证券研究报告 孩子王 (301078 CH) 丝域实业 100%股权的转让价格为 16.5 亿元，分为 6.6、9.9 亿元两笔支付， 其中，孩子王拟将原用于"门店升级改造项目"的 4.29 亿元可转债募集资 金用于此次收购，并由江苏星丝域向金融机构贷款以支付第二笔款项。丝域 实业原创始人陈英燕、王德友积极参与此次并购，我们认为有助于强化产业 协同和资源整合，也展示了其对于丝域实业未来发展的信心。收购后，孩子 王及丝域实业将在会员运营、场景布局、渠道共享、产业协同等方面发挥协 同效应，强化公司在本地生活和新家庭服务领域的领先优势，推动公司向中 国新家庭全渠道服务商加速迈进。 盈利预测与估值 此次交易已经过公司董事会审议通过，考虑到还需通过公司股东会审议，故 我们暂时维持盈利预测不变，预计 2025-2027 年归母净利润 3.37/4.75/6.88 亿元。参考可比公司 2026 年 iFind 一致预期 PE 均值 36 倍，考虑到公司围 绕新家庭零售场景不断强化产业链竞争优势，且积极发展 AI 业务、提升数 智化能力，维持目标价 19 元，对应公司 2026 年 50 倍目标 PE。 | 华泰研究 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expanding its industrial ecosystem through strategic acquisitions, enhancing its service offerings for new families [4] - The hair health market in China shows significant growth potential, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.7% from 2020 to 2023 [2] - The company aims to transform its traditional hair care services into a technology-driven model, focusing on product innovation and digital operations [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is acquiring a 65% stake in Star Silk Investment and plans to purchase 100% of Silk Industry for 1.65 billion yuan, making them subsidiaries [1] - Silk Industry, established in 2014, is a leader in the hair care segment, with projected revenue of 723 million yuan and a net profit of 181 million yuan in 2024 [2] Market Potential - The hair care market in China has grown from 43.23 billion yuan in 2020 to 57.09 billion yuan in 2023, indicating a robust market opportunity [2] - The company is launching a "Technology Hair Care 3.0" strategy to enhance its service offerings [2] Product and Channel Strategy - Silk Industry has over 160 professional hair care products and holds 48 patents, including 7 invention patents [3] - The company operates 2,503 stores, including 176 direct-operated and 2,327 franchised stores, with over 2 million members [3] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 10.7 billion yuan, 12.7 billion yuan, and 14.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 295 million yuan, 414 million yuan, and 536 million yuan [9][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.23 yuan, 0.33 yuan, and 0.43 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9][10]

Group 1 - US stock market saw collective gains last Friday, with Dow Jones up 1.05%, Nasdaq up 1.2%, and S&P 500 up 1.03% [1] - Tesla closed up 3.82%, Google A up 3.25%, Amazon up 2.72%, and other major tech companies like Meta Platforms, Apple, and Nvidia also saw increases [1] - Circle, the first stablecoin stock, surged 29.4% on its second day of trading [2] Group 2 - The US government has suspended licenses for nuclear equipment suppliers to sell products to Chinese power plants [3] - The US State Department has instructed consulates to resume processing international student visas for Harvard University [4] Group 3 - Meta is reportedly in talks with AI startup Scale AI for a potential investment exceeding $10 billion [6] - Boeing has restarted aircraft deliveries to China [7] Group 4 - The Chinese government is reviewing export license applications for rare earth materials, with increasing demand from industries like robotics and electric vehicles [12] - Following the implementation of export controls on rare earths, prices have surged, and the domestic and international price gap is expected to narrow as export licenses are gradually issued [13] Group 5 - The AI sector is experiencing significant advancements, with domestic AI models expected to see rapid development and increased demand, leading to a surge in capital expenditures from cloud giants [15]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Kidswant, is making a significant acquisition by purchasing 100% of Zhuhai Siyi Industrial Development Co., Ltd. for 1.65 billion yuan, entering the hair care sector with a high premium acquisition that lacks performance commitments [1][2][8]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Kidswant plans to acquire Siyi Industrial through a two-step process, starting with acquiring 65% of Jiangsu Xingsiyu Investment Management Co., Ltd. from a related party [3][4]. - The total transaction price for the acquisition is 1.65 billion yuan, with a premium exceeding 50 times the net asset value of Siyi Industrial [2][7]. - The funding for the acquisition includes 429 million yuan from Kidswant's previous fundraising, while the remaining amount will be financed through loans [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Kidswant's net profit has been declining since its IPO, with a drop of 48.44%, 39.44%, and 13.92% from 2021 to 2023, despite a projected increase in 2024 [10][11]. - The company's revenue has remained stagnant around 9 billion yuan since 2021, with a slight increase in net profit in the first quarter of 2024 [12]. - The acquisition of Siyi Industrial is seen as a strategic move to enhance Kidswant's market position, despite the lack of performance guarantees [6][8]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - Kidswant is recognized as a leading player in the maternal and infant industry, focusing on retail and value-added services [2][9]. - The company has made several acquisitions to expand its market presence, including a previous acquisition of 65% of Lejoy International for 1.04 billion yuan [9][10]. - The acquisition of Siyi Industrial is expected to create synergies in membership, channel, and operational aspects, enhancing the company's innovative attributes [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 65% stake in Siyi, which will create synergies with its existing business [6]. - The acquisition price is set at 1.65 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 9 times for 2024 [6]. - The hair care industry shows significant growth potential, with the market size expected to reach 81.25 billion yuan by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 7.3% from 2023 to 2028 [6]. - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's profitability, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 400 million, 600 million, and 796 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 122%, 50%, and 32% [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 9,337 million yuan in 2024, 11,608 million yuan in 2025, 12,614 million yuan in 2026, and 13,989 million yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 6.7%, 24.3%, 8.7%, and 10.9% [5]. - The company's net profit is forecasted to be 181 million yuan in 2024, 402 million yuan in 2025, 602 million yuan in 2026, and 796 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 72.4%, 121.8%, 49.8%, and 32.1% [5]. - The company's ROE is expected to improve from 4.6% in 2024 to 14.4% in 2027 [5].

Suspension and Resumption of Trading - Zhongying Electronics and Honghui Fruits and Vegetables are both undergoing control change plans by their controlling shareholders, leading to stock suspension [1] - *ST Kaiyuan has lifted its delisting risk warning but continues to implement other risk warnings, resulting in a one-day suspension [1] - Honghe Technology is in discussions regarding control change matters and will continue to be suspended [1] Mergers and Acquisitions - Kidswant plans to acquire 100% equity of Siyu Industry for 1.65 billion yuan, focusing on the personal care industry [2] - Zhejiang Lino intends to acquire 100% equity of Xuzhou Chemical Machinery for 260 million yuan [2] - Sanjia Technology plans to acquire 51% equity of Zhonghe Semiconductor for 121 million yuan [2] - Chuangye Heima intends to purchase 100% equity of Banxintong for 280 million yuan [3] - Hainan Airport's subsidiary plans to transfer 100% equity of Tianyu Flight Training for 799 million yuan [4] - Dongmu Co. plans to acquire 34.75% equity of Shanghai Fuchi for 735 million yuan and will conduct a private placement to raise funds [4] Share Buybacks - Longbai Group plans to repurchase shares worth between 500 million and 1 billion yuan [5] Investment Cooperation and Operational Status - Jiechuang Intelligent plans to procure servers for intelligent cloud services, with a budget not exceeding 600 million yuan [6] - Vanke A is set to receive a loan of up to 3 billion yuan from Shenzhen Metro Group [6] - Yunda Co. plans to invest 982 million yuan in the construction of a new energy project in Yiw County [6] - Aotega plans to invest 500 million yuan to establish Aotega Investment Co. [6] - Xinda Securities and Dongxing Securities are both undergoing changes in actual control to Huijin Company [6] Sales Performance - Tangrenshen reported a 47.69% year-on-year increase in pig sales for May [7] - Yisheng Co. experienced an 11.35% year-on-year growth in chick sales for May [8] Project Investments - Morning Chemical's subsidiary plans to invest 120 million yuan in the expansion project for an annual production of 35,000 tons of alkyl glycosides [9] - HNA Technology intends to sign a cooperation framework agreement with CWT International Limited for strategic cooperation in commodity trade, with a total trade scale not exceeding 1.5 billion yuan for the year [9] Stock Issuance - Stone Technology plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [10] - BlueFocus plans to issue H-shares and list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [10]

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that Kid Wang plans to acquire 65% of the equity in Jiangsu Xingsiyu, aiming to accelerate its goal of becoming the preferred service provider for Chinese parent-child families. The acquisition amount is 1.65 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE of 9 times the net profit for 2024, with no performance guarantees [1] - The hair care industry in China is projected to grow significantly, with market size increasing from 43.2 billion yuan in 2020 to 57.1 billion yuan in 2023, representing a CAGR of 9.7%. It is expected to reach 81.25 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2023 to 2028 [2] - Kid Wang's acquisition strategy is part of a broader three-expansion strategy, which includes previous acquisitions in the maternal and infant sector and beauty industry, indicating a focus on diversifying its service offerings [1][2] Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - Kid Wang announced the acquisition of 65% of Jiangsu Xingsiyu for 1.65 billion yuan, with plans to use 429 million yuan of previously raised funds for store upgrades towards this acquisition [1] - The acquisition is part of a strategy to deepen its presence in the hair care industry, which aligns with its goal of becoming a leading service provider for families [1] Market Overview - The hair care market in China is currently valued at nearly 60 billion yuan, with significant growth potential. The market is expected to continue expanding, driven by increasing consumer demand for hair care products and services [2] - In 2024, Xiyu's revenue is projected to be 723 million yuan, with a net profit of 183 million yuan, indicating a healthy growth trajectory [2] Synergy and Collaboration - The report outlines potential synergies between Kid Wang and Xiyu, including member collaboration, market layout, channel sharing, industrial synergy, and business model expansion [3] - Kid Wang's existing customer base and store network can enhance Xiyu's market reach, while Xiyu's product offerings can complement Kid Wang's service ecosystem [3] Financial Projections - The report anticipates steady growth for Kid Wang's core business, with expected net profits of 350 million yuan and 480 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 53 and 39 times [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company is acquiring a 100% stake in Zhihaishi Siyu Industrial Development Co., Ltd. for a transaction price of 1.65 billion yuan, which will make Siyu Industrial a subsidiary of the company [2] - This acquisition is part of the company's strategy to expand its business boundaries and enhance industrial synergy, following previous acquisitions [3] - The hair care market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.7% from 2020 to 2023, and expected to reach 81.25 billion yuan by 2028 [3] Summary by Sections Acquisition Overview - The company plans to acquire a 65% stake in Jiangsu Xingsiyu Investment Management Co., Ltd. from a related party, which will lead to Jiangsu Xingsiyu becoming a controlling subsidiary [2] - The acquisition of Siyu Industrial is expected to enhance the company's service ecosystem and solidify its position as a preferred service provider for families [3] Synergy Potential - The acquisition is expected to create multiple synergies in membership, market layout, channel sharing, and service products [4] - The company has a large member base, with over 64 million members on its app and over 2 million members for Siyu, allowing for effective cross-marketing [4] - The integration of physical stores and online services is anticipated to improve customer experience and operational efficiency [4] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 12.23 billion yuan, 14.51 billion yuan, and 16.51 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31%, 19%, and 14% [5] - The projected net profits for the same years are 480 million yuan, 670 million yuan, and 780 million yuan, with significant growth rates [5] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 39, 28, and 24 times, respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company is acquiring a 65% stake in Jiangsu Xinsi Yu Investment Management Co., which will become a subsidiary, to enhance industrial synergy and resource integration [2] - The acquisition aligns with the company's strategy to expand its product categories, market segments, and business formats, particularly in the personal care industry [3] - The hair care market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.7% from 2020 to 2023, and expected to reach 81.25 billion yuan by 2028 [3] Summary by Sections Acquisition Overview - The company announced the acquisition of a 100% stake in Zhuhai Siyi Industrial Development Co., with a transaction price of 1.65 billion yuan [2] Strategic Analysis - The acquisition is part of a three-pronged strategy to expand product categories, market segments, and business formats, enhancing the company's position as a preferred service provider for families [3] - The target company, Siyi Industrial, is a leader in the hair care sector, with a unique integrated operation model combining products, services, and channels [3] Synergy Potential - The acquisition is expected to create multiple synergies in membership operations, market layout, channel sharing, and business expansion [4] - The company has a large member base, with over 64 million members on its app, which can be leveraged for cross-marketing with Siyi Industrial's 2 million members [4] - The company operates 500 large stores and is expanding into lower-tier markets, which can enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [4] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 12.23 billion, 14.51 billion, and 16.51 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 480 million, 670 million, and 780 million yuan [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.38, 0.53, and 0.62 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 39, 28, and 24 times respectively [5] Long-term Growth Drivers - Key growth drivers include continuous integration of the supply chain, expansion of joint ventures, and improvements in direct store profitability [5]

Group 1 - The company, Kid King, announced a plan to acquire a 65% stake in Jiangsu Xingsiyu Investment Management Co., Ltd. from its affiliate, Wuxing Holdings, for a total price of 1.65 billion yuan [2][5] - The acquisition aims to enhance synergy in member operations, market layout, channel sharing, industrial collaboration, and business expansion, thereby strengthening the company's leading position in local life and new family services [2][5][11] - After the transaction, Jiangsu Xingsiyu will become a subsidiary of Kid King, with the company indirectly holding a 65% stake in Zhuhai Siyu Industrial Development Co., Ltd. [5][11] Group 2 - Kid King primarily engages in retail and value-added services for maternal and child products, providing a one-stop shopping experience and comprehensive growth services for children aged 0-14 and pregnant women [7] - Zhuhai Siyu focuses on hair and scalp health care, offering a complete solution for hair health, including products for hair washing, scalp cleaning, and styling tools [8] - As of the end of 2024, Zhuhai Siyu had 2,503 stores and over 2 million members, with a revenue of 144 million yuan and a net profit of 26.61 million yuan in Q1 2025 [8][10]