该行指，刚果民主共和国宣布将钴出口禁令延长至10月15日，随后将实施出口配额，2026至2027年配额 将为正常产量的40%。大摩表示，假设洛阳钼业能获得与国家层面相似的配额比例，其潜在销售量可能 在2025年第四季为约8,600吨，在2026至2027年为约4.36万吨，预期钴供应将受到重大影响，因为刚果民 主共和国占全球供应的70%。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，相信洛阳钼业(03993)未来30日内股价将绝对上涨，估计此 情境有约70%至80%(或非常可能)的概率，维持"增持"评级及目标价11.7港元，此按现金流折现率作估 值。 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley believes that Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)(03993) will see an absolute increase in stock price within the next 30 days, estimating a probability of about 70% to 80% for this scenario, maintaining an "Overweight" rating and a target price of HKD 11.7, based on discounted cash flow valuation [1] - The Democratic Republic of Congo has announced an extension of the cobalt export ban until October 15, followed by the implementation of export quotas, with quotas for 2026 to 2027 set at 40% of normal production [1] - Assuming Luoyang Molybdenum can obtain a quota ratio similar to the national level, its potential sales volume could reach approximately 8,600 tons in Q4 2025 and 43,600 tons in 2026 to 2027, with significant impacts expected on cobalt supply due to the DRC accounting for 70% of global supply [1]

大摩：相信洛阳钼业未来30日内股价将上涨，目标价11.7港元。 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley believes that the stock price of Luoyang Molybdenum will rise in the next 30 days, estimating a probability of about 70% to 80% for this scenario [1] - The firm maintains an "overweight" rating and a target price of HKD 11.7, based on discounted cash flow valuation [1] - The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended its cobalt export ban until October 15, followed by the implementation of export quotas, with quotas for 2026 to 2027 set at 40% of normal production [1] Group 2 - Assuming Luoyang Molybdenum can obtain a quota ratio similar to the national level, potential sales volume could be approximately 8,600 tons in Q4 2025 and about 43,600 tons in 2026 to 2027 [1] - The expected cobalt supply will be significantly impacted, as the Democratic Republic of Congo accounts for 70% of global supply [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 97.44% but a recent decline of 5.89% over the last five trading days [2]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 8.671 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Luoyang Molybdenum was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 648 million shares, an increase of 6.949 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which have also increased their holdings [3].

注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为27.48亿元，近5日增加2.80亿元，增幅为11.35%。 据天眼查APP显示，洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司成立于1999年12月22日。注册资本427886.20352万 人民币。（数据宝） 9月18日洛阳钼业大宗交易一览 | 成交量 （万 | 成交金额 | 成交价 格 | 相对当日收盘 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （万元） | | 折溢价（%） | | | | 股） | | （元） | | | | | 20.00 | 247.60 | 12.38 | 0.00 | 华泰证券股份有限公司北京西三 | 国泰海通证券股 | | | | | | 环国际财经中心证券营业部 | 份有限公司总部 | 洛阳钼业9月18日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量20.00万股，成交金额247.60万元，大宗交易成交 价为12.38元。该笔交易的买方营业部为华泰证券股份有限公司北京西三环国际财经中心证券营业部， 卖方营业部为国泰海通证券股份有限公司 ...

| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 华泰证券股份有限 | 国泰海通证券股份 | | 2025-09-18 | 洛阳铝业 | 603993 | 247.6 12.38 | 20 | 公司北京西三环国 | 有限公司总部 | | | | | | | 际财经中心证券营 | | 9月18日，洛阳钼业大宗交易成交20万股，成交额247.6万元，占当日总成交额的0.07%，成交价12.38元，较市场收盘价12.38元持平。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, dropping 3.28% on September 18, with a cumulative decline of 7.75% over four consecutive days [1] - As of the report, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price is 12.38 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 3.324 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.53%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 264.862 billion yuan [1] - The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold, with its main business revenue composition being 48.56% from refined metal product trading and 38.31% from concentrate product trading [1] Group 2 - According to data, Zhongjia Fund has a significant holding in Luoyang Molybdenum, with its Zhongjia Xinxing Mixed A Fund holding 7,700 shares, accounting for 0.12% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 3,234 yuan today, with a total floating loss of 8,008 yuan during the four-day decline [2] - Zhongjia Xinxing Mixed A Fund was established on December 2, 2015, with a latest scale of 51.6921 million yuan, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 3.43% [2] Group 3 - The fund managers of Zhongjia Xinxing Mixed A are Zhong Wei and Pang Zhitong, with Zhong Wei having a tenure of 11 years and 319 days and a total fund asset size of 327 million yuan [3] - During Zhong Wei's tenure, the best fund return was 21.22%, while the worst was 0.36% [3] - Pang Zhitong has a tenure of 1 year and 231 days, managing assets of 94.2527 million yuan, with a best return of 9.35% and a worst return of 3.49% during his tenure [3]

Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2] - The company was established on December 22, 1999, and went public on October 9, 2012 [2] - The main business revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2] Stock Performance - The stock price of Luoyang Molybdenum has increased by 94.78% year-to-date, with a recent decline of 4.15% over the last five trading days [2] - As of September 18, the stock was trading at 12.46 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 266.57 billion CNY [1] - The trading volume on September 18 was 4.07 billion CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.19% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 94.77 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.67 billion CNY [2] - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 648 million shares, and Huaxia SSE 50 ETF, holding 138 million shares, both of which have increased their holdings compared to the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, despite a decline in revenue, driven by strategic adjustments in its trading segment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while operating costs were 74.727 billion yuan, down 10.96% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached approximately 8.671 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3 billion yuan, representing a growth of 60.07% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 48.767 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 13.99%, but net profit increased by 41.24% to 4.725 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 19.75% [1] Group 2: Copper and Cobalt Business - The copper segment generated operating revenue of 25.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28%, with a gross profit of 13.8 billion yuan, up 33% [2] - Copper production reached 350,000 tons, a 13% increase year-on-year, while sales rose by 3% to 320,000 tons [2] - The cobalt segment saw operating revenue of 5.7 billion yuan, a 62% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit of 3.5 billion yuan, up 93% [3] Group 3: Future Prospects - The company aims to achieve an annual copper production capacity of 800,000 to 1 million tons and cobalt production of 90,000 to 100,000 tons [4] - The company has six production lines with over 650,000 tons of annual copper capacity, and ongoing projects are expected to enhance production efficiency and quality [4] - The Heshima hydropower station and new energy projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo are progressing, providing long-term energy stability for production [4] Group 4: Acquisition and Resource Expansion - The company completed the acquisition of LuminaGold for 581 million Canadian dollars (approximately 3 billion yuan), gaining 100% ownership of the Cangrejos Project in Ecuador [5] - The Cangrejos Project has a resource estimate of 1.376 billion tons with an average gold grade of 0.46 g/t, containing 638 tons of gold [5] - The project is expected to commence production in 2028, with an annual output of approximately 11.5 tons of gold [5] Group 5: Other Business Segments - The molybdenum segment's gross profit increased by 100 million yuan, a growth of 11%, while the tungsten segment's gross profit rose by 200 million yuan, a growth of 33% [6] - The niobium segment's gross profit increased by 300 million yuan, a growth of 54%, and the phosphorus segment's gross profit rose by 400 million yuan, a growth of 123% [7] - The company achieved a sales volume of 50,000 tons for niobium, a 5% increase year-on-year, and 590,000 tons for phosphorus fertilizer, a 9% increase year-on-year [7] Group 6: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts operating revenues of 216.6 billion yuan, 223.1 billion yuan, and 231.7 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.66%, 3.00%, and 3.88% respectively [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 17.4 billion yuan, 19.4 billion yuan, and 21.8 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 28.42%, 11.53%, and 12.25% respectively [8]