in July 2025, with a total sales volume of 56.9624 million chicks and revenue of 101 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -46.39% in revenue [1] - The sales of the company's small white feather broiler chicks (model 909) also saw a decline, with sales volume of 5.119 million chicks and revenue of 5.0579 million yuan, showing year-on-year changes of -34.02% in revenue [1] - In contrast, the company experienced a remarkable increase in sales of breeding pigs, with a total of 8,171 pigs sold and revenue of 19.478 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of 1,680.16% in revenue [1] Sales Performance - For July 2025, the sales volume of white feather broiler chicks was 56.9624 million, with a revenue of 101 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year sales volume increase of 7.51% but a revenue decrease of 46.39% [1] - The small white feather broiler chicks (model 909) had a sales volume of 5.119 million and revenue of 5.0579 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -17.82% in sales volume and -34.02% in revenue [1] - The breeding pig sales reached 8,171 heads, generating revenue of 19.478 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of 1,382.94% in sales volume and 1,680.16% in revenue [1] Month-on-Month Changes - The month-on-month changes for white feather broiler chicks showed a decrease in both sales volume and revenue, with a decline of 6.18% in sales volume and 22.32% in revenue [1] - The small white feather broiler chicks experienced a month-on-month sales volume decrease of 26.69% but a slight revenue increase of 1.00% [1] - For breeding pigs, the month-on-month changes indicated a decrease of 19.30% in sales volume and 21.89% in revenue [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Yisheng Co., Ltd. (益生股份) reported its sales performance for July 2025, indicating a mixed performance in the sales of broiler chicks and breeding pigs, with significant year-on-year and month-on-month fluctuations in revenue and sales volume [1]. Sales Performance of Broiler Chicks - In July 2025, the company sold 56.9624 million white feather broiler chicks, generating sales revenue of 101 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of 7.51% in sales volume and a decline of 46.39% in revenue, while month-on-month changes showed a decrease of 6.18% in sales volume and 22.32% in revenue [1]. - The sales of Yisheng 909 small white feather broiler chicks amounted to 5.1190 million, with sales revenue of 5.0579 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year declines of 17.82% in sales volume and 34.02% in revenue, and month-on-month changes of -26.69% in sales volume and a slight increase of 1.00% in revenue [1]. Sales Performance of Breeding Pigs - The company sold 8,171 breeding pigs in July 2025, achieving sales revenue of 19.478 million yuan, with remarkable year-on-year increases of 1,382.94% in sales volume and 1,680.16% in revenue, while month-on-month changes indicated a decrease of 19.30% in sales volume and 21.89% in revenue [1].

Core Insights - Yisheng's sales volume of broiler chicks reached 56.96 million with revenue of 101 million yuan in July 2025, showing a year-on-year change of 7.51% in volume but a significant decline of 46.39% in revenue [1] - The sales volume of Yisheng 909 small broiler chicks was 5.12 million with revenue of 5.06 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 17.82% in volume and 34.02% in revenue [1] - The company sold 8,171 breeding pigs in July 2025, generating revenue of 19.48 million yuan, with a remarkable year-on-year increase of 1,382.94% in volume and 1,680.16% in revenue [1] Sales Performance - The sales volume of broiler chicks decreased by 6.18% month-on-month, while revenue fell by 22.32% [1] - The sales volume of Yisheng 909 small broiler chicks experienced a month-on-month decline of 26.69%, but revenue increased by 1.00% [1] - Breeding pig sales saw a month-on-month decline of 19.30% in volume and 21.89% in revenue [1]