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中远海控_2025 年第三季度分析师简报要点_第三季度价格改善且成本降低COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (.SS)_ 3Q25 analyst briefing takeaway_ better price and lower cost in Q3; cautiously optimistic on the long-term industry freight rate
2025-11-05 02:30
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (601919.SS) Analyst Briefing Summary Company Overview - **Company**: COSCO SHIPPING Holdings - **Stock Codes**: 601919.SS (A-shares), 1919.HK (H-shares) - **Market Cap**: Rmb240.7 billion / $33.8 billion - **Enterprise Value**: Rmb123.2 billion / $17.3 billion - **Current Price**: Rmb15.03 (A-shares), HK$13.67 (H-shares) - **12-month Price Target**: Rmb16.00 (A-shares), HK$12.50 (H-shares) Key Takeaways from the Analyst Briefing Industry Outlook - Management is **cautiously optimistic** about long-term industry freight rates due to: - Over **25%** of existing containerships exceeding **20 years** of age by **2028-30**, necessitating scrapping under decarbonization regulations [2][3] - Strong cargo volume growth, particularly from **Southeast Asia, Europe, and Africa** routes [2][19] Q3 Performance Highlights - **Earnings Beat**: Q3 earnings exceeded expectations, attributed to: - Higher freight rates from increased exposure to **intra-Asia routes** [2][23] - Lower costs compared to peers, with container shipping costs rising **6% YoY** but unit costs only increasing **1% YoY** [23] - **Spot Rate Increase**: A pick-up in spot rates was observed in October, driven by strong demand ahead of **Black Friday** and frontloading due to anticipated US tariffs on Chinese goods [2][23] Financial Metrics - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2025E: Rmb211,746.6 million - 2026E: Rmb205,699.3 million - 2027E: Rmb206,546.4 million [17] - **EBITDA**: - 2025E: Rmb50,426.7 million - 2026E: Rmb41,488.5 million - 2027E: Rmb37,791.5 million [17] - **EPS**: - 2025E: Rmb1.92 - 2026E: Rmb1.28 - 2027E: Rmb0.95 [17] Cost Management - The company has maintained a lower unit fuel cost compared to peers, attributed to higher fuel efficiency and a greater proportion of self-owned vessels [23] Capital Expenditure - As of September 2025, COSCO has a **Rmb57.8 billion** capital expenditure commitment, with **Rmb53.8 billion** allocated for new vessel construction [23] Regulatory Impact - The delay of **USTR port fees** (Rmb2 billion) on China-built and operated vessels has positively impacted the financial outlook, leading to a revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-27E by **25% to 46%** [21][22] Market Position - COSCO holds the **4th largest container fleet** globally, with a capacity of **3.2 million TEU** as of 1H24 [29] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: - Unexpected events leading to a reduction in effective capacity - Potential special dividend payouts [28][31] - **Downside Risks**: - Faster-than-expected new ship deliveries - Weaker-than-expected global trade demand [28][31] Conclusion - COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is positioned to benefit from long-term industry trends despite current market challenges. The company’s focus on cost management and strategic route exposure has allowed it to outperform peers in Q3, while regulatory changes have provided a more favorable financial outlook. The investment rating remains **Neutral** due to ongoing uncertainties in global trade dynamics and shipping rates.
中远海控(601919.SH):暂未开展A股股票回购
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-04 21:20
Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced that as of October 31, 2025, the company has not yet initiated its A-share stock repurchase plan and will consider implementing this plan based on market conditions [1] Summary by Category - **Company Actions** - The company has not commenced its A-share stock repurchase as of the specified date [1] - Future implementation of the repurchase plan will depend on market conditions [1]
中远海控(01919.HK)连续3日回购,累计回购900.00万股
Core Points - China COSCO Shipping Holdings Co., Ltd. has conducted share buybacks, purchasing 4.5 million shares at prices ranging from HKD 13.600 to HKD 13.960, totaling HKD 61.705 million on November 4 [2] - The stock closed at HKD 13.670 on the same day, reflecting a decline of 1.51%, with a total trading volume of HKD 502 million [2] - Since October 31, the company has repurchased a total of 9 million shares over three consecutive days, amounting to HKD 123 million, while the stock price increased by 2.17% during this period [2] - Year-to-date, the company has executed 90 buybacks, acquiring a total of 349 million shares for a cumulative amount of HKD 4.53 billion [2] Buyback Details - On November 4, 2025, the company repurchased 450,000 shares at a maximum price of HKD 13.960 and a minimum price of HKD 13.600, with a total expenditure of HKD 61.705 million [2] - On November 3, 2025, the company bought back 150,000 shares at a maximum price of HKD 13.910 and a minimum price of HKD 13.560, costing HKD 20.717 million [3] - On October 31, 2025, the company repurchased 300,000 shares at a maximum price of HKD 13.750 and a minimum price of HKD 13.350, with a total cost of HKD 40.706 million [3]
中远海控:2025年11月4日回购H股及A股股份
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 10:38
Group 1 - The company announced a buyback of H-shares totaling 856,900 shares at a price range of 6.99 to 7.19 HKD per share, with a total expenditure of 6.0605 million HKD [1] - The company also repurchased A-shares amounting to 5,081,308 shares at a price range of 7.85 to 7.90 CNY per share, with a total expenditure of 39.9996 million CNY [1]
中远海控(601919) - 中远海控H股公告:翌日披露报表
2025-11-04 09:30
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 中遠海運控股股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月4日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01919 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份(不包括庫存 ...
中远海控(601919) - 中远海控H股公告—2025年10月证券变动月报表
2025-11-04 09:30
FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中遠海運控股股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01919 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,971,819,500 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 2,971,819,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,971,819,500 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 2,971,819,500 | | ...
中远海控截至10月末暂未开展 A 股股票回购
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 09:25
Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Holdings (中远海控) has not yet initiated its A-share stock repurchase plan as of October 31, 2025, and will consider implementing the buyback based on market conditions [1] Summary by Categories - **Company Actions** - The company has not commenced the A-share stock repurchase [1] - Future implementation of the buyback plan will depend on market conditions [1]
中远海控(01919)截至10月末暂未开展 A 股股票回购
智通财经网· 2025-11-04 09:22
Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Holdings Co., Ltd. (中远海控) has announced that as of October 31, 2025, it has not yet initiated its A-share stock repurchase plan, and the company will consider implementing this plan based on market conditions in the future [1] Summary by Category - Company Actions - The company has not commenced its A-share stock repurchase as of the specified date [1] - Future implementation of the repurchase plan will depend on market conditions [1]
中远海控(01919) - 海外监管公告
2025-11-04 09:16
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 中遠海運控股股份有限公司 COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd.* (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代號:1919) 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則》第13.10B條而作出。 以中文隨附之海外監管公告乃本公司於二零二五年十一月四日在上海證券交易所 的網站( www.sse.com.cn )上以中文發佈的《中遠海運控股股份有限公司關於以集中 競價交易方式回購A股股份的進展公告》。 承董事會命 中遠海運控股股份有限公司 公司秘書 肖俊光 中華人民共和國,上海 二零二五年十一月四日 於本公告日期,本公司董事為萬敏先生(董事長)、張峰先生 1 (副董事長)、 1 陶衛東先生 1 、朱濤先生 1 、徐飛攀先生 1 、余德先生 2 、馬時亨教授 3 、沈抖先生 3 及 奚治月女士 3 。 1 執行董事 2 非執行董事 3 獨立非執行董事 ...
中远海控11月4日斥资6170.5万港元回购450万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 09:14
Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Holdings (中远海控) announced a share buyback plan, indicating confidence in its stock value and future prospects [1] Group 1: Buyback Details - The company plans to repurchase 4.5 million shares at a total cost of HKD 61.705 million [1] - The buyback price range is set between HKD 13.60 and HKD 13.96 per share [1]