Core Insights - Investors often avoid stocks around earnings announcements due to high volatility, but post-earnings, opportunities arise as volatility decreases [1][2] Group 1: eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) - eBay's stock experienced a decline of up to 9.5% following its latest quarterly earnings, leading to concerns about performance expectations [3][5] - Analysts from Benchmark reiterated a Buy rating and raised their valuation target for eBay from $65 to $75 per share, indicating a potential upside of 20% [4][5] - Institutional investors, such as Ameriprise Financial, increased their holdings in eBay by 12.4%, bringing their total position to $1.8 billion, reflecting bullish sentiment [6] Group 2: Snowflake Inc. (NYSE: SNOW) - Snowflake's 12-month stock price forecast is set at $202.92, suggesting a 14.8% upside, supported by a moderate Buy rating from analysts [7][8] - The increasing reliance on cloud-based services as the global economy digitizes justifies the premium valuation of Snowflake's stock [9] - UBS Asset Management Americas raised their holdings in Snowflake by 16.4%, increasing their net position to $347.9 million, indicating positive investor sentiment [10] Group 3: Salesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) - Salesforce's stock forecast indicates a potential upside of 22.74%, with a target price of $365.32, supported by a moderate Buy rating from analysts [11] - Analysts from Canaccord Genuity Group have set a new valuation target of $400 per share for Salesforce, suggesting a 36% upside from current trading levels [12] - A 2.5% decline in Salesforce's short interest over the past month indicates a shift in sentiment towards bullishness, aligning with positive fundamental and technical factors [13]

2025年3月3日 招商银行国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 2025财年第四季度（4QFY25）的结果与共识预期基本一致。 2025财年第 四季度，cRPO同比增长9%（按固定汇率计算同比增长11%），符合管理 层的指导。从部门来看，4QFY25销售/服务/平台及其他/市场营销和商务/集 成与云分析收入分别同比增长8%、8%、12%、7%、5%。多云势头持续， 4QFY25前100笔交易的平均每笔交易包含6种云服务。行业云也取得了稳 健的表现，年度经常性收入（ARR）同比增长20%，达到57亿美元。对于2 026财年第一季度，管理层预计总营收同比增长6%-7%至97.1-97.6亿美元 ，cRPO同比增长10%。 预计数据云与人工智能在财年26E中将持续强劲的动力。 数据云与人工智 能年度经常性收入在4QFY25达到9亿美元，同比增长120%。自2024年10月推 出以来，Agentforce已积累超过3000名付费客户。该人工智能解决方案还推动 了其核心产品和数据云产品的交叉销售。50%的《财富》100强公司既是Salesf orce的数据云与人工智能客户。4QFY25的前10笔大单中均包含数据云 ...

3 Mar 2025 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Salesforce (CRM US) Conservative guidance weighs on sentiment; strong Data Cloud & AI momentum Salesforce reported 4QFY25 results: total revenue grew by 9% YoY in constant currency to US$10.0bn, in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate; non-GAAP net income was up by 20% YoY to US$2.7bn, 6% ahead of consensus estimate thanks to enhanced operating efficiency. For FY26E, management guided total revenue of US$40.5-40.9bn (+7-8% YoY ...

Core Viewpoint - Salesforce reported solid results for its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter and is focusing on agentic AI as a key growth driver, despite a challenging start to 2025 for its stock [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Salesforce's revenue increased by 8% year over year to $10 billion, aligning with its guidance range [6] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 21% to $2.78, with free cash flow generated during the quarter amounting to $3.8 billion [7] - Current remaining performance obligations (cRPOs) grew by 10% year over year to $30.2 billion, indicating a positive revenue outlook [7] Group 2: Agentic AI and Product Development - The company introduced Agentforce, an agentic AI solution, which has gained traction with 5,000 deals closed, including 3,000 paid deals [2][3] - Agentforce offers various out-of-the-box AI agents for tasks in customer service, HR, and technical support, and allows customers to create custom agents using low-code and no-code tools [3][4] - The product is consumption-based, costing $2 per interaction, aimed at enhancing productivity and efficiency [4] Group 3: Partnerships and Ecosystem - Salesforce's partnership network has been instrumental, with half of Agentforce sales and 70% of activations coming from this ecosystem [5] - The company has 127,000 system-integrated employees trained on Agentforce and over 1,000 technology partners involved in building and selling agents [5] Group 4: Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Salesforce forecasts revenue growth of 7% to 8%, projecting total revenue between $40.5 billion and $40.9 billion [8] - The company anticipates subscription and support revenue to grow by about 8.5% and expects fiscal Q1 revenue growth of 6% to 7% year over year [8][9] Group 5: Valuation and Market Position - Salesforce trades at a forward price-to-sales multiple of under 7 and a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio under 27, with a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5, indicating potential undervaluation [10] - The valuation is considered attractive if Agentforce can accelerate revenue growth, with conservative guidance suggesting a good chance of exceeding expectations throughout the year [11]

Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. (NYSE: CRM) is recognized as a strong company with wide moats, solid fundamentals, and reliable growth characteristics that support its status as a compounder [1] Group 1 - The company is characterized by its wide economic moats, indicating a strong competitive advantage [1] - Solid fundamentals are highlighted, suggesting a stable financial position and operational efficiency [1] - The company demonstrates very reliable growth, which is essential for long-term investment potential [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses Salesforce's (NYSE: CRM) Q3 performance and evaluates the potential of its AI offering, Agentforce, for long-term growth [1]. Group 1 - Salesforce's recent performance was analyzed, focusing on its Q3 results [1]. - The potential of Agentforce, Salesforce's latest AI offering, is explored in terms of its long-term growth prospects [1].

Group 1: Market Overview - Q4 2024 earnings reporting indicates positive trends, but the outlook for 2025 earnings growth has dimmed [1] - Stocks in leadership positions are regaining traction after price dips, suggesting a continued uptrend in the S&P 500, albeit at a slower pace than in 2024 [1] Group 2: NVIDIA - NVIDIA's automotive segment grew nearly 30% year-over-year in Q4, driven by demand for driver-assist technology essential for EVs and autonomous driving [2][3] - Analysts view the automotive segment as a potential billion-dollar revenue stream that will grow in the coming years, aiding in diversification from the data center segment [3] - The consensus price target for NVIDIA has risen, indicating nearly 30% upside potential, with 91% of ratings at Buy or better [4] Group 3: Salesforce - Salesforce reported mixed earnings and weak guidance, leading to lowered price targets, but analysts believe business remains strong with a forecasted 20% upside [5][7] - Highlights include high single-digit growth, substantial margins, and free cash flow sufficient for capital returns, including dividends and buybacks [8] Group 4: 3M - 3M is expected to revert to organic and adjusted growth in 2025, with improving cash flow and capital return outlook [10][11] - Analysts have a positive sentiment for 2025, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy and a rising price target [11] Group 5: SoundHound AI - SoundHound AI's stock price has pulled back to long-term lows, but the growth outlook remains intact despite NVIDIA selling its stake [12][13] - Analysts rate SoundHound as a Hold, with potential for a 30% gain, possibly reaching $22.50 by year-end [14] Group 6: Shopify - Shopify is among the most upgraded stocks post-Q4 reporting, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy and potential for at least 10% upside, likely 20% or more by year-end [15][16] - Q4 results showed accelerated growth and strength in both top and bottom lines, with guidance indicating continued strength in 2025 [17]

Core Viewpoint - Salesforce's stock price is expected to rebound to new highs by 2025 due to a solid growth trajectory and low valuation, with a fair price tag at approximately 28 times the 2026 outlook, but this does not account for anticipated growth by 2030 [1] Financial Performance - Salesforce reported a revenue growth of 7.5% to $9.99 billion, missing consensus estimates by $50 million, driven by subscription and support revenue streams [4] - Operating cash flow increased by 28% and free cash flow by 31%, indicating strong financial health expected to continue into 2025 [4][6] - The adjusted operating margin is projected to widen, supporting the financial outlook [6] Market Position and Strategy - The company is experiencing strength in its new Data Cloud and Agentforce segments, driven by large client growth and cross-selling opportunities [2] - Businesses are increasingly relying on data-driven insights and AI automation, areas where Salesforce excels [3] Analyst Insights - Analysts have trimmed price targets in response to Salesforce's cautious guidance, but the consensus still forecasts a 20% upside for the stock [8] - Despite mixed responses to guidance, analysts believe Salesforce's AI strategy remains on track, with a prudent approach to scaling [9] Stock Forecast - The 12-month stock price forecast for Salesforce is $365.32, representing a 23.92% upside based on 42 analyst ratings [5] - The company is expected to sustain annual distribution increases due to a low payout ratio and robust cash flow [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company is progressing in the right direction by developing its data cloud and artificial intelligence-related businesses [1][3][8] Financial Performance - Salesforce reported a 9% revenue growth and a 13% increase in adjusted operating profit for Q4 FY2025 [1] - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 21% [1] - The company has maintained a stable revenue growth rate of around 9% over the past three quarters [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue growth rates for different segments in Q4 FY2025 are as follows: - Sales Cloud: 9% - Service Cloud: 9% - Platform and Other: 12% - Marketing and Commerce: 8% - Data: 6% [2] Future Guidance - For FY2026, Salesforce expects total revenue to be between $40.5 billion and $40.9 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 7%-8% [4][5] - Operating cash flow is projected to grow by 10%-11% [4][5] Profitability and Margin Improvement - The management aims to increase the adjusted operating margin to 34% by FY2026, having improved it by 10% over the past two years [3][4] - The company anticipates a 100 basis point increase in profit margins for FY2026 [3] Strategic Focus - Salesforce achieved $900 million in annual recurring revenue from its data cloud and AI, marking a 120% year-over-year growth, although this currently represents only 2.5% of total revenue [3] - The company is prioritizing growth in data cloud and AI, with significant transactions in these areas [3][8] Market Conditions and Challenges - The company faces potential growth challenges due to a weak U.S. economy affecting its clients' sales expansion [8] - The current growth in current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) is primarily driven by strong early renewals, but a high base may pose challenges for FY2026 growth [8] Valuation - Analysts have upgraded Salesforce's rating to "Buy," with a fair value estimate of $320 per share [8]

I downgraded Salesforce, Inc. (NYSE: CRM ) to a “Sell” rating in May 2024, discussing its slowdown in current remaining performance obligation ((cPRO)) growth. While Salesforce’s Data Cloud & AI generated $900 million in annual recurring revenue, the business is still in the infant stage and only presentsAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of CRM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. ...