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Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that Blackstone Inc. (NYSE: BX) has an inflated valuation multiple, leading to a poor risk/reward relationship, prompting a recommendation for passive income investors to sell the stock [1]. Group 1: Company Analysis - Blackstone Inc. is currently viewed as having an inflated valuation, which raises concerns about its investment attractiveness [1]. - The recommendation to sell is specifically aimed at passive income investors, indicating a strategic shift in investment approach [1]. Group 2: Research and Investment Opportunities - The author emphasizes the importance of monitoring high-tech and early growth companies, suggesting a focus on innovation and disruption within the investment landscape [2].

Group 1 - Samuel Smith has extensive experience in dividend stock research and investment, having served as lead analyst and Vice President at various firms [1] - He is a Professional Engineer and Project Management Professional, holding degrees in Civil Engineering & Mathematics and a Master's in Engineering with a focus on applied mathematics and machine learning [1] - Samuel leads the High Yield Investor investing group, collaborating with Jussi Askola and Paul R. Drake to balance safety, growth, yield, and value in investment strategies [2] Group 2 - High Yield Investor provides real-money core, retirement, and international portfolios, along with regular trade alerts and educational content [2] - The service includes an active chat room for investors to share insights and strategies [2]

Market Reaction - Large-cap financial stocks, including American Express, Blackstone, and Ally Financial, experienced significant declines on Monday, with drops of 4.3%, 7.8%, and 5.1% respectively [1] - The broader market downturn was attributed to concerns over President Trump's comments regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell, which were perceived as a threat to the Fed's independence and raised inflation risks [2][6] Trade and Economic Concerns - China issued warnings to countries negotiating trade deals with the U.S., complicating the potential for successful agreements, which are crucial for alleviating economic pressures [3][7] - Ongoing tariff policies pose dual risks of recession and inflation, potentially leading to stagflation [4] Federal Reserve's Position - Fed Chair Jay Powell indicated that the Fed would likely maintain a pause on interest rate cuts due to anticipated inflation from tariffs, which could further weaken the economy [5] - The market reacted negatively to Trump's pressure on the Fed, leading to declines in economically sensitive stocks [6][8] Company-Specific Insights - American Express and Ally Financial could face lower lending activity and increased charge-offs in a recessionary scenario, impacting their performance [9] - Blackstone, while having opportunities to deploy its $177 billion in cash, may struggle with exits from existing investments, affecting its dividend payouts [10][11] Analyst Sentiment - All three companies reported earnings that beat estimates, but the outlook from analysts remains mixed, reflecting high uncertainty due to external economic factors [12][13] - Despite the uncertainty, periods of high volatility may present buying opportunities for long-term investors in high-quality stocks like Blackstone and American Express, which are currently trading at discounted prices [14]

Core Insights - Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) is highlighted as a strong investment in the business development company (BDC) sector, focusing on defensive, first-lien lending strategies [1] - Since its inception, BXSL has generated approximately $17.65 per share, indicating a solid performance in the market [1] Company Overview - BXSL operates as a business development company, providing first-lien loans, which are considered less risky compared to other types of lending [1] - The fund is part of a broader strategy that emphasizes dividend investing as a means to achieve financial freedom [1] Investment Strategy - The article emphasizes the importance of dividend investing, portraying it as an accessible path for individuals seeking to build long-term wealth [1] - The author shares insights from extensive experience in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and business valuation, which informs the investment approach [1]

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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income of $1.2 billion for the quarter, with distributable earnings increasing 11% year-over-year to $1.4 billion or $1.09 per common share [6][7][48] - Fee-related earnings grew 9% year-over-year, reaching $1.3 billion or $1.03 per share, marking one of the best quarters in the company's history [7][47] - Total assets under management (AUM) rose 10% year-over-year to nearly $1.2 trillion, with $199 billion of inflows over the last 12 months [8][47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The private credit business expanded significantly, with $465 billion in assets, up more than 2.5 times in the past four years, and inflows of $113 billion over the last 12 months [25] - The private wealth channel saw AUM grow to over $270 billion, with fundraising in this area increasing by nearly 40% year-over-year to $11 billion in Q1 [19][34] - The infrastructure platform's AUM increased 36% year-over-year to $60 billion, with strong performance in its strategies [39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company raised $62 billion in inflows during Q1, the highest level in three years, reflecting broad-based momentum across various channels [8] - The firm noted that construction starts in U.S. logistics and apartments have fallen to their lowest levels in over a decade, which could support real estate values [15] - The insurance AUM grew 18% year-over-year to $237 billion, indicating strong traction in the insurance channel [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its $177 billion of dry powder to capitalize on investment opportunities arising from market dislocations [13][66] - A strategic alliance with Wellington and Vanguard was announced to enhance access to public-private investment solutions, reflecting the company's commitment to democratizing private markets [20][21] - The firm continues to focus on areas with high conviction, investing $36 billion in Q1, with a commitment of $13 billion to new deals benefiting from long-term secular tailwinds [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current turbulent market, emphasizing the strength and stability of the firm [12][22] - The company highlighted the importance of a fast resolution to tariff uncertainties to mitigate risks and maintain economic growth [11][56] - Management noted that the firm is well-prepared to take advantage of opportunities arising from market volatility, with a focus on long-term value creation [57] Other Important Information - The company reported a significant increase in net realizations, up 22%, contributing to the growth in distributable earnings [48] - The firm emphasized its asset-light model and minimal net debt, which provides flexibility to respond to changing market conditions [13][72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Deployment opportunities with $180 billion of dry powder - Management indicated that periods of dislocation often present attractive deployment opportunities, with a focus on sectors like digital infrastructure and energy [60][66] Question: Characteristics of private market solutions - Management highlighted the resilience of their model during stress periods, allowing them to generate excess returns by leaning into market dislocations [70][72] Question: Outlook for North American institutional channel - Management noted that while there may be a slowdown in decision-making, there is a long-term commitment to private assets among clients [82][85] Question: Expansion of global wealth management business - Management discussed the potential growth in the wealth management sector, particularly through the partnership with Wellington and Vanguard [87][94] Question: Direct first-order tariff impact on the portfolio - Management defined direct first-order impact as limited, with a focus on second-order effects related to capital markets and economic slowdown [98][100] Question: Investment-grade private credit opportunities - Management emphasized the flexibility and bespoke solutions offered to borrowers, which are more challenging to execute in public markets [110][113] Question: International backdrop and deployment ability - Management acknowledged questions from global investors regarding geopolitical issues but noted that their businesses continue to operate normally [120][122] Question: Wealth flows and asset class preferences - Management reported no pullback in sales in the wealth channel, indicating strong investor interest in alternatives [126][128] Question: Real estate fundraising appetite - Management observed improved conversations with institutional LPs regarding real estate, although some hesitance remains due to recent market conditions [134][135]

Core Viewpoint - Blackstone's first-quarter 2024 distributable earnings exceeded expectations, driven by increased segment revenues and a rise in assets under management, despite facing higher GAAP expenses [1][2]. Financial Performance - Distributable earnings were $1.09 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.04, reflecting an 11% increase from the prior year [1]. - Total segment revenues reached $2.76 billion, an 8% year-over-year growth, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.64 billion [2]. - On a GAAP basis, revenues were $3.29 billion, down 11% from the previous year [2]. - Net income attributable to Blackstone was $614.9 million, a decrease of 27.1% from the year-ago quarter [1]. Assets Under Management (AUM) - Fee-earning AUM grew 10% year over year to $860.1 billion as of March 31, 2025 [4]. - Total AUM amounted to $1.17 trillion, also up 10%, primarily driven by $61.6 billion in inflows during the reported quarter [4]. - The undrawn capital available for investment was $177.2 billion as of March 31, 2025 [4]. Cash and Investments - As of March 31, 2025, Blackstone had $9.8 billion in total cash, cash equivalents, and corporate treasury investments, along with $19.4 billion in cash and net investments [3]. - The company has a $3.4 billion undrawn credit revolver [3]. Share Repurchase - During the reported quarter, Blackstone repurchased 0.2 million shares, with $1.6 billion worth of buyback authorization remaining available as of March 31, 2025 [5]. Market Position and Outlook - Blackstone is positioned for top-line growth due to the continuous rise in AUM and strong fundraising capabilities, although high expenses and a challenging operating environment may impact the bottom line in the near term [6].

Group 1 - Blackstone Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $1.09 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.04 per share, and up from $0.98 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 4.81% [1] - The company posted revenues of $2.76 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.62%, compared to year-ago revenues of $2.55 billion [2] - Blackstone Inc. has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters and topped consensus revenue estimates four times during the same period [2] Group 2 - The stock has underperformed, losing about 25% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has declined by 10.3% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $1.19 on revenues of $2.9 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.13 on revenues of $12.39 billion [7] Group 3 - The Zacks Industry Rank places Financial - Miscellaneous Services in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the industry outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors or through tools like the Zacks Rank [5][6]

Blackstone Reports First Quarter 2025 Results New York, April 17, 2025: Blackstone (NYSE:BX) today reported its first quarter 2025 results. Stephen A. Schwarzman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "Blackstone reported another quarter of strong results despite turbulent markets. Inflows reached $62 billion — the highest level in nearly three years — reflecting the deep trust we've built with our investors over decades. We also delivered positive investment performance across all of our major strate ...