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老板电器:3Q24低于预期,中长期逻辑有待验证
华兴证券· 2024-11-03 02:15
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 25.90, reflecting a 15% decrease from the previous target price of RMB 30.62 [1][2] Core Insights - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2024 was below expectations, with revenue and net profit declining by 6.8% and 12.4% year-on-year, respectively [1][2] - The "old-for-new" policy has shown significant effects, but there is still a lack of long-term logic, leading to concerns about the risk-reward ratio [1][2] - The company is expected to see a revenue growth of 3% year-on-year in Q4 2024, driven by the "old-for-new" policy and improved online channel revenue growth [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024E is adjusted to RMB 10,749 million, a decrease of 14.1% from previous estimates [2] - The net profit for 2024E is revised down to RMB 1,662 million, reflecting a 25.7% reduction [2] - The EPS for 2024E is adjusted to RMB 1.76, down 25.3% from earlier projections [2] Market Position and Valuation - The current market capitalization of the company is approximately USD 3,199 million [1] - The company’s P/E ratio for 2025E is projected at 14 times, with a target price corresponding to this valuation [1][2] - The stock price has a potential upside of 8% from the current price of RMB 24.07 [1]
老板电器:2024年三季报点评:收入业绩短期承压,多元品类份额领先
华创证券· 2024-11-01 15:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company with a target price of 27 yuan, compared to the current price of 24.30 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company's revenue performance is under short-term pressure, with a total revenue of 7.4 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, down 6.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan, down 12.4% year-on-year. In Q3 2024, revenue was 2.67 billion yuan, down 11.1% year-on-year, and net profit was 440 million yuan, down 18.5% year-on-year [1]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company maintains a leading market share in multiple categories, with the brand's retail market share for range hoods and gas stoves being the highest in the industry. New product categories are also growing rapidly, with integrated stoves and dishwashers leading in market share [1]. - The company's profit performance is weaker than revenue, with a slight decrease in net profit margin to 16.6% in Q3 2024, down 1.5 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin improved to 53.2%, benefiting from a higher proportion of online sales [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from national subsidy policies, with a projected increase in sales during the promotional season in Q4 2024 [1]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 7.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan, down 12.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s Q3 2024 gross margin was 53.2%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 16.6%, down 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s EPS forecast for 2024-2026 is adjusted to 1.74, 1.92, and 2.10 yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14, 13, and 12 times [1][2].
老板电器:2024年三季报业绩点评:毛利率小幅回升,竞争加剧致业绩承压
中国银河· 2024-10-31 11:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment recommendation for the company, highlighting its strong market position and potential benefits from government policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and promoting consumption [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.396 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 6.78%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.202 billion yuan, down 12.44% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.075 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.27% [1]. - The report forecasts the company's net profits for 2024-2026 to be 1.877 billion yuan, 2.011 billion yuan, and 2.134 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.99 yuan, 2.13 yuan, and 2.26 yuan [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 11.201 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.06%. The net profit is expected to reach 1.733 billion yuan, reflecting a profit growth rate of 10.20% [2]. - The report provides a detailed financial forecast, including operating income, net profit, and EPS for the years 2024 to 2026, indicating a consistent growth trajectory [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The projected PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 12.11, 11.30, and 10.65, respectively, suggesting an attractive valuation relative to earnings [2]. - The report includes various financial ratios, such as net profit margin, ROE, and asset-liability ratio, which indicate the company's financial health and operational efficiency [3].
老板电器:公司季报点评:毛利率表现稳健,业绩增速有望筑底
海通证券· 2024-10-31 00:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company, Boss Electric, reported a revenue decline of 6.78% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024, amounting to 7.396 billion yuan, with a net profit decrease of 12.44% to 1.202 billion yuan [6] - The gross margin showed a slight improvement, reaching 53.18% in Q3 2024, up by 0.99 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand for kitchen appliances, particularly as national subsidies are rolled out, which may lead to a return to revenue growth in Q4 2024 [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.666 billion yuan, down 11.07% year-on-year, and a net profit of 443 million yuan, down 18.49% [6] - The company’s operating revenue for 2024 is projected to be 11.224 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year [10] - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 1.745 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.7% year-on-year [10] Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 50.6% in 2024, slightly decreasing from 50.7% in 2023 [10] - The net profit margin is expected to remain stable at around 15.5% for 2024 [10] Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast - The EPS for 2024 is forecasted to be 1.85 yuan, with projections of 2.01 yuan and 2.15 yuan for 2025 and 2026 respectively [10] Market Position and Strategy - Boss Electric is positioned as a leading brand in the kitchen appliance sector, with a well-established distribution network [7] - The company’s partner program aims to align the interests of various stakeholders, ensuring a cohesive approach to achieving performance targets [7]
老板电器:公司信息更新报告:2024Q3有所承压,关注以旧换新拉动改善
开源证券· 2024-10-30 03:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][11] Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024Q1-3, with revenue at 7.4 billion yuan (down 6.8% year-on-year) and net profit at 1.2 billion yuan (down 12.4% year-on-year) [4] - Despite the challenges, the company is expected to benefit from the "old-for-new" policy, which is anticipated to improve performance in Q4 [4][5] - The company maintains a leading market share in traditional categories, with offline retail market shares for range hoods and gas stoves at 31.6% and 31.2% respectively [5] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024Q3, the company reported revenue of 2.67 billion yuan (down 11.1% year-on-year) and net profit of 440 million yuan (down 18.5% year-on-year) [4] - The company's gross margin improved to 53.2% (up 1.0 percentage points), while the net profit margin decreased to 16.4% (down 1.6 percentage points) [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024-2026 is adjusted to 1.75, 1.87, and 1.99 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 13.7, 12.8, and 12.0 [4][7] Market Position and Strategy - The company is expanding into new categories, with the offline retail market share for dishwashers reaching 20.65% and integrated stoves at 38.0% [5] - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to significantly boost sales in the home appliance market, with online sales for various products showing substantial year-on-year growth [5] - The company is focusing on maintaining its competitive edge in the market through strategic channel management and product innovation [5][6]
老板电器:业绩短期承压,核心业务边际改善
国投证券· 2024-10-30 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a **Buy-A** rating for Robam Electric (002508 SZ) with a 6-month target price of **28 35 RMB** [4] Core Views - Robam Electric's Q3 2024 performance shows pressure with revenue of **7 40 billion RMB**, a YoY decrease of **6 8%**, and net profit of **1 20 billion RMB**, a YoY decrease of **12 4%** [1] - Despite the overall decline, core categories such as gas stoves and range hoods show marginal improvement with online sales growth of **51 1%** and **46 6%** respectively in Q3 2024 [2] - The company's gross margin improved to **53 2%**, up by **1 0 pct** YoY, driven by better performance in retail channels and weaker engineering channel sales [3] - The report expects a potential rebound in revenue due to the impact of the trade-in policy, particularly benefiting core products like gas stoves and range hoods [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, Robam Electric's operating cash flow decreased by **320 million RMB**, likely due to slower receivables collection [3] - The company's net profit margin for Q3 2024 was **16 3%**, with a slight improvement expected in the future as the company optimizes its product structure and operational efficiency [3] - The report forecasts EPS for 2024 and 2025 to be **1 89 RMB** and **1 93 RMB** respectively, with a target P/E ratio of **15x** for 2024 [8] Channel and Product Analysis - Online channels are expected to outperform overall company growth due to the trade-in policy, while offline channels may see slower growth, especially in lower-tier markets [2] - The engineering channel, impacted by a **29 0%** decline in residential completion area, is expected to stabilize as real estate policies improve [2] - Core products like gas stoves and range hoods are expected to see sustained demand growth due to policy incentives, with online sales in September 2024 growing by **145 4%** and **155 9%** respectively [2] Valuation and Forecast - The report forecasts Robam Electric's revenue for 2024E and 2025E to be **10 96 billion RMB** and **11 43 billion RMB** respectively, with net profit expected to grow to **1 78 billion RMB** in 2024E and **1 83 billion RMB** in 2025E [8] - The company's ROE is projected to be **15 2%** in 2024E and **14 5%** in 2025E, with a dividend yield of **3 9%** in 2024E and **4 0%** in 2025E [8] - The report highlights the company's strong ability to adapt to market changes, which is expected to support stable growth in the future [8]
老板电器:2024Q3业绩点评:国补及地产政策有望拉动后续收入回暖
国泰君安· 2024-10-29 10:42
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 28.90 CNY, reflecting a 17x PE for 2024 [5][13]. Core Views - The report suggests that the ongoing relaxation of real estate policies is expected to improve construction and sales data, which will subsequently boost kitchen appliance sales. The company's new products are anticipated to create a second growth curve, leading to better revenue performance than the industry [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Overview - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.396 billion CNY, down 6.78% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.202 billion CNY, down 12.44% year-on-year. In Q3 2024 alone, revenue was 2.666 billion CNY, down 11.07% year-on-year, with a net profit of 443 million CNY, down 18.49% year-on-year [3][15]. 2. Channel Performance - The engineering channel has seen a significant decline, while the smoke and stove segment performed better than the integrated stove segment. The company, being a traditional leader in kitchen appliances, faces short-term revenue pressure due to the sluggish real estate market. Retail and e-commerce channels are expected to show single-digit declines, while the engineering channel is experiencing a larger drop [16]. 3. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 50.43%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 16.03%, down 1.13 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2024, the gross margin improved to 53.18%, up 0.99 percentage points year-on-year, but the net margin decreased to 16.38%, down 1.58 percentage points year-on-year [17]. 4. Financial Health - The company reported a cash and cash equivalents balance of 2.693 billion CNY at the end of Q3 2024, down 5.86 billion CNY year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities for Q1-Q3 2024 was 526 million CNY, down 869 million CNY year-on-year [19][20].
老板电器:新房侧需求承压,政策加速行业换新
天风证券· 2024-10-29 10:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [4][13] Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit declined in 24Q1-Q3, with revenue at 7.4 billion yuan (down 6.78% YoY) and net profit at 1.2 billion yuan (down 12.44% YoY) [1] - The kitchen appliance industry is under pressure due to a 23.9% YoY decline in domestic residential completion area, impacting the company's revenue [2] - The "replacement" policy has shown positive effects, with online sales of kitchen appliances increasing by 28% and 138% YoY in September and October 2024, respectively [2] - The company's gross margin improved to 53.2% in 24Q3, driven by optimized raw material costs, but high sales expenses affected profitability [2] - The company's traditional leadership in range hoods and stoves remains strong, with potential growth in categories like dishwashers and digital kitchen appliances [3] Financial Performance Summary - 24Q3 revenue was 2.67 billion yuan (down 11.07% YoY), with net profit at 440 million yuan (down 18.49% YoY) [1] - The net profit margin for 24Q3 was 16.6%, down 1.5 percentage points YoY [2] - The company's A-share market capitalization is 22.999 billion yuan, with a P/E ratio of 13.8x for 2024 [4][6] Industry and Market Trends - The kitchen appliance market is gradually recovering due to policy support, with significant growth in both online and offline sales [2] - The company's brand and channel advantages are expected to drive future growth, particularly in new product categories [3] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be 10.72 billion yuan, 11.32 billion yuan, and 12.25 billion yuan, respectively [6] - Net profit for 2024-2026 is expected to be 1.66 billion yuan, 1.80 billion yuan, and 1.98 billion yuan, respectively [6] - The company's EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 1.76 yuan, 1.91 yuan, and 2.10 yuan, respectively [6] Valuation Metrics - The company's P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 13.8x, 12.8x, and 11.6x, respectively [6] - The P/B ratios for 2024-2026 are 2.00x, 1.83x, and 1.67x, respectively [6] - The EV/EBITDA ratios for 2024-2026 are 8.11x, 6.20x, and 5.87x, respectively [6]
老板电器:2024年三季报点评:Q3表现符合预期,以旧换新有望带动Q4业绩修复
申万宏源· 2024-10-29 09:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - Q3 performance met expectations, with total revenue for the first three quarters reaching 7.396 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.78%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.202 billion yuan, down 12.44% year-on-year [4][6] - The implementation of the old-for-new policy is expected to benefit the kitchen appliance category, with significant retail growth observed in September for range hoods and gas stoves [5][6] - Profitability showed a slight decline, with a gross margin of 50.43% for the first three quarters, down 1.60 percentage points year-on-year [6] Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 23.95 yuan - Market capitalization: 22.339 billion yuan - P/E ratio: 14 times for 2024E [2][3] Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024E is projected at 10.823 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -3.4% [7] - Net profit for 2024E is expected to be 1.621 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 6.5% [7] - Earnings per share for 2024E is estimated at 1.72 yuan [7] Industry Insights - The kitchen appliance industry is considered a mature segment within the home appliance sector, with stable overall market performance [6] - The old-for-new policy is anticipated to drive incremental revenue for the company, particularly in the kitchen appliance category [5][6]
老板电器:2024三季报点评:经营承压,改善在即
国联证券· 2024-10-29 09:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [4][6]. Core Views - The report indicates that while the company's third-quarter operations faced short-term pressure, improvements are expected due to significant policy boosts to terminal demand, healthy inventory levels, and a recovery in industry average prices. Revenue growth and profit improvement are anticipated in the future [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 7.396 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.78%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.202 billion, down 12.44% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 2.666 billion, a decline of 11.07% year-on-year, with net profit at 443 million, down 18.49% year-on-year [6][7]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 1.0 percentage point in Q3, attributed to a decrease in low-margin projects and a slight increase in average prices. However, the increase in expense ratios and bad debt provisions negatively impacted profitability, leading to a net profit margin decline of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [6][9]. Future Earnings Projections - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 1%, 12%, and 8% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively. The corresponding valuations are projected at 13X, 12X, and 11X [2][6]. Market Trends - Since September, retail in the industry has shown significant improvement, with a notable increase in sales for traditional kitchen appliances like range hoods and gas stoves, which saw year-on-year growth rates of 43% and 37% respectively. This trend is expected to continue into Q4, leading to improved revenue for the company [6][9].