Workflow
Dutch Bros(BROS)
icon
Search documents
Here's Why Dutch Bros (BROS) Gained But Lagged the Market Today
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 23:06
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros is set to release its earnings on May 7, 2025, with expectations of positive growth in both EPS and revenue compared to the previous year [2][3]. Company Performance - Dutch Bros closed at $59.96, reflecting a slight increase of +0.37% from the previous day, but underperformed against the S&P 500, which gained 0.63% [1]. - Over the past month, shares have decreased by 4.64%, contrasting with the Retail-Wholesale sector's minor loss of 0.09% and the S&P 500's loss of 0.7% [1]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for the upcoming earnings report includes an EPS of $0.10, representing an 11.11% increase year-over-year, and quarterly revenue of $343.5 million, up 24.86% from the same period last year [2]. - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $0.62 per share and revenue of $1.58 billion, indicating increases of +26.53% and +23.4% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Estimates - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Dutch Bros are being monitored, as they often indicate changes in near-term business trends [4]. - Positive revisions in estimates are viewed as a sign of optimism regarding the company's business outlook [4]. Valuation Metrics - Dutch Bros is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 96.94, significantly higher than the industry average of 21.12 [7]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 3.03, compared to the average PEG ratio of 2.32 for the Retail - Restaurants industry [7]. Industry Context - The Retail - Restaurants industry, part of the broader Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 201, placing it in the bottom 19% of over 250 industries [8].
Stock-Market Correction: 1 Brilliant Growth Stock Down 28% to Buy on the Dip
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-29 08:28
Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 has entered correction territory, dropping nearly 20%, but growth stocks like Dutch Bros are seen as attractive buying opportunities due to their potential for recovery and growth [1] Company Overview - Dutch Bros operates 982 shops across 18 states and is recognized as a promising growth stock in the market [3] Unique Selling Proposition - The company offers a wide range of customizable drinks, with 87% of its offerings being iced or blended, and over 50% of sales coming from non-coffee categories, differentiating it from traditional coffee chains [4] Growth Potential - Dutch Bros has significant expansion plans, aiming to grow from its current shop count to approximately 3,500 shops in its existing states and potentially 7,000 shops nationwide [5][6] Company Culture - Dutch Bros ranks No. 4 on Forbes' 2024 list of America's Best Employers for New Grads, indicating a strong company culture that attracts talent [8] - The company also achieved the No. 1 customer service ranking from Newsweek in 2025, reflecting its commitment to speed, quality, and service [9] Customer Loyalty - The Dutch Rewards program, launched in 2021, accounts for 71% of transactions, indicating strong customer loyalty [10] - Customers perceive Dutch Bros as offering the best value for money, surpassing competitors like McDonald's [11] Operational Efficiency - The introduction of mobile ordering has ramped up to 99% of company-owned stores, contributing to approximately 10% of sales and enhancing throughput and profitability [12][13] Financial Performance - Dutch Bros reported a 33% revenue increase and an 18% shop count growth in 2024, while maintaining positive free cash flow despite significant capital expenditures [14][16] - The company's price-to-cash flow ratio of 45 is considered reasonable given its growth rates and the potential of its young shops [16][17] Investment Thesis - The combination of shop expansion, strong company culture, customer loyalty, and operational improvements positions Dutch Bros for rapid growth, making it an attractive investment opportunity [18]
Between Dutch Bros and Starbucks, What Is the Best Stock to Buy Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-26 18:14
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros has shown significant growth potential, with shares up 98% over the past year, while Starbucks faces challenges with a 28% decline from its 52-week high [1] Group 1: Dutch Bros Overview - Dutch Bros has recently opened its 1,000th location, aiming for a total of 7,000 stores, up from a previous target of 4,000 [2][4] - The company emphasizes convenience through drive-through locations, a diverse menu for customization, and friendly customer service [2] - Dutch Bros has a strong presence in the western and southern U.S., indicating substantial opportunities for national expansion [3] Group 2: Financial Outlook - If Dutch Bros successfully expands its store count seven-fold, it could lead to significantly higher revenue and net income, making its current price-to-earnings ratio of 174 less relevant [4] - The leadership team at Dutch Bros is optimistic about performance, which is reflected in their ambitious growth targets [4] Group 3: Starbucks Overview - Starbucks reported a 4% decline in same-store sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year declines [5] - Customer dissatisfaction has been attributed to price increases, long wait times, and menu complexity, alongside potential losses due to political or social issues [6] - Despite current challenges, Starbucks maintains a strong brand recognition and scale, with over 17,000 stores in the U.S. and nearly 41,000 worldwide, providing cost advantages [7] Group 4: Future Projections - Consensus analyst estimates predict a 24% increase in earnings per share for Starbucks in fiscal 2026, followed by a 19% increase the next year, suggesting potential recovery [8] - The leadership team at Starbucks is focused on improving customer experience and employee support to facilitate a turnaround [11] Group 5: Investment Considerations - Dutch Bros stock presents a higher upside potential over the next decade, contingent on successful execution of its growth strategy [9] - However, Starbucks is viewed as the better stock to buy currently due to its competitive strengths and ongoing efforts to improve performance in a competitive market [10]
Dutch Bros Stock Sell-Off: Should You Buy the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-25 09:45
Company Overview - Dutch Bros has experienced significant stock volatility, with shares rising 224% from a 52-week low to a high, but subsequently falling 32% from that peak due to economic concerns [1][2] - The company has been expanding rapidly, reaching 1,000 locations in February 2023, doubling its store count since September 2021 [2] Growth Potential - The leadership team is optimistic about future growth, increasing the target from 4,000 to 7,000 stores over the next 10 to 15 years, indicating a strong belief in the company's market potential [3] - Same-store sales increased by 6.8% in 2024, reflecting positive trends in customer volume at existing locations [4] - The rewards program is driving 71% of transactions, showcasing customer engagement and loyalty [4] Competitive Landscape - Despite its growth, Dutch Bros faces significant competition, particularly from Starbucks, which has a strong brand presence and cost advantages [7] - At its current scale of 1,000 stores, Dutch Bros is not yet considered to have a competitive moat, but there is potential for developing durable advantages as the company matures [8] Financial Considerations - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 4.7, which is 52% higher than its historical average, indicating that it may be overvalued despite recent sell-offs [10] - There are concerns regarding potential margin pressures due to rising costs from tariffs on key inputs like coffee and paper products [9]
Dutch Bros (BROS) Rises Yet Lags Behind Market: Some Facts Worth Knowing
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 23:00
The latest trading session saw Dutch Bros (BROS) ending at $61.51, denoting a +0.65% adjustment from its last day's close. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily gain of 2.03%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 1.23%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 2.74%.The drive-thru coffee chain operator and franchisor's shares have seen a decrease of 11.14% over the last month, not keeping up with the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 2.36% and the S&P 500's loss of 5.07%.The upcoming earnin ...
3 Great Stocks Warren Buffett Probably Can't Buy, But You Can
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-20 12:30
Group 1: Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway - Warren Buffett faces challenges due to the size of Berkshire Hathaway, which manages over $600 billion in investable assets, limiting its ability to capitalize on smaller stock opportunities [1] - Buffett's portfolio has shifted towards smaller companies with market caps between $15 billion and $50 billion, as he has sold off significant portions of larger stocks [1] Group 2: Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros is a coffee chain designed for the 2020s consumer behavior, focusing on drive-thru service and rapid beverage production [3] - The company's loyalty program, Dutch Rewards, accounted for 71% of sales in Q4, up 5 percentage points year over year, driving repeat purchases and efficient service [4] - Dutch Bros plans to more than double its locations from 982 shops by 2029, with capital expenditures per unit expected to decrease from $1.7 million to $1.25 million [5] - The company aims to expand its menu with food items to increase ticket size while balancing efficiency [6] - Dutch Bros has a market cap of about $7 billion and trades at an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 27, indicating potential for profitable growth [7] Group 3: Roku - Roku is the leading connected-TV operating system in the U.S., with nearly 90 million households streaming over 4 hours per day on its platform [8] - The company's primary revenue source is advertising, leveraging its position to negotiate favorable terms with media companies [9][10] - Roku has significant growth potential in international markets, particularly in Europe and Latin America, where it is establishing its presence [11] - The stock trades at an enterprise value about 19 times analysts' expectations for EBITDA, with a market capitalization of $8.7 billion [12] Group 4: FuboTV - FuboTV is a small virtual multichannel video programming distributor with 1.7 million subscribers, focusing on live sports streaming [13] - A proposed deal with Disney could enhance Fubo's negotiating power and operational results, with Disney taking a 70% controlling stake [14][15] - Even if the Disney deal does not materialize, Fubo will receive $130 million and has shown positive free cash flow [16] - Fubo's market cap is about $1 billion, and its operations are undervalued, trading at just 3 times book value, potentially falling to 2.4 if the Disney deal goes through [17]
3 Reasons Dutch Bros Is the Stock to Watch in 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-12 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros is emerging as a significant growth stock in the food and beverage industry, distinguished by its unique drive-thru model and a loyal customer base, making it a compelling investment opportunity for the long term [1]. Group 1: Proven Operating Model - Dutch Bros has transformed the drive-thru coffee experience by emphasizing speed, efficiency, and customer satisfaction, which allows for serving more customers per hour [2]. - The company is recognized for its customizable drinks, particularly cold and ice-blended beverages, which resonate with younger consumers; in 2024, cold beverages made up 94% of all drinks sold to Generation Z [3]. - The focus on excellent customer service, community engagement through social media, and a loyalty program has resulted in 71% of transactions in Q4 2024 being through the loyalty program, up from 44% in Q1 2021 [4]. - Over the past five years, Dutch Bros has achieved a 42% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in store count and a 50% increase in revenue [5]. Group 2: Strong Store Economics - Dutch Bros stores exhibit strong financial performance due to an efficient cost structure and rapid profitability, contrasting with many restaurant chains facing high overhead costs [6]. - The company anticipates spending $1.25 million on capital expenditures (capex) for each new store, with expected annual sales of $1.8 million in the second year, leading to a return on investment of approximately 43% and a payback period of just over two years [7]. - The smaller size of Dutch Bros stores and fewer employees contribute to lower operating expenses, enabling strong store-level margins early in operations [8]. - Same-store sales growth (SSSG) has been consistent, with stores opened in 2020 and prior achieving 4.6% SSSG in 2024, while newer stores opened in 2023 reached 13.7% SSSG [9]. Group 3: Growth Potential - Dutch Bros has validated its business model and store economics, with plans to scale and expand into new markets and product offerings [10]. - The company currently operates just under 1,000 stores across 18 states and aims to add 3,500 stores, including at least 160 in 2025, potentially quadrupling its store count [11]. - The company is also focusing on expanding its food menu, which currently accounts for less than 2% of revenue, presenting a significant opportunity for increasing same-store sales [12]. - The energy drinks segment, which constitutes around 25% of sales, is expected to grow faster than the coffee industry, positioning Dutch Bros to capitalize on this trend [13]. - Overall, the company anticipates a 20% growth in its top line in the coming years, with new stores growing at a mid-teens rate and SSSG in the low digits [13]. Group 4: Investment Consideration - Dutch Bros is recognized as a promising growth stock due to its proven operating model, solid store economics, and extensive growth potential [14]. - The stock currently has a high price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 179, suggesting that it may be prudent to monitor for a more favorable entry point [14].
Should You Buy Dutch Bros Stock on the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-12 11:03
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros (BROS) is expected to perform relatively well despite rising prices for goods in the U.S. economy [1] Group 1 - The company is positioned to withstand economic pressures from inflation [1] - Stock prices referenced were from the afternoon of April 9, 2025 [1] - The video discussing this information was published on April 11, 2025 [1]
Prediction: These 2 Stocks Will Crush the S&P 500 Over the Next 3 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-11 13:00
Group 1: Take-Two Interactive - The video game industry has surpassed the movie and music industries combined, with Take-Two Interactive being a leading player [2] - The upcoming release of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) is highly anticipated, following the success of Grand Theft Auto V, which sold over 210 million copies since its release in 2013 [3][4] - GTA VI is expected to generate significant earnings, particularly through its enhanced online multiplayer component and in-game purchases [4][5] - Some reports suggest that Take-Two may price GTA VI at around $100, indicating potential pricing power for this landmark release [6] Group 2: Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros has shown strong market performance, up approximately 1% this year while the S&P 500 is down 15% [7] - The company operates nearly 1,000 coffee shops, focusing on speed and customer service, with a unique drive-thru experience [8][9] - In the fourth quarter, Dutch Bros reported a 35% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by new store openings and a 6.9% increase in same-store sales [10] - Management aims to expand to 4,000 stores over the next 10 to 15 years, with plans to open at least 160 stores in 2025 [11] - The company is also launching a new mobile-order program, which is gaining traction and is expected to drive growth [12][13]
Why Dutch Bros Stock Rallied This Week
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-10 22:36
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros shares have increased by 11% this week due to a temporary reprieve from tariffs on coffee commodities, which had been a concern for the company and its investors [1][2]. Company Overview - Dutch Bros is not solely reliant on coffee, generating only half of its sales from coffee-based drinks, which mitigates the impact of rising coffee prices and tariffs [3]. - The company offers a diverse menu that includes boba beverages, lemonades, energy drinks, teas, smoothies, and shakes, indicating a broader product range beyond coffee [4]. Growth Strategy - Dutch Bros plans to expand into five new states in 2025 and is implementing mobile ordering, alongside adding 160 shops to its existing 982 locations this year [5]. - The company achieved positive free cash flow last year, allowing it to self-fund growth initiatives without diluting shareholder value [5]. - Dutch Bros aims to double its store count by 2029, showcasing a strong growth trajectory despite short-term challenges related to coffee prices and tariffs [5].