Core Viewpoint - Satellite Chemical's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by new capacity releases and rising product prices [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 12.329 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.03%, and a net profit of 1.568 billion yuan, up 53.38% year-on-year, aligning with performance forecasts [2]. - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 21.68%, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.02 percentage points, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.43 percentage points [3]. Capacity Expansion and Market Position - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic light hydrocarbon cracking sector, with multiple projects set to launch in 2025 and 2026, which are expected to significantly boost performance [4]. - New capacity releases in the second half of 2024 are anticipated to contribute positively to revenue and profit growth [3][4]. Product Pricing and Cost Factors - The increase in prices for acrylic acid and esters has enhanced profitability in the C3 industry chain, contributing to overall performance growth [3]. - The impact of ethane tariffs is expected to diminish, with a planned reduction in import tariffs from 2% to 1% by the end of 2024, which will alleviate cost pressures on the C2 industry chain [4]. Profit Forecasts - The company revised its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 6.3 billion yuan, 7.5 billion yuan, and 9.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 4%, 18%, and 21% [5]. - The current A-share price corresponds to a low PE ratio of 9, 8, and 6 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating potential for investment [5].

证券代码：002648 证券简称：卫星化学 公告编号：2025-026 卫星化学股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 2、公司未发现近期公共传媒报道了可能或已经对公司股票交易价格产生较 大影响的未公开重大信息。 3、近期公司经营情况及内外部经营环境未发生重大变化。 4、经核实，公司及控股股东、实际控制人不存在关于公司应披露而未披露 的重大事项或处于筹划阶段的重大事项。 5、经核实，公司控股股东、实际控制人未在公司股票异常波动期间买卖公 司股票。 三、是否存在应披露而未披露信息的说明 公司董事会确认，公司目前没有任何根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》 等有关规定应予以披露而未披露的事项或与该事项有关的筹划、商谈、意向、协 议等；董事会也未获悉公司有根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等有关规定 应予以披露而未披露的、对公司股票及其衍生品种交易价格产生较大影响的信息； 一、股票交易异常波动情况 卫星化学股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票（证券代码：002648，证 券简称：卫星化学）连续3个交易日（2025年4月23日 ...

证券代码：002648 证券简称：卫星化学 公告编号：2025-025 卫星化学股份有限公司 关于首次回购公司股份的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 卫星化学股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年4月10日召开第五届 董事会第九次会议审议通过了《关于回购公司股份方案的议案》。公司拟使用自 有/自筹资金以集中竞价交易的方式回购公司部分股份，用于实施公司事业合伙 人持股计划或其他股权激励计划。本次回购股份的资金总额不低于2亿元（含）、 不超过4亿元（含），回购价格不超过29.50元/股（含）。按回购上限价格和拟回 购金额的上、下限测算，预计本次回购股份的数量为6,779,661股-13,559,322股， 约占公司目前已发行总股本的0.20%-0.40%，具体回购股份的数量以回购期限届 满时实际回购的股份数量为准。本次回购股份的实施期限为自公司董事会审议通 过本回购方案之日起不超过十二个月。具体内容详见公司在《证券时报》《中国 证券报》和巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）上披露的《关于回购公司股份方案 的公告暨回购报告书》（ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price indicating an expected return of over 20% within the next six months [9][20]. Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 is projected to increase by 53.4% year-on-year, reaching 1.57 billion [1]. - Ethane cracking profits remain robust, with average profits for ethane cracking, naphtha-based ethylene, and coal-based olefins at 2439, -7, and 1378 RMB/ton respectively [2]. - A new project is expected to double the company's ethylene production capacity from 2.5 million tons to 5 million tons by the end of 2025 [3]. - The average price of acrylic acid in Q1 2025 is expected to be 8062 RMB/ton, up from 6300 RMB/ton in Q1 2024, indicating potential growth in the C3 segment [4]. - The company maintains profit forecasts of 7.53 billion, 9.53 billion, and 11.61 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.24, 2.83, and 3.45 RMB per share [5]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 41.49 billion RMB in 2023 to 93.69 billion RMB in 2027, with a growth rate of 30% in 2025 [7][14]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly, with a growth rate of 56.42% in 2023 and 24.04% in 2025 [5][15]. - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 13.47 in 2023 to 5.56 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [7][15]. - The company's total assets are projected to grow from 64.58 billion RMB in 2023 to 98.46 billion RMB in 2027 [13][15].

Group 1 - Satellite Chemical (002648) reached the daily limit increase, with a trading volume of 5.727 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 9.01% [1] - The post-market data shows that the Shenzhen Stock Connect special seat bought 748 million yuan and sold 310 million yuan [1] - One institutional special seat had a net purchase of 214 million yuan, while another institutional special seat had a net sale of 118 million yuan [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 11135.67 billion yuan on April 25, marking an increase of 45.48 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Trading Volume Details - The Shanghai Stock Exchange recorded a trading volume of 4454.18 billion yuan, up from 4347.06 billion yuan on the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 4.11 million lots compared to 3.93 million lots [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange had a trading volume of 6681.49 billion yuan, down from 6743.13 billion yuan on the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 5.82 million lots compared to 5.79 million lots [1] Top Performing Stocks - Satellite Chemical topped the trading volume with 57.27 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks included: - Tuowei Information with 56.5 billion yuan - Xinyisheng with 55.8 billion yuan - Zhongji Xuchuang with 55.24 billion yuan - Dongfang Caifu with 55.16 billion yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Views - The company achieved significant year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 12,329 million yuan, up 40.03% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1,568 million yuan, up 53.38% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights the impact of rising ethane prices and uncertainties related to tariffs, which may affect future performance [7] - The company is expected to benefit from new production capacities and improved product margins in the coming years, particularly in the C3 segment [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are 53,971 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.2% [6] - Net profit for 2025 is forecasted at 6,875 million yuan, reflecting a 13.2% increase year-on-year [6] - The report anticipates a steady increase in earnings per share, reaching 2.04 yuan in 2025 [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 22.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 19.5% [6] Market Data - As of April 24, 2025, the company's closing price was 17.41 yuan, with a market capitalization of 58,610 million yuan [2] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 9x for 2025, decreasing to 5x by 2027 [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 22.80 [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of RMB 12.3 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 40% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.57 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 53% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 34% [1]. - The company is facing some pressure on profitability due to high ethane costs impacting the C2 segment, while the C3 segment has shown some recovery with a 7% increase in the propylene-propane price spread [2]. - The company is advancing its high-end new materials project, which is expected to be completed by the end of 2025 and officially start production in early 2026, indicating potential for long-term growth [3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting net profits of RMB 6.4 billion, RMB 8.3 billion, and RMB 9.2 billion respectively, which is a downward revision of 13%, 4%, and 4% from previous estimates [4]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.90, RMB 2.47, and RMB 2.74 respectively [4]. - The target price is based on a 12x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025, reflecting a slight increase from the previous 11x PE [4].

4月24日晚间，卫星化学（002648）(002648.SZ)发布2025年第一季度报告，受益于报告期内销售量价齐 升，公司一季度营业收入为123.29亿元，同比增长40.03%；归母净利润为15.68亿元，同比增长 53.38%；扣非后的归母净利润为16.92亿元，同比增长59.17%；随着本期利润增加，公司经营活动产生 的现金流量净额为15.99亿元，同比增长141.91%。 产品提质附加值持续提升 公司2025年一季度延续了2024年四季度(营收、归母净利润分别同比增长41.69%、75.09%)的良好增长势 头，体现了公司新产能持续释放增量。 SAP新产能有望抓住纸尿裤增长机遇 近期，纸尿裤线上增速有回暖，包括卫星化学在内的产业链企业关注度显著提升。卫星化学在2024年报 中指出，公司历时十余年自主研发与创新的高吸水性树脂装置2024年实现满负荷运行，实现打造民族品 牌的初衷，成为国内外知名品牌的供应商。 2025年一季度，公司将上述产能优势进一步发挥，并开发高附加值产品。公司在此前一季度业绩预告中 指出，公司保持生产装置"安、稳、长、满、优"运行，不断探索挖掘装置潜力的同时，部分生产装置通 过技术创 ...

Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 reached ¥12,328,965,786.39, representing a 40.03% increase compared to ¥8,804,715,234.95 in the same period last year[6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥1,568,469,323.36, up 53.38% from ¥1,022,615,451.76 year-on-year[6] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was ¥1,692,092,059.89, reflecting a 59.17% increase from ¥1,063,049,340.04 in the previous year[6] - Basic and diluted earnings per share rose to ¥0.47, a 56.67% increase from ¥0.30 in the previous year[6] - Net profit for the current period was ¥1,567,570,031.91, compared to ¥1,020,671,267.89 in the previous period, reflecting a growth of approximately 54%[24] - Earnings per share (EPS) for the current period was ¥0.47, an increase from ¥0.30 in the previous period, marking a growth of about 56.7%[25] - The company reported a total comprehensive income of ¥1,534,193,321.01, compared to ¥1,039,019,481.30 in the previous period, representing an increase of approximately 47.5%[24] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 141.91% to ¥1,598,501,498.16, compared to ¥660,779,331.17 in the same period last year[6] - Cash inflow from operating activities totaled ¥14,287,759,896.73, compared to ¥8,976,340,827.95 in the previous period, representing an increase of approximately 59.5%[26] - The net cash flow from operating activities was $1,598,501,498.16, an increase from $660,779,331.17 in the previous period, reflecting a significant growth of approximately 142.4%[27] - Total cash outflow from operating activities amounted to $12,689,258,398.57, compared to $8,315,561,496.78 previously, indicating a rise of about 52.8%[27] - The cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $7,601,119,111.82, up from $5,642,760,507.29, reflecting an increase of about 34.4%[28] - The cash and cash equivalents net increase was -$774,673,362.00, compared to -$523,968,706.37, indicating a decline of approximately 47.8%[28] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were ¥68,659,531,214.26, a slight increase of 0.52% from ¥68,305,210,214.96 at the end of the previous year[6] - Total liabilities decreased to ¥36,818,489,513.65 from ¥38,000,485,258.24, a reduction of about 3.1%[20] - Non-current liabilities totaled ¥22,454,525,881.76, slightly down from ¥22,628,101,893.79, indicating a decrease of approximately 0.8%[20] - The company's total equity increased to ¥31,841,041,700.61 from ¥30,304,724,956.72, reflecting a growth of about 5.1%[20] Shareholder Information - Total number of common shareholders at the end of the reporting period is 40,685[14] - Zhejiang Satellite Holdings Co., Ltd. holds 34.60% of shares, totaling 1,165,589,005 shares[14] - The company has a significant shareholder structure with YANG YA ZHEN holding 11.64% and Hong Tao holding 1.26%[14] - The total number of preferred shareholders at the end of the reporting period is 0[14] Operational Metrics - Total operating revenue for the current period reached ¥12,328,965,786.39, a significant increase from ¥8,804,715,234.95 in the previous period, representing a growth of approximately 40.5%[22] - Total operating costs amounted to ¥10,497,617,670.84, up from ¥7,732,357,985.71, indicating an increase of about 35.5%[22] - Research and development expenses were ¥369,275,501.73, a slight decrease from ¥394,117,942.93, indicating a reduction of about 6.3%[23] Investment and Financing Activities - The company experienced a 376.09% increase in investment income, reaching ¥102,483,359.77 compared to ¥21,526,206.04 in the previous year[12] - The net cash flow from investing activities was -$1,243,965,782.31, worsening from -$957,501,575.85, showing a decline of approximately 30%[27] - Cash inflow from financing activities totaled $539,615,487.38, a decrease from $5,518,201,729.35, representing a drop of about 90.2%[27] - The net cash flow from financing activities was -$1,078,399,621.47, compared to -$234,985,917.04, indicating a decline of approximately 359.5%[27] Other Information - The company has not disclosed any new product or technology developments in the current reporting period[15] - The company did not undergo an audit for the first quarter report[29]