Group 1 - The chemical raw materials sector increased by 3.58% on January 28, with Satellite Chemical leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the chemical raw materials sector showed significant price increases, with Satellite Chemical rising by 8.86% to a closing price of 24.21 [1] Group 2 - The chemical raw materials sector experienced a net inflow of 870 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 673 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Baofeng Energy and Satellite Chemical had notable net inflows from main funds, with Baofeng Energy receiving 223 million yuan [3] - Retail investors showed significant outflows in several stocks, including Baofeng Energy and Satellite Chemical, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3]

来源：沪深交易所等，截至2026.1.28。 化工板块午后继续上攻！反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）盘中场内价格一度涨超3%，截 至发稿，涨2.48%。 成份股方面，和邦生物、浙江龙盛双双涨停，卫星化学大涨超9%，华峰化学、桐昆股份、鲁西化工等 亦涨幅居前。 | | | 分时 8日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 日 周 月 夏多 | | | | | | | | 化工ETF O | | | | 516020 | | | F9 盘机盘版 盘加 九转 图线 工具 @ D > | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1,000 | | | | 516020RZ.ETF1 13:49 於 0.993 股股 0.024(2.48%) J.90 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector has regained momentum, with the chemical ETF (516020) experiencing a rise of 1.96% after a brief fluctuation at the opening [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector include Zhejiang Longsheng, which hit the daily limit, and other notable gainers such as Hebang Biotechnology, Satellite Chemical, Baofeng Energy, and Hengyi Petrochemical, all showing significant increases [1][2] - The chemical ETF (516020) has attracted substantial investment, with net subscriptions of 1.422 billion yuan over the past five days and 2.14 billion yuan over the past ten days [1][2] Group 2 - Recent advancements in the basic chemical industry include breakthroughs in green refrigeration technology and key technologies for the industrialization of high-performance liquid crystal polyarylate fibers [3] - Looking ahead, the chemical industry is expected to experience low prosperity in 2025, with potential recovery in profitability driven by measures against "involution" and rapid growth in new materials due to downstream demand [3] - Investment opportunities in the large chemical sector are viewed positively, particularly in leading companies and sub-industries facing supply changes or significant pressure [3]

化工板块盘中持续走高，染料、聚氨酯方向领涨，和邦生物封涨停，此前锦鸡股份、沧州大化、百川股 份、中农联合等涨停，卫星化学、氯碱化工、华峰化学、恒逸石化、桐昆股份跟涨。 ...

化工板块今日（1月28日）重拾攻势，反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）开盘短暂震荡后直 线拉升，盘中场内价格一度涨超2%，截至发稿，涨1.96%。 机构观点来源：①中国银河证券1月25日证券基础化工行业周报《化工品价格表现偏强，关注周期弹性 机会》。 成份股方面，纯碱、石化、氮肥等板块部分个股涨幅居前。截至发稿，浙江龙盛涨停，和邦生物大涨超 9%，卫星化学涨超7%，宝丰能源、恒逸石化双双涨超6%。 化工ETF联接A申购费率为：100万元以下，0.8%；100万元（含）-200万元，0.5%；200万元（含）以 上，每笔1000元。赎回费率为：7天以内，1.5%；7天（含）-180天，0.5%；180天（含）-以上，0%。 | | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 日 周 月 更多 | | | | | F9 盘用盘后 露出 九种 画线 工具 (0 2 > | | 44. TETF (D) | | | | 516020 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Group 1 - The global chemical industry is transitioning from "overcapacity" to "high-quality supply" by 2026, driven by national growth policies, marginal recovery in overseas demand, and the initiation of a restocking cycle, leading to a stabilization and rebound in the prices of basic chemicals and a significant improvement in industry profit expectations [1][3]. - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) has become a core tool for investors to capitalize on the petrochemical industry's recovery, with the index it tracks rising by 15.10% in the past month and 51.39% over the past year as of January 26, 2026 [1][5]. - The ETF has attracted significant capital inflow, with over 180 million yuan in net inflows in the past five days and over 270 million yuan in the past twenty days [1][5]. Group 2 - The "High-Quality Development" policy framework has been established, emphasizing the control of new refining capacities and the scientific regulation of ethylene and paraxylene production, marking a shift from quantity-driven growth to quality and efficiency improvements [3][4]. - A global restocking cycle has commenced, with widespread price increases for chemical products, including a 550 yuan/ton increase for butadiene and a 100 yuan/ton increase for bisphenol A, alongside sulfur prices reaching near ten-year highs [3][4]. - Major international companies like BASF and Dow have also raised prices for MDI/TDI, indicating a strong performance in the polyurethane market, supported by increased global oil demand projected at 950,000 barrels per day for 2026 [4][5]. Group 3 - Chemical companies are expected to report positive earnings, with Salt Lake Co. forecasting a net profit of 8.29 to 8.89 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 77.78% to 90.65%, and other companies like Juhua Co. and Cangge Mining also projecting significant profit increases [5][6]. - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) tracks the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, with top holdings including major companies like Wanhua Chemical and China Petroleum, covering over 56% of the index, thus providing a balanced exposure to both energy security and growth in new materials [5][6]. - The ETF has a low comprehensive fee rate of 0.20% per year, making it an ideal tool for participating in the current economic upturn in the chemical sector [5][6].

Group 1 - The A-share chemical sector continues to rise, with active performance in sub-sectors, led by Hongbaoli (a leader in polyurethane and fine chemicals) and Meibang Technology, which saw a gain of over 9% [1] - Key stocks such as Hongqiang Co., Wanhua Chemical, and Satellite Chemical also experienced gains, creating a pattern of leading stocks driving the market and a coordinated response from other companies [1] - The market is buoyed by rising product prices and favorable policies, leading to increased investment interest and active trading within the sector, highlighting a high-growth structural market [1] Group 2 - Five departments are jointly promoting the construction of zero-carbon factories, expanding this initiative to the chemical industry and promoting green transformation plans, which benefits green chemical enterprises [2] - Multiple chemical product prices have increased, with pure benzene and polypropylene rising by 2.8%-4.4% year-on-year, and lithium iron phosphate increasing by 8.4%, directly restoring industry profit margins [2] - Local governments are intensifying efforts for the transformation of the chemical industry, with Uihai City releasing a "three transformations" plan for 2026-2028 to promote intelligent and green transformation, aligning with growth stabilization requirements [2] Group 3 - The new energy materials sector is positively impacted by an 8.4% increase in lithium iron phosphate prices, alongside explosive demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, indicating a potential for volume and price growth for chemical companies in this field [3] - The textile and apparel sector benefits from a 2.2% rise in polyester filament prices, with recovering end-consumer demand driving raw material needs and significant recovery potential in industry profit margins [3] - The plastic packaging sector sees a rebound in polyethylene and polypropylene prices, coupled with downstream consumption recovery and growth in overseas orders, leading to an expansion of market share for leading companies and increased demand for upstream chemical raw materials [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [67]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant price fluctuations in the chemical sector due to extreme weather conditions affecting natural gas prices in the U.S. [1]. - The average prices for various chemical products, including pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI, have shown a decline compared to the previous week, with respective price changes of -129, -114, and -213 CNY/ton [2]. - The report provides a detailed analysis of profit margins across different segments, indicating a decrease in margins for pure MDI and polymer MDI, while TDI margins remained relatively stable [2]. Summary by Sections 2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trends - The basic chemical index has shown a weekly increase of 7.3% as of January 23, 2026, with a year-to-date increase of 16.8% [8]. 2.2 Polyurethane Sector - The average prices for pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI are reported at 17,714, 13,900, and 13,975 CNY/ton respectively, with corresponding profit margins of 4,503, 1,689, and 2,459 CNY/ton [2][16]. 2.3 Oil, Coal, and Olefin Sector - Ethane and propane prices have increased by 210 and 21 CNY/ton respectively, while the average price for coal remains stable at 520 CNY/ton [2][22]. - The average price for polyethylene is reported at 7,100 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 15 CNY/ton [2][28]. 2.4 Coal Chemical Sector - The average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid are 2,211, 1,740, 3,894, and 2,600 CNY/ton respectively, with minor fluctuations in profit margins [2][41]. 2.5 Animal Nutrition Sector - The average prices for VA, VE, solid egg, and liquid egg are reported at 62.2, 54.5, 17.6, and 14.2 CNY/kg respectively, with minimal changes observed [2][54].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, indicating a favorable investment environment [4]. Core Insights - Three major institutions have raised their oil supply forecasts, with the EIA predicting a global surplus of 2.83 million barrels per day for this year [6][16]. - The EIA has adjusted its 2026 oil price forecast upward to an average of $56 per barrel, while lowering the natural gas price forecast to $3.46 per million British thermal units [7][11]. - The IEA expects a demand increase of 930,000 barrels per day in 2026, while OPEC and EIA have slightly reduced their demand forecasts [11][16]. Supply and Demand Summary - The EIA has raised its global oil supply forecast for this year by 120,000 barrels per day, while the IEA has increased its forecast by 100,000 barrels per day [13][16]. - The EIA anticipates that global oil production will rise by 1.37 million barrels per day in 2026, with OPEC+ contributing approximately 1.13 million barrels per day [15][16]. - The IEA projects a global oil supply increase of 2.5 million barrels per day in 2026, reaching 108.7 million barrels per day [16]. Price Trends Summary - The price of butadiene has surged over 28% since the beginning of the year, driven by a narrowing price spread between naphtha and ethylene [17]. - As of January 23, the spot price of butadiene reached 10,700 yuan per ton [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, due to tightening supply and improving market conditions [21]. - It suggests monitoring major refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong, as refining margins are expected to improve [21]. - The report also highlights the potential of offshore oil service companies like CNOOC Services and Haiyou Engineering, given the high capital expenditure in offshore exploration [21].

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