深信服科技股份有限公司 关于信服转债预计触发赎回条件 的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 自 2026 年 1 月 12 日至 2026 年 1 月 28 日，深信服科技股份有限公司（以下 简称"公司"）股票已有 10 个交易日的收盘价格不低于"信服转债"当期转股 价格 110.93 元/股的 130%（即 144.21 元/股）。根据《深信服科技股份有限公司 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"） 的有条件赎回条款，在本次发行的可转换公司债券（以下简称"可转债"或"信 服转债"）转股期内，如果公司股票在任意连续三十个交易日中至少十五个交易 日的收盘价格不低于当期转股价格的 130%（含 130%），公司有权决定按照债 券面值加当期应计利息的价格赎回全部或部分未转股的可转债。 敬请广大投资者详细了解可转债相关规定，并及时关注公司后续公告，注意 投资风险。 | 证券代码：300454 | 证券简称：深信服 | 公告编号：2026-005 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - AWS and Google have initiated a price increase in cloud services, which is expected to be followed by domestic cloud vendors. This price adjustment reflects strong downstream demand for computing power due to rising costs of CPUs and storage, as well as increased computational needs from complex task execution by AI agents [4][7] - The open-source project Clawdbot has gained significant attention in the tech community, indicating a growing demand for general AI agents that can operate continuously and handle complex tasks, thereby increasing the need for computing power [5][7] - Domestic model vendors are actively developing general-purpose AI agents, which is anticipated to lead to breakthroughs in productivity tools and daily life assistance [6][7] Summary by Sections Cloud Pricing Trends - AWS has raised its EC2 machine learning capacity block prices by approximately 15%, with specific instance costs increasing from $34.61 to $39.80 per hour [4] - Google Cloud will adjust its data transmission prices starting May 1, 2026, with North America seeing a price increase from $0.04 to $0.08 per GB [4] AI Agent Development - Clawdbot, created by PSPDFKit founder Peter Steinberger, has received over 65,800 stars on GitHub since its launch in late 2025, showcasing its compatibility with multiple operating systems and productivity tools [5] - Kimi has released the K2.5 model, enhancing its agent capabilities for everyday office software, while Alibaba's Qianwen app has integrated various services to function as an AI shopping assistant [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the AI infrastructure supply chain, with key recommendations including companies like Deepin Technology, Parallel Technology, Qingyun Technology, and others that are expected to benefit from the rising demand for computing power [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by over 5% compared to the benchmark index in the next 3-6 months [19]. Core Insights - The launch of Clawdbot, an AI assistant capable of taking over devices and performing tasks autonomously, has generated significant market interest, achieving over 50,000 stars on GitHub within days of its release [2][4]. - The report highlights the importance of low-latency and secure infrastructure support for AI agents like Clawdbot, which is expected to benefit companies involved in cloud computing, AI data centers, computing power services, and content delivery networks [8]. Industry Overview - The computer industry consists of 337 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 64,957.50 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 58,620.09 billion [5]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months has been 13.7%, 22.6%, and 42.4% respectively, while the relative performance has been 10.3%, 7.0%, and 19.2% [6]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests focusing on companies that provide secure and low-latency infrastructure, including: 1. Cloud computing: Alibaba, NET, Deepin Technology, Kingsoft Cloud, New Idea Network Group, Yuke Data 2. AI Data Centers: Runze Technology, Baoxin Software, Data Port, Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, Yunsai Zhili 3. Computing Power Services: Kexin Data, Hongjing Technology, Dawi Technology, Youfang Technology, Litong Electronics, Zhiwei Intelligent 4. CDN: Wangsu Technology 5. Chips: Haiguang Information, Cambricon, Muxi Co., Tian Shuzhixin, Moer Thread, Longxin Zhongke 6. Large Models: Minimax, Zhipu, iFlytek [8].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry and Company Involved - The discussion revolves around the technology sector, specifically focusing on companies like **深信服 (Sangfor)** and **云天励飞 (Yuntianlifeng)**, which are involved in sandbox/virtual machine solutions and edge computing capabilities [1][2]. Core Points and Arguments - **Clawdbot Popularity**: The surge in interest for Clawdbot has led to increased purchases of devices like the Apple Mini, which serve as edge servers to protect main computers from potential risks associated with Clawdbot's unclear permissions [1]. - **Sandbox and Virtual Machine Solutions**: The recommendation emphasizes the importance of sandbox/virtual machine technologies, with **深信服** being highlighted as a key player in this space. The sandbox mode can mitigate risks by executing operations within a Docker container [1]. - **Market Valuation Projections**: The target market valuation for 2026 is projected at **1200 billion**, derived from a combination of stable security business profits and cloud revenue, calculated as follows: - 9 billion stable security business profits at a **30x PE** - 45 billion cloud revenue at a **20x PS** [2]. - **Edge Computing Capabilities**: **云天励飞** is recommended for its comprehensive NVR/DVR edge server solutions, featuring self-developed core chips. The previous generation DeepEdge10 chip platform is based on a proprietary NNP400 architecture, showcasing full domestic production from design to packaging [2]. - **Future Orders and Revenue**: Anticipated orders for high-performance inference chips are expected to reach **20 billion** by 2027, with a valuation of **400 billion** at a **20x PS**. For 2026, projected revenues are **15 billion**, broken down into: - 6 billion from edge computing - 6.2 billion from consumer markets - 3 billion from traditional industries [3]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Government and Industry Client Growth**: There is optimism regarding continued breakthroughs with government and industry clients, which could enhance revenue streams [3]. - **Market Dynamics**: The recent acceleration of Hong Kong stock listings and the anticipated progress in new high-performance inference chips post-Q2 are noted as potential bonuses for the companies involved [3].

Core Insights - The firewall market in China is expected to grow from $1.17 billion in 2016 to $3.02 billion by 2025, with a projected market size of $3.156 billion in 2026, driven by policy support, market demand growth, and technological advancements [1][7] - The deployment of 5G, private networks, and industrial internet is creating significant opportunities for dedicated firewalls in critical information infrastructure [1][14] - The rise of edge computing is increasing the demand for lightweight firewalls, while customized firewall products for scenarios like IoT and smart cities are emerging [1][14] Firewall Industry Definition and Classification - A firewall is an access control product that creates barriers between internal networks and insecure external networks, preventing unauthorized access and attacks [2][6] - Firewalls can be categorized based on technology (traditional firewalls, UTM firewalls, next-generation firewalls, and AI firewalls) and form (software, hardware, and chip-level firewalls) [4][5] Current State of the Firewall Industry - The firewall industry in China is experiencing steady growth due to increasing market demand and technological advancements [6][7] - The industry value chain includes upstream components (hardware and software), midstream firewall products, and downstream applications across various sectors such as government, finance, telecommunications, and healthcare [6][8] Development History of the Firewall Industry - The evolution of firewalls began in the late 1980s with the introduction of packet-filtering firewalls, leading to more complex solutions to address evolving security threats [9][10] - The introduction of AI firewalls by Huawei in 2018 marked a significant innovation in the industry, providing solutions for advanced threats [9] Competitive Landscape of the Firewall Industry - The firewall market in China is highly concentrated, with Huawei and H3C leading the market with shares of 28% and 22% respectively, followed by other companies like Tianrongxin and Deepin Technology [10][11] - The competitive tiers include a first tier of leading companies, a second tier of mid-sized firms, and a third tier of smaller companies [10] Key Companies in the Firewall Industry - Tianrongxin, established in 1995, has maintained the largest market share in firewalls for 25 years, with a focus on diverse security products and services [11][12] - Deepin Technology specializes in enterprise-level network security and has a significant presence in the market, with a notable share in the unified threat management category [12][13] Future Trends in the Firewall Industry - The firewall market is expected to mature as the overall information security market stabilizes and grows, with increasing awareness and demand for security solutions [13][14] - UTM solutions are anticipated to replace traditional firewalls, leading to significant changes in market dynamics and opportunities for leading UTM vendors [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a rise in Tencent Cloud-related stocks following Tencent's announcement of a cash activity worth 1 billion yuan for the upcoming Spring Festival, aiming to replicate the success of the WeChat red envelope initiative [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ruijie Networks (301165) increased by 12.41%, with a total market capitalization of 68.4 billion yuan and a year-to-date decline of 3.18% [2] - Century Hengtong (301428) rose by 6.97%, with a market cap of 3.892 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 17.62% [2] - Hongjing Technology (301396) saw a rise of 5.82%, with a market cap of 12.8 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 25.64% [2] - Kehua Data (002335) increased by 3.30%, with a market cap of 33.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 15.63% [2] - Deepin Technology (300454) rose by 3.10%, with a market cap of 72.5 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 49.73% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of certain Tencent Cloud concept stocks in the A-share market, driven by Tencent's announcement of a cash activity related to AI applications during its annual meeting [1] Group 2 - Stock performance details indicate that Ruijie Network saw a rise of 12.41%, with a total market value of 68.4 billion, and a year-to-date decline of 3.18% [2] - Century Hengtong increased by 6.97%, with a market capitalization of 3.892 billion, and a year-to-date increase of 17.62% [2] - Hongjing Technology rose by 5.82%, with a market value of 12.8 billion, and a year-to-date increase of 25.64% [2] - Keda Data and Deepin Technology both experienced increases of 3.30% and 3.10%, with market values of 33.1 billion and 72.5 billion respectively, and year-to-date increases of 15.63% and 49.73% [2] - Other stocks such as Donghua Software, Yunsai Zhili, Zhe Shu Culture, and Fanwei Network also showed positive performance, with varying increases and market capitalizations [2]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the industry, highlighting a "golden window period" for the short drama sector, with expectations for significant growth in the coming years [2][11]. Core Insights - The short drama industry has reached a scale of nearly 1 trillion yuan, surpassing both the film and long video sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 50% from 2023 to 2026 [11]. - The market for animated dramas is expected to exceed 22 billion yuan by 2026, contributing 50% of the incremental growth in the short drama industry [11]. - ByteDance is positioned as the absolute leader in the animated drama sector, leveraging its "traffic + IP + AI" integrated strategy to dominate the market [2][17]. - The application of AI technology is transforming the production paradigm of animated dramas, reducing production cycles from over 50 days to under 30 days and significantly lowering costs [3][21]. Summary by Sections Section 1: The Golden Window for Short Dramas - The short drama market has surpassed 1 trillion yuan, with user engagement increasing, and the average daily viewing time expected to exceed 100 minutes by 2025 [11]. - The market has entered a phase of rapid growth and commercialization, with significant increases in both supply and demand for animated dramas [11][12]. Section 2: AI Reshaping Production Paradigms - AI technologies are enabling a shift from manual production to industrialized generation, with production costs dropping to the thousand-yuan level [3][21]. - The integration of AI in production processes is expected to streamline workflows, reducing the number of steps from 11 to 5 and cutting costs by 60% [3][24]. Section 3: Trends in AI Applications - The report anticipates a significant uptick in AI applications by 2026, driven by the need for software to leverage substantial computational investments [4][31]. - Companies are increasingly integrating AI into their business models, with some reporting that AI-related revenues account for over 10% of total income [4][31]. Section 4: Related Investment Targets - Key investment targets include companies such as DeCai Co., Zhaochi Co., and Wanxing Technology, among others, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the animated drama and AI sectors [5][40].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the computer industry [5][13]. Core Insights - As of Q4 2025, institutional holdings in the computer sector have decreased to 2.1%, down 1.1 percentage points from Q3, marking a historical low. This level is only slightly above the 2.0% recorded in Q2 2022. There is significant potential for increase as the current holdings are far below the highs of over 6% seen in 2020 and 2023, and well below the 12% level in 2015 [3][5][7]. - The report highlights that institutions are increasing their positions in sub-sectors such as AI applications and commercial aerospace, while still heavily invested in large models, intelligent computing, and domestic innovation [5][7]. - The top ten companies by number of institutional holders in Q4 2025 include Kingsoft Office, Southern Power Digital, iFlytek, Inspur Information, and others. In terms of market value, Kingsoft Office leads with 139 billion, followed by iFlytek with 108 billion [7][8]. Summary by Sections - **Institutional Holdings Analysis**: The report details that institutional holdings in the computer industry have fluctuated significantly over the past five years, with a notable rise to 6.2% in late 2022, followed by a decline to 2.1% in Q4 2024. The report emphasizes the potential for recovery given the historical context [5][6][7]. - **Sector Performance**: The report indicates that the computer sector is currently underweight, with a significant gap from previous highs, suggesting a favorable environment for future investment [5][6]. - **Key Companies**: The report lists the top ten companies by institutional holdings, noting changes in the composition of these holdings compared to Q3 2025, with new entries and exits among the top firms [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the computer industry, suggesting that it has fundamental support for investment and potential for future growth [1][2]. Core Insights - The computer sector is expected to experience a rebound in performance due to the recovery of the macro economy and advancements in AI technology, which are anticipated to enhance profitability [1][10]. - The report highlights a significant increase in demand for CPUs, driven by the rise of AI applications and the need for high-performance computing [16][19]. - The introduction of sandbox environments for AI agents is seen as a critical development, enhancing system security and performance in high-concurrency scenarios [22][29]. Summary by Sections Investment Allocation - In Q4 2025, the public fund allocation for the computer industry was 1.6%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking it 14th among 30 sectors [2][3]. - The top ten holdings in the computer sector included Inspur Information, Kingsoft Office, and Sangfor Technologies, with notable changes in the composition of these holdings [4][5]. Valuation Metrics - As of January 23, 2026, the PE (TTM) for the computer industry was 94.6x, placing it in the 94.80th percentile historically, while the PS (TTM) was 4.0x, in the 71.40th percentile [10][11]. - The report suggests that despite high PE levels, there is still room for growth in PS and PCF valuations as the market sentiment improves [10][11]. CPU Price Expectations - Intel and AMD are expected to raise server CPU prices by 10% to 15% in Q1 2026 due to supply constraints and increased demand from AI applications [16][21]. - The report emphasizes the growing importance of CPUs in AI workloads, particularly in managing complex tasks and ensuring system stability [19][40]. Key Investment Themes - The report identifies several key investment themes, including leadership in the digital economy, AIGC applications, and the importance of data elements and new industrialization [41][42]. - Specific companies recommended for investment include Inspur Information, Kingsoft Office, and various firms involved in AI and data solutions [41][42].