2022-2024年公司分别于10月25日/24日/22日发布三季度最近业务情况信息，预计公司将于近期发布2025 年三季度业务情况。考虑到新品上新势能强劲及各渠道持续增长，假设25Q3经调整净利润占全年经调 整利润比为27.5%(假设24Q3利润率与24Q4持平，则对应24Q3占利润比为29.8%，考虑24H1上新及补货 节奏影响，假设占比同比下降;假设25Q2利润率与25Q1持平，则对应占比为25.9%)，假设经调整利润率 为33%，该行预计25Q3公司收入端同比增长为154.2%，环比增长约8.9%，绝对值为91.7亿元;经调整净 利润同比增长198.6%，绝对值为30.3亿元(三季度仅披露经营收入增速区间，绝对值及利润同比预测仅 供参考)。 招商证券发布研报称，维持泡泡玛特(09992)"强烈推荐"投资评级。考虑到1)海外组织架构促进海外健康 持续增长;2)"精灵天团"LABUBU/星星人等IP产品势能良好，上调2025-2027年盈利预测，经调整净利润 分别为109.6/149.2/183.1亿元(前值分别为103.7/142.1/173.6亿元)，对应2025-2027年经调整PE分别为 32.3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current market is experiencing a steady inflow of incremental funds, with strong investor willingness to increase positions on dips, suggesting a potential recovery in market momentum [1] Short-term Strategy - Focus on previously popular sectors such as domestic computing power, semiconductor self-sufficiency, controllable nuclear fusion, military industry, and commercial aerospace, which may rebound as risk appetite increases [1] Long-term Strategy - Long-term investments should consider the potential economic resonance between China and the U.S. in 2026 and the trend of rising PPI, with an emphasis on allocating resources to low-position cyclical sectors [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that traditional overseas power supply manufacturers are facing risks of reshaping their market landscape due to the large-scale application of 800Vdc technology, prompting them to seek collaboration or outsourcing with Chinese companies [1] - Chinese companies possess key advantages such as accumulated power electronics technology, rapid response capabilities, and high-quality engineering teams, which may allow them to participate as Tier 1 suppliers in the upgrade process and potentially achieve excellent returns [1] Group 2 - The current power supply system for data centers relies on UPS as the primary power source, with electricity first entering through the utility grid and being transformed through various voltage levels before reaching the cabinets [1] - According to NVIDIA's white paper, the second-generation solution will introduce new HVDC systems while retaining UPS as a transitional element, expected to be implemented in NVL144 cabinets by the second half of 2026 [2] - The third generation will eliminate UPS and incorporate self-generation facilities and electrochemical storage to handle power fluctuations from AI loads, with applications anticipated in NVL576 cabinets by the second half of 2027 [2] - The fourth generation aims to further integrate HVDC, transformers, and distribution systems, promoting the use of medium-voltage rectifiers and solid-state transformers, with structural innovations expected to be commercially available by 2028 and technological breakthroughs by 2029-2030 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Jintian Animation has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CMB International and China Galaxy International as joint sponsors [1] Company Overview - Jintian Animation is a pioneer and leader in China's IP fun food industry, focusing on providing delicious and healthy IP fun food [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the company will have five production bases, 26 authorized IPs, and over 600 active SKUs [1] Business Model - The company's business model utilizes snacks as a medium and IP as a driving force, offering diverse product forms such as packaging featuring IP images and reusable food containers [1] Market Position - According to a Frost & Sullivan report, Jintian Animation is projected to be the largest IP fun food enterprise in China by revenue in 2024, with a market share of 7.6% [1] IP Operation Strategy - The company possesses extensive IP operation experience, employing an integrated strategy for IP management through online KOL promotion and offline IP-themed exhibitions [1] Distribution Network - Jintian Animation collaborates with IP licensors from Japan, Europe, and the United States, establishing a nationwide distribution network with over 2,600 distributors and direct sales partnerships with retailers such as Mingming Hen Mang, Wancheng, and Miniso [1]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Tian Su Measurement and Testing Co., Ltd. has successfully passed the IPO review for the ChiNext board, with China Merchants Securities as the sponsor [2]. Company Overview - Tian Su Measurement was established in 2009 and operates as an independent third-party measurement and testing service provider, focusing on calibration, testing, and certification services [4]. - The company's clients span various sectors, including biomedicine, automotive, new energy, rail transit, energy and power, light industry, and equipment manufacturing [4]. Financial Performance - The total assets of Tian Su Measurement have increased from 464.55 million yuan in 2022 to an estimated 729.19 million yuan by June 30, 2025 [5]. - The company's net profit has shown growth from 84.39 million yuan in 2022 to an estimated 55.58 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The operating revenue for the years 2022 to 2025 is projected to be 597 million yuan, 726 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 409 million yuan respectively [5]. Future Projections - For the first nine months of 2025, the company expects operating revenue to grow by approximately 9.89% to 12.49% compared to the same period in 2024 [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase by 8.03% to 11.04% year-on-year [6].

Core Insights - The current share of non-electric utilization of renewable energy is less than 1%, significantly lower than in the electricity sector, indicating a vast potential for growth in hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol applications [1][2][3] Group 1: Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued the "Central Budget Investment Management Measures for Energy Conservation and Carbon Reduction," which supports key sectors in energy conservation and carbon reduction, including green methanol and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production projects [1][3] - The NDRC's support for low-carbon projects includes a funding ratio of 20% of the total investment for eligible new or ongoing projects, marking a significant policy shift towards supporting green methanol and SAF [1][3] Group 2: Industry Trends - The global renewable energy consumption issue is becoming increasingly critical, with hydrogen and methanol non-electric utilization seen as a promising avenue for future development [2][3] - The domestic wind and solar cumulative installed capacity is projected to reach approximately 1.4 billion kilowatts by 2024, with a target of 3.6 billion kilowatts of new installations, indicating robust growth in the renewable energy sector [2] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The green methanol industry is progressing rapidly, driven by global shipping decarbonization efforts and EU emissions trading policies, with significant potential for green methanol as an alternative fuel [4] - There is a growing focus on biomass gasification and fermentation routes for green methanol production, with gasifiers and electrolyzers being critical components, highlighting investment opportunities in production and equipment sectors [4]

Group 1 - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that the supply of white feather chicken chicks is tight in September, leading to a rise in chick prices, although the support for prices is limited due to cost control needs in the breeding sector [1][3] - The average price of white feather chicken chicks in September was 3.27 yuan per chick, down 8.3% year-on-year and 0.7% month-on-month; the average price of broiler chickens was 6.99 yuan per kilogram, down 3.2% year-on-year and 2.4% month-on-month [1] - The breeding sector is experiencing losses due to rising chick costs and low broiler prices, with an average loss of 1 yuan per chick in September [1] Group 2 - The yellow feather chicken market saw a significant recovery in September, with prices rising due to improved demand and the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival [2][3] - The average price of fast-growing yellow chickens in September was 5.41 yuan per jin, up 2.5% year-on-year and 6% month-on-month; the average price of Xueshan grass chickens was 8.95 yuan per jin, up 5.1% year-on-year and 3% month-on-month [2] - Major companies in the yellow feather chicken sector have seen a reduction in out-of-pocket costs, with costs dropping to around 5.6 yuan per jin for Wens Foodstuffs and below 5.5 yuan per jin for Lihua [2][3] Group 3 - The supply of parent stock for white feather chickens is expected to be tight in the second half of 2025 due to a significant decrease in overseas imports, which will also affect the supply of commercial broiler chicks in 2026 [3] - The current low inventory levels of parent stock for yellow feather chickens, combined with ongoing industry losses, are setting the stage for future price increases [3] - The long-term outlook for the ice-fresh yellow feather chicken market remains positive, driven by changing consumer habits, the implementation of sales bans, and economic recovery [3]

招商证券香港发布研报称，特步国际(01368.HK)重申2025全年业绩指引，并预计四季度将实现强劲增 长，并维持2025-27年盈利预测不变。鉴于"X Young"和索康尼持续拉动增长，该行的目标价基于12.5倍 26年中期市盈率，仍属于自2015年以来的长期平均估值水平，维持目标价7.7港元，维持增持评级。 投行对该股的评级以买入为主，近90天内共有28家投行给出买入评级，近90天的目标均价为7.53港元。 申万宏源最新一份研报给予特步国际买入评级。 机构评级详情见下表： | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 投行名称 | 发布日期 | 评级 | 目标价(港元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01368.HK | 特步国际 | 申万宏源 | 2025-10-19 | 买人 | -- | | 01368.HK | 特步国际 | 招商证券(香港)有限公司 | 2025-10-19 | 增持 | 7.70 | | 01368.HK | 特步国际 | 华西证券 | 2025-10-19 | 买人 | | | 01368.HK | 特步国际 | 浙商证券 | 2025 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xtep International (01368) reaffirms its full-year performance guidance for 2025, expecting strong growth in Q4, while maintaining profit forecasts for 2025-2027. The target price is set at HKD 7.7, based on a 12.5x mid-term P/E ratio for 2026, aligning with long-term average valuation levels since 2015 [1]. Group 1 - Xtep's main brand retail sales recorded low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3, driven by double-digit percentage expansion in e-commerce sales and strong demand for running shoes [1]. - The "X Young" series continues to positively impact the overall brand performance, with average retail discounts maintained at 25%-30% and channel inventory turnover at 4-4.5 months [1]. - Despite concerns regarding the impact of e-commerce adjustments on the Double Eleven promotion, management anticipates a gradual recovery in e-commerce sales in Q4 [1]. Group 2 - Saucony contributed significantly to the group's growth, with retail sales increasing over 20% year-on-year, primarily due to more than 30% growth in offline business driven by rising consumer demand for high-end sports and running shoes [2]. - Strategic operational adjustments were made in the online business, focusing on reducing exposure to low-priced products and tightening discount levels, which may limit short-term growth but is expected to improve profit margins [2]. - Management expects this cautious operational strategy to support a gradual recovery in e-commerce sales in Q4 [2].

Core Viewpoint - The current market is experiencing a strong inflow of incremental funds, with investors showing a strong willingness to accumulate positions on dips, indicating a potential recovery in market momentum [1] Short-term Strategy - Focus on previously popular sectors such as domestic computing power, semiconductor self-sufficiency, controllable nuclear fusion, military industry, and commercial aerospace, which may rebound as risk appetite increases [1] Long-term Strategy - Long-term investments should consider the potential economic resonance between China and the U.S. in 2026 and the trend of rising Producer Price Index (PPI), with an emphasis on allocating resources to low-position cyclical sectors [1]