CME Group(CME)
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US Fed hold decision bets persist despite softer CPI, and one BIG question mark for jobs
The Market Online· 2026-02-16 03:36
Economic Data Insights - U.S. inflation data showed a less-than-expected increase at 2.4% for January, with core inflation at 2.5% for the same period, suggesting a potential for the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts in the upcoming meeting [3] - Despite the positive inflation data, U.S. futures remained relatively flat, indicating that market sentiment may not be significantly influenced by the inflation figures [3] Market Predictions - Prediction markets, such as Kalshi, indicate that the majority of participants believe the Federal Reserve will pause rate changes, with only 8% predicting a 25 basis points cut [4] - The CME Group's FedWatch tool showed a 93.6% chance of the Fed holding rates steady last Thursday, which slightly decreased to 90.2% by Monday afternoon, reflecting minimal change in market expectations [6] Job Market Revisions - The U.S. labor market experienced its largest downward revision in 20 years, with 1,029,000 jobs counted in CY25 that were later found to be non-existent, following previous downward revisions of 818,000 in CY24 and 306,000 in CY23 [8] - Over the past three years, more than 2.15 million jobs have been revised out of initial reports, raising concerns about the reliability of labor market data and its impact on market sentiment [9]
明明手上没稀土,还敢搞稀土期货和中国对冲,美国到底在想什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-15 13:08
明明手上没稀土,还敢搞稀土期货和中国玩对冲,美国到底在想什么? 最近这两天,美国的金融市场上传出了一个大新闻。据消息人士透露,全球最大的衍生品交易所,芝加哥商品交易所(CME Group),目前正紧锣密鼓地筹 备推出全球首个稀土期货合约。 为什么?美国手上明明没有什么稀土产能和存货,为什么CME敢这么搞?为什么是现在? 长期以来,美国及其盟友虽然总是在政策上高喊要"摆脱对华稀土依赖",但在现实中,西方的稀土项目往往在融资阶段就胎死腹中。因为西方银行家们最怕 的不是没有矿,而是不可预测的价格波动。而稀土市场恰好就是一个典型的"小而疯"的市场。 面对对手在金融侧的布局,拥有绝对稀土现货统治力的中国,必然不会无动于衷。虽然中国官方目前尚未对CME的计划发表正式声明,但水面下的暗流已 经涌动。就在CME传出消息的次日,中国相关部门即宣布,将在3月25日举行政策吹风会,重点讨论稀土等关键矿产的出口管制与合规问题。 这一时间点的巧合,本身就是一种无声的信号。在稀土领域,现货与期货的关系,就像是"米"和"米价"的关系。手里没有"米"的人,想要决定"米价",难度 极大。而中国作为全球稀土市场的绝对庄家,拥有无数种让CME这个 ...
CME Group Announces 100 Million Event Contracts Traded
Prnewswire· 2026-02-13 22:50
Core Insights - CME Group has achieved a significant milestone of 100 million event contracts traded since their launch in December, indicating strong early support for these products [1] Group 1: Event Contracts - Event contracts are designed for retail traders, providing a simple, intuitive, and low-cost way for investors to express their views on major stories across financial indicators, cultural moments, and sports [1] - The rapid achievement of 100 million contracts traded occurred within just eight weeks of trading, showcasing the product's popularity and market acceptance [1] Group 2: Company Vision and Future Plans - CME Group's Chairman and CEO, Terry Duffy, expressed optimism about building on the momentum generated by the early success of event contracts, aiming to expand distribution and reach new market participants [1] - The company is focused on attracting the next generation of potential traders to its platform [1] Group 3: CME Group Overview - CME Group is recognized as the world's leading derivatives marketplace, enabling clients to trade across various asset classes, including interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, cryptocurrencies, energy, agricultural products, and metals [1] - The company operates multiple trading platforms, including CME Globex for futures and options, BrokerTec for fixed income, and EBS for foreign exchange [1]
芝商所计划于今年夏天推出单只股票期货产品
智通财经网· 2026-02-13 10:53
2. 对冲精准化:投资者可针对单一公司股价波动进行定向风险对冲,尤其适用于财报季、行业政策变动 等事件驱动型风险; 3. 无实物交割门槛:现金结算机制使投资者无需处理标的股票转移,尤其利于跨国资本和量化策略执 行。 芝商所全球股票及外汇产品主管蒂姆·麦考特(Tim McCourt)表示:"这些合约将提供一种更简便、更具成 本效益的方式来对个股走势表达观点,同时让市场参与者无需直接买入股票,即可获得相关敞口或对冲 潜在价格波动风险。" 智通财经APP获悉,全球领先的衍生品市场芝商所(CME Group)近日宣布,计划于今年夏季推出个股期 货产品,目前尚待完成相关监管审核程序。新产品将覆盖标普500指数、纳斯达克100指数及罗素1000指 数中的50余只美国头部个股进行期货交易,包括Alphabet、Meta、英伟达和特斯拉等,均采用现金结 算,具有灵活性、资本效率及精确性。 据悉,与传统股票交易及期权工具相比,芝商所个股期货凸显三重优势: 1. 资本效率提升:期货合约的保证金机制显著降低持仓资金占用,相较直接持股或认购期权,可释放更 多流动性; ...
Will Crypto ETFs Have Lasting Appeal? (BTC-USD)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-13 04:10
asbe/iStock via Getty Images By Ivan Castano Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) price may have fallen from last year's highs, but that's not stopping a slew of ETFs from courting investors in hopes that the king of crypto will rebound this year. Regulatory tailwinds, such as the SEC's recent passage of generic listings standards (GLS) and the upcoming The Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, are also expected to boost investor interest in these funds, which raised a whopping $47.2 billion last year, despite $5 ...
芝商所(CME)将季度股息从1.25美元上调至1.30美元。
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-12 12:59
芝商所(CME)将季度股息从1.25美元上调至1.30美元。 本文源自:金融界AI电报 ...
CME Group Declares Annual Variable Dividend and Q1 2026 Quarterly Dividend
Prnewswire· 2026-02-12 12:30
Core Viewpoint - CME Group Inc. has declared its annual variable dividend and first-quarter regular dividend, reflecting strong financial performance in 2025 and a commitment to returning value to shareholders [1]. Dividend Announcements - The first-quarter regular dividend is set at $1.30 per share, which is a 5 cent increase from the previous level of $1.25 per share [1]. - The annual variable dividend based on 2025 financial results is $6.15 per share, totaling approximately $2.2 billion [1]. - Combined with quarterly dividends paid during 2025, the total dividends will amount to approximately $4.0 billion, resulting in a total dividend yield of 4.2% based on the average closing stock price during 2025 [1]. Company Overview - CME Group is recognized as the world's leading derivatives marketplace, facilitating trading in futures, options, cash, and OTC markets [1]. - The company provides a wide range of global benchmark products across major asset classes, including interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, cryptocurrencies, energy, agricultural products, and metals [1]. - CME Group operates trading platforms such as CME Globex for futures and options, BrokerTec for fixed income trading, and EBS for foreign exchange trading [1].
Wedbush Supports CME Group Prediction Markets as Volumes Surge Around Super Bowl LX
Globenewswire· 2026-02-11 13:30
PASADENA, Calif., Feb. 11, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Wedbush Securities, a diversified financial services firm, today announced its continued support for CME Group's prediction markets, which delivered significant clearing volumes during Super Bowl LX weekend. On Sunday, Wedbush cleared tens of millions of prediction market contracts traded at CME Group, supporting activity across 350+ products, and providing clearing services that enabled its clients to efficiently access these markets and better serve thei ...
新加坡交易所股价创历史新高 此前与芝加哥商业交易所打通外汇交易平台
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 04:45
Core Viewpoint - Singapore Exchange (SGX) shares rose by 3.7%, reaching an all-time high following the announcement of the integration of its foreign exchange business with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group's (CME Group) spot currency trading platform [1] Group 1 - The integration allows traders to share liquidity between SGX's foreign exchange services and CME Group's Spot+, EBS spot, non-deliverable forward foreign exchange, and spot precious metals [1]
芝加哥商品交易所集团将推出 个股期货
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-11 01:04
芝加哥商品交易所集团当地时间2月10日宣布,计划于今年夏季推出单只股票期货,具体时间取决于所 有监管审查和流程的完成情况。这些新产品将使市场参与者能够交易来自标普500指数、纳斯达克100指 数和罗素1000指数的50余只美国顶级股票期货,涵盖Alphabet、Meta、英伟达和特斯拉等知名企业。 0:00 ...