内容概要：防火墙是一种访问控制产品，它在内部网络与不安全的外部网络之间设置障碍，阻止外界对 内部资源的非法访问和内部对外部的不安全访问，能有效防止对内部网络的攻击。它是一个对数据包进 行甄别和判断的检测设备，是IT设施的门和锁，是网络安全的最大单品。近年来，在政策支持下，伴随 着市场需求增长、技术进步等多重因素，我国防火墙市场稳步发展。据统计，2025年，我国防火墙市场 规模从2016年的11.7亿美元增长至30.2亿美元，预计2026年防火墙市场规模有望达到31.56亿美元。随着 5G、专网和工业互联网的规模化部署，6G专网开始布局从实验室向实际场景应用过渡，使得关键信息 基础设施领域的专用防火墙形成广阔增量空间。此外，边缘计算兴起使轻量级防火墙需求增加，车联 网、智慧城市等场景的定制化防火墙产品也将不断涌现，进一步拓宽市场边界。 上市企业：深信服(300454.SZ)、天融信(002212.SZ)、山石网科(688030.SH)、迪普科技(300768.SZ)、锐 捷网络(301165.SZ)、启明星辰(002439.SZ)、奇安信(688561.SH)、绿盟科技(300369.SZ) 相关企业：龙芯中科 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a rise in Tencent Cloud-related stocks following Tencent's announcement of a cash activity worth 1 billion yuan for the upcoming Spring Festival, aiming to replicate the success of the WeChat red envelope initiative [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ruijie Networks (301165) increased by 12.41%, with a total market capitalization of 68.4 billion yuan and a year-to-date decline of 3.18% [2] - Century Hengtong (301428) rose by 6.97%, with a market cap of 3.892 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 17.62% [2] - Hongjing Technology (301396) saw a rise of 5.82%, with a market cap of 12.8 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 25.64% [2] - Kehua Data (002335) increased by 3.30%, with a market cap of 33.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 15.63% [2] - Deepin Technology (300454) rose by 3.10%, with a market cap of 72.5 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 49.73% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of certain Tencent Cloud concept stocks in the A-share market, driven by Tencent's announcement of a cash activity related to AI applications during its annual meeting [1] Group 2 - Stock performance details indicate that Ruijie Network saw a rise of 12.41%, with a total market value of 68.4 billion, and a year-to-date decline of 3.18% [2] - Century Hengtong increased by 6.97%, with a market capitalization of 3.892 billion, and a year-to-date increase of 17.62% [2] - Hongjing Technology rose by 5.82%, with a market value of 12.8 billion, and a year-to-date increase of 25.64% [2] - Keda Data and Deepin Technology both experienced increases of 3.30% and 3.10%, with market values of 33.1 billion and 72.5 billion respectively, and year-to-date increases of 15.63% and 49.73% [2] - Other stocks such as Donghua Software, Yunsai Zhili, Zhe Shu Culture, and Fanwei Network also showed positive performance, with varying increases and market capitalizations [2]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the industry, highlighting a "golden window period" for the short drama sector, with expectations for significant growth in the coming years [2][11]. Core Insights - The short drama industry has reached a scale of nearly 1 trillion yuan, surpassing both the film and long video sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 50% from 2023 to 2026 [11]. - The market for animated dramas is expected to exceed 22 billion yuan by 2026, contributing 50% of the incremental growth in the short drama industry [11]. - ByteDance is positioned as the absolute leader in the animated drama sector, leveraging its "traffic + IP + AI" integrated strategy to dominate the market [2][17]. - The application of AI technology is transforming the production paradigm of animated dramas, reducing production cycles from over 50 days to under 30 days and significantly lowering costs [3][21]. Summary by Sections Section 1: The Golden Window for Short Dramas - The short drama market has surpassed 1 trillion yuan, with user engagement increasing, and the average daily viewing time expected to exceed 100 minutes by 2025 [11]. - The market has entered a phase of rapid growth and commercialization, with significant increases in both supply and demand for animated dramas [11][12]. Section 2: AI Reshaping Production Paradigms - AI technologies are enabling a shift from manual production to industrialized generation, with production costs dropping to the thousand-yuan level [3][21]. - The integration of AI in production processes is expected to streamline workflows, reducing the number of steps from 11 to 5 and cutting costs by 60% [3][24]. Section 3: Trends in AI Applications - The report anticipates a significant uptick in AI applications by 2026, driven by the need for software to leverage substantial computational investments [4][31]. - Companies are increasingly integrating AI into their business models, with some reporting that AI-related revenues account for over 10% of total income [4][31]. Section 4: Related Investment Targets - Key investment targets include companies such as DeCai Co., Zhaochi Co., and Wanxing Technology, among others, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the animated drama and AI sectors [5][40].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the computer industry [5][13]. Core Insights - As of Q4 2025, institutional holdings in the computer sector have decreased to 2.1%, down 1.1 percentage points from Q3, marking a historical low. This level is only slightly above the 2.0% recorded in Q2 2022. There is significant potential for increase as the current holdings are far below the highs of over 6% seen in 2020 and 2023, and well below the 12% level in 2015 [3][5][7]. - The report highlights that institutions are increasing their positions in sub-sectors such as AI applications and commercial aerospace, while still heavily invested in large models, intelligent computing, and domestic innovation [5][7]. - The top ten companies by number of institutional holders in Q4 2025 include Kingsoft Office, Southern Power Digital, iFlytek, Inspur Information, and others. In terms of market value, Kingsoft Office leads with 139 billion, followed by iFlytek with 108 billion [7][8]. Summary by Sections - **Institutional Holdings Analysis**: The report details that institutional holdings in the computer industry have fluctuated significantly over the past five years, with a notable rise to 6.2% in late 2022, followed by a decline to 2.1% in Q4 2024. The report emphasizes the potential for recovery given the historical context [5][6][7]. - **Sector Performance**: The report indicates that the computer sector is currently underweight, with a significant gap from previous highs, suggesting a favorable environment for future investment [5][6]. - **Key Companies**: The report lists the top ten companies by institutional holdings, noting changes in the composition of these holdings compared to Q3 2025, with new entries and exits among the top firms [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the computer industry, suggesting that it has fundamental support for investment and potential for future growth [1][2]. Core Insights - The computer sector is expected to experience a rebound in performance due to the recovery of the macro economy and advancements in AI technology, which are anticipated to enhance profitability [1][10]. - The report highlights a significant increase in demand for CPUs, driven by the rise of AI applications and the need for high-performance computing [16][19]. - The introduction of sandbox environments for AI agents is seen as a critical development, enhancing system security and performance in high-concurrency scenarios [22][29]. Summary by Sections Investment Allocation - In Q4 2025, the public fund allocation for the computer industry was 1.6%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking it 14th among 30 sectors [2][3]. - The top ten holdings in the computer sector included Inspur Information, Kingsoft Office, and Sangfor Technologies, with notable changes in the composition of these holdings [4][5]. Valuation Metrics - As of January 23, 2026, the PE (TTM) for the computer industry was 94.6x, placing it in the 94.80th percentile historically, while the PS (TTM) was 4.0x, in the 71.40th percentile [10][11]. - The report suggests that despite high PE levels, there is still room for growth in PS and PCF valuations as the market sentiment improves [10][11]. CPU Price Expectations - Intel and AMD are expected to raise server CPU prices by 10% to 15% in Q1 2026 due to supply constraints and increased demand from AI applications [16][21]. - The report emphasizes the growing importance of CPUs in AI workloads, particularly in managing complex tasks and ensuring system stability [19][40]. Key Investment Themes - The report identifies several key investment themes, including leadership in the digital economy, AIGC applications, and the importance of data elements and new industrialization [41][42]. - Specific companies recommended for investment include Inspur Information, Kingsoft Office, and various firms involved in AI and data solutions [41][42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The demand for Tokens is driving inflation across the AI industry chain, with price increases being observed from storage to CPUs and now extending to cloud services, marking a significant shift in the pricing dynamics of the cloud computing sector [14][30] - AWS has initiated a price increase for its EC2 machine learning capacity blocks by approximately 15%, breaking a long-standing trend of declining prices in the cloud services industry, which may lead to a revaluation of cloud computing and related service providers [14] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in cloud computing, CPUs, and databases, suggesting companies such as Alibaba, Kingsoft Cloud, and Inspur for cloud computing; Haiguang Information and Longxin for CPUs; and companies like StarRing Technology and DM Database for databases [30] Summary by Sections 1. Cloud Computing Price Trends - The report indicates that the AI industry chain is experiencing a price transmission trend, with cloud computing being the next area to see price increases following storage and CPU price hikes [14] - AWS's price adjustment reflects anticipated supply-demand dynamics, suggesting that successful price increases could lead to further adjustments in the future [14] 2. CPU Market Dynamics - The report notes a persistent supply-demand imbalance in the CPU market, particularly with Intel facing production limitations that may lead to continued shortages into 2026 [16] - The importance of CPUs is expected to rise significantly due to the increasing demand from AI applications, with the report emphasizing the need for optimization across both CPU and GPU resources [24][25] 3. Database Sector Growth - The report anticipates a rapid increase in the number of database PCU nodes driven by the demand for AI agents, which could lead to significant revenue growth for database providers [26] - The emergence of AI-native databases is highlighted as a key trend, with companies like Alibaba's PolarDB gaining traction in the market [29] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the cloud computing sector such as Alibaba, Kingsoft Cloud, and UCloud, as well as CPU manufacturers like Haiguang Information and Longxin, and database firms like StarRing Technology and DM Database [30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for the sector [2]. Core Insights - The computer sector is supported by strong fundamentals, with expectations of increased allocations to high-performing stocks. The sector's public fund allocation is currently at 1.6%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous quarter, marking a low point since 2010 [2][3]. - Valuation metrics such as PE, PS, and PCF suggest that there is still room for growth in the computer sector, despite high current levels. The PE (TTM) is at 94.6x, in the 94.80% historical percentile, while PS (TTM) is at 4.0x and PCF (TTM) is at 51.6x, indicating a divergence that could be resolved as market sentiment improves [2][11]. - Anticipated price increases for server CPUs due to supply constraints and rising demand driven by AI applications are highlighted. Major players like Intel and AMD may raise CPU prices by 10% to 15% in Q1 2026 [2][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of sandbox environments for agents, which enhance system performance and security by isolating tasks, thus improving user experience in high-concurrency scenarios [24][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Fund Holdings Analysis - The computer sector's public fund allocation decreased to 1.6% in Q4 2025, ranking 14th among 30 sectors, reflecting a decline in investor confidence [3][4]. - The top ten holdings in the computer sector include Inspur Information, Kingsoft Office, and Sangfor Technologies, with notable changes in positions among these stocks [5][6]. 2. Valuation Metrics - The report notes that the current PE (TTM) of 94.6x exceeds previous peaks in 2020 and 2023, indicating market optimism about future earnings potential [11][12]. - The divergence between PE and PS/PCF suggests that as the macroeconomic environment stabilizes, the sector's valuations may realign, leading to potential market cap growth [11][12]. 3. CPU Price Expectations - The report anticipates a supply-demand mismatch for CPUs, with significant price increases expected due to locked-in capacities and rising AI-driven demand [18][23]. - The role of CPUs is evolving, with increased responsibilities in managing complex workflows driven by AI agents, necessitating higher performance specifications [21][42]. 4. Sandbox Technology - The report discusses the growing importance of sandbox environments for AI agents, which enhance performance and security by isolating tasks and managing resources effectively [24][32]. - The sandbox model is seen as crucial for handling high concurrency and ensuring system stability, particularly in AI applications [32][40]. 5. Key Investment Themes - The report identifies several key investment themes, including digital economy leadership, AIGC applications, and new industrialization, with specific companies highlighted for each theme [45].

转自：前瞻产业研究院 以下数据及分析来自于前瞻产业研究院防火墙研究小组发布的《中国防火墙行业市场前瞻与投资战略规 划分析报告》。 行业主要公司：深信服(300454.SZ);天融信(002212.SZ);山石网科(688030.SH);迪普科技(300768.SZ);锐捷 网络(301165.SZ);启明星辰(002439.SZ);奇安信(688561.SH);绿盟科技(300369.SZ)等 本文核心数据：防火墙行业上市公司汇总;业务布局;业绩对比;业务规划。 1、防火墙行业上市公司汇总 防火墙是网络安全体系的核心基石，是政企及个人网络安全的"第一道防线"。目前，我国防火墙行业上 市公司主要分布在产业链上游。位于产业链上游的上市公司为龙芯中科(688047.SH)、中科曙光 (603019.SH)等;位于产业链中游防火墙产品的上市企业是深信服(300454.SZ)、天融信(002212.SZ)、山石 网科(688030.SH)、迪普科技(300768.SZ)、锐捷网络(301165.SZ)、启明星辰(002439.SZ)、奇安信 (688561.SH)、绿盟科技(300369.SZ)。 | 产业链环节 | ...

高位股方面，实控人变更的锋龙股份17连板、嘉美包装25天17板、江化微4连板，商业航天概念股银河电子14天8板、巨力索具11天6板、九鼎新材（维权）7 天4板。 | 市场 | न्दिस्ते | 名称 | 录日涨幅 | 当日价格 | 换手率 | 全额 | 净买人 。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A | 603256 | 宏和科技 图 | +9.99% | 47.43 | 5.27% | 21.29亿 | 4.10亿 | | 点 | 600759 | 洲际油气 8日 | +10.10% | 4.25 | 10.67% | 18.45 Z | 3.28 Z | | 深 | 002938 | 鵬鼎控股 | +10.00% | 59.95 | 2.39% | 31.72亿 | 3.25亿 | | 深 | 002639 | 雪人集团 | +9.99% | 22.79 | 22.33% | 31.83亿 | 3.16 Z | | 乐 | 601212 | 白银有色 | +10.04% | 9.43 | 8.33% | 55.551Z | 2 ...