Group 1: Liquidity and Scale of Software ETF - The software ETF had an intraday turnover of 6.26% and a transaction volume of 366 million yuan [1] - Over the past month, the software ETF's average daily transaction volume reached 569 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - In the past week, the software ETF's scale increased by 19.89 million yuan, also ranking first among comparable funds [1] - Over the last 17 trading days, the software ETF attracted a total of 827 million yuan in inflows [1] Group 2: Performance and Returns - As of October 31, the software ETF's net value has increased by 10.46% over the past three years [1] - The highest monthly return since inception was 39.35%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and the longest cumulative gain reaching 69.40% [1] - The average return during the months of increase was 10.06% [1] Group 3: Policy and Industry Outlook - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized high-level technological self-reliance as a key development goal [1] - In the context of major power technology competition, the trend towards domestic core software and hardware is expected to accelerate [1] - The "Suggestions" highlight the need for "extraordinary measures" to promote breakthroughs in key areas such as integrated circuits and foundational software [1] - Collaborative innovation between emerging technologies and foundational software is anticipated to be a significant driver of high-quality technological development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 4: Major Stocks in Software Service Index - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Software Service Index include iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, and Tonghuashun, collectively accounting for 63.09% of the index [2] - The weightings of the top stocks are as follows: iFlytek (13.80%), Tonghuashun (8.49%), Kingsoft Office (7.78%), and others [4] - Investors can also access AI software investment opportunities through the software ETF linked fund (012620) [4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The focus is on the computer sector, particularly the AI application segment, with major players like OpenAI shifting resources towards application development, exemplified by the launch of the Sora APP [1][2] - AI revenue for leading companies is expected to exceed 20% of total revenue by 2026, indicating a shift from concept to actual profit growth [1][2] - The computer sector's performance has shown significant improvement since Q3 2025, with companies like Hikvision, Dahua, and Sangfor experiencing accelerated profit growth [1][2][4] Key Insights and Arguments - The ChatGPT effect is becoming evident, combined with a recovery in downstream demand and policy support, driving growth in the computer sector [1][2][4] - The "信创" (Xinchuang) sector is benefiting from policy initiatives, with a complete replacement of systems like OA email and document management required by 2027, which will drive business growth for related companies [1][3] - The current allocation in the computer sector is low, at around 3% in Q3 2025, compared to a market capitalization share of over 4.5%, indicating significant upside potential [1][5] Notable Companies and Performance - Companies such as Hikvision, Kingsoft, Hehe Information, Sangfor, and iFlytek are highlighted for their strong performance and robust revenue growth expectations, making them attractive investment opportunities [1][7] - Specific performance metrics include: - Hikvision's profit growth exceeding 20% in Q3 2025 [4] - Kingsoft's projected revenue of 6 billion RMB this year, increasing to 7 billion RMB next year [7] - Hehe Information's expected profit of 650 million RMB next year [7] Investment Opportunities - The AI sector presents two main investment directions: AI computing power and AI applications, with companies like Kingsoft, Hehe Information, Hikvision, and Sangfor showing significant advantages in AI applications [8] - The technology self-reliance sector is also gaining attention, with companies like Dameng Database and Huawei Jiutian showing strong growth potential [9][10] Market Environment and Future Expectations - The computer sector is entering a favorable investment window, with a historical trend of improved performance during the November to April period due to a lack of new earnings reports and increased risk appetite [5] - Despite a 20% increase in the computer sector this year, it still lags behind other sectors like telecommunications (70%), electronics (50%), and media (30%) [6] - New regulations from the China Securities Regulatory Commission may encourage fund managers to increase allocations to underweighted sectors like computers, potentially driving market performance upward [6]

Group 1 - The report highlights that Fengshen Co., the only centrally controlled tire listed company in China, has entered a growth phase with a 168% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025 [2][6][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 5.543 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 13.58% increase year-on-year, despite a decline in net profit [6][8] - The average selling price of products increased by 7.88% year-on-year to 1198 yuan per tire, contributing to improved profitability [8][10] Group 2 - Dongfang Tower benefited from the potassium fertilizer boom, reporting a 77.57% increase in net profit for Q3 2025, with a revenue of 3.392 billion yuan [16][17] - The company’s gross profit margin increased by 10.23 percentage points to 40.53% due to rising potassium prices [17][19] - The average price of potassium chloride reached 3269 yuan per ton in Q3 2025, up 773 yuan per ton year-on-year [17][19] Group 3 - Longbai Group's net profit decreased by 34.68% year-on-year in Q3 2025, impacted by falling titanium dioxide prices, with a revenue of 6.105 billion yuan [23][24] - The average price of titanium dioxide fell by 2018 yuan per ton year-on-year, leading to a significant profit squeeze [25][27] - The company is pursuing a strategic acquisition of Venator UK's titanium dioxide assets to enhance its global presence [27][29] Group 4 - Shanmei International reported a 30.20% decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit drop of 49.74% [32][33] - The company’s coal production increased by 8.73% year-on-year, while trade coal sales fell by 28.50% [35][36] - The average selling price of self-produced coal decreased by 24.72% year-on-year, affecting overall profitability [36][37] Group 5 - Fenhong Media achieved a total revenue of 9.607 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 3.73% year-on-year growth [38][39] - The company’s gross profit margin improved significantly, reaching 74.1% in Q3 2025 [40][41] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [41][42] Group 6 - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank reported a 0.67% increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 3.74% [43][44] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.12%, reflecting improved asset quality [44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - The company has achieved significant improvement in profitability, driven by AI and hybrid cloud initiatives, with a revenue of 5.125 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.62% [1]. - The company has successfully reduced costs, leading to a substantial improvement in cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 0.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [1]. - The focus on key production lines and cloud computing has led to a strategic shift towards cloud services and product service integration, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the market [2]. - The company is actively integrating AI capabilities into its traditional business, with a strong emphasis on an "AI First" strategy, resulting in innovative products and services [3]. - The projected revenue for the company is expected to grow significantly, with estimates of 8.774 billion yuan in 2025, 10.578 billion yuan in 2026, and 12.790 billion yuan in 2027, alongside a corresponding increase in earnings per share [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.86%, and a net profit of 0.147 billion yuan, reflecting a remarkable growth of 1097.40% [1]. - The company has effectively optimized its expense ratios, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreasing compared to the previous year [1]. Strategic Focus - The company is concentrating on enhancing its core security capabilities through cloud services and product service integration, ensuring stability in its domestic market coverage [2]. - The ongoing trend of domestic industry leaders and international markets becoming key revenue sources is becoming increasingly clear [2]. AI Integration - The company is committed to an "AI First" approach, integrating AI technologies into its product offerings, which has led to significant advancements in security applications [3]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts indicate a growth trajectory with expected revenues of 8.774 billion yuan in 2025, 10.578 billion yuan in 2026, and 12.790 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS estimates of 0.74, 1.00, and 1.24 yuan [4][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The turning point for AI software is approaching, with the computer sector showing signs of recovery in revenue and profit, particularly among leading software companies [5][6][7] - Institutional holdings in the computer sector are at historical lows, indicating significant underweighting, which suggests increasing allocation value [5][6] - The performance of major software companies such as Kingsoft Office, Dameng Data, and Foxit Software has been notably strong, indicating a positive trend in the sector [6][8] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.43%, while the computer index rose by 1.82 [4][16] Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the fund's holding ratio in the computer sector was 2.92%, remaining at historical lows. The total market capitalization of the computer sector accounted for 4.61% of the A-share market [5][12] Revenue and Profit Improvement - In the first three quarters of 2025, the computer sector saw a revenue increase of 3.10% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 3.93%. Cost control measures have significantly improved profit recovery [6][13] AI Model Development - The capabilities of AI models are continuously improving while costs are decreasing, leading to a flourishing application market. For instance, the cost of GPT-5 has dropped significantly compared to its predecessor [7][14] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Kingsoft Office, Hehe Information, and others, highlighting their potential benefits from the ongoing trends in the computer sector [8][15]

证 券 研 究 报 告 深信服（300454）2025 年三季报点评 强推（维持） 营收保持增长，利润持续改善 目标价：157 元 事项： 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 ❖ 10 月 27 日，公司发布 2025 年三季度业绩报告：公司实现营业收入 51.25 亿 元，同比增长 10.62%；实现归母净利润亏损 0.81 亿元，去年同期亏损 5.80 亿元，实现扣非净利润亏损 1.36 亿元，去年同期亏损 6.51 亿元。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 7,520 | 8,424 | 9,467 | 10,699 | | 同比增速(%) | -1.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 197 | 586 | 829 | 1,045 | | 同比增速(%) | -0.5% | 197.8% | 41.5% | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the AI Agent industry, highlighting 2025 as a pivotal year for AI applications and software revolution [3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that 2025 will mark the beginning of the AI Agent era, which is expected to catalyze a significant revaluation of software companies, potentially expanding their target markets into trillions of dollars in the labor market [3][8]. - AI applications are anticipated to reach a performance realization inflection point in Q3 2025, with specific recommendations for investment in various software sectors, including ERP and CRM [3][6]. Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of October 27-31, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.43%, while the small and medium-sized board indices rose by 0.87% and 0.50%, respectively. The computer sector saw a 2.66% increase [1]. Industry News - Lingzhi Software is planning to acquire a controlling stake in Kaimiride (Suzhou) Information Technology Co., Ltd. through a share issuance and cash payment, with trading suspended for up to 10 trading days [2]. - Shareholders of Zhongxin Saike plan to reduce their holdings by up to 2.83% within three months due to fund exit requirements [2]. Weekly Insights - The report asserts that AI applications are at a turning point for performance realization, with OpenAI evolving into an AI cloud platform for developers to build applications and services [8][10]. - The report identifies key companies to watch in various sectors, including ERP/CRM, office software, programming, and AI-driven customer service [6][3]. Company Performance - Major AI companies in the A-share market are experiencing significant performance improvements, with notable revenue growth reported by companies such as Kingsoft Office, Hehe Information, and iFlytek [16][18]. - The report provides detailed performance metrics for various companies, highlighting revenue growth and AI integration in their business models [16][18].

Core Insights - Several cybersecurity companies reported revenue growth or reduced losses in Q3 2023, driven by diversification into new business scenarios and the adoption of AI technology [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth and Loss Reduction - 360 achieved revenue of 6.068 billion yuan in the first three quarters, an increase of 8.18% year-on-year, while net losses narrowed to 122 million yuan from 579 million yuan, a reduction of approximately 78.93% [1] - Green Alliance Technology reported revenue of 1.28 billion yuan, a slight increase compared to the previous year, with net losses of 196 million yuan, a year-on-year reduction of 39.85% [1] - Companies are exploring new markets such as satellite internet and industrial control to drive revenue growth [1] Group 2: AI Integration and Innovation - AI has become a key efficiency booster in the cybersecurity industry, with 97% of surveyed companies using or planning to deploy AI-enabled cybersecurity solutions [3] - Fortinet's report indicates that 87% of industry experts expect AI to enhance efficiency, while 80% of respondents noted improvements in team productivity due to AI [3] - Companies like Green Alliance Technology are focusing on AI security, data security, and practical defense, integrating intelligent capabilities into traditional security products [4] Group 3: Investment in R&D and Technology - Shengbang Security's R&D investment reached 66.65 million yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 22.98%, accounting for 42.90% of revenue [6] - Qi An Xin's R&D investment totaled 835 million yuan, representing 29.41% of revenue, focusing on proactive defense and privacy computing [6] - Companies are continuously investing in technology innovation to enhance competitiveness and adapt to industry trends [6]

Core Insights - Several publicly listed cybersecurity companies reported third-quarter earnings, with some achieving revenue growth or reduced losses in the first three quarters of the year. Embracing AI technology and exploring diverse business scenarios are key strategies for these companies to enhance quality and drive transformation [1][2]. Exploring Diverse Scenarios - Companies like 360 achieved revenue of 6.068 billion yuan, an 8.18% year-on-year increase, while net losses narrowed to 122 million yuan from 579 million yuan, a reduction of approximately 78.93% [2]. - Green Alliance Technology reported revenue of 1.28 billion yuan, a slight increase year-on-year, with net losses of 196 million yuan, a reduction of 39.85% [2]. - Companies are expanding into new markets such as satellite internet and industrial control to explore incremental growth opportunities [2]. - Shengbang Security is focusing on low-altitude economy and satellite internet, winning contracts in these new sectors [2]. - The number of vessels using satellite internet in the marine sector surged from 500 in 2022 to 75,000 recently, while the number of aircraft adapted for satellite use is expected to grow from 160 in 2024 to 2,000 in 2025 [2]. AI-Driven Industry Transformation - AI has become a mainstream tool for efficiency in the cybersecurity industry, with 97% of surveyed companies using or planning to deploy AI-enabled solutions [4]. - 87% of industry experts expect AI to enhance efficiency, and 80% report that AI has improved their team's productivity [4]. - Companies like Qi An Xin are leveraging AI to enhance detection accuracy and reduce costs, with over 90% usage of AI code assistants [4]. - The AISOC intelligent operation model has been shown to reduce average threat detection and assessment times while improving alert recognition rates [4]. Continuous Investment in Innovation - Companies are investing in technology innovation to enhance competitiveness, with Shengbang Security's R&D expenditure reaching 66.65 million yuan, a 22.98% increase year-on-year, accounting for 42.90% of revenue [8]. - Qi An Xin's R&D investment totaled 835 million yuan, representing 29.41% of revenue, focusing on proactive defense and privacy computing [8]. - The rapid development of large models is reshaping the cybersecurity landscape, accelerating the implementation of proactive defense systems [7].

Core Insights - Guangdong has issued a total of 105 generative AI service registrations, ranking second in the country, with the latest batch including 11 new services across various sectors such as education, media, commercial real estate, and cross-border e-commerce [1][2][5] Policy Support - The policy framework in Guangdong is designed to foster an environment where AI can innovate freely while ensuring safety, transforming regulatory requirements into developmental momentum [1][5] - The establishment of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Generative AI Safety Development Joint Laboratory aims to support compliance and safety standards, thereby reducing compliance costs for enterprises [5][6] Enterprise Dynamics - The registration process serves as both a compliance entry ticket and a market trust certificate, indicating that companies can convert technological advantages into compliant products [7][8] - The AI industry in Guangdong has surpassed 220 billion yuan in scale, with over 1,500 core enterprises and 147 national-level specialized "little giant" companies, the highest in the country [7] Industry Landscape - The 105 registered models reflect a balanced structure of general and vertical models, with 54 industry-specific models and 51 general models covering various fields such as government, education, transportation, and agriculture [8][9] - The AI models are increasingly integrated into the real economy, with applications in education, smart home devices, and industrial sectors, showcasing the inclusive value of AI technology [9][10] Future Outlook - The joint laboratory plans to establish local service stations in cities like Hong Kong, Macau, Guangzhou, and others to provide policy consultation and technical evaluation services, enhancing regional collaboration in AI development [10][11] - The registration of 105 models marks a significant milestone in Guangdong's AI industry, indicating a shift towards a more controlled, active, and efficient AI ecosystem [11]